Braeden Sloan — OGILVIE

Braeden Sloan P Frederick Keys

Age 23 LHP 6'4" / 215 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100108vR 116

ERA4.37

FIP4.37

K%23.9%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%13.6%

ROS IP32

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	36	0	50	196	70	20	0	0%	1.4	25.2%	11.9%	13.3%	0.0%	1.43	2.48	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	36	0	50	196	70	20	0	0%	1.4	25.2%	11.9%	13.3%	0.0%	1.43	2.48	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	BAL	3	0	4	13	10	1	0	0%	1.3	76.9%	7.7%	69.2%	0.0%	0.00	-2.42	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	BAL	33	0	46	183	60	19	0	0%	1.4	32.8%	10.4%	22.4%	0.0%	1.55	1.65	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	48	0	50	213	52	21	6	0%	1.1	24.4%	9.6%	14.8%	2.9%	4.29	4.23	+0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	49	0	51	216	53	20	6	0%	1.0	24.7%	9.3%	15.4%	2.9%	4.21	4.16	+0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	49	0	51	216	54	20	6	0%	1.0	24.8%	9.2%	15.6%	2.9%	4.17	4.14	+0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	48	0	50	212	53	20	6	0%	1.0	24.8%	9.3%	15.5%	3.0%	4.18	4.19	+0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	21	0	22	93	23	9	3	0%	1.0	24.4%	9.6%	14.8%	2.9%	4.29	4.23	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	32	0	34	144	35	13	4	0%	1.1	24.7%	9.3%	15.4%	2.9%	4.21	4.16	+0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	39	0	41	173	43	16	5	0%	1.1	24.8%	9.2%	15.6%	2.9%	4.17	4.14	+0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	41	0	43	182	45	17	5	0%	1.0	24.8%	9.3%	15.5%	3.0%	4.18	4.19	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		132	0	139	587	145	55	17	0%	1.1	24.7%	9.3%	15.4%	2.9%	4.20	3.79	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	209	79	24	0%	1.1	24.7%	9.3%	15.4%	2.9%	4.20	3.79	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		36	0	50	196	49	23	0	0%	1.4	25.2%	11.9%	13.3%	0.0%	1.43	2.48	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	0	200	779	197	93	0	0%	1.4	25.2%	11.9%	13.3%	0.0%	1.43	2.48	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Braeden Sloan (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.37	23.9%	10.3%	2.9%	—	4.18	24.6%	15.3%	153	-0.19	—	—	—
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	89
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	452	87
Andrew Mitchell L 2018 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	21.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.333	2.71	23.8%	15.8%	78	-1.04	2.51	119	86
Wyatt Short L 2018 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.4%	8.4%	2.5%	.262	4.01	20.5%	10.3%	91	+0.18	2.74	288	84
Wesley Moore L 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	25.9%	13.2%	1.9%	.254	4.18	18.3%	5.6%	58	+0.56	3.62	111	84
Easton Lucas L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	23.6%	9.2%	3.7%	.316	4.03	21.2%	11.6%	184	-0.26	3.43	311	84
Jerry Vasto L 2015 · 3.28 FIP	23	SU	3.28	21.2%	9.5%	1.4%	.265	3.52	23.3%	12.8%	147	+0.24	2.89	206	84
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.61	24.0%	15.0%	149	+0.93	3.68	206	83
Michael Johnson L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	24	SU	3.92	20.6%	9.4%	2.5%	.260	4.70	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.78	3.92	256	83
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	83
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	83
Mason Melotakis L 2016 · 3.32 FIP	25	SU	3.32	23.6%	9.2%	1.9%	.379	4.35	18.2%	7.1%	80	+1.03	3.32	142	82
Daniel Zamora L 2016 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	20.3%	10.8%	1.5%	.294	2.75	24.7%	16.8%	135	-0.82	2.15	310	82
Chris Cotton L 2015 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	20.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.288	4.17	9.7%	3.3%	61	+0.48	3.69	128	82
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	82
Hunter Schryver L 2018 · 3.58 FIP	23	SU	3.58	23.2%	6.8%	2.9%	.259	4.22	19.9%	7.5%	106	+0.64	3.58	206	82
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	81
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.2%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	81
Garvin Alston L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	22	SU	4.29	19.7%	6.6%	3.7%	.333	4.74	16.4%	2.9%	84	+0.45	4.01	232	81
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	47	24.6%	9.5%	1.13	4.23
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81