Alex McCoy

OF Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 25 R/R 6'5" / 260 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #567MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP40FG ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	ASD	226	.318/.401/.513	6	14	88	—	.239/.311/.383
2025	23	ROKSD	21	.278/.381/.611	1	0	58	—	.222/.333/.500
2026	24	AASD	114	.314/.363/.467	4	3	91	—	.271/.310/.383
2026	24	A+SD	427	.268/.358/.468	15	21	78	—	.214/.287/.360
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBSD	2	.207/.270/.343	0	0	74	-0.0
2028PROJ22% MLB	26	MLBSD	81	.211/.275/.358	2	2	79	-0.1
2029PROJ32% MLB	27	MLBSD	126	.212/.276/.358	4	2	79	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wRC+77

wOBA75

ISO53

K%35

BB%18

Speed14

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsDrew Ellis (age 25) · Ruben Cardenas (age 26) · Brandon Meredith (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .270 / .343

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%6

BABIP279

ISO134

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED36

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	226	195	62	12	4	6	20	53	7	14	2	318	401	513	914	195	400	23	9	397	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK	ACL Padres	—	21	18	5	3	0	1	0	7	3	0	1	278	381	611	992	333	400	33	0	431	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	114	105	33	4	0	4	8	31	0	3	3	314	363	467	829	152	408	27	7	365	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	427	370	99	27	1	15	42	111	10	21	6	268	358	468	825	200	337	26	10	363	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	46	39	10	3	0	4	5	17	1	4	1	256	356	641	997	385	316	37	11	416	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	226	201	48	8	3	5	14	75	7	14	2	239	311	383	694	144	333	33	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	21	18	4	2	0	1	0	10	3	0	1	222	333	500	833	278	271	48	0	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	114	107	29	3	0	3	6	38	0	3	3	271	310	383	693	112	380	33	5	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	427	383	82	21	1	11	29	141	10	21	6	214	287	360	647	146	293	33	7	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	247	219	51	10	3	5	14	85	10	14	3	233	309	374	683	142	346	34	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	247	213	67	15	4	7	20	60	10	14	3	315	399	521	920	207	400	24	8	400	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	587	532	121	26	1	16	37	194	11	28	10	227	291	370	662	143	319	33	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	587	514	142	34	1	23	55	159	11	28	10	276	359	481	839	204	351	27	9	367	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	247	221	51	10	3	5	14	85	10	14	3	231	309	371	680	140	328	34	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	587	534	121	26	1	16	37	194	11	28	10	227	291	369	660	142	311	33	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	247	221	51	10	3	5	14	85	10	14	3	231	309	371	680	140	328	34	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	587	534	121	26	1	16	37	194	11	28	10	227	291	369	660	142	311	33	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	380	347	73	15	1	10	24	119	6	9	3	210	273	347	620	137	285	31	6	277	74	-12	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	SD	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	207	270	343	613	136	279	50	0	274	74	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	22%	365	333	71	14	1	11	24	113	5	7	2	214	278	362	639	147	286	31	7	285	79	-9	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	32%	388	353	75	15	1	11	26	119	6	6	2	215	279	362	640	147	285	31	7	286	79	-9	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	SD	39%	401	365	79	16	1	12	27	122	6	5	2	215	279	359	638	145	285	30	7	285	79	-10	+0	-2	-2	+9	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	22%	81	75	15	3	0	2	5	25	1	2	1	211	275	358	633	147	280	31	6	282	79	-2	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	32%	126	115	24	5	0	4	8	39	2	2	1	212	276	358	634	146	280	31	6	283	79	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	SD	39%	156	143	30	6	0	5	10	47	2	2	1	212	276	356	631	144	279	30	6	282	79	-4	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	363	333	69	14	0	11	23	111	5	6	3	207	269	348	617	141	272	31	6	282	79	-9	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	124	25	0	20	41	199	9	11	5	208	269	351	620	143	273	31	6	282	79	-16	+0	-3	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2308	2094	458	94	8	63	148	733	43	67	21	219	284	362	646	143	300	32	6	286	79	-39	+2	-5	-9	+32	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	129	26	2	18	42	206	12	19	6	219	284	361	645	142	299	32	6	286	79	-17	+1	-2	-4	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	364	11	5	216	276	362	-2	-3	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	19	10	-4.0	-5.8	-0.1	pk7: 0
