Chase Adkison — OGILVIE

Chase AdkisonC Great Lakes Loons

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A+ HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION87 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.091 / .167 / .091

PA12

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP236

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	23	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	49	42	14	2	0	0	4	8	0	0	0	333	391	381	772	48	378	16	8	331	110	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	40	32	7	3	0	0	4	6	2	0	0	219	342	312	655	94	250	15	10	293	85	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	24	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	194	167	45	7	1	3	21	37	5	1	1	269	368	377	745	108	331	19	11	340	116	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	25	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	124	94	28	6	0	1	23	15	5	1	0	298	459	394	853	96	338	12	19	391	151	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	49	43	13	2	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	302	348	349	697	47	350	24	6	308	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	40	33	7	3	0	0	3	8	2	0	0	212	316	303	619	91	220	20	8	261	63	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	24	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	194	172	36	5	1	2	16	54	5	1	1	209	295	285	580	76	295	28	8	267	67	-8	-0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	25	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	124	101	27	5	0	1	16	21	5	1	0	267	393	347	740	79	305	17	13	330	109	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	49	43	13	2	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	302	348	349	697	47	382	24	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	49	42	14	2	0	0	4	8	0	0	0	333	391	381	772	48	378	16	8	331	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	234	205	43	8	1	2	19	62	7	1	1	210	299	288	587	78	287	26	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	234	199	52	10	1	3	25	43	7	1	1	261	364	367	730	106	316	18	11	332	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	124	101	27	5	0	1	16	21	5	1	0	267	393	347	740	79	321	17	13	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	124	94	28	6	0	1	23	15	5	1	0	298	459	394	853	96	338	12	19	391	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	49	46	13	2	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	283	348	326	674	43	350	24	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	234	206	43	8	1	2	19	62	7	1	1	209	299	286	585	78	282	26	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	124	102	27	5	0	1	16	21	5	1	0	265	393	343	737	78	305	17	13	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	49	46	13	2	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	283	348	326	674	43	350	24	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	234	206	43	8	1	2	19	62	7	1	1	209	299	286	585	78	282	26	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	124	102	27	5	0	1	16	21	5	1	0	265	393	343	737	78	305	17	13	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	A+ MLE	LAD	—	87	76	17	4	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	224	289	316	605	92	262	20	7	265	66	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A+ RAW	LAD	—	69	56	16	3	0	0	9	10	1	1	0	286	394	339	733	54	333	14	13	328	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AA RAW	LAD	—	18	17	3	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	176	176	471	647	294	143	17	0	258	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	A+ MLE	LAD	0%	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	91	167	91	258		240	25	8	259	61	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	A+ MLE	LAD	—	99	87	18	4	0	1	7	20	1	1	0	207	274	287	561	80	246	20	7	265	65	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	LAD	26%	209	183	36	7	1	3	20	47	4	3	1	197	290	295	585	98	245	22	10	265	65	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	LAD	39%	276	244	48	10	1	4	26	63	4	3	1	197	285	295	580	98	248	23	9	268	68	-11	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	LAD	44%	310	272	54	11	1	4	30	71	5	4	1	199	290	290	580	92	249	23	10	269	68	-12	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.0
