Clarence Martina prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Clarence Martina P Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%23.0%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%12.4%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	12	0	15	70	14	9	0	0%	1.3	13.6%	16.1%	-2.5%	0.0%	3.52	3.99	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	12	0	15	70	14	9	0	0%	1.3	13.6%	16.1%	-2.5%	0.0%	3.52	3.99	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	12	0	15	70	14	9	0	0%	1.3	20.0%	12.9%	7.1%	0.0%	3.52	3.03	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	6	0	6	30	7	8	0	0%	1.0	23.3%	26.7%	-3.3%	0.0%	12.00	4.51	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	6	0	6	30	7	8	0	0%	1.0	23.3%	26.7%	-3.3%	0.0%	12.00	4.51	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	6	0	6	30	7	8	0	0%	1.0	23.3%	26.7%	-3.3%	0.0%	12.00	4.77	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	9	0	8	41	6	6	1	0%	0.9	14.6%	14.6%	0.0%	2.4%	9.72	5.06	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	9	0	8	41	6	6	1	0%	0.9	14.6%	14.6%	0.0%	2.4%	9.72	5.06	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	9	0	8	41	6	6	1	0%	0.9	14.6%	14.6%	0.0%	2.4%	9.72	5.38	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	4	1	6	37	2	12	0	25%	1.4	—	—	—	—	15.88	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	4	1	6	37	2	12	0	25%	1.4	—	—	—	—	15.88	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	WSH	2	1	3	13	2	3	0	50%	1.5	15.4%	23.1%	-7.7%	0.0%	0.00	4.72	—
2026	21	A RAW	WSH	2	0	3	24	0	9	0	0%	1.4	0.0%	37.5%	-37.5%	0.0%	33.75	7.85	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	WSH	19	0	20	84	20	8	2	0%	1.1	23.9%	9.7%	14.2%	2.9%	4.38	4.30	+0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	WSH	10	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.0	23.9%	9.7%	14.2%	2.9%	4.38	4.30	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.1	23.9%	9.7%	14.2%	2.9%	4.38	3.92	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	81	20	0%	1.1	23.9%	9.7%	14.2%	2.9%	4.38	3.92	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		31	1	35	178	25	37	1	3%	1.1	13.8%	20.9%	-7.2%	0.6%	8.41	4.90	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		175	6	200	1008	139	211	6	3%	1.1	13.8%	20.9%	-7.2%	0.6%	8.41	4.90	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Clarence Martina (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	23.0%	10.5%	3.0%	—	4.30	23.9%	14.2%	20	-0.22	—	—	—
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	89
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	87
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	87
Jorge Julio R 2001 · 3.48 FIP	22	SU	3.48	22.2%	9.1%	2.0%	.348	4.31	20.4%	10.1%	199	+0.83	3.48	467	86
Danny Dopico R 2015 · 3.87 FIP	21	SU	3.87	25.4%	10.8%	2.8%	.333	3.90	22.8%	8.1%	173	+0.03	3.00	318	86
Mason Fox R 2018 · 3.59 FIP	21	SU	3.59	21.9%	11.5%	1.6%	.260	6.72	21.3%	4.8%	30	+3.13	3.59	112	86
Sandy Lugo R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.98	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.12	3.48	146	86
Nic Enright R 2019 · 3.63 FIP	22	SU	3.63	24.6%	12.2%	1.9%	.263	3.01	29.6%	23.5%	124	-0.62	0.43	249	86
Kenny Oakley R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	22	SU	3.50	23.8%	9.1%	2.3%	.348	3.87	17.3%	7.8%	115	+0.37	3.13	144	86
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	86
Michael Gomez R 2019 · 3.32 FIP	22	SU	3.32	22.6%	9.2%	1.8%	.283	3.81	17.9%	8.3%	110	+0.49	3.27	286	85
Cam Bedrosian R 2014 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	21.5%	11.8%	2.1%	.350	2.72	26.8%	17.8%	154	-1.22	1.79	363	85
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	85
Justin Meis R 2021 · 4.07 FIP	21	SU	4.07	25.6%	13.6%	2.6%	.300	5.14	18.2%	5.5%	261	+1.07	3.68	411	85
Nick Lockhart R 2022 · 4.44 FIP	21	SU	4.44	22.0%	9.9%	3.5%	.275	4.63	16.1%	5.5%	43	+0.19	4.44	140	84
Collin Kober R 2017 · 3.39 FIP	22	SU	3.39	21.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.268	2.76	24.0%	17.9%	128	-0.63	2.38	294	84
Ty Tice R 2017 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	22.2%	12.9%	2.6%	.271	3.53	19.4%	8.3%	108	-0.76	3.24	288	84
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	84
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	84
Chris Perez R 2008 · 4.22 FIP	23	SU	4.22	23.7%	12.4%	2.8%	.269	3.71	22.5%	12.6%	180	-0.51	3.18	379	84