Travis Honeyman
OF Springfield Cardinals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A/ROKSTL | 82 | .342/.415/.493 | 0 | 2 | 77 | — | .264/.317/.371 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 410 | .273/.401/.363 | 5 | 14 | 86 | — | .245/.348/.317 |
| 2026 | 24 | AA/ASTL | 329 | .273/.375/.404 | 9 | 26 | 86 | — | .242/.323/.345 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBSTL | 4 | .231/.314/.320 | 0 | 0 | 84 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBSTL | 72 | .232/.315/.327 | 1 | 3 | 86 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 27 | MLBSTL | 111 | .232/.314/.328 | 2 | 4 | 86 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 60 | 56 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 321 | 367 | 446 | 813 | 125 | 375 | 13 | 5 | 363 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | — | 22 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 412 | 545 | 647 | 1.193 | 235 | 500 | 14 | 23 | 515 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 228 | 183 | 49 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 43 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 268 | 399 | 322 | 722 | 55 | 333 | 19 | 12 | 336 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 130 | 106 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 321 | 446 | 443 | 890 | 123 | 376 | 15 | 15 | 405 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 52 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 182 | 294 | 341 | 635 | 159 | 194 | 23 | 10 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 296 | 256 | 72 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 49 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 281 | 376 | 410 | 786 | 129 | 320 | 17 | 11 | 356 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 33 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 364 | 346 | 710 | 154 | 200 | 15 | 12 | 336 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 60 | 57 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 283 | 333 | 617 | 88 | 289 | 18 | 3 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 22 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 316 | 409 | 474 | 883 | 158 | 365 | 18 | 14 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 228 | 192 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 57 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 224 | 332 | 271 | 603 | 47 | 288 | 25 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 130 | 113 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 283 | 377 | 398 | 775 | 115 | 348 | 20 | 10 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 296 | 266 | 66 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 60 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 248 | 322 | 346 | 668 | 98 | 298 | 20 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 148 | 172 | 21 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 82 | 76 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 237 | 293 | 329 | 622 | 92 | 295 | 18 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 82 | 73 | 25 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 342 | 415 | 493 | 908 | 151 | 403 | 13 | 10 | 404 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 410 | 349 | 86 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 95 | 19 | 14 | 1 | 246 | 349 | 312 | 661 | 66 | 323 | 23 | 9 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 410 | 333 | 91 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 52 | 74 | 19 | 14 | 1 | 273 | 401 | 363 | 764 | 90 | 331 | 18 | 13 | 351 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 293 | 71 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 67 | 9 | 26 | 6 | 242 | 323 | 345 | 668 | 102 | 291 | 20 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 329 | 282 | 77 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 54 | 9 | 26 | 6 | 273 | 375 | 404 | 779 | 131 | 309 | 16 | 11 | 354 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 82 | 76 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 237 | 293 | 329 | 622 | 92 | 309 | 18 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 410 | 352 | 86 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 95 | 19 | 14 | 1 | 244 | 349 | 310 | 659 | 65 | 310 | 23 | 9 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 291 | 71 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 67 | 9 | 26 | 6 | 244 | 323 | 347 | 670 | 103 | 285 | 20 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 82 | 76 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 237 | 293 | 329 | 622 | 92 | 309 | 18 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 410 | 352 | 86 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 95 | 19 | 14 | 1 | 244 | 349 | 310 | 659 | 65 | 310 | 23 | 9 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 291 | 71 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 67 | 9 | 26 | 6 | 244 | 323 | 347 | 670 | 103 | 285 | 20 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | STL | 2% | 379 | 336 | 77 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 82 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 231 | 314 | 323 | 637 | 92 | 286 | 22 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -7 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | STL | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 314 | 320 | 634 | 89 | 287 | 25 | 0 | 291 | 84 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | STL | 31% | 231 | 204 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 50 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 232 | 315 | 330 | 645 | 98 | 286 | 22 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | STL | 42% | 263 | 233 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 58 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 232 | 314 | 331 | 645 | 99 | 286 | 22 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | STL | 48% | 285 | 253 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 63 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 230 | 313 | 330 | 643 | 100 | 285 | 22 | 8 | 293 | 85 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | STL | 49% | 289 | 257 | 59 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 65 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 229 | 310 | 328 | 638 | 99 | 284 | 22 