#4Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0
#5Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex McCoy (OGILVIE)	25	20→34	55→60	30→36	40	208/270/344	136	285	8	7	31%	6%	74	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2021 · AA	25	40→38	47→55	37→40	47	206/278/343	137	265	15	3	28%	8%	76	-0.4	202/292/370	168	265	18	5	29%	10%	88	+0.4	186/283/356	170	238	19	4	29%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Ruben Cardenas 2024 · AAA	26	41→43	50→55	41→50	42	212/273/363	152	285	19	8	32%	7%	78	-0.3	229/289/397	168	278	20	13	25%	6%	92	+0.7	230/284/427	197	249	27	16	20%	4%	95	+0.5
✕Brandon Meredith 2015 · AA	25	40→39	50	43→45	47	210/290/365	155	269	18	7	28%	9%	86	+0.3	213/280/334	121	286	13	8	29%	8%	74	-0.5	194/257/282	89	260	10	5	28%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Brian McFall 2009 · AA	25	40→44	51→55	44→50	40	210/271/367	157	280	19	8	32%	6%	79	-0.2	217/282/353	136	294	15	9	30%	6%	80	-0.2	201/271/327	126	271	14	6	30%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Kiel Roling 2012 · AA	25	40→37	50→55	41→30	38	210/260/361	151	290	19	3	34%	6%	73	-0.6	209/256/362	153	281	19	3	32%	6%	72	-0.7	202/247/358	157	260	20	1	31%	5%	66	-0.7
✕Jamie Romak 2011 · AA	25	42→48	45→55	38→45	40	210/268/333	123	282	13	3	30%	6%	70	-0.9	208/268/344	136	255	16	6	25%	6%	72	-0.7	202/257/379	177	268	21	5	33%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Logan Hill 2019 · AA	26	40	50	40→45	39	206/270/354	148	291	18	5	35%	7%	76	-0.4	211/271/351	140	299	15	4	33%	6%	75	-0.5	200/261/340	140	279	15	1	33%	6%	66	-1.0
✕Quincy Latimore 2014 · AA	25	42	45→50	43→50	41	210/264/333	123	276	13	9	28%	6%	68	-1.0	218/269/346	128	285	14	10	28%	6%	73	-0.6	207/260/336	129	270	15	8	28%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	41→45	50	43→45	44	212/287/367	154	275	17	7	29%	7%	85	+0.2	220/300/368	148	290	16	5	28%	9%	90	+0.6	215/299/360	144	285	15	3	28%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Johermyn Chavez 2014 · AA	25	41→49	44→50	40→45	43	207/276/325	118	274	12	6	28%	7%	71	-0.8	218/279/329	111	303	12	7	30%	6%	73	-0.6	197/258/282	85	277	12	0	32%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Mike Bianucci 2011 · A	25	40	52→60	41→40	36	213/257/374	160	277	21	4	32%	4%	75	-0.5	212/258/369	157	268	20	4	29%	5%	74	-0.5	225/268/403	178	265	25	2	26%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Travis Taijeron 2015 · AA	26	41	51→55	40	42	208/283/374	166	296	18	3	34%	8%	85	+0.2	200/287/355	155	313	17	3	38%	9%	82	+0.0	187/281/337	150	300	16	2	40%	9%	74	-0.5
✕Carter Aldrete 2023 · AA	25	41	49→50	42→45	39	213/264/359	145	291	18	7	33%	6%	74	-0.5	204/250/332	128	280	15	5	32%	6%	62	-1.4	182/224/297	114	246	14	1	32%	5%	42	-1.5
✕Jacob Butler 2008 · A	25	39→40	50	38→30	45	207/276/358	151	272	18	3	31%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/352	139	282	15	3	28%	8%	79	-0.2	199/272/335	137	259	15	0	28%	8%	68	-0.8
✕Zach Green 2019 · AAA	25	43→44	49→55	40	35	213/271/366	153	322	17	3	38%	6%	79	-0.2	208/280/388	180	331	22	4	41%	8%	87	+0.4	179/250/352	173	276	22	1	42%	7%	66	-0.7
✕Davis Wendzel 2022 · AAA	25	43→32	45→50	43→40	43	215/289/338	123	285	13	5	28%	7%	79	-0.2	194/269/332	138	249	18	5	29%	8%	71	-0.8	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA	25	36→41	51→55	46→45	47	194/276/357	163	259	19	7	32%	9%	78	-0.3	192/259/327	135	269	16	6	33%	7%	65	-1.2	167/233/291	124	223	18	2	34%	6%	45	-1.8
✕Joe DeCarlo 2019 · AA	25	39→38	49→50	44→30	42	204/278/352	148	275	17	3	32%	7%	78	-0.3	190/258/283	93	284	9	4	34%	7%	54	-2.0	150/218/193	43	239	5	0	37%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Allan Cerda 2024 · AA	24	33→25	51→55	41→45	45	174/279/330	156	276	19	7	41%	11%	75	-0.5	187/266/327	140	306	16	8	41%	9%	68	-1.0	141/217/302	161	189	23	4	40%	8%	41	-0.6
✕Brett Carroll 2008 · MLB	25	42→46	51→55	41→50	39	217/268/380	163	270	18	6	27%	5%	81	-0.1	217/276/375	158	273	18	6	27%	6%	82	+0.0	197/266/344	147	247	17	6	27%	6%	70	-0.4

Alex McCoy

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps