Zander Darby

3B Eugene Emeralds
Age 24 L/R 6'2" / 218 lbs A+ HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421ASF57.234/.357/.4894074—.180/.268/.360
202522A+/ASF313.253/.380/.40761164—.194/.292/.298
202623AA/A+SF462.276/.341/.470181059—.200/.252/.335
2027PROJMLE24MLBSF1.187/.249/.3070059-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBSF79.190/.253/.3132162-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
ISO76
wRC+67
wOBA63
Speed58
Whiff%22
BB%21
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsDerrick Loveless (age 24) · Oliver Dunn (age 24) · Aaron Zavala (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .249 / .307
PA1
HR0
K%40
BB%7
BABIP292
ISO125
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -10.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 ASan Jose Giants — 5747 11004 9170 00 234357489847 255259 3016 367 74 — — — — — —
202522 A+Eugene Emeralds — 6957 7301 9292 10 123265228493 105214 4213 238 4 — — — — — —
202522 ASan Jose Giants — 244196 571425 37454 101 291414459873 168342 1815 381 81 — — — — — —
202623 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 3028 7000 2120 00 250300250550 438 407 258 27 — — — — — —
202623 A+Eugene Emeralds — 432389 10825118 361354 101 278344486830 208378 318 364 61 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A MLESan Jose Giants — 5750 9003 6240 00 180268360628 180241 4211 277 74 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 6959 5201 7372 10 85206169375 85179 5410 174 4 — — — — — —
202522 A MLESan Jose Giants — 244209 471023 24644 101 225316335651 110282 2610 288 81 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 3029 6000 1150 00 207233207440 429 503 208 27 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 432401 8017113 251824 101 200253344598 145316 426 258 61 — — — — — —
202421 A MLESan Jose Giants — 5750 9003 6240 00 180268360628 180250 4211 277 74 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWSan Jose Giants — 5747 11004 9170 00 234357489847 255259 3016 367 74 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE2 teams — 313268 521224 311006 111 194292299590 104281 3210 263 64 — — — — — —
202522 A RAW2 teams — 313253 641726 46746 111 253380407787 154322 2415 349 64 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 462430 8617113 261974 101 200252335587 135329 436 255 59 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAW2 teams — 462417 11525118 381474 101 276341470811 194382 328 357 59 — — — — — —
202421 A MLESan Jose Giants — 5751 9003 6240 00 176268353621 176241 4211 277 74 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE2 teams — 313273 521224 311006 111 190292293585 103259 3210 263 64 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 462429 8617113 261974 101 200252336588 135323 436 255 59 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLESan Jose Giants — 5751 9003 6240 00 176268353621 176241 4211 277 74 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE2 teams — 313273 521224 311006 111 190292293585 103259 3210 263 64 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 462429 8617113 261974 101 200252336588 135323 436 255 59 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLESF 0% 380349 651319 251493 61 190252316568 126296 397 256 59 -19 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXSF 0% 11 0000 000 00 187249307555 120292 00 250 59 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLESF 30% 260238 46917 181002 41 194256323579 129296 387 260 62 -12 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.5
202825 MLB CTXSF 30% 7973 14302 5301 10 190253313566 123291 386 255 62 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 7973 14302 5301 10 192253315568 123293 386 255 61 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650601 11525016 412478 80 191252313565 121293 386 255 61 -29 +2 +0 +2 +14 -1.1
Career— MLE — 13021178 22945532 9550414 283 194263323585 128301 397 259 61 -22 +1 +0 +2 +10 -0.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 11322216 472527 141 192260318578 126298 397 259 61 -30 +1 +0 +2 +14 -1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Eugene Emeralds · 432 PAwOBA .355 → .258 (−98)K% 31.2% → 42.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.25%÷1.000×1.350——42.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.33%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9885.85%
HBP% /PA0.93%—×0.810—×0.9880.74%
Singles /BIP25.20%÷1.000×0.910×0.969×0.98821.95%
Doubles /BIP9.84%÷1.000×0.830×0.969×0.9887.82%
Triples /BIP0.39%÷1.000×0.820×0.969×0.9880.31%
Home runs /BIP7.09%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9885.81%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .355 → .258; ISO .208 → .147; BABIP .378 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 30 PAwOBA .251 → .208 (−43)K% 40.0% → 48.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.00%÷1.000×1.220——48.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.67%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0124.72%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP43.75%÷1.000×0.970—×1.01242.95%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.860—×1.0120.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .251 → .208; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .438 → .429. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASan Jose Giants · 244 PAwOBA .381 → .288 (−93)K% 18.4% → 26.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.44%÷0.962×1.360——26.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.16%÷1.055×0.690—×0.9909.82%
HBP% /PA1.64%—×0.780—×0.9901.27%
Singles /BIP23.84%÷1.007×0.920×0.973×0.99020.98%
Doubles /BIP9.27%÷1.138×0.830×0.973×0.9906.51%
Triples /BIP1.32%÷0.902×0.910×0.973×0.9901.29%
Home runs /BIP3.31%÷1.358×0.800—×0.9901.93%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 101, 2B 128, 3B 80, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .381 → .288; ISO .168 → .116; BABIP .342 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 69 PAwOBA .236 → .174 (−62)K% 42.0% → 53.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA42.03%÷1.070×1.350——53.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.04%÷0.950×0.710—×0.9989.73%
HBP% /PA2.90%—×0.810—×0.9982.34%
Singles /BIP10.71%÷1.011×0.910—×0.9989.63%
Doubles /BIP10.71%÷1.048×0.830—×0.9988.47%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.909×0.820—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP3.57%÷0.980×0.830—×0.9983.02%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 82, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .236 → .174; ISO .105 → .074; BABIP .214 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASan Jose Giants · 57 PAwOBA .364 → .277 (−87)K% 29.8% → 42.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.82%÷0.957×1.360——42.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷0.966×0.690——11.28%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP23.33%÷0.961×0.920——22.33%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.012×0.830——0.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP13.33%÷0.959×0.800——11.13%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .364 → .277; ISO .255 → .188; BABIP .259 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).