Chase Adkison

C Great Lakes Loons
Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A+ HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2166MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424A+/ASTL234.261/.364/.3673159—.213/.295/.290
202525A+STL124.298/.459/.39411107—.265/.393/.343
202626AA/A+2 orgs87.260/.349/.3701163—.225/.289/.312
2027PROJMLE27MLBLAD200.199/.276/.30433650.1
2028PROJ26% MLB28MLBLAD33.196/.273/.3001066-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Whiff%97
Z-Con%96
K%94
Chase%70
BB%63
wOBA49
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsStevie Berman (age 27) · Quincy McAfee (age 26) · Gavin Collins (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .274 / .301
PA84
HR1
K%23
BB%8
ISO105
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.10.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202323 APalm Beach Cardinals — 4942 14200 480 00 333391381772 48378 168 331 90 — — — — — —
202424 A+Peoria Chiefs — 4032 7300 462 00 219342312655 94250 1510 293 61 — — — — — —
202424 APalm Beach Cardinals — 194167 45713 21375 11 269368377745 108331 1911 340 59 — — — — — —
202525 A+Peoria Chiefs — 12494 28601 23155 10 298459394853 96338 1219 391 107 — — — — — —
202626 AASpringfield Cardinals — 1817 3201 030 00 176176471647 294143 170 258 35 — — — — — —
202626 A+Great Lakes Loons — 6956 16300 9101 10 286394339733 54333 1413 328 70 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202323 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 4943 13200 3110 00 302348349697 47341 226 301 90 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 4033 7300 382 00 212316303619 91217 208 259 61 — — — — — —
202424 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 194174 37512 14525 11 213290287578 75283 277 256 59 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 124102 27501 16205 10 265393343737 78299 1613 326 107 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 1817 3201 040 00 176176471647 294117 220 220 35 — — — — — —
202626 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 6959 14200 6131 10 237318271589 34276 199 271 70 — — — — — —
202323 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 4943 13200 3110 00 302348349697 47371 226 301 90 — — — — — —
202323 A RAWPalm Beach Cardinals — 4942 14200 480 00 333391381772 48378 168 331 90 — — — — — —
202424 A MLE2 teams — 234207 43712 17607 11 208290280570 72279 267 257 60 — — — — — —
202424 A RAW2 teams — 234199 521013 25437 11 261364367730 106316 1811 332 60 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 124101 27501 16205 10 267393347740 79317 1613 326 107 — — — — — —
202525 A+ RAWPeoria Chiefs — 12494 28601 23155 10 298459394853 96338 1219 391 107 — — — — — —
202626 A+ MLE2 teams — 8776 17401 6161 10 224289316605 92258 187 260 62 — — — — — —
202626 A+ RAW2 teams — 8773 19501 9131 10 260349370719 110290 1510 314 62 — — — — — —
202323 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 4946 13200 3110 00 283348326674 43341 226 301 90 — — — — — —
202424 A MLE2 teams — 234208 43712 17607 11 207290279569 72272 267 257 60 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 124102 27501 16205 10 265393343737 78299 1613 326 107 — — — — — —
202626 A+ MLE2 teams — 8780 17401 6161 10 212289300589 87243 187 260 62 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 A MLE2 teams — 234208 43712 17607 11 207290279569 72272 267 257 60 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 124102 27501 16205 10 265393343737 78299 1613 326 107 — — — — — —
202626 A+ MLE2 teams — 8780 17401 6161 10 212289300589 87243 187 260 62 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLELAD 0% 200179 35713 16463 31 199276304580 105245 238 265 65 -8 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLELAD 26% 128115 23412 10302 20 199277304581 105246 238 265 66 -5 +0 -1 +2 +3 -0.0
202828 MLB CTXLAD 26% 3330 6101 380 00 196273300573 104241 249 262 66 -1 +0 -0 +1 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3330 6101 380 00 200273333606 133238 249 262 72 -1 +0 -0 +1 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 11920020 591580 00 201274337611 135240 249 262 72 -27 +0 -4 +12 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 706618 1372527 5915616 61 222306303609 81279 228 275 72 -9 +1 -1 +4 +5 -0.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650569 1262326 5414415 61 221306301606 79280 228 275 72 -27 +2 -2 +12 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Great Lakes Loons · 69 PAwOBA .330 → .271 (−58)K% 14.5% → 18.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.49%÷1.000×1.270——18.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.04%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9688.96%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.790—×0.9681.11%
Singles /BIP28.26%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×0.96823.91%
Doubles /BIP6.52%÷1.000×0.810×0.950×0.9684.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.950×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9680.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .330 → .271; ISO .054 → .043; BABIP .333 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AASpringfield Cardinals · 18 PAwOBA .264 → .220 (−44)K% 16.7% → 20.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷1.000×1.220——20.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9880.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×0.9880.00%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.920—×0.9880.00%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.840—×0.98811.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940—×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP7.14%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9885.65%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .264 → .220; ISO .294 → .243; BABIP .143 → .117. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Peoria Chiefs · 124 PAwOBA .389 → .326 (−63)K% 12.1% → 16.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.10%÷0.951×1.270——16.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.55%÷1.027×0.710—×0.97812.54%
HBP% /PA4.03%—×0.790—×0.9783.12%
Singles /BIP26.58%÷1.010×0.920×1.036×0.97824.53%
Doubles /BIP7.59%÷1.083×0.810×1.036×0.9785.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.926×0.850×1.036×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP1.27%÷0.857×0.800—×0.9781.16%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 102, 2B 117, 3B 85, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .389 → .326; ISO .096 → .083; BABIP .338 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 APalm Beach Cardinals · 194 PAwOBA .332 → .256 (−76)K% 19.1% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.07%÷0.968×1.360——26.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.82%÷0.999×0.690—×0.9807.32%
HBP% /PA2.58%—×0.780—×0.9801.97%
Singles /BIP26.15%÷1.040×0.920×1.023×0.98023.19%
Doubles /BIP5.38%÷1.153×0.830×1.023×0.9803.89%
Triples /BIP0.77%÷0.946×0.910×1.023×0.9800.74%
Home runs /BIP2.31%÷1.036×0.800—×0.9801.75%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 108, 2B 131, 3B 89, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .332 → .256; ISO .108 → .079; BABIP .331 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Peoria Chiefs · 40 PAwOBA .302 → .259 (−42)K% 15.0% → 18.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.00%÷1.006×1.270——18.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷0.930×0.710—×0.9887.54%
HBP% /PA5.00%—×0.790—×0.9883.90%
Singles /BIP15.38%÷0.995×0.920—×0.98814.06%
Doubles /BIP11.54%÷1.000×0.810—×0.9889.23%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850—×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.993×0.800—×0.9880.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .302 → .259; ISO .094 → .080; BABIP .250 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 APalm Beach Cardinals · 49 PAwOBA .344 → .301 (−43)K% 16.3% → 23.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.33%÷0.950×1.360——23.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.16%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9905.57%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9900.00%
Singles /BIP35.29%÷0.998×0.920—×0.99032.20%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.007×0.830—×0.9904.80%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.023×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.010×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 101, 3B 105, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .344 → .301; ISO .048 → .040; BABIP .378 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).