2030	30	MLB MLE	LAD	47%	333	293	59	12	1	5	32	77	5	4	1	201	291	300	591	99	249	23	10	268	67	-13	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	LAD	26%	54	48	9	2	0	1	5	12	1	1	0	188	278	292	569	104	241	22	9	251	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	LAD	39%	109	96	19	4	0	2	10	25	2	1	0	198	287	302	589	104	244	23	9	255	68	-4	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	LAD	44%	138	122	24	5	0	2	13	32	2	2	0	197	285	287	572	90	245	23	9	256	68	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	LAD	47%	158	140	26	5	0	2	15	37	2	2	0	186	274	264	538	79	245	23	9	255	67	-6	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	459	406	78	16	0	7	43	106	7	6	0	192	281	283	564	91	240	23	9	255	71	-18	+1	-2	+8	+10	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	111	23	0	10	61	150	10	8	0	193	282	285	567	92	241	23	9	255	71	-25	+2	-3	+12	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1547	1352	281	55	5	19	147	356	30	16	5	208	300	298	598	90	265	23	10	274	71	-44	+1	-4	+20	+25	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	118	23	2	8	62	150	13	7	2	208	300	298	598	90	265	23	10	274	71	-25	+1	-2	+12	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	460	6	5	199	286	294	+8	+8	0.3	0.3
/162	664	9	8	+11.9	+11.6	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chase Adkison (OGILVIE)	26	48	34	44	55	188/280/272	83	240	2	2	23%	9%	61	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryce Windham 2023 · AA	26	44	40	46→50	54	210/288/299	89	251	7	6	19%	10%	69	-0.9	227/290/315	88	296	5	12	23%	8%	72	-0.7	238/297/322	83	318	3	15	24%	8%	74	-0.2
✕Alfredo González 2018 · AA	26	46	38→30	45	46	217/278/288	71	277	5	7	23%	7%	62	-1.4	209/270/284	75	288	6	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	200/264/257	57	286	4	2	29%	7%	47	-1.0
✕Jancarlos Cintron 2021 · A	26	45→55	40	43→50	44	220/266/310	90	257	8	7	18%	5%	63	-1.4	234/273/328	94	282	8	14	19%	5%	69	-0.9	244/280/335	92	291	7	15	19%	4%	69	-0.4
✕Ryan Gridley 2021 · A	26	45→44	39→40	45	44	216/268/304	88	269	7	8	22%	6%	62	-1.4	217/280/301	84	274	5	12	21%	6%	66	-1.1	202/277/248	45	250	0	18	17%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Spencer Kieboom 2017 · AA	26	44	39→40	44→30	48	214/273/300	86	262	6	3	21%	7%	63	-1.3	211/274/295	84	260	7	3	20%	8%	63	-1.4	202/266/277	76	247	6	0	20%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Brian Ward 2012 · A	26	45	40	47→45	48	215/281/305	89	271	7	8	22%	8%	68	-1.0	221/286/298	77	274	5	8	20%	7%	68	-1.0	220/289/274	55	272	3	5	19%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Anthony Phillips 2016 · AA	26	44→52	39→40	44→50	45	209/275/296	88	280	6	7	26%	7%	63	-1.4	218/268/289	71	291	5	8	25%	6%	58	-1.7	214/259/264	50	286	3	7	25%	5%	48	-1.5
✕Casey Rowlett 2009 · AA	26	46→48	40	47→50	45	222/272/319	97	268	7	11	20%	6%	67	-1.1	214/264/303	89	265	8	11	21%	6%	60	-1.6	187/232/224	37	228	3	9	19%	6%	27	-1.1
✕Ross Wilson 2014 · AA	25	42→47	38→40	47→45	45	201/274/277	76	269	5	7	26%	7%	59	-1.7	206/267/307	101	275	9	6	27%	6%	63	-1.4	196/256/309	112	255	11	2	27%	5%	61	-1.0
✕Brandon Macias 2015 · A	26	45→52	38→40	42→45	43	213/268/298	85	262	5	7	20%	5%	61	-1.5	207/258/299	92	257	8	6	22%	5%	57	-1.8	193/247/289	95	240	10	4	23%	5%	49	-0.9
✕Marc Maddox 2010 · AA	26	46→56	38→40	45→50	48	219/282/299	80	261	5	12	18%	7%	67	-1.1	221/280/304	83	270	5	8	19%	6%	67	-1.1	230/286/300	70	283	2	5	18%	6%	65	-0.9
✕Phil Avlas 2008 · AA	25	45	40	43→45	49	217/279/301	84	262	8	7	20%	8%	65	-1.2	224/272/307	83	273	6	9	19%	6%	64	-1.3	240/276/308	68	284	4	8	17%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Jonathan Morales 2021 · AAA	26	45→48	38→40	44→30	45	213/264/291	77	260	6	5	20%	6%	57	-1.8	206/254/299	93	251	10	4	22%	6%	55	-1.9	205/256/301	96	241	12	1	20%	6%	55	-1.0
✕L.J. Mazzilli 2017 · AAA	26	47→54	39→40	49→45	48	223/277/313	90	269	5	8	19%	7%	67	-1.1	218/276/313	95	266	7	8	20%	7%	67	-1.1	215/276/305	90	261	7	8	19%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Kramer Robertson 2021 · AAA	26	44→51	41→40	45→55	51	213/297/310	97	259	8	13	20%	9%	76	-0.4	210/304/310	100	271	9	19	24%	10%	78	-0.3	198/302/281	83	262	7	22	25%	10%	69	-0.8
✕Zach Vincej 2016 · AA	25	47→52	37→40	43→50	48	223/284/293	70	276	4	10	20%	7%	65	-1.2	228/274/307	79	279	5	8	19%	5%	64	-1.3	225/268/303	78	273	5	7	19%	4%	58	-1.2
✕Brodie Greene 2014 · AA	26	46→49	38→40	50	46	218/263/296	78	252	6	12	16%	5%	58	-1.7	217/267/280	63	254	3	9	15%	6%	56	-1.9	217/270/267	50	253	2	8	14%	6%	52	-1.5
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2014 · AAA	26	42→49	41→40	45→50	45	205/264/303	98	250	9	6	22%	6%	61	-1.5	220/274/308	88	286	6	6	24%	6%	65	-1.2	216/267/284	68	288	3	4	25%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Devin Lohman 2015 · AA	26	44→46	40	46→50	43	215/270/305	89	266	8	13	22%	6%	63	-1.3	207/260/291	84	278	7	10	27%	5%	56	-1.9	168/221/209	42	239	2	8	29%	4%	21	-1.5
✕Cobie Fletcher-Vance 2023 · AA	25	46→47	37→40	46→45	45	216/276/289	72	270	5	6	21%	6%	61	-1.5	217/272/308	91	285	7	6	25%	6%	65	-1.2	207/262/301	94	282	6	0	27%	5%	55	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps