Jack Penney — OGILVIE

Jack PenneySS FCL Tigers

Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 300 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .283 / .298

PA300

HR5

SB5

K%27

BB%9

BABIP260

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	60	54	10	2	1	0	6	24	0	2	1	185	267	259	526	74	333	40	10	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	60	51	13	3	2	0	9	18	0	2	1	255	367	392	759	137	394	30	15	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	422	367	73	12	1	7	40	132	11	8	2	199	297	294	591	95	284	31	9	263	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	422	339	85	12	1	6	68	95	11	8	2	251	392	345	737	94	326	23	16	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	ROK	DET	—	20	19	4	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	1	211	250	421	671	211	200	15	5	317	101	+0	-0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
YTD	23	ROK	DET	—	20	18	6	2	0	1	2	2	0	0	1	333	400	611	1.011	278	333	10	10	438	193	+2	-0	+0	+0	+1	0.3
ROS	23	ROK	DET	0%	300	265	52	10	1	5	28	81	4	5	1	196	283	298	581	102	261	27	9	271	66	-12	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.0
ROS	23	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		257	—	—	257	55	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	23	ROK	DET	—	20	20	4	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	1	200	250	400	650	200	188	15	5	317	101	+0	-0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
TOT	23	ROK	DET	—	320	284	56	11	1	6	29	84	4	5	2	197	281	306	587	109	255	26	9	274	68	-12	+0	-1	+3	+9	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	DET	30%	375	332	68	13	2	7	35	98	5	6	2	205	290	319	610	114	265	26	9	279	72	-12	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.2
2028	25	MLB	DET	44%	424	376	79	15	2	9	39	110	6	7	2	210	295	332	627	122	268	26	9	284	76	-12	+1	-2	+5	+12	0.4
2029	26	MLB	DET	51%	454	403	85	16	2	10	42	117	6	7	2	211	295	335	630	124	269	26	9	287	78	-12	+1	-2	+5	+13	0.5
2030	27	MLB	DET	52%	466	413	87	16	2	10	44	120	6	8	2	211	296	332	628	121	270	26	9	288	78	-11	+1	-2	+5	+13	0.6
2031	28	MLB	DET	53%	470	416	87	16	2	10	45	121	6	7	2	209	296	329	625	120	269	26	10	287	78	-12	+1	-2	+5	+13	0.5
2027	24	MLB	DET	30%	113	100	21	4	1	2	10	30	2	2	1	210	295	330	625	120	261	27	9	265	61	-5	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	DET	44%	187	165	34	6	1	4	17	48	3	3	1	206	292	327	619	121	263	26	9	270	65	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	DET	51%	230	204	43	8	1	5	21	59	3	4	1	211	294	333	627	123	265	26	9	272	66	-9	+0	-1	+2	+7	-0.0
2030	27	MLB	DET	52%	244	216	44	8	1	5	23	63	3	4	1	204	289	319	609	116	265	26	9	273	67	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.0
2031	28	MLB	DET	53%	250	221	45	8	1	5	24	65	3	4	1	204	290	317	607	113	265	26	10	273	67	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1024	907	187	34	5	21	95	265	14	17	5	206	292	324	616	118	265	26	9	271	66	-40	+1	-4	+11	+29	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	119	22	3	13	60	168	9	11	3	207	292	323	615	116	266	26	9	271	66	-25	+1	-3	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	2971	2626	541	100	13	58	279	803	44	50	14	206	293	320	613	114	271	27	9	280	72	-94	+4	-10	+32	+84	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	119	22	3	13	61	176	10	11	3	207	295	323	618	117	272	27	9	280	72	-20	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	60	51	13	3	2	0	9	18	0	2	1	255	367	392	759	137	394	30	15	343	121	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	306	252	66	11	1	5	46	62	5	6	2	262	386	373	759	111	324	20	15	347	124	+8	+0	—	—	+9	1.8
2025	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	43	33	4	0	0	0	7	13	3	0	0	121	326	121	447		200	30	16	249	49	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	73	54	15	1	0	1	15	20	3	2	0	278	458	352	810	74	412	27	21	381	150	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	9	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
