Nathan Humphreys

CF Clearwater Threshers

Age 24 L/R 6'2" / 207 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP40ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	APHI	102	.233/.340/.360	2	4	51	—	.178/.260/.256
2026	23	A+PHI	106	.176/.292/.297	2	2	22	—	.135/.217/.240
2026	23	APHI	310	.264/.391/.472	12	21	91	—	.219/.316/.383
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBPHI	380	.226/.306/.368	10	8	91	0.5
2028PROJ27% MLB	25	MLBPHI	97	.230/.310/.381	3	2	93	0.2
2029PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBPHI	170	.231/.311/.385	5	4	94	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

K%63

Whiff%62

Z-Con%59

BB%48

Speed43

ISO34

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDJ Stewart (age 24) · Blake Tekotte (age 24) · Quincy Hamilton (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .304 / .365

PA320

HR8

SB7

K%26

BB%9

ISO142

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	86	20	5	0	2	14	33	0	4	1	233	340	360	700	128	346	32	14	315	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	106	91	16	3	1	2	12	23	3	2	2	176	292	297	589	121	212	22	11	276	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	310	254	67	17	0	12	48	49	5	21	5	264	391	472	863	209	282	16	15	382	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	90	16	4	0	1	10	42	0	4	1	178	260	256	516	78	310	41	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	106	96	13	2	1	2	7	30	3	2	2	135	217	240	457	104	173	28	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	310	269	59	14	0	10	33	67	5	21	5	219	316	383	699	164	250	22	11	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	90	16	4	0	1	10	42	0	4	1	178	260	256	516	78	312	41	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	86	20	5	0	2	14	33	0	4	1	233	340	360	700	128	346	32	14	315	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	416	365	73	17	1	11	40	97	8	23	7	200	293	342	635	142	239	23	10	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	416	345	83	20	1	14	60	72	8	23	7	241	366	426	792	186	264	17	14	355	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	91	16	4	0	1	10	42	0	4	1	176	260	253	513	77	310	41	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	416	365	73	17	1	11	40	97	8	23	7	200	293	342	635	142	230	23	10	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	91	16	4	0	1	10	42	0	4	1	176	260	253	513	77	310	41	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	416	365	73	17	1	11	40	97	8	23	7	200	293	342	635	142	230	23	10	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	380	338	77	15	2	10	34	98	5	8	2	226	306	368	675	142	287	26	9	303	91	-4	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	27%	354	315	71	14	2	9	32	91	4	8	2	228	308	374	682	146	287	26	9	306	93	-3	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	PHI	43%	396	352	81	16	2	11	36	101	5	8	2	229	309	377	686	148	287	26	9	307	94	-3	+1	+1	+1	+9	0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	PHI	50%	413	367	84	17	2	11	38	105	5	8	3	229	309	376	685	147	287	25	9	307	94	-3	+0	+1	+1	+9	0.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	420	374	85	17	2	11	38	107	5	7	2	228	307	373	680	145	286	25	9	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.8
2032	29	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	417	372	85	17	2	11	37	107	5	5	2	226	305	369	673	142	285	26	9	302	91	-5	+0	-0	+1	+9	0.6
2033	30	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	412	368	82	16	2	10	37	107	4	4	2	223	301	361	662	137	283	26	9	297	87	-6	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	27%	97	87	20	4	0	3	9	25	1	2	1	230	310	381	691	151	288	26	9	309	93	-1	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	PHI	43%	170	151	35	7	1	5	15	43	2	4	1	231	311	385	695	154	288	25	9	311	94	-1	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	PHI	50%	207	184	42	8	1	6	19	53	2	4	1	231	310	384	694	153	287	26	9	310	94	-2	+0	+1	+1	+4	0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	228	202	47	9	1	7	21	58	3	4	1	230	309	380	689	151	286	25	9	308	92	-2	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	231	205	47	9	1	6	21	59	3	3	1	228	307	376	682	147	285	26	9	305	91	-3	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	231	206	46	9	1	6	21	60	2	2	1	225	303	367	670	142	283	26	9	301	87	-3	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1164	1035	237	46	5	33	106	298	13	19	6	229	308	379	687	150	288	26	9	307	88	-12	+1	+1	+4	+25	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	132	26	3	18	59	166	7	11	3	228	307	377	685	149	287	26	9	307	88	-6	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3250	2887	641	131	14	83	297	840	40	74	23	222	303	363	667	141	282	26	9	298	88	-27	+3	+3	+10	+59	5.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	129	26	3	17	59	168	8	15	5	224	304	367	671	144	284	26	9	298	88	-6	+1	+1	+2	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jim Delsing'48-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,802 PA	4.2	2,802	40	15	247*	321*	390*	-9	+16	6.5	7.1
