Amauri Otero — OGILVIE

Amauri Otero P DSL Arizona Black

Age 22 LHP 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 121

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%22.7%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%11.4%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Red	10	0	20	103	19	15	3	0%	2.0	12.5%	18.2%	-5.7%	4.1%	13.72	6.58	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Red	10	0	20	103	19	15	3	0%	2.0	18.4%	14.6%	3.9%	2.9%	13.72	5.36	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	11	1	21	111	25	20	0	9%	1.9	15.3%	22.5%	-7.2%	0.0%	7.71	4.66	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	11	1	21	111	25	20	0	9%	1.9	22.5%	18.0%	4.5%	0.0%	7.71	3.58	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	10	3	20	90	14	13	1	30%	2.0	10.6%	18.1%	-7.5%	1.7%	5.03	5.44	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	10	3	20	90	14	13	1	30%	2.0	10.6%	18.1%	-7.5%	1.7%	5.03	5.44	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	10	3	20	90	14	13	1	30%	2.0	15.6%	14.4%	1.1%	1.1%	5.03	4.32	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	ARI	11	0	12	51	11	6	2	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.3%	11.4%	3.0%	4.64	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	20	9	2	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.3%	13.1%	2.9%	4.50	4.43	+0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	ARI	10	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.0	23.5%	10.3%	13.1%	2.9%	4.50	4.43	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.3%	13.1%	2.9%	4.50	4.05	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	81	20	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.3%	13.1%	2.9%	4.50	4.05	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		31	4	61	304	39	60	6	13%	2.0	13.0%	19.7%	-6.8%	1.9%	8.85	5.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		102	13	200	997	129	197	19	13%	2.0	13.0%	19.7%	-6.8%	1.9%	8.85	5.54	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Amauri Otero (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	22.7%	11.3%	3.0%	—	4.43	23.5%	13.1%	20	-0.21	—	—	—
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	86
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	84
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	82
Ronnie Glenn L 2015 · 3.47 FIP	22	SU	3.47	20.9%	9.9%	1.6%	.330	5.00	11.1%	-2.6%	171	+1.53	3.47	212	81
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	80
Daniel Zamora L 2016 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	20.3%	10.8%	1.5%	.294	2.75	24.7%	16.8%	135	-0.82	2.15	310	80
Nick Dombkowski L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SU	4.48	21.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.208	4.71	16.7%	7.7%	223	+0.23	3.71	425	80
Juliandry Higuera L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	20.0%	9.4%	2.3%	.358	4.64	13.8%	-0.3%	43	+0.77	3.87	197	80
Zach Morris L 2015 · 3.59 FIP	22	SU	3.59	18.5%	10.1%	1.4%	.286	4.38	13.9%	2.4%	84	+0.79	3.34	109	80
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	80
Chase Watkins L 2022 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.346	4.34	17.7%	9.0%	156	+0.59	3.30	232	80
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	79
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	79
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	79
Luis Paulino L 2019 · 3.54 FIP	21	SU	3.54	19.1%	10.5%	1.3%	.269	2.75	20.2%	9.5%	50	-0.79	2.57	103	78
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.3%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	78
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	78
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.28	335	78
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	78
Johnathan Frebis L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	22	SU	3.81	17.0%	9.4%	1.8%	.245	4.24	9.7%	-0.6%	124	+0.43	3.81	146	77