Owen Wild

P Durham Bulls

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 230 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	24	22	121	2.82	2.56	30.4%	6.2%	—	K 23.2% · BB 7.2% · FIP 3.67
2025	23	AATB	23	23	105	4.71	4.37	21.5%	8.7%	—	K 17.4% · BB 9.6% · FIP 5.41
2026	24	MIX2 levels	45	0	61	4.60	3.36	33.1%	8.5%	—	K 27.8% · BB 8.3% · FIP 4.03
2027PROJ	25	MLBTB	67	0	70	4.72	4.72	22.9%	9.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ48% MLB	26	MLBTB	44	0	46	4.66	4.65	23.0%	9.3%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	27	MLBTB	59	0	62	4.65	4.66	22.9%	9.3%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control50Command40FB velo65

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 89%

CompsDavid Phelps (age 25) · Shohei Tomioka (age 25) · Derek Gordon (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%22.9%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%13.4%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4040

CTRL5050

CMD3040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-0.90	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	121	497	151	31	11	92%	5.1	23.2%	7.2%	15.9%	2.9%	2.82	3.67	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	121	497	151	31	11	92%	5.1	23.2%	7.2%	15.9%	2.9%	2.82	3.67	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	22	121	497	151	31	11	92%	5.1	30.4%	6.2%	24.1%	2.2%	2.82	2.56	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	23	23	105	446	96	39	16	100%	4.6	17.4%	9.6%	7.8%	4.7%	4.71	5.41	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	23	23	105	446	96	39	16	100%	4.6	17.4%	9.6%	7.8%	4.7%	4.71	5.41	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	23	23	105	446	96	39	16	100%	4.6	21.5%	8.7%	12.8%	3.6%	4.71	4.37	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	61	248	82	21	9	0%	1.3	27.8%	8.3%	19.4%	4.0%	4.60	4.03	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	61	248	82	21	9	0%	1.3	27.8%	8.3%	19.4%	4.0%	4.60	4.03	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	61	248	82	21	9	0%	1.3	33.1%	8.5%	24.6%	3.6%	4.60	3.36	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TB	67	0	70	296	68	28	11	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.5%	13.4%	3.6%	4.72	4.72	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	90	0	94	399	92	37	14	0%	1.1	23.0%	9.3%	13.7%	3.5%	4.66	4.65	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	89	0	93	393	90	36	14	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.3%	13.7%	3.5%	4.65	4.66	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	TB	86	0	90	381	87	36	14	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.3%	13.4%	3.6%	4.69	4.73	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	TB	82	0	86	364	82	35	14	0%	1.1	22.5%	9.5%	13.0%	3.8%	4.78	4.85	-0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	TB	77	0	81	342	76	34	14	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.8%	12.3%	4.0%	4.93	5.02	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	44	0	46	194	45	18	7	0%	1.0	23.0%	9.3%	13.7%	3.5%	4.66	4.65	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	59	0	62	262	60	24	9	0%	1.1	22.9%	9.3%	13.7%	3.5%	4.65	4.66	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	TB	67	0	70	296	67	28	11	0%	1.0	22.8%	9.3%	13.4%	3.6%	4.69	4.73	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	TB	68	0	71	300	67	29	11	0%	1.0	22.5%	9.5%	13.0%	3.8%	4.78	4.85	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	TB	67	0	70	296	65	29	12	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.8%	12.3%	4.0%	4.93	5.02	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		303	0	318	1344	304	127	50	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.5%	13.2%	3.7%	4.75	4.42	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	80	31	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.5%	13.2%	3.7%	4.75	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		93	45	288	1195	264	100	45	48%	3.1	22.1%	8.3%	13.7%	3.8%	3.88	4.38	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	31	200	830	183	69	32	48%	3.1	22.1%	8.3%	13.7%	3.8%	3.88	4.38	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Owen Wild (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	22.9%	9.5%	3.6%	—	4.68	22.9%	13.6%	278	-0.04	—	—	—
David Phelps R 2012 · 3.98 FIP	25	SW	3.98	23.2%	8.7%	3.2%	.250	3.86	18.3%	10.1%	312	-0.12	2.50	672	86
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	85
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	83
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	82
Peyton Pallette R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	20.7%	10.9%	3.0%	.309	3.59	25.9%	13.5%	119	-0.79	3.54	273	80
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	80
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	80
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	80
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	79
Ariel Peña R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SW	3.74	21.3%	9.5%	2.3%	.300	4.92	19.9%	5.6%	92	+1.18	3.74	223	79
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	79
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	78
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	78
Fernando Nieve R 2006 · 5.18 FIP	24	SW	5.18	17.0%	8.8%	4.4%	.240	4.67	14.3%	3.1%	37	-0.51	1.96	287	77
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	77
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	77
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	77
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	77
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	77
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	86	22.7%	9.4%	1.42	4.73
Vince Velasquez ('15-'23, 2 WAR*)	3.8	85	21.9%*	9.2%*	1.37*	4.99*
Cy Moore ('29-'34, 1 WAR*)	2.3	93	21.3%*	9.8%*	1.25*	4.95*
Johnny Hutchings ('40-'46, 1 WAR*)	2.4	94	23.6%*	8.7%*	1.58*	4.56*
Chuck Cary ('85-'93, 3 WAR*)	2.1	68	24.6%*	8.7%*	1.45*	4.41*
Scott Sanders ('99)	3.4	97	21.2%	9.3%	1.23	4.86
Daniel Norris ('23)	2.9	73	21.5%	8.9%	1.39	4.73