Alfredo Espinoza

Alfredo EspinozaC ACL Rangers

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .252 / .267

PA3

HR0

K%32

BB%6

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	56	48	7	2	0	0	7	14	0	0	0	146	255	188	442	42	206	25	12	214	31	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	51	48	18	3	1	0	2	12	0	1	0	375	400	479	879	104	486	24	4	383	145	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	23	19	3	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	158	304	211	515	53	231	26	17	256	59	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	56	51	5	1	0	0	4	21	0	0	0	98	164	118	281	20	165	38	7	142	-18	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	51	49	13	2	1	0	1	18	0	1	0	265	280	347	627	82	382	35	2	256	59	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	23	20	2	1	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	100	217	150	367	50	179	39	13	167	-1	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	56	51	5	1	0	0	4	21	0	0	0	98	164	118	281	20	167	38	7	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	—	56	48	7	2	0	0	7	14	0	0	0	146	255	188	442	42	206	25	12	214	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	51	49	13	2	1	0	1	18	0	1	0	265	280	347	627	82	406	35	2	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	51	48	18	3	1	0	2	12	0	1	0	375	400	479	879	104	486	24	4	383	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	23	20	2	1	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	100	217	150	367	50	182	39	13	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	23	19	3	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	158	304	211	515	53	231	26	17	256	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	56	52	5	1	0	0	4	21	0	0	0	96	164	115	279	19	165	38	7	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	51	50	13	2	1	0	1	18	0	1	0	260	280	340	620	80	382	35	2	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	23	20	2	1	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	100	217	150	367	50	179	39	13	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	51	50	13	2	1	0	1	18	0	1	0	260	280	340	620	80	382	35	2	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	23	20	2	1	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	100	217	150	367	50	179	39	13	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						290	33	0	239	48	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	113	104	22	4	1	1	7	34	1	1	0	212	268	298	566	87	291	30	6	250	55	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	247	226	47	8	2	3	17	74	2	3	1	208	269	301	570	93	292	30	7	258	61	-12	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	347	318	68	12	2	5	24	102	2	4	1	214	273	311	585	97	293	29	7	263	64	-15	+0	+0	+6	+8	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	407	373	80	14	3	6	28	119	3	4	1	214	275	316	591	102	293	29	7	266	66	-16	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	444	407	87	15	3	7	31	129	3	5	1	214	274	317	591	103	293	29	7	266	66	-18	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	463	424	91	16	3	7	33	135	3	5	1	215	276	316	592	101	293	29	7	267	67	-18	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	470	430	91	16	3	7	34	138	3	5	1	212	274	312	586	100	292	29	7	265	66	-19	+1	-1	+8	+10	-0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	468	428	90	15	3	7	34	138	3	4	1	210	273	308	582	98	291	29	7	264	65	-20	+0	-1	+8	+10	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	167	231	194	425	28	293	31	8	248	55	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	120	110	24	4	1	2	8	36	1	1	0	218	277	327	605	109	294	30	7	256	61	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	183	167	36	6	1	3	13	54	1	2	1	216	276	317	594	102	295	30	7	261	64	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	223	204	44	8	2	3	15	65	2	2	1	216	276	319	595	103	295	29	7	264	66	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	247	226	49	8	2	4	17	72	2	3	1	217	278	323	601	106	295	29	7	264	66	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	255	233	51	9	2	4	18	75	2	3	1	219	281	326	607	107	295	29	7	264	67	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	257	235	51	9	2	4	18	75	2	3	1	217	278	323	602	106	294	29	7	263	66	-10	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	250	228	49	8	2	4	18	74	2	2	1	215	278	320	598	105	293	30	7	261	65	-11	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1574	1439	310	53	12	24	110	463	12	16	6	215	277	319	596	104	298	29	7	262	63	-66	+1	-1	+28	+34	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	128	22	5	10	45	191	5	7	2	215	276	320	596	104	298	29	7	262	63	-27	+0	-0	+12	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3092	2833	596	104	21	43	216	918	20	32	7	210	271	307	579	97	293	30	7	261	63	-124	+3	-2	+53	+64	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	125	22	4	9	45	193	4	7	1	210	270	305	575	96	292	30	7	261	63	-27	+1	-0	+12	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,609	23	16	213	271	311	+29	+20	0.7	0.8
/162	664	9	7	+11.9	+8.3	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfredo Espinoza (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	197/252/267	70	290	0	0	32%	6%	48	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	40→45	48→30	38	195/255/282	87	294	7	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	178/234/262	84	256	7	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	39	39→50	44→45	37	186/262/264	78	301	7	6	38%	6%	52	-2.2	204/269/325	121	300	13	5	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Adam Howard 2007 · A	21	37	35→50	50→40	38	179/229/240	61	268	2	6	32%	5%	32	-3.6	196/234/301	105	282	12	4	34%	5%	49	-2.4	184/215/296	112	252	16	2	34%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	43	-2.8	192/239/270	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	140/190/175	36	236	0	6	38%	6%	0	-1.0
✕Carlos Paulino 2011 · A	21	36	36→40	48→40	34	178/210/241	63	248	3	4	29%	3%	25	-4.1	215/259/302	87	264	5	4	20%	4%	58	-1.7	234/276/291	57	290	1	0	19%	5%	58	-0.4
✕Geovanny Planchart 2023 · A	21	41	36→40	50→40	46	189/270/254	65	297	3	5	34%	10%	53	-2.1	192/278/273	81	283	5	4	31%	10%	60	-1.6	178/270/257	78	255	6	2	30%	10%	51	-0.9
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	174/222/255	81	277	7	4	39%	5%	34	-3.5	184/241/265	81	306	8	5	40%	6%	44	-2.8	141/191/216	75	260	9	0	47%	5%	11	-1.0
✕Adam Zebrowski 2022 · A	21	44→35	39→50	49→40	38	206/267/292	86	316	5	7	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/262/310	120	286	13	4	36%	8%	62	-1.4	188/241/319	130	273	18	2	37%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Elio Prado 2023 · A	21	42→38	36→40	46→50	45	196/282/260	64	285	4	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	195/265/290	95	267	9	12	29%	7%	59	-1.7	182/251/273	91	250	9	14	30%	7%	47	-1.4
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	39→37	36→45	47→40	40	183/249/251	68	277	3	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	179/238/250	71	242	6	4	27%	6%	38	-3.2	192/262/321	129	263	16	1	32%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Justin Twine 2017 · A	21	37→32	37→40	45→50	29	181/219/250	69	290	4	7	38%	3%	31	-3.7	199/238/279	80	295	5	9	33%	3%	45	-2.7	214/250/302	88	318	6	14	33%	3%	53	-1.2
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2007 · A	21	40	36→40	45→50	36	190/231/257	67	286	3	5	34%	5%	36	-3.3	196/248/279	83	269	7	5	28%	6%	49	-2.4	204/246/286	82	258	10	12	25%	5%	47	-0.7
✕Miguel Jerez 2018 · A	20	36	37→60	47→40	38	175/233/245	70	281	4	5	37%	7%	36	-3.4	176/241/304	128	277	16	4	40%	7%	53	-2.1	137/212/274	137	203	19	1	42%	7%	35	-1.3
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	36→33	37→45	47→30	38	174/239/249	74	275	4	6	36%	6%	39	-3.1	196/254/306	110	314	10	3	38%	7%	58	-1.7	173/241/298	125	280	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Alex Jackson 2016 · A	20	38→37	38→55	45→30	34	181/238/262	82	294	5	5	38%	5%	42	-2.9	193/251/322	129	292	14	3	37%	5%	61	-1.5	191/262/354	163	266	20	2	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	32	-3.7	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	57	-1.8	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps