Luis Valdez

P Columbia Fireflies

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKKC	9	2	23	5.96	3.63	28.7%	5.9%	—	K 19.5% · BB 7.4% · FIP 5.60
2025	20	ROKKC	1	0	1	0.00	4.60	25.0%	25.0%	—	K 25.0% · BB 25.0% · FIP 4.16
2026	21	MIX2 levels	14	0	21	5.66	5.66	28.4%	14.7%	—	K 14.8% · BB 21.8% · FIP 7.90
2027PROJ	22	MLBKC	9	0	9	5.40	5.40	20.4%	15.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBKC	10	0	10	5.13	5.03	21.5%	13.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJuan Mendez (age 22) · Tyler Santana (age 23) · Junior Rincon (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 119

ERA5.40

FIP5.40

K%20.4%

BB%15.3%

K-BB%5.1%

Proj IP9

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Glass	12	1	26	104	22	10	1	8%	2.2	14.4%	12.0%	2.4%	1.5%	2.77	4.25	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL KC Glass	12	1	26	104	22	10	1	8%	2.2	21.2%	9.6%	11.5%	1.0%	2.77	3.06	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	12	12	42	168	46	9	2	100%	3.5	18.6%	6.7%	11.9%	1.8%	3.02	3.39	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	12	12	42	168	46	9	2	100%	3.5	27.4%	5.4%	22.0%	1.2%	3.02	2.16	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	9	2	23	101	29	6	4	22%	2.5	19.5%	7.4%	12.1%	5.8%	5.96	5.60	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	9	2	23	101	29	6	4	22%	2.5	19.5%	7.4%	12.1%	5.8%	5.96	5.60	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	9	2	23	101	29	6	4	22%	2.5	28.7%	5.9%	22.8%	4.0%	5.96	3.63	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	0.7	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.16	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	0.7	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.16	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	0.7	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.60	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	21	95	27	14	5	0%	1.5	14.8%	21.8%	-7.0%	6.0%	5.66	7.90	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	21	95	27	14	5	0%	1.5	14.8%	21.8%	-7.0%	6.0%	5.66	7.90	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	21	95	27	14	5	0%	1.5	28.4%	14.7%	13.7%	5.3%	5.66	5.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	KC	9	0	9	38	8	6	1	0%	1.0	20.4%	15.3%	5.1%	3.1%	5.40	5.40	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	19	0	20	84	18	11	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	13.3%	8.2%	3.1%	5.13	5.03	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.3%	8.2%	3.1%	5.13	5.03	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.1	21.5%	13.3%	8.2%	3.1%	5.13	4.65	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	122	20	0%	1.1	21.5%	13.3%	8.2%	3.1%	5.13	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		48	15	112	472	81	53	16	31%	2.3	17.2%	11.2%	5.9%	3.5%	4.03	4.97	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	27	200	845	145	95	29	31%	2.3	17.2%	11.2%	5.9%	3.5%	4.03	4.97	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Valdez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.40	20.4%	15.3%	3.1%	—	5.03	21.5%	8.2%	20	-0.37	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	85
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	85
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	84
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	83
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	82
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	82
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	82
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	81
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	80
Cre Finfrock R 2018 · 4.27 FIP	22	SW	4.27	17.9%	16.5%	1.1%	.286	4.63	23.0%	11.3%	38	+0.36	4.27	103	80
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	80
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	80
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	79
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	79
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	79
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	79
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	79
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	78
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	78