Ryan Bourassa — OGILVIE

Ryan Bourassa P Columbus Clingstones

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 230 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.37

FIP4.37

K%30.0%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%16.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL3030

CMD6060

K†7070

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	5	0	5	21	7	4	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	19.0%	14.3%	0.0%	1.80	2.70	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	5	0	5	21	7	4	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	19.0%	14.3%	0.0%	1.80	2.70	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	5	0	5	21	7	4	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	19.0%	14.3%	0.0%	1.80	2.70	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	35	146	51	18	6	0%	1.1	30.4%	11.1%	19.3%	5.3%	3.63	4.84	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	35	146	51	18	6	0%	1.1	30.4%	11.1%	19.3%	5.3%	3.63	4.84	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	35	146	51	18	6	0%	1.1	34.9%	12.3%	22.6%	4.1%	3.63	3.97	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	212	76	27	4	0%	1.4	28.1%	14.9%	13.2%	3.6%	2.52	4.58	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	212	76	27	4	0%	1.4	28.1%	14.9%	13.2%	3.6%	2.52	4.58	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	54	212	76	27	4	0%	1.4	35.8%	12.7%	23.1%	1.9%	2.52	2.75	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	11	0	17	77	21	13	4	0%	1.5	22.1%	18.6%	3.5%	6.2%	6.35	7.01	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	11	0	17	77	21	13	4	0%	1.5	22.1%	18.6%	3.5%	6.2%	6.35	7.01	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	ATL	11	0	17	77	21	13	4	0%	1.5	27.3%	16.9%	10.4%	5.2%	6.35	5.79	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	ATL	5	0	5	21	6	3	1	0%	1.0	30.0%	13.3%	16.7%	3.2%	4.37	4.37	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	22	98	27	16	5	—	—	27.9%	16.1%	11.8%	4.8%	5.90	6.41	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ATL	56	0	59	247	73	32	8	0%	1.0	29.3%	13.0%	16.4%	3.2%	4.39	4.40	+0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	ATL	54	0	57	240	69	31	8	0%	1.1	28.8%	12.8%	16.0%	3.3%	4.44	4.48	+0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	ATL	21	0	22	93	27	12	3	0%	1.0	29.3%	13.0%	16.4%	3.2%	4.39	4.40	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	ATL	32	0	34	144	41	18	5	0%	1.1	28.8%	12.8%	16.0%	3.3%	4.44	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	236	69	30	8	0%	1.1	29.0%	12.9%	16.1%	3.3%	4.42	4.07	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	247	107	29	0%	1.1	29.0%	12.9%	16.1%	3.3%	4.42	4.07	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		85	0	110	456	128	66	20	0%	1.3	28.1%	14.5%	13.6%	4.4%	3.43	4.99	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	0	200	827	232	120	36	0%	1.3	28.1%	14.5%	13.6%	4.4%	3.43	4.99	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Bourassa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.37	30.0%	13.3%	3.2%	—	4.44	29.1%	16.2%	115	+0.07	—	—	—
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	89
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	88
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	87
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	86
Brad Boxberger R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	27.3%	10.0%	3.4%	.280	4.09	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.16	3.01	363	84
Lucas Wepf R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	27.6%	10.7%	2.7%	.323	3.97	26.2%	13.8%	136	+0.35	2.90	195	82
Maikel Cleto R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	25.8%	12.1%	2.4%	.214	3.13	25.0%	15.3%	55	-0.66	2.59	156	82
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	82
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	82
Brooks Kriske R 2019 · 3.47 FIP	25	SU	3.47	26.1%	12.2%	1.9%	.245	4.95	28.6%	16.5%	41	+1.48	3.15	246	81
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	80
Argenis Angulo R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	27.6%	13.4%	2.9%	.263	6.43	21.0%	5.6%	58	+2.34	3.03	245	80
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	79
Spencer Patton R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	27	SU	3.47	26.8%	9.6%	2.6%	.295	2.79	30.3%	18.1%	57	-0.68	2.79	239	79
Matt Blackham R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	25.4%	12.0%	2.6%	.206	6.85	26.9%	8.7%	25	+2.95	2.08	187	79
Brad Brach R 2015 · 3.22 FIP	29	SU	3.22	27.5%	10.8%	1.9%	.259	3.13	25.6%	17.1%	210	-0.09	2.69	410	79
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	79
Michael Stryffeler R 2022 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	30.4%	17.3%	2.8%	.277	4.89	19.4%	1.1%	33	+0.65	2.43	140	79
Justin Yeager R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	29.6%	15.8%	3.6%	.230	3.39	19.5%	9.1%	108	-1.19	3.32	262	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	29.4%	13.0%	1.25	4.40
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Michael Feliz ('21)	1.2	47	30.5%	9.8%	1.48	5.05