Alberto Hernandez

SS Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AHOU	344	.225/.317/.302	2	24	48	—	.206/.269/.273
2026	22	AAHOU	110	.196/.278/.320	2	0	40	—	.170/.231/.280
2026	22	A+HOU	41	.250/.268/.475	1	0	48	—	.200/.220/.400
2027PROJ2% MLB	23	MLBHOU	4	.209/.264/.304	0	0	57	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	24	MLBHOU	93	.214/.270/.320	1	1	64	-0.1
2029PROJ45% MLB	25	MLBHOU	162	.217/.275/.330	3	3	68	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$3M2034Arb-2$0.4M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%94

Chase%78

K%71

Whiff%71

BB%37

ISO34

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsAlfredo González (age 23) · Onix Vega (age 23) · Will Piwnica-Worms (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .264 / .304

PA4

HR0

K%25

BB%6

BABIP267

ISO90

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	193	166	39	6	2	3	20	27	5	9	7	235	335	349	684	114	261	14	10	312	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	169	140	36	14	1	2	24	31	3	9	2	257	377	414	792	157	315	18	14	354	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	239	47	7	0	2	29	61	2	4	2	197	289	251	540	54	254	23	11	256	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	344	298	67	13	2	2	36	59	4	24	7	225	317	302	619	77	269	17	10	283	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	110	97	19	6	0	2	10	23	1	0	0	196	278	320	597	124	230	21	9	268	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	41	40	10	4	1	1	1	9	0	0	1	250	268	475	743	225	300	22	2	321	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	193	172	27	4	1	1	14	33	5	9	7	157	241	209	450	52	181	17	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	169	149	29	11	1	1	15	42	3	9	2	195	281	302	583	107	256	25	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	248	39	5	0	1	20	81	2	4	2	157	226	190	415	32	226	30	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	344	311	64	11	2	2	23	80	4	24	7	206	269	273	543	68	256	23	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	110	100	17	5	0	2	7	28	1	0	0	170	231	280	511	110	210	25	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	41	40	8	3	1	1	1	12	0	0	1	200	220	400	620	200	250	29	2	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	193	172	27	4	1	1	14	33	5	9	7	157	241	209	450	52	186	17	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Blue	—	193	166	39	6	2	3	20	27	5	9	7	235	335	349	684	114	261	14	10	312	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	169	149	29	11	1	1	15	42	3	9	2	195	281	302	583	107	262	25	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	169	140	36	14	1	2	24	31	3	9	2	257	377	414	792	157	315	18	14	354	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	248	39	5	0	1	20	81	2	4	2	157	226	190	415	32	228	30	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	239	47	7	0	2	29	61	2	4	2	197	289	251	540	54	254	23	11	256	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	344	311	64	11	2	2	23	80	4	24	7	206	269	273	543	68	265	23	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	344	298	67	13	2	2	36	59	4	24	7	225	317	302	619	77	269	17	10	283	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	151	140	25	8	1	2	8	40	1	0	1	179	228	293	521	114	230	26	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	151	137	29	10	1	3	11	32	1	0	1	212	275	365	640	153	250	21	7	283	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	193	172	27	4	1	1	14	33	5	9	7	157	241	209	450	52	181	17	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	169	149	29	11	1	1	15	42	3	9	2	195	281	302	583	107	256	25	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	247	39	5	0	1	20	81	2	4	2	158	226	190	416	32	226	30	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	344	314	64	11	2	2	23	80	4	24	7	204	269	271	540	67	256	23	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	151	141	25	8	1	2	8	40	1	0	1	177	228	291	519	113	221	26	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	247	39	5	0	1	20	81	2	4	2	158	226	190	416	32	226	30	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	344	314	64	11	2	2	23	80	4	24	7	204	269	271	540	67	256	23	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	151	141	25	8	1	2	8	40	1	0	1	177	228	291	519	113	221	26	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	2%	292	270	55	13	1	3	18	69	2	5	2	206	261	299	560	93	263	24	6	253	57	-15	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	HOU	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	209	264	304	568	95	267	25	0	257	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	31%	301	277	59	13	2	4	19	71	2	5	2	211	267	315	583	104	265	24	6	262	64	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	45%	363	333	72	16	2	6	24	85	3	6	2	214	272	326	597	111	267	23	7	268	68	-14	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	403	370	80	18	2	7	27	94	3	6	2	216	275	332	606	116	268	23	7	272	70	-14	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	419	385	82	18	2	7	28	98	3	6	2	217	276	333	609	117	268	23	7	273	71	-14	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	426	391	84	18	2	8	29	100	3	5	2	216	276	333	609	116	269	23	7	273	71	-15	+0	-1	+5	+9	-0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	422	387	83	18	2	7	29	100	3	3	2	214	274	327	601	113	268	24	7	270	69	-16	-0	-1	+5	+9	-0.