Jefferson Rojas

SS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 150 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #47MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP52ETA2028MLB%6%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	AACHC	172	.164/.282/.205	0	5	29	—	.158/.247/.197
2025	20	A+CHC	299	.278/.382/.492	11	14	102	—	.242/.324/.417
2026	21	AAANYM	29	.308/.357/.692	3	1	128	—	.269/.321/.538
2026	21	AANYM	525	.272/.337/.495	24	20	102	—	.253/.304/.437
2027PROJ6% MLB	22	MLBNYM	19	.230/.292/.380	1	1	93	0.1
2028PROJ51% MLB	23	MLBNYM	290	.233/.296/.389	9	8	97	0.9
2029PROJ66% MLB	24	MLBNYM	394	.235/.299/.395	13	11	99	1.4

Next 3 projected WAR 2.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$6M2032Arb-2$9M2033Arb-3$12M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

K%89

Whiff%76

ISO72

wRC+70

Z-Con%66

wOBA63

Career WAR3 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 44, comp-based) · star 11% · didn't stick 48%

CompsAgustín Ramírez (age 22) · Ezequiel Tovar (age 21) · Miguel Vargas (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .292 / .380

PA19

HR1

K%21

BB%5

BABIP259

ISO222

MLB%6%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$41M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$9M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$10M	+$10M
2031	Arb-1	$6M	+1.7	$10M	+$6M
2032	Arb-2	$9M	+1.7	$9M	+$4M
2033	Arb-3	$12M	+1.5	$8M	+$1M
Totals		$30M		$50M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	145	44	6	3	1	16	18	6	15	2	303	395	407	802	103	336	11	9	361	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	272	73	14	1	7	23	61	10	13	4	268	348	404	752	136	320	20	7	338	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	419	372	91	10	3	6	35	64	4	21	8	245	316	336	652	91	274	15	8	293	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	172	146	24	6	0	0	20	34	4	5	0	164	282	205	488	41	211	20	12	238	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	299	252	70	13	4	11	38	47	5	14	3	278	382	492	874	214	299	16	13	382	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	29	26	8	1	0	3	1	8	1	1	0	308	357	692	1.049	385	312	28	3	434	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	525	463	126	27	2	24	46	88	3	20	7	272	337	495	832	222	286	17	9	358	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	17	16	5	1	0	2	1	3	0	1	0	312	353	750	1.103	438	273	18	6	468	203	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	151	32	4	2	1	10	22	6	15	2	212	287	285	572	73	229	13	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	278	63	12	1	6	17	82	10	13	4	227	295	342	637	115	290	27	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	419	381	83	8	3	6	26	81	4	21	8	218	275	302	577	84	245	19	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	172	152	24	6	0	0	14	42	4	5	0	158	247	197	444	39	210	24	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	299	264	64	11	4	9	27	57	5	14	3	242	324	417	741	174	270	19	9	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	29	26	7	1	0	2	1	10	1	1	0	269	321	538	860	269	284	34	3	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	525	483	122	25	2	20	33	107	3	20	7	253	304	437	741	184	277	20	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	151	32	4	2	1	10	22	6	15	2	212	287	285	572	73	238	13	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	145	44	6	3	1	16	18	6	15	2	303	395	407	802	103	336	11	9	361	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	278	63	12	1	6	17	82	10	13	4	227	295	342	637	115	297	27	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	272	73	14	1	7	23	61	10	13	4	268	348	404	752	136	320	20	7	338	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	419	381	83	8	3	6	26	81	4	21	8	218	275	302	577	84	255	19	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	419	372	91	10	3	6	35	64	4	21	8	245	316	336	652	91	274	15	8	293	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	471	416	89	18	4	9	41	99	9	19	3	214	298	341	640	127	256	21	9	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	471	398	94	19	4	11	58	81	9	19	3	236	345	387	732	151	267	17	12	329	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	571	525	133	26	2	23	35	120	4	22	7	253	305	442	747	189	283	21	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	571	505	139	29	2	29	48	99	4	22	7	275	339	513	852	238	286	17	8	366	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	151	32	4	2	1	10	22	6	15	2	212	287	285	572	73	229	13	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	277	63	12	1	6	17	82	10	13	4	227	295	343	638	116	290	27	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	419	386	83	8	3	6	26	81	4	21	8	215	275	298	573	83	245	19	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	471	418	89	18	4	9	41	99	9	19	3	213	298	340	638	127	248	21	9	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	571	527	133	26	2	23	35	120	4	22	7	252	305	440	745	188	277	21	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	419	386	83	8	3	6	26	81	4	21	8	215	275	298	573	83	245	19	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	471	418	89	18	4	9	41	99	9	19	3	213	298	340	638	127	248	21	9	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	571	527	133	26	2	23	35	120	4	22	7	252	305	440	745	188	277	21	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYM	6%	643	587	139	26	4	19	45	125	6	17	5	237	298	390	688	154	268	19	7	305	93	-6	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYM	6%	19	18	5	1	0	1	1	4	0	1	0	230	292	380	672	150	259	21	5	299	93	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	51%	570	518	124	23	3	18	41	109	6	16	4	240	302	399	702	159	269	19	7	311	97	-2	+2	-0	+6	+12	1.8
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYM	66%	597	542	132	25	3	19	44	114	6	16	5	242	306	405	711	163	271	19	7	315	99	-1	+1	-0	+6	+13	2.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYM	73%	615	558	135	25	3	20	46	118	6	16	5	243	307	408	715	165	272	19	7	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+7	+13	2.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYM	76%	627	569	138	26	3	20	47	121	6	16	5	243	308	407	716	164	273	19	7	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+7	+14	2.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYM	76%	629	570	138	26	3	20	48	124	6	16	5	242	308	405	713	163	274	20	8	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+7	+14	2.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYM	76%	626	567	137	26	3	20	48	124	6	13	4	241	306	401	707	160	273	20	8	313	98	-1	+1	-0	+7	+14	2.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYM	74%	617	559	134	25	3	19	47	124	6	11	4	238	303	395	698	156	272	20	8	310	96	-3	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYM	73%	607	552	130	24	3	18	45	124	5	8	3	236	300	388	688	152	271	20	7	306	93	-5	+0	-2	+7	+13	1.3
2036	31	MLB MLE	NYM	79%	594	540	125	23	3	17	44	124	5	4	2	232	295	378	674	146	268	21	7	300	89	-8	+0	-3	+6	+13	0.9
2037	32	MLB MLE	NYM	83%	576	524	119	22	2	16	42	123	5	3	2	227	289	366	655	139	265	21	7	292	84	-11	-0	-3	+6	+12	0.4
2038	33	MLB MLE	NYM	86%	546	498	110	20	2	14	39	120	4	2	1	220	282	351	633	131	260	22	7	283	78	-14	+0	-4	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	51%	290	264	62	11	2	9	21	56	3	8	2	233	296	389	685	156	261	19	7	304	97	-1	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.9
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYM	66%	394	358	84	15	2	13	29	75	4	11	3	235	299	395	694	160	262	19	7	308	99	-0	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.4
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYM	73%	449	409	96	17	2	15	33	86	4	12	3	236	301	397	699	161	263	19	7	310	100	+0	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.6
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYM	76%	479	435	102	19	2	15	36	93	5	12	4	236	302	397	699	161	264	19	8	310	101	+0	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.7
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYM	76%	479	435	102	19	2	15	36	94	5	12	4	236	302	395	697	160	265	20	8	309	100	-0	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.7
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYM	76%	476	432	100	18	2	15	36	95	5	10	3	234	300	391	690	157	264	20	8	307	98	-1	+1	-0	+5	+10	1.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYM	74%	459	417	96	17	2	14	35	93	4	8	3	232	297	385	682	153	263	20	8	303	96	-2	+0	-1	+5	+10	1.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYM	73%	445	405	93	17	2	13	33	91	4	6	2	229	294	378	672	149	262	20	7	299	93	-4	+0	-1	+5	+10	1.0
2036	31	MLB CTX	NYM	79%	470	428	96	17	2	13	35	98	4	3	2	225	289	369	658	143	259	21	7	293	89	-6	-0	-2	+5	+10	0.7
2037	32	MLB CTX	NYM	83%	479	437	96	17	2	13	35	102	4	3	2	220	283	357	640	136	256	21	7	286	84	-9	-0	-3	+5	+10	0.4
2038	33	MLB CTX	NYM	86%	469	430	92	16	2	12	33	103	3	2	1	214	276	342	618	128	252	22	7	277	78	-12	+0	-3	+5	+10	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4889	4450	1019	183	22	147	362	986	45	87	29	229	294	379	673	150	261	20	7	300	90	-36	+6	-10	+52	+106	12.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	136	24	3	20	48	131	6	12	4	230	294	382	676	152	261	20	7	300	90	-5	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	8861	8040	1891	346	45	255	642	1791	97	220	66	235	300	385	684	149	270	20	7	302	90	-48	+9	-13	+74	+150	17.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	138	25	3	19	47	131	7	16	5	234	298	383	681	149	268	20	7	302	90	-4	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#2Orlando Cabrera'97-'11 * career totals — 14 seasons, 8,255 PA	12.4	8,255	123	216	262*	308*	381*	+84	+5	19.8	19.1
/162	664	10	17	+6.8	+0.4	1.6	pk7: 18
#3Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#4Heinie Wagner'02-'18 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,771 PA	5.7	3,771	10	144	251*	324*	410*	+36	-7	15.0	14.9
/162	664	2	25	+6.4	-1.3	2.6	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	7.4	4,909	148	87	238	298	392	+53	-1	15.6	14.0
/162	664	20	12	+7.1	-0.1	2.1	pk7: 12
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jefferson Rojas (OGILVIE)	22	47→54	46→49	50	45	235/295/387	152	268	9	9	19%	7%	93	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2023 · MLB	21	50→49	49→55	54→50	42	253/296/401	148	300	16	18	22%	5%	95	+1.0	244/280/395	151	314	16	10	27%	4%	88	+0.4	240/274/388	149	310	15	8	27%	4%	85	+0.2
●Miguel Vargas 2023 · MLB	23	51→54	50→55	51→50	49	256/318/416	160	295	17	13	20%	8%	107	+1.8	227/316/385	158	269	16	11	21%	10%	99	+1.3	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
✕Luis Juarez 2012 · AAA	22	49→57	47→45	46→40	45	247/288/380	133	275	15	9	17%	5%	87	+0.4	247/290/365	118	285	11	7	17%	5%	84	+0.2	261/309/379	118	281	13	3	12%	6%	93	+0.5
✕Noelvi Marte 2024 · MLB	22	50→55	48→50	52→55	47	247/311/388	140	308	15	19	24%	8%	98	+1.2	242/287/373	131	305	14	18	25%	5%	85	+0.2	241/280/371	130	301	15	19	24%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	46→51	52→55	49→50	45	236/302/402	166	297	20	12	27%	7%	98	+1.2	247/306/406	159	329	18	11	29%	7%	100	+1.3	247/320/404	157	334	17	14	30%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	49→52	51→55	53→50	45	247/308/415	168	312	18	13	26%	7%	103	+1.6	240/302/401	161	300	18	7	25%	7%	98	+1.2	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	48→55	51→55	52→50	40	243/287/408	165	311	18	15	28%	5%	94	+0.9	221/272/370	149	289	16	12	28%	5%	79	-0.2	235/276/408	173	305	22	8	30%	5%	88	+0.2
✕Dilson Herrera 2017 · MLB	23	51→60	49→55	46→50	45	257/307/405	148	309	16	12	22%	6%	100	+1.3	230/283/380	150	299	18	8	28%	6%	86	+0.3	214/271/374	160	282	21	7	31%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Brendan Rodgers 2019 · AAA	22	48→55	47→50	47→45	39	242/287/381	139	299	15	8	24%	4%	87	+0.4	247/294/387	140	307	15	6	24%	5%	91	+0.7	260/314/400	140	308	15	0	20%	6%	102	+1.0
✕Orlando Arcia 2018 · MLB	23	51→59	45→50	51→55	43	253/291/377	124	298	12	17	20%	5%	87	+0.4	243/288/359	116	293	12	11	21%	6%	82	+0.0	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	48→54	48→55	52→55	45	238/301/386	148	304	14	21	26%	7%	94	+0.9	222/284/374	152	291	16	17	28%	7%	85	+0.2	202/265/351	149	268	17	17	30%	7%	70	-0.4
●Rougned Odor 2016 · MLB	22	51→56	50→60	48→50	44	255/303/419	163	286	16	11	17%	5%	102	+1.5	241/284/431	190	273	24	12	22%	5%	99	+1.2	233/280/423	189	266	26	14	23%	5%	94	+0.9
●Elijah Dukes 2006 · AA	22	52→54	50→55	51→50	46	262/312/420	158	307	17	16	21%	6%	105	+1.7	253/337/426	173	297	19	14	21%	10%	116	+2.5	246/353/433	188	290	20	15	21%	12%	123	+1.6
✕Alberto Carreon 2010 · AAA	22	46→56	45	43→50	48	225/296/348	123	253	13	10	17%	6%	84	+0.1	242/295/324	82	298	5	9	19%	5%	76	-0.4	274/332/381	107	344	7	11	21%	5%	100	+0.8
●Omar Infante 2005 · MLB	23	50→60	47→55	50	48	250/302/397	146	290	14	13	19%	7%	96	+1.0	246/290/385	139	284	12	11	18%	6%	88	+0.5	285/317/412	127	305	11	9	10%	4%	105	+1.6
✕Brayan Rocchio 2023 · AAA	22	47→56	47→45	46→50	44	233/294/368	135	288	14	13	24%	6%	87	+0.4	234/302/353	119	283	9	16	20%	8%	86	+0.3	225/297/350	125	260	12	16	18%	7%	85	+0.2
●Logan O'Hoppe 2022 · AAA	22	44→48	48→55	46→45	43	226/277/363	137	270	17	7	24%	6%	80	-0.2	240/312/419	179	282	24	6	24%	8%	106	+1.8	242/317/431	188	286	27	4	25%	8%	110	+1.4
✕Adael Amador 2024 · AA	21	52→56	48→50	49→55	54	257/333/399	142	291	15	16	17%	9%	109	+2.0	235/310/364	129	275	14	21	19%	9%	92	+0.7	231/310/357	126	266	13	22	18%	9%	88	+0.4

Jefferson Rojas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps