Chase Adkison — OGILVIE

Chase AdkisonC Great Lakes Loons

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION65 act + 71 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .268 / .254

PA71

HR1

K%23

BB%10

BABIP217

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	49	43	13	2	0	0	3	13	0	0	0	302	348	349	697	47	394	27	6	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	49	42	14	2	0	0	4	8	0	0	0	333	391	381	772	48	378	16	8	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	2 teams	—	234	205	41	7	1	2	19	64	7	1	1	200	290	273	563	73	277	27	8	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	2 teams	—	234	199	52	10	1	3	25	43	7	1	1	261	364	367	730	106	316	18	11	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	124	101	26	5	0	1	16	22	5	1	0	257	385	337	722	79	312	18	13	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	124	94	28	6	0	1	23	15	5	1	0	298	459	394	853	96	338	12	19	391	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	A+	LAD	—	65	57	12	3	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	211	274	316	590	105	239	18	6	236	39	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
YTD	26	A+	LAD	—	65	56	12	3	0	1	5	9	1	1	0	214	290	321	612	107	229	14	8	268	63	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	26	A+	LAD	0%	71	63	11	2	0	1	7	16	1	1	0	175	268	254	522	79	235	23	10	256	54	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		232	—	—	240	42	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	26	A+	LAD	—	65	58	12	3	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	207	274	310	585	103	234	18	6	236	39	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
TOT	26	A+	LAD	—	136	120	23	5	0	2	11	28	2	2	0	192	271	283	554	92	228	21	8	247	47	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	LAD	26%	209	183	35	7	1	3	20	48	4	3	1	191	285	290	575	98	238	23	10	260	58	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	LAD	39%	276	243	47	9	1	4	26	64	5	4	1	193	285	288	573	95	241	23	9	264	60	-12	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.0
2029	29	MLB	LAD	44%	310	273	53	10	1	5	29	73	5	4	1	194	283	293	576	99	243	24	9	265	61	-14	+0	-1	+6	+9	-0.0
2030	30	MLB	LAD	47%	333	294	56	11	1	5	31	79	5	4	1	190	279	286	565	95	243	24	9	264	60	-15	+0	-2	+6	+9	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	LAD	26%	54	48	9	2	0	1	5	12	1	1	0	188	278	292	569	104	234	22	9	245	46	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	LAD	39%	109	96	19	4	0	2	10	25	2	1	0	198	287	302	589	104	238	23	9	249	49	-6	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	LAD	44%	138	122	23	5	0	2	13	32	2	2	0	189	277	279	556	90	240	23	9	250	50	-8	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	30	MLB	LAD	47%	158	139	26	5	0	2	15	37	3	2	0	187	280	266	546	79	240	23	9	249	49	-9	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	459	406	77	16	0	7	43	106	8	6	0	190	281	281	561	91	236	23	9	249	49	-27	+1	-2	+8	+13	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	109	23	0	10	61	150	11	8	0	190	280	282	562	92	236	23	9	249	49	-38	+2	-3	+12	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	1606	1405	282	53	5	21	151	379	32	18	5	201	293	290	583	90	256	24	9	268	63	-66	+2	-4	+29	+46	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	113	21	2	8	61	153	13	7	2	199	291	285	576	86	254	24	9	268	63	-27	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	49	42	14	2	0	0	4	8	0	0	0	333	391	381	772	48	378	16	8	331	111	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	40	32	7	3	0	0	4	6	2	0	0	219	342	312	655	94	250	15	10	293	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	24	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	194	167	45	7	1	3	21	37	5	1	1	269	368	377	745	108	331	19	11	340	118	+4	-0	—	—	+5	0.9