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	HOU	60%	418	384	82	18	2	7	28	101	3	2	2	211	270	320	590	108	266	24	7	266	66	-17	-0	-2	+4	+9	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	31%	93	86	17	4	0	1	6	22	1	1	1	214	270	320	591	106	270	24	6	266	64	-4	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	45%	162	149	33	8	1	3	11	38	1	3	1	217	275	330	605	113	271	23	7	272	68	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	205	187	40	9	1	3	14	48	2	3	1	219	278	336	614	117	272	23	7	275	70	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	220	201	44	10	1	4	15	51	2	3	1	220	279	337	616	118	273	23	7	276	71	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	227	208	45	10	1	4	15	53	2	3	1	219	279	337	616	117	273	23	7	276	71	-8	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	241	221	48	11	1	4	16	57	2	2	1	217	277	331	608	114	272	24	7	273	69	-9	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	HOU	60%	249	228	49	11	1	4	17	60	2	1	1	214	273	324	597	110	271	24	7	269	66	-10	-0	-1	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1397	1280	276	63	6	23	94	329	12	16	7	216	276	328	604	112	271	24	7	273	60	-52	+0	-2	+15	+30	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	129	29	3	11	44	153	6	7	3	216	278	331	608	114	271	24	7	273	60	-24	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4098	3748	767	168	20	55	277	977	37	83	34	205	266	304	570	100	260	24	7	257	60	-114	+1	-4	+32	+64	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	122	27	3	9	44	155	6	13	5	205	267	306	573	101	260	24	7	257	60	-25	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.1	1,401	24	16	215	271	329	+15	+12	0.2	0.3
/162	664	11	8	+7.1	+5.7	0.1	pk7: 0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alberto Hernandez (OGILVIE)	23	40	25	60	40	204/259/297	92	263	2	4	24%	6%	57	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→40	52→45	43	203/263/284	81	270	6	9	26%	6%	55	-1.9	233/294/296	63	311	4	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	228/290/283	56	297	4	5	23%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Onix Vega 2022 · A	23	44	38→30	51→45	45	210/281/291	81	271	6	7	24%	7%	65	-1.2	209/282/282	73	275	5	6	24%	8%	63	-1.4	198/277/253	56	260	4	5	23%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2013 · A	23	40	36→40	52→50	47	191/257/261	70	242	3	7	22%	7%	49	-2.4	205/279/287	82	275	6	8	26%	8%	63	-1.4	201/280/279	79	269	6	8	26%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Luis De La Cruz 2012 · A	23	47	39→30	50→30	43	225/264/322	97	276	5	7	20%	5%	64	-1.3	234/265/304	70	285	4	6	18%	4%	59	-1.6	272/285/327	55	319	3	2	15%	1%	70	-0.4
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕J.C. Millan 2019 · AA	23	43	40	48→30	43	210/260/303	93	264	8	8	23%	6%	59	-1.7	226/272/327	101	277	9	6	21%	6%	69	-0.9	231/271/321	91	275	9	2	19%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Ryan Leonards 2015 · A	24	46	39→40	56→50	43	220/275/306	87	278	6	12	23%	6%	65	-1.2	217/278/294	77	278	5	9	22%	6%	63	-1.3	212/277/276	64	270	3	8	21%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Efrain Contreras 2010 · A	23	44	39→40	52→55	43	210/273/295	85	272	6	11	24%	6%	63	-1.4	195/245/271	76	291	6	7	33%	5%	46	-2.6	162/206/221	59	241	6	5	34%	4%	17	-2.2
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	300	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	208/308/324	116	294	11	13	30%	10%	84	+0.1	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Erlin Cerda 2017 · A	23	42	35→40	51→55	43	197/259/263	67	264	2	11	25%	6%	50	-2.3	194/237/265	71	300	3	8	34%	4%	41	-3.0	162/195/205	44	254	0	8	35%	3%	7	-1.3
✕Bryce Arnold 2024 · AA	23	42	40→45	53→50	49	201/284/296	95	272	7	11	27%	9%	68	-1.0	186/276/289	103	283	10	10	35%	9%	64	-1.3	162/262/261	99	250	11	9	36%	9%	52	-1.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2024 · A	23	44	40	50→45	43	209/272/301	92	295	8	8	30%	7%	63	-1.3	199/260/287	88	290	8	9	32%	7%	55	-1.9	146/208/202	56	213	6	8	33%	6%	15	-1.6
✕Hector Estrella 2008 · A	23	46→45	39→40	50→45	44	219/272/306	87	272	6	6	22%	6%	64	-1.3	229/286/316	87	285	6	8	21%	7%	71	-0.8	231/291/315	84	284	6	8	20%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2017 · A	23	40→50	36→30	55→45	44	191/256/256	65	252	3	14	24%	6%	47	-2.5	215/255/269	54	276	3	10	22%	4%	48	-2.5	230/269/285	55	290	2	9	21%	4%	55	-1.3
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	38→48	41→40	51→50	43	187/258/284	97	272	8	13	32%	8%	55	-2.0	202/275/294	92	293	7	12	31%	8%	63	-1.4	199/276/286	87	286	6	13	30%	8%	59	-1.0
✕Kevin Ramos 2009 · A	23	47	39→40	53→45	41	224/259/323	99	282	4	12	22%	4%	62	-1.4	212/257/290	78	282	3	8	24%	5%	54	-2.0	203/249/269	66	271	2	8	24%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Ross Wilson 2012 · AA	23	46→47	37→40	49→45	45	218/280/297	79	280	3	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	202/271/288	86	269	6	6	26%	7%	60	-1.6	188/259/274	86	250	7	5	26%	6%	52	-1.4
✕Matthew Batten 2018 · A	23	43→53	38→40	51→55	41	206/258/292	86	290	5	6	30%	6%	55	-1.9	225/281/308	83	326	6	12	30%	7%	68	-1.0	221/295/311	89	305	9	27	28%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Richie Martin Jr. 2018 · AA	23	44→54	38→45	51→60	43	209/271/292	84	272	5	13	24%	6%	61	-1.5	229/282/335	106	295	8	18	24%	6%	74	-0.5	231/285/334	103	299	7	20	24%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Logan Warmoth 2019 · A	23	45→40	36→40	54→55	42	210/273/279	69	305	3	10	30%	7%	58	-1.7	197/270/274	77	317	4	14	36%	8%	57	-1.8	187/271/285	97	288	9	24	35%	8%	58	-1.1

Alberto Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps