Austin SmithOF
Dunedin Blue Jays
Age 23
L/L
5'11" / 185 lbs
A
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.5 · 2030
wRC+†36
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .284 / .338
PA102
HR2
K%28
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2033 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2034 | Arb-1 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Arb-2 | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Arb-3 | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-3M | $-2M | +$1M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 99 | 85 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 3 | .200 | .313 | .282 | .595 | .082 | .242 | 18 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 48 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .119 | .213 | .167 | .379 | .048 | .167 | 27 | 10 | .186 | 1 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TOR | 54 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .204 | .278 | .306 | .584 | .102 | .277 | 28 | 7 | .272 | 67 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | TOR | 102 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .165 | .248 | .242 | .489 | .077 | .222 | 27 | 9 | .232 | 36 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | TOR | 186 | 167 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .216 | .288 | .335 | .623 | .120 | .273 | 24 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | TOR | 280 | 251 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 67 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .227 | .302 | .367 | .669 | .139 | .276 | 24 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 42% | TOR | 345 | 308 | 71 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 82 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .231 | .307 | .377 | .684 | .146 | .278 | 24 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | TOR | 379 | 339 | 77 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 91 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .227 | .303 | .372 | .675 | .145 | .278 | 24 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | TOR | 399 | 355 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 96 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .225 | .306 | .366 | .672 | .141 | .277 | 24 | 9 | .302 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | TOR | 404 | 360 | 81 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 98 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .225 | .304 | .364 | .668 | .139 | .277 | 24 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | TOR | 404 | 361 | 79 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 100 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .219 | .297 | .355 | .651 | .136 | .275 | 25 | 9 | .297 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | TOR | 395 | 353 | 78 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 99 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .221 | .298 | .360 | .658 | .139 | .274 | 25 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 380 | 339 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 98 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .212 | .292 | .339 | .631 | .127 | .272 | 26 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 352 | 314 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 93 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .210 | .289 | .334 | .624 | .124 | .271 | 26 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -10 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 310 | 277 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 84 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .202 | .280 | .314 | .594 | .112 | .269 | 27 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -11 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3987 | 3558 | 780 | 133 | 27 | 95 | 349 | 986 | 49 | 60 | 16 | .219 | .298 | .352 | .650 | .133 | .274 | 25 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -76 | +6 | -20 | -24 | +113 | -0.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 580 | 127 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 57 | 161 | 8 | 10 | 3 | .219 | .298 | .348 | .646 | .129 | .275 | 25 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -12 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -0.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 99 | 81 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 3 | .259 | .394 | .395 | .789 | .136 | .284 | 12 | 12 | .364 | 137 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Austin Smith (OGILVIE) | 23 | — | — | — | — | .218/.284/.338 | .120 | .289 | 2 | 2 | 28% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A |
23 | 41→46 | 42→50 | 51→40 | 45 | .201/.269/.304 | .103 | .264 | 9 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.280/.362 | .140 | .293 | 16 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .226/.286/.378 | .152 | .294 | 19 | 3 | 29% | 6% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A |
23 | 39→47 | 48→55 | 46→45 | 43 | .204/.269/.341 | .137 | .271 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .226/.282/.376 | .150 | .297 | 15 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .233/.301/.393 | .161 | .284 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A |
23 | 40 | 45→55 | 47→45 | 45 | .204/.281/.326 | .122 | .262 | 13 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.278/.391 | .172 | .284 | 22 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .215/.266/.411 | .196 | .270 | 28 | 0 | 32% | 5% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A |
23 | 43→52 | 44→50 | 50 | 43 | .215/.276/.330 | .115 | .277 | 12 | 14 | 26% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .235/.289/.369 | .134 | .309 | 14 | 13 | 27% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .237/.290/.360 | .124 | .314 | 13 | 13 | 28% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA |
23 | 41→47 | 49→55 | 51→55 | 43 | .211/.270/.356 | .146 | .270 | 16 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .223/.290/.386 | .163 | .284 | 18 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .223/.295/.390 | .167 | .282 | 18 | 22 | 27% | 9% | 89 | +0.8 |
|
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A |
23 | 46→43 | 44→60 | 50→45 | 45 | .228/.287/.347 | .119 | .291 | 11 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .203/.262/.335 | .132 | .276 | 13 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .216/.278/.416 | .200 | .247 | 26 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A |
23 | 47 | 47→55 | 54→40 | 46 | .233/.294/.373 | .139 | .289 | 13 | 5 | 24% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .207/.269/.295 | .088 | .284 | 6 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .167/.232/.203 | .036 | .241 | 0 | 2 | 28% | 7% | 14 | -1.3 |
|
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A |
23 | 42→49 | 43→50 | 47→50 | 40 | .210/.271/.317 | .108 | .275 | 12 | 13 | 28% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .224/.282/.365 | .141 | .307 | 14 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 80 | +0.4 | .221/.281/.375 | .154 | .306 | 15 | 9 | 31% | 5% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Matthew Spencer 2009 · A |
23 | 46→47 | 45→55 | 51→45 | 40 | .230/.278/.353 | .123 | .298 | 13 | 9 | 27% | 5% | 74 | -0.1 | .229/.273/.377 | .148 | .283 | 18 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .220/.264/.376 | .156 | .267 | 20 | 7 | 26% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A |
23 | 43→44 | 44→55 | 46→45 | 47 | .209/.291/.330 | .121 | .305 | 12 | 8 | 33% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 | .210/.290/.374 | .164 | .332 | 20 | 4 | 39% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .200/.288/.364 | .164 | .316 | 21 | 2 | 40% | 10% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A |
24 | 46→49 | 44→55 | 52→50 | 47 | .223/.285/.344 | .120 | .280 | 10 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .231/.294/.389 | .158 | .297 | 16 | 11 | 27% | 7% | 91 | +1.1 | .218/.291/.382 | .164 | .284 | 18 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A |
23 | 42 | 48→55 | 54→50 | 43 | .211/.278/.356 | .145 | .284 | 15 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.265/.369 | .152 | .281 | 16 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .214/.256/.369 | .155 | .272 | 16 | 10 | 27% | 5% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕Tommy Giles 2007 · A |
23 | 43→41 | 45→55 | 47→40 | 38 | .216/.256/.337 | .121 | .280 | 13 | 7 | 28% | 4% | 61 | -1.0 | .220/.271/.379 | .159 | .290 | 18 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .219/.278/.400 | .182 | .282 | 23 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A |
23 | 40→39 | 43→60 | 53→50 | 47 | .198/.263/.312 | .114 | .259 | 9 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .192/.274/.305 | .113 | .267 | 10 | 14 | 30% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .210/.274/.401 | .191 | .276 | 23 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Brock Lundquist 2019 · A |
23 | 46→45 | 47→50 | 48→45 | 42 | .228/.294/.362 | .134 | .299 | 15 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .207/.270/.321 | .114 | .299 | 12 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .178/.245/.278 | .100 | .275 | 10 | 6 | 37% | 7% | 39 | -1.2 |
|
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A |
23 | 46 | 40→45 | 52→55 | 46 | .219/.288/.317 | .098 | .289 | 6 | 14 | 25% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .209/.262/.298 | .089 | .296 | 6 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .174/.209/.223 | .049 | .263 | 0 | 15 | 32% | 4% | 8 | -0.8 |
|
●JJ Bleday 2021 · A |
23 | 44→50 | 43→55 | 48→45 | 42 | .218/.269/.329 | .110 | .289 | 10 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .191/.278/.336 | .145 | .249 | 16 | 6 | 29% | 10% | 71 | -0.3 | .233/.319/.423 | .190 | .271 | 22 | 4 | 22% | 11% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
●Brock Stassi 2013 · A |
23 | 44→54 | 42→45 | 51→45 | 46 | .216/.271/.324 | .109 | .266 | 9 | 10 | 22% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .235/.285/.334 | .099 | .277 | 8 | 7 | 18% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .238/.309/.368 | .130 | .277 | 14 | 1 | 19% | 9% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A |
24 | 48→51 | 42→50 | 53→50 | 46 | .229/.299/.338 | .109 | .312 | 8 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .241/.306/.373 | .132 | .315 | 12 | 15 | 26% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .246/.311/.388 | .142 | .315 | 14 | 17 | 25% | 8% | 94 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jarrett Parker 2012 · A |
23 | 45→50 | 44→55 | 51→50 | 46 | .214/.295/.330 | .116 | .320 | 11 | 13 | 34% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 | .210/.288/.351 | .141 | .346 | 15 | 15 | 40% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.305/.409 | .179 | .334 | 22 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 97 | +1.2 |