Ty Doucette

1B Daytona Tortugas

Age 23 L/R A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	A+CIN	112	.293/.420/.598	7	1	123	—	.247/.348/.495
2026	22	ACIN	198	.274/.381/.488	9	0	84	—	.216/.299/.375
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBCIN	420	.232/.314/.408	15	6	103	0.5
2028PROJ38% MLB	24	MLBCIN	128	.238/.319/.427	5	2	105	0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	25	MLBCIN	219	.239/.321/.430	9	3	106	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO97

wOBA96

wRC+95

BB%83

Z-Con%77

Whiff%70

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%

CompsChristin Stewart (age 23) · Andrés Chaparro (age 24) · Jaff Decker (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 304 proj PA

wRC+†103

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .312 / .405

PA304

HR11

K%26

BB%10

ISO176

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	112	92	27	5	1	7	18	23	2	1	0	293	420	598	1.017	304	323	21	16	440	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	198	168	46	9	0	9	27	40	2	0	0	274	381	488	869	214	308	20	14	383	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	112	97	24	4	1	6	13	29	2	1	0	247	348	495	843	247	287	26	12	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	198	176	38	7	0	7	19	54	2	0	0	216	299	375	674	159	264	27	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	310	274	62	11	1	13	31	84	4	1	0	226	314	416	730	190	275	27	10	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	310	260	73	14	1	16	45	63	4	1	0	281	395	527	922	246	313	20	15	404	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	310	272	62	11	1	13	31	84	4	1	0	228	314	419	733	191	272	27	10	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	310	272	62	11	1	13	31	84	4	1	0	228	314	419	733	191	272	27	10	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	420	373	86	15	2	15	40	110	4	6	2	232	314	408	722	176	284	26	10	321	103	+2	+0	+0	-8	+9	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	38%	339	300	71	12	2	13	33	88	3	5	1	234	316	414	730	179	285	26	10	324	105	+2	+1	+0	-6	+7	0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	396	351	82	14	2	15	38	102	4	6	1	236	317	417	734	181	285	26	10	325	106	+3	+1	+0	-7	+9	0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	CIN	64%	432	384	90	16	2	16	41	110	4	6	2	237	318	418	736	182	285	25	9	326	107	+3	+0	+0	-8	+9	0.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	CIN	66%	448	398	93	16	2	17	43	114	4	6	2	236	317	415	731	179	285	25	10	324	106	+3	+0	+0	-8	+10	0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	CIN	67%	454	404	95	17	2	17	43	116	4	4	1	234	315	409	724	175	284	26	9	321	104	+2	+0	-1	-8	+10	0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	CIN	66%	451	402	92	16	2	16	42	116	4	3	1	231	311	402	713	171	282	26	9	317	101	+0	+0	-1	-8	+10	0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	445	396	90	16	2	15	42	116	4	1	1	228	307	393	700	166	279	26	9	312	97	-1	-0	-2	-8	+10	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	38%	128	114	28	5	1	5	12	33	1	2	0	238	319	427	746	189	287	26	9	330	105	+1	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	219	194	47	8	1	9	21	56	2	3	1	239	321	430	751	191	287	26	10	332	106	+2	+0	+0	-4	+5	0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	CIN	64%	275	244	58	10	1	11	26	70	3	4	1	240	321	432	752	191	287	25	9	332	107	+2	+0	+0	-5	+6	0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	CIN	66%	294	261	63	11	2	12	28	75	3	4	1	239	320	428	748	189	287	26	10	330	106	+2	+0	+0	-5	+6	0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	CIN	67%	303	268	64	11	1	12	29	77	3	3	1	238	318	422	739	184	285	25	10	327	104	+1	+0	-0	-5	+7	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	CIN	66%	296	263	61	10	1	11	28	76	3	2	1	235	314	414	729	180	283	26	9	323	101	+0	+0	-1	-5	+6	0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	290	258	60	10	1	11	27	76	3	1	1	231	310	405	715	174	280	26	9	318	97	-1	-0	-1	-5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1805	1602	381	65	8	71	171	463	18	19	6	238	318	421	740	184	288	26	9	327	103	+7	+1	-3	-32	+39	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	137	23	3	26	62	167	6	7	2	237	318	423	741	185	287	26	10	327	103	+3	+1	-1	-12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3579	3178	738	129	17	133	342	926	34	36	10	232	313	409	723	177	283	26	10	321	103	+14	+3	-4	-58	+71	2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	133	23	3	24	62	168	6	7	2	231	311	406	717	175	281	26	10	321	103	+3	+1	-1	-12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Leroy Stanton'70-'78 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,883 PA	4.3	2,883	77	36	245*	314*	430*	-33	-1	6.5	7.8
/162	664	18	8	-7.7	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 9
#3Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Travis Lee'98-'06 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,233 PA	6.4	4,233	115	59	246*	324*	396*	-74	-10	3.7	4.1
/162	664	18	9	-11.5	-1.6	0.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.2	2,110	77	23	234	312	411	-38	-8	3.1	3.1
/162	664	24	7	-11.9	-2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Dan Johnson'05-'15 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,625 PA	2.4	1,625	57	1	226*	330*	401*	-30	-3	2.2	2.8
/162	664	23	0	-12.2	-1.2	0.9	pk7: 3
#6John Ganzel'01-'08 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,599 PA	3.9	2,599	14	43	251*	309*	428*	-46	-0	1.5	1.5
/162	664	4	11	-11.6	-0.1	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ty Doucette (OGILVIE)	23	40→45	55→60	43→48	62	230/312/405	175	284	11	4	26%	10%	103	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christin Stewart 2017 · AA	23	40→48	52→55	46→45	48	209/301/378	169	282	20	5	32%	10%	93	+0.8	223/297/391	168	287	20	3	28%	8%	94	+0.9	227/301/404	177	282	22	1	27%	8%	98	+1.0
●Andrés Chaparro 2023 · AA	24	45→51	54→60	47→40	46	235/305/416	181	288	22	6	27%	8%	103	+1.5	231/294/398	167	282	20	5	25%	7%	95	+0.9	240/313/431	191	283	24	2	24%	8%	107	+1.3
✕Jaff Decker 2012 · AA	22	43→52	53→55	47→55	49	220/307/392	172	289	20	10	30%	10%	98	+1.2	218/300/354	136	289	14	9	27%	10%	86	+0.3	231/308/347	116	299	10	13	24%	9%	86	+0.2
●Kyle Manzardo 2024 · AAA	24	44→43	55→60	43→40	51	233/307/422	188	269	22	3	22%	9%	105	+1.7	228/306/417	189	276	23	4	26%	9%	103	+1.6	223/305/412	189	273	24	2	27%	9%	102	+1.3
✕CJ Kayfus 2024 · A	22	47→51	50	50→45	52	237/321/397	160	291	18	14	24%	10%	104	+1.6	239/317/398	159	333	15	8	30%	9%	103	+1.5	236/317/395	159	333	14	8	31%	9%	100	+0.9
✕Justin Nelson 2006 · A	23	43→41	52→55	47→45	45	225/290/398	173	287	19	10	28%	8%	93	+0.8	212/282/387	175	300	20	6	34%	8%	87	+0.4	202/277/382	179	287	21	3	36%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Josiah Sightler 2024 · A	24	48	51→55	49→40	41	244/298/398	154	313	21	6	29%	6%	96	+1.0	189/248/316	127	353	16	6	48%	6%	58	-1.7	119/183/233	114	249	17	4	57%	6%	14	-2.6
●Vinnie Pasquantino 2022 · AA	24	47→51	55→60	52→40	52	246/315/438	191	263	22	6	17%	8%	111	+2.1	254/325/441	187	265	22	4	14%	9%	116	+2.5	258/321/454	196	268	25	2	15%	8%	118	+2.6
✕Jerry Sands 2011 · AA	23	45→46	58→60	53→45	46	240/305/446	206	289	27	9	27%	8%	109	+2.0	223/289/391	168	285	20	5	28%	8%	91	+0.6	232/297/374	143	282	16	2	23%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Jace Jung 2024 · AA	23	43→44	52→50	48→40	48	220/300/383	163	290	20	5	30%	9%	93	+0.8	216/304/368	152	282	17	4	28%	11%	91	+0.7	205/299/350	146	260	16	3	27%	11%	84	+0.1
●Triston Casas 2022 · AAA	22	47→49	51→60	48→40	49	236/311/401	164	296	19	8	26%	9%	101	+1.4	242/332/433	191	299	23	4	26%	12%	116	+2.5	238/335/441	203	292	26	0	27%	12%	120	+1.9
✕Jeff Larish 2008 · AA	25	45	53→55	44→45	51	233/316/410	177	282	20	6	25%	10%	105	+1.7	232/305/401	169	298	20	4	28%	9%	99	+1.3	227/299/397	170	294	21	2	29%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Zack Shannon 2019 · A	23	47	54→60	48→40	43	243/303/423	180	307	21	3	28%	7%	103	+1.6	213/272/347	134	301	15	5	33%	7%	74	-0.5	189/250/315	127	264	16	3	34%	7%	56	-1.2
✕Jarred Kelenic 2021 · AA	22	45→54	54→60	53→50	43	235/291/415	180	301	21	14	29%	7%	97	+1.1	229/294/412	183	290	21	13	27%	8%	97	+1.1	230/297/414	184	294	20	15	28%	8%	99	+1.1
✕Brandon Allen 2009 · AA	23	42→49	53→55	50	39	222/272/398	176	294	20	9	32%	6%	86	+0.3	232/305/413	181	296	21	9	28%	9%	101	+1.4	228/311/413	185	290	22	9	28%	10%	103	+1.5
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2023 · AAA	24	43→47	55	47→45	44	231/288/413	182	282	23	7	27%	7%	96	+1.0	222/289/385	163	272	20	8	25%	8%	89	+0.5	209/283/365	156	249	19	8	24%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Tyler Locklear 2024 · AA	23	48→53	51→50	53→50	46	239/324/402	162	306	18	11	27%	8%	107	+1.8	243/321/392	149	323	16	12	28%	8%	103	+1.5	245/324/392	147	326	16	13	28%	8%	102	+1.2
●Scott Schebler 2015 · AA	24	44→52	54→60	53→50	39	231/285/418	187	290	21	10	28%	5%	96	+1.0	234/291/418	184	281	21	10	25%	5%	98	+1.2	244/310/439	195	282	24	5	23%	6%	109	+1.8
●Ben Rice 2024 · AA	25	48→47	54→65	49→50	48	247/323/425	178	295	22	11	24%	8%	112	+2.2	239/326/451	212	274	27	7	23%	10%	118	+2.7	239/332/468	230	266	30	5	23%	11%	125	+3.0
●Jack Suwinski 2022 · AA	24	42→43	51→60	45→50	46	210/291/368	158	305	19	9	36%	10%	86	+0.3	213/300/408	195	286	26	11	33%	10%	99	+1.3	203/291/399	196	263	27	11	33%	10%	94	+0.8

Ty Doucette

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps