Jose Contreras — OGILVIE

Jose ContrerasOF Charleston RiverDogs

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .267 / .300

PA77

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	211	179	41	7	2	2	25	64	4	3	3	229	337	324	661	95	336	30	12	303	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	103	87	15	5	1	3	13	35	2	2	3	172	294	356	650	184	240	34	13	294	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	187	160	40	10	3	2	18	40	7	6	4	250	351	388	739	138	319	21	10	332	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	54	49	11	1	0	0	4	17	0	1	0	224	283	245	528	20	344	31	7	243	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	39	35	10	3	0	1	2	9	2	2	1	286	359	457	816	171	360	23	5	365	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	211	188	26	4	1	1	16	80	4	3	3	138	221	186	407	48	219	38	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	103	92	9	3	1	1	8	43	2	2	3	98	186	185	371	87	140	42	8	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	187	167	28	7	2	1	11	59	7	6	4	168	249	251	500	84	244	32	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	54	50	9	1	0	0	3	23	0	1	0	180	226	200	426	20	324	43	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	39	36	7	2	0	1	1	13	2	2	1	194	256	333	590	139	276	33	3	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	211	188	26	4	1	1	16	80	4	3	3	138	221	186	407	48	227	38	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	211	179	41	7	2	2	25	64	4	3	3	229	337	324	661	95	336	30	12	303	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	103	92	9	3	1	1	8	43	2	2	3	98	186	185	371	87	163	42	8	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	103	87	15	5	1	3	13	35	2	2	3	172	294	356	650	184	240	34	13	294	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	187	167	28	7	2	1	11	59	7	6	4	168	249	251	500	84	250	32	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	187	160	40	10	3	2	18	40	7	6	4	250	351	388	739	138	319	21	10	332	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	93	86	17	3	0	1	4	36	2	3	1	198	250	267	517	70	327	39	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	93	84	21	4	0	1	6	26	2	3	1	250	315	333	649	83	351	28	6	294	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	211	189	26	4	1	1	16	80	4	3	3	138	221	185	406	48	219	38	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	103	92	9	3	1	1	8	43	2	2	3	98	186	185	371	87	140	42	8	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	187	167	28	7	2	1	11	59	7	6	4	168	249	251	500	84	244	32	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	93	87	17	3	0	1	4	36	2	3	1	195	250	264	514	69	304	39	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	187	167	28	7	2	1	11	59	7	6	4	168	249	251	500	84	244	32	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	93	87	17	3	0	1	4	36	2	3	1	195	250	264	514	69	304	39	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TB	0%	203	185	38	7	1	3	13	60	3	3	1	206	269	303	572	97	285	30	6	259	62	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TB	34%	147	134	28	5	1	2	10	43	2	2	1	210	274	316	590	106	287	29	7	267	67	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	TB	34%	51	47	10	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	212	276	317	593	105	290	29	6	268	67	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	51	47	10	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	213	275	319	594	106	290	29	6	268	33	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	127	25	0	13	38	191	13	13	0	212	274	319	593	107	289	29	6	268	33	-26	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	818	738	123	25	6	7	54	284	18	17	12	167	241	245	486	79	256	35	7	218	33	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	99	20	5	6	43	226	14	14	10	169	243	251	493	82	259	35	7	218	33	-27	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Contreras (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	204/267/300	96	285	1	1	30%	7%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Felix Stevens 2021 · A	22	41→36	40→50	48→45	41	194/265/291	97	300	7	8	35%	7%	59	-1.7	190/248/327	137	321	15	5	43%	6%	61	-1.5	183/258/337	154	293	20	5	42%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	41→37	44→45	49→50	41	202/273/319	117	276	11	8	30%	6%	69	-0.9	208/282/339	131	278	13	10	29%	6%	77	-0.3	207/286/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→34	39→50	49→30	40	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	196/250/365	169	289	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	176/230/331	155	250	22	1	39%	5%	53	-1.4
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	43→25	40→55	47→45	44	206/283/296	90	283	7	7	28%	7%	67	-1.1	185/280/351	166	286	19	5	39%	9%	80	-0.2	159/268/326	167	242	20	5	41%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	190/265/292	102	283	8	14	34%	8%	59	-1.6	204/267/311	107	290	7	12	30%	6%	63	-1.3	179/266/281	102	259	10	19	32%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	39→37	41→45	48→45	40	192/249/294	102	277	8	8	32%	7%	53	-2.1	208/259/320	112	312	12	9	35%	6%	63	-1.4	200/248/316	117	298	15	10	37%	5%	57	-0.9
✕Yassel Pino 2024 · A	22	37	42→45	48→40	45	186/253/292	105	245	10	5	28%	8%	54	-2.0	208/263/318	110	276	11	8	28%	6%	64	-1.3	205/253/313	109	262	15	10	27%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Frank Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	35	42→45	47→30	38	180/236/279	99	250	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	188/246/274	86	257	8	4	29%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Elio Prado 2024 · A	22	40→37	42→40	46→50	45	199/275/302	103	259	10	9	26%	7%	65	-1.2	190/255/279	89	267	8	14	30%	7%	52	-2.2	168/233/235	68	243	6	17	32%	7%	32	-1.7
✕Ben Johnson 2016 · A	22	42→30	44→50	46→45	42	211/269/331	120	266	11	4	25%	6%	69	-0.9	172/224/251	79	321	6	9	45%	5%	34	-3.5	140/190/204	64	287	5	10	50%	4%	8	-2.6
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	40	203/258/299	95	286	8	8	31%	6%	57	-1.8	200/263/285	85	289	7	9	31%	7%	56	-1.9	185/254/258	73	266	7	8	31%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→37	39→45	48→50	44	207/271/295	88	278	6	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	206/270/312	106	292	11	11	31%	7%	65	-1.2	191/259/294	103	264	13	13	31%	7%	54	-1.5
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	44→45	44→50	40	196/266/309	113	300	11	8	37%	7%	63	-1.3	198/282/315	117	299	12	10	35%	9%	72	-0.7	182/278/312	130	266	15	9	35%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Riccio Torrez 2012 · A	22	41→34	43→40	46→45	39	205/249/308	103	258	11	7	25%	4%	56	-1.9	193/249/284	91	245	8	5	24%	4%	51	-2.2	184/240/270	86	233	7	4	24%	4%	42	-1.5
✕J.V. Martinez 2021 · A	22	40→36	42→45	44→30	41	198/259/300	102	278	9	3	31%	6%	58	-1.7	203/258/315	112	285	10	4	31%	6%	61	-1.5	191/246/304	114	264	10	1	31%	5%	52	-0.9
✕Stanley Tucker 2024 · A	22	39	41→45	53→65	36	188/242/288	100	308	9	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	187/256/270	83	274	7	23	32%	8%	50	-2.3	180/250/264	84	241	8	36	28%	8%	44	-1.3
✕Brian Sanchez 2017 · A	21	37	43→50	45	42	189/257/303	113	261	11	4	31%	7%	59	-1.7	184/237/278	94	281	8	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	133/186/201	68	218	4	0	39%	6%	6	-1.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8