Agustin AcostaCF ACL Dodgers
Age 21 L/R 6'2" / 173 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 60 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .273
PA60
HR1
K%30
BB%7
BABIP250
ISO91
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +3.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.30.3+$8M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 44
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER44
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED63
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.8M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 176148 25323 23595 125 169301277578 108256 3413 260 57
202217 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 176138 33424 33435 125 239403384787 145319 2419 365 137
202419 ROKDSL LAD Mega 158137 22322 15704 141 161263255518 95308 449 225 30
202419 ROKDSL LAD Mega 158126 31533 26484 141 246391405796 159373 3016 359 133
202520 ROKDSL LAD Mega 131108 23522 114611 142 213346352698 139344 358 309 95
202520 ROKDSL LAD Mega 131101 33933 182911 142 3274775641.041 238429 2214 455 206
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 ROKLAD 5047 10301 2131 20 213260340600 128273 264 296 85 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.1
YTD21 ROKLAD 5045 15502 491 20 333400578978 244382 188 427 185 +5 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.7
ROS21 ROKLAD 0% 6055 10201 4181 20 182250273523 91266 307 257 55 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
ROS21 MLBLAD 0% 01 0000 000 00 262 241 42 +0 +0
FULL21 ROKLAD 5048 10301 2131 20 208260333593 125265 264 296 85 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.1
TOT21 ROKLAD 110102 20502 6312 40 196255304558 108261 285 275 68 -4 +1 +0 +0 +3 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBLAD 34% 190171 35714 14553 51 205277327604 123271 297 270 65 -8 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
202823 MLBLAD 48% 306274 561126 24865 81 204281325605 120274 288 276 70 -10 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.0
202924 MLBLAD 53% 388349 731438 301086 102 209283335618 126276 288 281 73 -12 +1 +0 +1 +11 0.2
203025 MLBLAD 55% 435391 821639 341207 112 210285335620 125276 288 283 74 -13 +1 +0 +2 +12 0.3
203126 MLBLAD 56% 464417 8717310 371287 122 209284336620 127276 288 283 75 -13 +2 +0 +2 +13 0.3
203227 MLBLAD 55% 477428 9018310 381328 122 210287336623 126276 288 283 75 -14 +2 +0 +2 +14 0.3
202722 MLBLAD 34% 6559 11201 5191 20 186262271533 85267 298 254 53 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
202823 MLBLAD 48% 148134 27513 11422 41 201272321593 119270 287 261 58 -7 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
202924 MLBLAD 53% 205184 37714 16573 51 201276315591 114272 288 265 61 -9 +1 +0 +1 +6 -0.2
203025 MLBLAD 55% 238213 45925 19664 61 211288343631 131272 288 267 63 -10 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.2
203126 MLBLAD 56% 258232 49926 20714 71 211285345630 134272 288 268 63 -11 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.2
203227 MLBLAD 55% 262235 501026 21724 71 213288349637 136272 278 268 63 -11 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 11761058 21942825 9232718 315 207282333615 126273 288 266 62 -51 +4 +0 +4 +33 -1.0
/ 162G 650585 12123414 5118110 173 207282332614 125272 288 266 62 -28 +2 +0 +2 +18 -0.5
Career 27852478 503962155 23082257 10018 203286325611 122278 308 277 70 -94 +13 +0 +10 +79 0.8
/ 162G 650578 11722513 5419213 234 202285325611 123277 308 277 70 -22 +3 +0 +2 +18 0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 176138 33424 33435 125 239403384787 145319 2419 365 137 +7 +0 +5 1.3
202419 ROKDSL LAD Mega 158126 31533 26484 141 246391405796 159373 3016 359 133 +6 +2 +4 1.3
202520 ROKDSL LAD Mega 131101 33933 182911 142 3274775641.041 238429 2214 455 206 +16 +2 +4 2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,2872733209281335+5+100.40.5
/1626641417+2.4+5.20.2pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Agustin Acosta (OGILVIE) 21 20→25 39→44 58→63 55 196/255/304 108261 24 28% 5% 68 +0.0
Hoy Park
2017 · A
21 41→49 39→45 60→55 46 193/267/285 92274 517 29% 8% 53 -1.5 216/290/303 87291 617 26% 9% 67 -0.5 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
Johan Mieses
2015 · A
20 43→33 42→55 60→50 42 208/261/317 109274 822 26% 6% 57 -1.2 191/237/342 151271 188 36% 5% 55 -1.4 195/270/37718223727730%7%75-0.0
Ricardo Méndez
2021 · A
21 43 39→45 54→50 39 204/264/292 88314 713 35% 7% 53 -1.5 217/259/315 98324 613 33% 5% 56 -1.3 213/255/3079431351432%5%48-1.1
Luis Valenzuela
2015 · A
21 41 37→45 55→45 39 197/236/272 76265 47 27% 5% 34 -2.8 241/267/333 92304 57 22% 3% 63 -0.9 257/280/3581003165720%2%71-0.1
David Calabrese
2023 · A
20 38→37 41→45 56→50 41 186/249/288 102279 815 35% 7% 45 -2.1 184/254/304 120272 1313 35% 8% 53 -1.5 166/230/26296226111331%7%28-1.4
Cayden Wallace
2023 · A
21 45→42 42→50 56→50 40 218/268/331 113302 815 30% 6% 64 -0.8 215/273/337 122287 1112 27% 6% 68 -0.5 225/274/377152279181326%5%77+0.1
Francisco Santana
2010 · A
22 43 42→50 57→55 43 212/261/324 112266 913 24% 6% 59 -1.1 198/235/292 94282 78 31% 4% 39 -2.5 164/182/259962306632%2%4-1.5
Travis Blankenhorn
2018 · A
21 40→45 45→55 55→50 40 201/267/329 128288 128 33% 6% 64 -0.8 209/259/340 131294 148 32% 5% 63 -0.8 208/281/36815927820631%8%77+0.1
Rudy Martin Jr.
2017 · A
21 44 38→45 58→65 42 203/276/285 82317 420 34% 8% 56 -1.3 199/259/296 97325 829 38% 7% 52 -1.6 227/303/343115312135229%9%78+0.1
Cole Roederer
2021 · A
21 38→31 43→45 51→50 41 190/257/298 109284 1112 35% 8% 52 -1.6 205/269/317 112309 1112 35% 7% 62 -0.9 180/254/293113270131136%8%49-1.0
Sean Coyle
2013 · A
21 36→34 45→50 54→50 37 187/249/310 124268 1213 34% 6% 52 -1.6 201/258/355 154293 1914 37% 6% 68 -0.5 192/251/359168278231539%7%64-0.4
Eddinson Paulino
2023 · A
21 42→39 47→45 55→50 44 211/280/363 152291 1314 31% 8% 78 +0.2 197/255/323 126277 1315 32% 6% 58 -1.2 180/237/301121250131533%6%41-1.5
Jeter Downs
2019 · A
21 41→40 42→50 52→55 42 203/265/309 106263 1018 26% 6% 58 -1.2 207/272/357 150272 1718 30% 7% 74 -0.1 175/266/324149236182633%9%63-0.4
Brenden Webb
2011 · A
21 38→42 41→45 53→50 43 184/261/289 104283 87 35% 8% 51 -1.7 187/272/290 103314 910 39% 10% 56 -1.3 173/263/277104295101041%10%47-1.4
Jefry Puente
2012 · A
20 35 37→45 55→50 47 170/258/247 77249 311 30% 9% 40 -2.4 192/268/269 77260 314 25% 8% 49 -1.8 163/244/2195620902720%7%23-0.9
Kelvin Duran
2012 · A
21 42 38→45 53→55 42 201/253/285 83276 515 28% 6% 45 -2.1 194/240/266 72292 59 33% 5% 35 -2.8 146/176/1833621841234%3%-17-1.3
Roberto Caro
2015 · A
21 45→38 38→40 63→60 49 212/292/308 96281 321 24% 9% 69 -0.4 201/272/280 79302 216 31% 8% 53 -1.5 212/285/2927932822633%8%59-0.5
Iverson Leonardo
2023 · A
21 37 44→50 49→50 39 187/256/305 118276 129 35% 7% 54 -1.4 197/279/292 95352 78 42% 9% 60 -1.0 146/272/221753593452%12%39-0.5
Estee Harris
2006 · A
21 36→31 43→50 50 37 187/233/300 113268 1114 34% 5% 41 -2.3 188/238/287 99315 913 41% 6% 40 -2.4 172/224/2639131881346%6%25-1.1
Stephen Chapman
2007 · A
21 42→37 42→50 52→50 40 208/261/318 110283 913 29% 6% 58 -1.2 190/241/330 140285 1511 37% 5% 53 -1.5 171/222/315143259171240%5%40-1.6