2025	25	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	124	94	28	6	0	1	23	15	5	1	0	298	459	394	853	96	338	12	19	391	158	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	460	7	6	194	280	290	+8	+8	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	10	8	194	280	290	+11.9	+11.6	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chase Adkison (OGILVIE)	26	45	35	44	55	192/271/283	92	228	2	2	21%	8%	47	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alfredo González 2018 · AA	26	45	38→40	44→45	46	216/277/293	77	279	6	7	24%	7%	58	-1.2	206/269/285	79	288	6	6	29%	7%	53	-1.5	194/260/253	59	280	4	2	30%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Spencer Kieboom 2017 · AA	26	44	39→40	44→30	47	210/270/296	86	260	6	3	22%	7%	56	-1.3	210/273/297	87	260	7	3	21%	8%	58	-1.2	202/266/281	79	246	7	0	20%	8%	48	-0.7
✕Brian Ward 2012 · A	26	46	39→40	47→45	49	218/287/308	90	274	6	8	22%	8%	66	-0.6	222/287/301	79	277	5	8	20%	7%	65	-0.7	219/286/279	60	273	4	5	20%	7%	56	-0.4
✕Ryan Gridley 2021 · A	26	44	39→40	45	44	214/266/300	86	266	7	8	22%	6%	56	-1.3	218/282/301	83	275	5	12	21%	7%	63	-0.9	206/283/249	43	255	0	18	17%	7%	46	-0.4
✕Bryce Windham 2023 · AA	26	44	40	46→50	54	211/293/304	93	256	8	6	20%	10%	69	-0.4	227/293/319	92	297	5	12	23%	8%	71	-0.3	239/299/327	88	317	3	15	24%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Ross Wilson 2014 · AA	25	42→47	38→40	47→45	45	199/271/278	79	264	5	7	26%	7%	53	-1.5	205/267/311	106	274	10	6	28%	6%	59	-1.1	195/256/316	120	255	13	2	28%	5%	57	-0.8
✕Casey Rowlett 2009 · AA	26	46→48	41→40	47→50	45	222/271/322	100	270	8	11	20%	6%	63	-0.9	214/264/305	91	266	8	11	22%	6%	56	-1.3	187/232/224	37	228	3	9	19%	6%	17	-1.1
✕Devin Lohman 2015 · AA	26	44→46	40	46→50	43	216/270/307	91	268	8	13	22%	5%	59	-1.1	208/262/292	84	283	7	10	28%	5%	52	-1.6	167/224/207	40	245	2	8	30%	5%	11	-1.5
✕Jonathan Morales 2021 · AAA	26	44→47	39→40	44→30	44	211/261/293	82	259	6	5	21%	6%	51	-1.7	201/250/293	92	246	10	4	22%	6%	47	-1.9	197/251/289	92	234	11	1	21%	6%	44	-1.1
✕Jancarlos Cintron 2021 · A	26	45→55	40	43→50	44	218/265/304	86	257	8	7	19%	5%	56	-1.3	228/267/320	92	279	8	14	20%	5%	60	-1.0	238/279/320	82	284	5	12	17%	4%	62	-0.5
✕Anthony Phillips 2016 · AA	26	43→51	39→40	44→50	45	207/273/291	84	281	6	7	27%	7%	56	-1.3	216/266/287	71	291	5	8	26%	6%	51	-1.7	210/257/261	50	284	3	7	26%	5%	38	-1.5
✕Phil Avlas 2008 · AA	25	44	40	43→45	48	216/279/304	88	263	8	7	21%	8%	62	-0.9	223/272/307	84	273	7	9	20%	6%	59	-1.1	240/276/308	68	284	4	8	17%	5%	60	-0.4
✕Brandon Macias 2015 · A	26	44→52	38→40	42→45	43	211/266/297	86	262	5	7	21%	5%	55	-1.4	205/255/299	94	258	8	6	23%	5%	50	-1.7	190/243/292	102	238	11	4	25%	5%	41	-0.8
✕Jonathan Diaz 2011 · AAA	26	44→47	36→30	41→50	53	204/288/271	67	251	3	6	19%	9%	59	-1.1	219/296/281	62	276	4	12	20%	8%	64	-0.8	219/300/269	50	278	3	14	20%	9%	60	-0.8
✕Carlos Martínez 2021 · AA	26	42	39→30	50→45	43	202/253/284	82	242	7	8	20%	5%	46	-2.0	220/260/332	112	290	11	8	27%	4%	61	-1.0	218/235/323	106	285	10	0	27%	0%	45	-0.5
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	193/269/273	80	275	6	4	30%	8%	50	-1.7	204/290/316	112	313	11	4	35%	10%	71	-0.3	189/289/303	113	293	12	0	36%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Brodie Greene 2014 · AA	26	46→49	38→40	50	46	220/265/298	78	255	5	12	16%	5%	53	-1.5	219/269/285	66	257	4	9	15%	6%	52	-1.6	221/272/274	53	259	2	8	15%	6%	48	-1.2
✕Cobie Fletcher-Vance 2023 · AA	25	46→48	37→40	46→45	45	216/278/287	71	274	5	6	22%	6%	57	-1.2	216/271/309	93	288	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.1	203/257/302	99	280	6	0	28%	5%	48	-0.7
✕Alfredo Lopez 2016 · AA	26	46	36→30	48→50	47	218/278/286	68	274	3	14	21%	7%	56	-1.3	245/288/316	71	293	4	16	17%	5%	68	-0.5	272/308/321	49	317	2	19	14%	5%	72	-0.1
✕J.J. Franco 2018 · A	26	46	35→30	41→45	48	213/278/270	57	284	2	6	24%	8%	53	-1.5	214/286/284	70	307	4	7	28%	9%	59	-1.1	189/278/225	36	288	0	2	31%	10%	41	-0.6