/162	664	9	4	-2.1	+3.8	1.5	pk7: 8
#2Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Luis Matos'00-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,773 PA	2.7	1,773	30	72	245*	304*	365*	+1	+10	3.2	3.2
/162	664	11	27	+0.3	+3.9	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Jacob Brumfield'92-'99 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,747 PA	2.6	1,747	32	74	244*	305*	386*	-3	+10	3.1	3.1
/162	664	12	28	-1.2	+3.8	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Marty Keough'56-'66 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,008 PA	3.0	2,008	43	26	238*	307*	397*	-15	+3	2.0	3.0
/162	664	14	9	-5.0	+0.9	0.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.2	1,484	39	26	228	304	372	-6	+8	1.9	1.9
/162	664	17	11	-2.6	+3.6	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nathan Humphreys (OGILVIE)	24	45	50	50	54	224/304/365	141	287	8	7	26%	9%	91	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕DJ Stewart 2018 · AA	24	47→49	47→60	52→50	49	235/309/374	139	289	15	16	24%	8%	94	+0.9	228/305/390	162	277	19	11	24%	9%	97	+1.1	215/319/403	188	257	24	4	25%	12%	104	+0.8
✕Blake Tekotte 2011 · AA	24	45→47	48→50	50→55	47	228/290/372	144	279	15	18	24%	8%	86	+0.3	214/274/356	142	286	15	21	29%	7%	77	-0.3	194/258/314	120	261	9	10	28%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Quincy Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	45	46→50	53→50	49	225/307/354	128	288	14	18	26%	9%	89	+0.5	207/285/346	139	265	15	12	27%	9%	79	-0.2	185/264/323	139	233	15	10	27%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Drew Gilbert 2024 · AA	23	49→50	49→50	49→45	47	248/313/399	151	299	17	12	23%	8%	101	+1.4	225/300/374	149	266	16	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Reid Fronk 2009 · A	23	47	49→45	47→50	48	234/312/385	151	300	15	11	26%	9%	98	+1.2	204/290/303	99	282	7	9	28%	9%	72	-0.7	186/278/267	81	266	4	7	28%	9%	58	-1.2
✕Carlos Alvarez 2012 · AAA	24	49	46→45	49→45	51	241/313/372	132	298	14	14	24%	9%	95	+0.9	234/298/353	119	292	10	8	22%	8%	85	+0.2	247/325/329	81	299	5	6	17%	9%	88	+0.2
✕Tucker Bradley 2023 · AA	25	50→52	45	53→50	48	243/310/370	127	310	12	15	24%	8%	93	+0.8	241/304/370	129	316	11	15	25%	8%	91	+0.6	244/309/381	138	322	10	16	26%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Spencer Packard 2023 · A	25	45→51	46→45	49→40	49	227/303/357	130	268	14	7	21%	8%	88	+0.4	240/314/359	119	283	12	3	19%	8%	93	+0.8	240/319/351	111	280	11	1	17%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Aaron Zavala 2023 · AA	23	46	46→45	50	51	226/321/357	131	298	14	13	27%	10%	95	+1.0	195/287/292	97	310	9	10	36%	10%	68	-1.0	200/277/306	106	297	9	9	33%	8%	65	-1.1
✕John Raglani 2007 · AA	24	46→48	47→50	47→45	46	227/297/366	139	297	14	7	28%	8%	88	+0.4	218/295/368	150	297	16	8	30%	9%	88	+0.4	203/290/369	166	273	19	7	31%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2024 · AA	24	42→45	47→50	54→55	49	213/293/347	134	271	14	19	26%	9%	82	+0.0	222/286/356	134	295	15	16	28%	8%	82	-0.0	219/281/356	137	291	16	15	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Dustin Majewski 2006 · A	24	44→49	49→50	46→40	43	224/281/378	155	292	16	9	29%	7%	84	+0.2	221/299/363	142	275	14	5	24%	10%	88	+0.4	218/304/355	137	265	13	3	22%	11%	86	+0.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2019 · AA	23	49→50	47→50	51→50	44	238/300/376	138	319	14	13	29%	7%	91	+0.7	230/290/373	143	310	15	10	29%	8%	86	+0.3	222/283/373	151	295	17	8	29%	8%	83	+0.0
✕David McCabe 2024 · A	24	45→48	46→50	47→40	47	224/294/347	123	302	14	7	29%	9%	82	+0.0	221/289/348	127	301	14	5	29%	9%	81	-0.1	222/291/362	139	295	17	2	29%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Kory Casto 2006 · A	24	47→50	51→50	46→40	49	238/307/404	166	287	18	5	24%	8%	100	+1.3	231/300/369	138	287	14	5	24%	8%	89	+0.5	226/297/355	128	281	14	4	23%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA	25	48	43→45	49→50	49	231/306/351	120	300	10	12	25%	9%	87	+0.4	250/325/353	103	329	7	10	24%	9%	95	+0.9	254/329/346	92	336	6	8	24%	9%	92	+0.3
✕Sherman Johnson 2015 · A	25	47→49	45	52→50	51	231/306/362	131	285	12	13	23%	9%	90	+0.6	203/283/309	106	254	9	15	22%	10%	70	-0.9	200/275/291	91	273	7	11	27%	9%	59	-0.9
✕Caleb Stewart 2006 · A	24	48→46	48→50	49→45	45	235/309/387	152	307	15	13	27%	7%	97	+1.1	220/280/372	152	271	17	6	25%	6%	83	+0.1	216/274/357	141	260	16	5	23%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Scott Cousins 2009 · AA	24	49→51	48→50	50→55	40	242/290/385	143	321	16	14	29%	6%	89	+0.5	235/281/377	142	301	13	16	25%	6%	84	+0.1	237/280/380	144	299	12	19	24%	5%	82	+0.0

Nathan Humphreys

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps