Agustin Acosta

CF ACL Dodgers

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 173 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ROKDSL LAD Mega	158	.246/.391/.405	3	14	33	—	.141/.256/.215
2025	20	ROKDSL LAD Mega	131	.327/.477/.564	3	14	80	—	.196/.338/.308
2026	21	ROKLAD	74	.262/.351/.477	3	2	46	—	.162/.230/.294
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBLAD	184	.194/.270/.292	2	4	60	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBLAD	31	.194/.271/.296	0	1	64	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO87

wRC+55

wOBA44

Chase%37

Speed37

Z-Con%35

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsLoidel Chapelli (age 22) · Cole Roederer (age 22) · Brian Pointer (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .268 / .289

PA43

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	176	138	33	4	2	4	33	43	5	12	5	239	403	384	787	145	319	24	19	365	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	158	126	31	5	3	3	26	48	4	14	1	246	391	405	796	159	373	30	16	359	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	131	101	33	9	3	3	18	29	11	14	2	327	477	564	1.041	238	429	22	14	455	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	74	65	17	5	0	3	8	19	1	2	0	262	351	477	828	215	326	26	11	367	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	176	146	22	3	1	2	25	51	5	12	5	151	295	226	521	75	207	29	14	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	158	135	19	3	2	1	17	59	4	14	1	141	256	215	471	74	229	37	11	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	131	107	21	5	2	1	12	37	11	14	2	196	338	308	647	112	267	28	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	74	68	11	3	0	2	5	27	1	2	0	162	230	294	524	132	245	36	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	176	146	22	3	1	2	25	51	5	12	5	151	295	226	521	75	215	29	14	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	176	138	33	4	2	4	33	43	5	12	5	239	403	384	787	145	319	24	19	365	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	158	135	19	3	2	1	17	59	4	14	1	141	256	215	471	74	240	37	11	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	158	126	31	5	3	3	26	48	4	14	1	246	391	405	796	159	373	30	16	359	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	131	107	21	5	2	1	12	37	11	14	2	196	338	308	647	112	286	28	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	131	101	33	9	3	3	18	29	11	14	2	327	477	564	1.041	238	429	22	14	455	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	74	68	11	3	0	2	5	27	1	2	0	162	230	294	524	132	231	36	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	74	65	17	5	0	3	8	19	1	2	0	262	351	477	828	215	326	26	11	367	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	176	144	22	3	1	2	25	51	5	12	5	153	295	229	525	76	207	29	14	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	158	136	19	3	2	1	17	59	4	14	1	140	256	213	470	74	229	37	11	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	131	107	21	5	2	1	12	37	11	14	2	196	338	308	647	112	267	28	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	74	68	11	3	0	2	5	27	1	2	0	162	230	294	524	132	245	36	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	158	136	19	3	2	1	17	59	4	14	1	140	256	213	470	74	229	37	11	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	131	107	21	5	2	1	12	37	11	14	2	196	338	308	647	112	267	28	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	74	68	11	3	0	2	5	27	1	2	0	162	230	294	524	132	245	36	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	184	165	32	6	2	2	14	56	3	4	1	194	270	292	562	98	274	30	8	257	60	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	90	82	16	3	1	1	7	27	1	2	0	198	275	303	578	105	276	30	8	263	64	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	1	0	194	271	296	567	102	269	29	6	259	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	1	0	172	226	207	433	34	250	29	6	259	54	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	105	21	0	0	42	189	0	21	0	173	226	207	433	35	251	29	6	259	54	-27	+4	+0	+2	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	672	577	96	18	6	8	69	214	23	45	8	166	281	260	541	94	247	32	10	248	54	-6	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	93	17	6	8	67	207	22	44	8	167	281	262	543	95	247	32	10	248	54	-29	+3	+0	+2	+14	-0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Dodgers · 74 PAwOBA .357 → .236 (−120)K% 25.7% → 37.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.68%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	36.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.81%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.975	6.54%
HBP% /PA	1.35%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.95%
Singles /BIP	19.57%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.975	15.64%
Doubles /BIP	10.87%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.975	7.63%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.52%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.975	4.96%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .357 → .236; ISO .215 → .142; BABIP .326 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 131 PAwOBA .447 → .287 (−161)K% 22.1% → 28.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.14%	÷0.957	×1.220	—	—	28.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.74%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.975	9.38%
HBP% /PA	8.40%	—	×0.700	—	×0.975	5.73%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.985	×0.680	×1.012	×0.975	17.03%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷1.050	×0.600	×1.012	×0.975	7.05%
Triples /BIP	4.17%	÷0.988	×0.600	×1.012	×0.975	2.50%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷1.011	×0.470	—	×0.975	1.89%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 97, 2B 110, 3B 98, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 18.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .447 → .287; ISO .238 → .130; BABIP .429 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 158 PAwOBA .348 → .217 (−131)K% 30.4% → 37.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.38%	÷0.994	×1.220	—	—	37.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.82%	÷1.030	×0.700	—	×0.985	10.59%
HBP% /PA	2.53%	—	×0.700	—	×0.985	1.75%
Singles /BIP	25.64%	÷0.988	×0.680	×0.959	×0.985	16.66%
Doubles /BIP	6.41%	÷0.953	×0.600	×0.959	×0.985	3.81%
Triples /BIP	3.85%	÷1.079	×0.600	×0.959	×0.985	2.02%
Home runs /BIP	3.85%	÷1.095	×0.470	—	×0.985	1.63%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 116, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .348 → .217; ISO .159 → .080; BABIP .373 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL LAD Bautista · 176 PAwOBA .357 → .242 (−115)K% 24.4% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.43%	÷1.025	×1.220	—	—	29.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.75%	÷0.942	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.03%
HBP% /PA	2.84%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.00%
Singles /BIP	24.21%	÷1.028	×0.680	×1.005	×1.008	16.21%
Doubles /BIP	4.21%	÷0.937	×0.600	×1.005	×1.008	2.73%
Triples /BIP	2.11%	÷0.915	×0.600	×1.005	×1.008	1.40%
Home runs /BIP	4.21%	÷1.028	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.94%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 106, 2B 87, 3B 83, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .357 → .242; ISO .145 → .079; BABIP .319 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Agustin Acosta (OGILVIE)	22	32→37	39→44	56→61	56	192/268/289	97	274	1	1	30%	8%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	39→41	42→45	51→50	40	189/265/296	107	289	9	13	36%	7%	61	-1.5	210/285/338	128	315	13	12	35%	8%	77	-0.3	209/287/345	136	311	14	12	35%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Esteban González 2024 · A	21	43→45	41→45	56→55	41	205/280/306	101	298	7	18	31%	7%	68	-1.0	211/269/331	120	298	10	24	31%	6%	70	-0.9	203/264/330	127	285	12	27	31%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	43→45	38→45	54→60	41	208/264/286	78	288	6	21	29%	6%	56	-1.9	201/273/302	101	275	9	28	28%	8%	63	-1.3	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Kai Murphy 2023 · A	22	45→41	39→40	53→50	44	214/272/300	87	294	6	12	28%	7%	63	-1.4	209/271/293	84	302	6	10	31%	7%	61	-1.5	197/269/263	66	263	5	11	25%	8%	51	-1.3
✕Daury Arias 2024 · A	22	38	40	50→45	48	188/270/276	88	252	8	9	27%	9%	58	-1.7	184/252/266	82	279	6	9	34%	7%	48	-2.5	118/186/167	49	192	4	10	38%	6%	-1	-2.0
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	195/261/308	113	264	9	19	28%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Eddinson Paulino 2024 · A	22	42	46→50	54→50	43	210/273/349	139	282	12	17	29%	7%	75	-0.5	202/261/322	120	278	12	13	30%	6%	64	-1.3	186/244/297	111	257	12	11	31%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→44	37→40	52→50	47	193/261/259	66	255	5	10	25%	8%	50	-2.3	211/284/306	95	274	7	10	23%	9%	69	-0.9	206/287/304	98	264	6	10	22%	10%	66	-0.8
✕Isaiah Greene 2024 · A	22	41→42	38→40	56→55	50	187/286/268	81	306	5	19	36%	12%	62	-1.4	198/272/294	96	312	7	14	35%	9%	62	-1.4	155/236/258	102	239	4	15	34%	10%	37	-0.6
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	38	41→50	50	39	185/243/283	99	282	8	13	36%	7%	48	-2.5	183/250/280	97	308	9	14	40%	8%	51	-2.3	104/190/192	88	178	12	21	47%	9%	9	-1.5
✕Nelson Medina 2023 · A	22	41	40→45	53→50	47	195/282/289	95	292	6	13	32%	10%	65	-1.2	176/236/261	85	335	6	13	46%	7%	40	-3.0	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Ryan Aguilar 2017 · A	22	43→40	38→45	50	47	202/272/284	81	282	5	10	28%	9%	59	-1.6	181/248/257	76	283	6	7	35%	8%	45	-2.7	181/274/286	106	291	12	12	39%	10%	59	-1.1
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A	23	38→40	43→45	56→50	41	194/254/310	116	261	11	16	29%	6%	59	-1.7	201/260/294	93	294	7	16	32%	6%	57	-1.8	191/251/265	74	290	4	19	34%	6%	45	-1.8
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2015 · A	22	43	38→40	50→45	42	206/259/288	82	279	5	13	27%	6%	55	-2.0	230/267/313	83	329	4	10	30%	4%	63	-1.4	261/289/353	92	366	4	5	29%	3%	77	-0.1
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	190/265/292	102	283	8	14	34%	8%	59	-1.6	204/267/311	107	290	7	12	30%	6%	63	-1.3	179/266/281	102	259	10	19	32%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	201/265/299	98	278	8	12	29%	7%	60	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	196/267/258	62	261	2	10	23%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	43	42→45	53→55	42	213/262/322	108	277	9	14	26%	6%	63	-1.3	218/276/332	114	306	10	21	30%	7%	72	-0.7	213/281/334	121	303	14	24	32%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Tyler Frost 2018 · A	22	41→33	42→50	54→50	39	204/256/317	114	282	9	6	30%	6%	61	-1.5	185/242/305	120	297	13	7	40%	6%	53	-2.1	168/227/287	119	273	13	7	42%	6%	41	-2.3