	/162	664	11	6	235	320	363	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	5	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	13	0	248	314	368	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,345	28	22	209	291	329	+14	-6	1.6	1.6
	/162	664	14	11	209	291	329	+7.1	-3.0	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Penney (OGILVIE)	23	45	35→43	45→49	60	197/281/306	109	255	6	5	26%	9%	68	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mitchell Tolman 2018 · A	24	45→50	41→45	45→50	49	217/288/308	91	266	9	9	22%	8%	67	-0.5	208/282/301	93	298	8	10	30%	8%	63	-0.8	221/294/350	129	290	13	8	27%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→40	43→50	50→45	46	204/274/320	117	274	10	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	211/268/334	123	297	13	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	195/247/325	130	268	17	1	33%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A	23	42→43	39→40	52→50	58	198/312/287	89	285	6	14	30%	14%	73	-0.1	204/300/291	87	305	4	9	30%	12%	69	-0.4	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Pratt Maynard 2014 · A	24	45	41→45	45	50	217/284/310	94	265	9	6	21%	8%	66	-0.6	226/287/339	113	291	8	6	24%	8%	74	-0.1	235/287/366	132	306	6	0	24%	7%	80	+0.1
✕Irving Lopez 2018 · A	23	46→50	42→45	47→40	46	224/289/330	106	262	10	7	19%	6%	74	-0.1	226/289/336	110	278	9	3	21%	6%	75	-0.0	207/276/305	98	268	9	4	25%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Kameron Misner 2021 · A	23	46→43	39→50	54→55	48	217/293/303	87	305	6	13	29%	9%	68	-0.5	199/283/333	134	317	13	21	38%	10%	72	-0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Jeisson Rosario 2023 · AA	23	44→49	43→45	47→50	48	214/291/327	114	289	10	12	28%	9%	74	-0.1	204/290/309	105	312	10	12	34%	10%	69	-0.4	186/281/277	91	297	9	12	37%	11%	54	-0.9
✕Chris Herrmann 2012 · AA	24	45→48	42→50	48→50	52	219/297/323	104	274	9	7	22%	9%	76	+0.0	224/282/338	114	282	11	5	23%	7%	72	-0.2	217/305/384	166	277	20	8	28%	11%	92	+0.5
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Hoy Park 2019 · A	23	46→49	39→45	55	50	218/298/304	86	288	6	17	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/304/324	97	304	7	16	25%	9%	78	+0.2	217/301/336	119	289	13	18	28%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Braden Shewmake 2021 · AA	23	47→42	42→50	52→55	46	229/285/334	105	280	9	14	21%	6%	72	-0.2	220/259/370	150	270	17	13	25%	5%	71	-0.3	214/256/366	152	258	18	17	25%	4%	66	-0.4
●Sherman Johnson 2013 · A	23	46→52	40→50	52→50	54	216/306/311	95	287	6	9	25%	11%	76	+0.0	227/304/346	119	284	10	12	22%	9%	83	+0.6	218/298/343	124	266	12	14	21%	10%	78	+0.2
✕John Mora 2017 · A	24	48→50	41→45	49→50	50	227/294/331	105	280	7	9	21%	8%	76	+0.0	216/271/306	90	297	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.1	211/264/296	85	297	4	10	29%	6%	50	-1.4
✕Johnny Monell 2009 · A	23	47→44	43→50	48→45	47	229/298/348	120	287	10	10	23%	8%	82	+0.5	227/284/359	132	289	13	6	25%	7%	79	+0.3	211/282/355	144	277	15	6	28%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	40→39	42→50	46→55	56	195/303/310	115	269	9	11	28%	13%	76	+0.0	199/299/319	120	254	11	20	24%	12%	76	+0.0	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Mike Gerber 2015 · A	23	50	41→50	51→45	47	240/297/343	103	301	8	10	22%	7%	79	+0.3	230/279/358	128	314	11	9	29%	6%	76	+0.0	227/276/356	130	314	12	8	30%	6%	73	-0.1
●Blake Tekotte 2010 · A	23	43→48	43→55	50→55	47	213/273/320	107	259	10	15	22%	7%	63	-0.8	223/283/386	163	289	19	21	29%	7%	85	+0.7	215/274/386	171	284	21	23	31%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	41→45	51→55	44	215/279/319	105	286	7	13	26%	7%	66	-0.6	207/259/301	94	296	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	165/200/219	54	252	0	15	33%	4%	4	-0.8