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | STL | 50% | 289 | 258 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 66 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 227 | 307 | 324 | 630 | 97 | 283 | 23 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -6 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | STL | 31% | 72 | 64 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 232 | 315 | 327 | 642 | 95 | 287 | 22 | 8 | 294 | 86 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | STL | 42% | 111 | 98 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 232 | 314 | 328 | 642 | 96 | 287 | 22 | 8 | 294 | 86 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | STL | 48% | 136 | 121 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 313 | 327 | 640 | 97 | 287 | 22 | 8 | 292 | 85 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | STL | 49% | 143 | 127 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 229 | 310 | 325 | 635 | 96 | 285 | 22 | 8 | 290 | 83 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | STL | 50% | 145 | 129 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 307 | 321 | 628 | 94 | 284 | 23 | 8 | 287 | 81 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 607 | 539 | 123 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 50 | 135 | 14 | 18 | 5 | 228 | 310 | 325 | 635 | 96 | 286 | 22 | 8 | 291 | 84 | -12 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +13 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 577 | 132 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54 | 145 | 15 | 19 | 5 | 229 | 311 | 326 | 637 | 97 | 286 | 22 | 8 | 291 | 84 | -13 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2381 | 2102 | 492 | 64 | 10 | 37 | 192 | 523 | 68 | 88 | 21 | 234 | 318 | 327 | 645 | 93 | 293 | 22 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -30 | +4 | -4 | -9 | +34 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 134 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 52 | 143 | 19 | 24 | 6 | 233 | 318 | 326 | 644 | 92 | 292 | 22 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -12 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AASpringfield Cardinals · 296 PAwOBA .348 → .300 (−48)K% 16.6% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.998 | 25.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.028 | ×0.998 | 2.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.028 | ×0.998 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.09% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .348 → .300; ISO .129 → .107; BABIP .320 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 APalm Beach Cardinals · 33 PAwOBA .328 → .256 (−71)K% 15.2% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.15% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 8.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 9.09% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 6.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 12.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.970 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 3.70% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .328 → .256; ISO .154 → .122; BABIP .200 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Peoria Chiefs · 228 PAwOBA .335 → .273 (−62)K% 18.9% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.86% | ÷0.951 | ×1.270 | — | — | 25.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.84% | ÷1.027 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.70% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 4.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.988 | 26.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.083 | ×0.810 | ×0.978 | ×0.988 | 2.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.926 | ×0.850 | ×0.978 | ×0.988 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.857 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.66% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 102, 2B 117, 3B 85, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .335 → .273; ISO .055 → .045; BABIP .333 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 APalm Beach Cardinals · 130 PAwOBA .393 → .336 (−57)K% 14.6% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.62% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 19.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.62% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 10.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.89% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.980 | 27.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.75% | ÷0.896 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×0.980 | 5.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×0.980 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.30% | ÷0.973 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 1.85% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 79, 3B 80, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .393 → .336; ISO .123 → .110; BABIP .376 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 APalm Beach Cardinals · 60 PAwOBA .353 → .255 (−98)K% 13.3% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 3.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.92% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 19.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.58% | ÷1.153 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 9.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.946 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 108, 2B 131, 3B 89, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .353 → .255; ISO .125 → .081; BABIP .375 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Cardinals · 22 PAwOBA .503 → .356 (−147)K% 13.6% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.018 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.73% | ÷1.043 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 13.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.998 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 16.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.016 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 19.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 87, K 104, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .503 → .356; ISO .235 → .171; BABIP .500 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .