Andrés Nolaya

C Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ABAL	196	.204/.307/.269	1	16	38	—	.180/.266/.238
2026	21	A+BAL	57	.222/.386/.356	2	3	69	—	.184/.298/.306
2026	21	ABAL	250	.286/.380/.427	5	13	86	—	.249/.322/.362
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBBAL	417	.209/.280/.302	5	10	66	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBBAL	118	.217/.288/.324	2	3	72	0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBBAL	191	.221/.293/.336	4	5	76	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Z-Con%99

Whiff%93

BB%88

Chase%80

wRC+58

wOBA57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsAlex Mooney (age 22) · Juan Mora (age 22) · Corey Joyce (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 301 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .278 / .299

PA301

HR4

SB7

K%23

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Orange	—	117	92	17	3	0	0	21	26	3	6	5	185	353	217	571	33	254	22	18	285	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	142	123	36	8	2	1	16	33	0	9	4	293	374	415	789	122	380	23	11	348	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	114	91	20	2	2	0	17	24	2	9	3	220	355	286	640	66	282	21	15	295	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	196	167	34	6	1	1	17	50	8	16	2	204	307	269	577	66	284	26	9	269	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Frederick Keys	—	57	45	10	0	0	2	10	13	2	3	2	222	386	356	742	133	267	23	18	348	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	250	213	61	11	2	5	26	40	6	13	2	286	380	427	807	141	329	16	10	357	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Orange	—	117	98	12	2	0	0	15	32	3	6	5	122	259	143	401	20	179	27	13	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	142	129	22	5	1	1	10	43	0	9	4	171	230	248	478	78	230	30	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	114	97	17	2	1	0	11	33	2	9	3	175	273	216	489	41	231	29	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	196	172	31	5	1	1	12	68	8	16	2	180	266	238	504	58	279	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	57	49	9	0	0	2	6	17	2	3	2	184	298	306	604	122	237	30	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	250	221	55	9	2	4	18	54	6	13	2	249	322	362	684	113	298	22	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Orange	—	117	98	12	2	0	0	15	32	3	6	5	122	259	143	401	20	179	27	13	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BAL Orange	—	117	92	17	3	0	0	21	26	3	6	5	185	353	217	571	33	254	22	18	285	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	142	129	22	5	1	1	10	43	0	9	4	171	230	248	478	78	239	30	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	142	123	36	8	2	1	16	33	0	9	4	293	374	415	789	122	380	23	11	348	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	114	97	17	2	1	0	11	33	2	9	3	175	273	216	489	41	250	29	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	114	91	20	2	2	0	17	24	2	9	3	220	355	286	640	66	282	21	15	295	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	196	172	31	5	1	1	12	68	8	16	2	180	266	238	504	58	291	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	196	167	34	6	1	1	17	50	8	16	2	204	307	269	577	66	284	26	9	269	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	307	270	64	9	2	6	24	72	8	16	4	237	318	352	670	115	299	23	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	307	258	71	11	2	7	36	53	8	16	4	275	381	415	796	140	320	17	12	355	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Orange	—	117	98	12	2	0	0	15	32	3	6	5	122	259	143	401	20	179	27	13	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	142	131	22	5	1	1	10	43	0	9	4	168	230	244	474	76	230	30	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	114	100	17	2	1	0	11	33	2	9	3	170	273	210	483	40	231	29	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	196	174	31	5	1	1	12	68	8	16	2	178	266	236	501	57	279	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	307	272	64	9	2	6	24	72	8	16	4	235	318	349	667	114	287	23	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	114	100	17	2	1	0	11	33	2	9	3	170	273	210	483	40	231	29	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	196	174	31	5	1	1	12	68	8	16	2	178	266	236	501	57	279	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	307	272	64	9	2	6	24	72	8	16	4	235	318	349	667	114	287	23	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	417	376	78	15	2	5	30	95	8	10	2	209	280	302	582	93	262	23	7	266	66	-17	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	342	308	65	12	2	5	25	77	6	8	2	214	285	318	603	104	265	23	7	274	72	-12	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	46%	413	372	80	15	2	7	31	93	7	10	2	217	289	328	618	111	267	23	8	280	76	-12	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	452	407	90	17	2	9	34	101	8	11	3	219	292	335	627	116	268	22	8	283	78	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	475	428	94	18	2	9	36	106	8	11	3	221	293	339	632	118	269	22	8	285	79	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	484	436	96	18	2	10	37	109	8	11	3	221	294	340	633	119	270	23	8	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+10	0.9
2033	28	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	485	437	95	18	2	9	37	110	8	10	3	219	291	335	626	116	269	23	8	283	78	-13	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	479	433	94	18	2	9	36	110	7	9	3	216	289	328	617	112	267	23	8	279	75	-14	+1	-1	+9	+10	0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	470	425	90	17	2	8	35	110	7	8	3	213	285	321	605	107	265	23	7	275	72	-16	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.1
2036	31	MLB MLE	BAL	59%	444	401	84	16	2	7	33	105	7	6	3	209	280	311	591	102	262	24	7	269	68	-17	+0	-3	+8	+10	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	118	106	23	4	1	2	9	27	2	3	1	217	288	324	613	107	269	23	8	278	72	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	46%	191	172	38	7	1	4	14	43	3	5	1	221	293	336	628	115	271	23	7	284	76	-6	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	233	209	47	9	1	5	18	52	4	6	1	223	295	343	638	120	272	22	8	288	78	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	258	232	52	10	1	5	20	58	4	6	2	224	296	346	643	122	273	22	8	290	79	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	263	237	52	10	1	5	20	59	4	6	2	224	297	347	644	123	274	22	8	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	263	237	52	10	1	5	20	60	4	6	2	222	295	342	637	120	273	23	8	288	78	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	254	229	51	10	1	5	19	58	4	5	1	220	292	336	628	116	271	23	7	284	75	-7	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	267	241	52	10	1	5	20	62	4	5	2	217	288	328	616	111	269	23	7	279	72	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	BAL	59%	264	238	51	10	1	4	20	63	4	4	2	212	283	317	600	105	266	24	8	273	68	-10	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2111	1901	418	80	9	40	160	482	33	46	14	220	292	335	626	115	272	23	8	284	71	-62	+4	-4	+38	+46	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	129	25	3	12	49	148	10	14	4	221	291	335	627	115	273	23	8	284	71	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5221	4685	991	183	25	85	397	1238	92	147	45	212	286	316	602	104	267	24	8	273	71	-130	+7	-7	+78	+94	4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	124	23	3	11	49	154	11	18	6	213	286	319	605	106	268	24	8	273	71	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.6	2,411	42	52	217	285	327	+43	+24	3.9	3.7
/162	664	12	14	+11.9	+6.6	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrés Nolaya (OGILVIE)	22	25	20	60	35	207/278/299	93	262	4	7	23%	7%	66	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex Mooney 2024 · A	22	41→39	39→40	53→55	44	196/263/283	87	261	6	12	26%	6%	56	-1.9	190/263/289	99	265	8	27	30%	7%	58	-1.7	182/255/278	96	255	8	30	30%	7%	51	-1.8
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	300	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	208/308/324	116	294	11	13	30%	10%	84	+0.1	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Brett Martinez 2006 · A	22	43→40	41→40	54→50	45	207/278/303	97	283	8	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	199/257/265	66	283	5	7	29%	7%	49	-2.4	190/244/239	49	270	5	5	30%	6%	36	-2.2
✕Franklin Torres 2019 · A	22	46→41	41→40	52→50	46	222/276/315	93	278	8	8	23%	7%	68	-1.0	208/271/291	83	305	6	5	31%	8%	60	-1.6	192/256/262	70	294	5	1	34%	8%	46	-1.4
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	194/232/294	100	263	8	10	29%	4%	46	-2.6	197/236/287	90	278	6	9	30%	5%	45	-2.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jose Rosario 2014 · A	22	41	44→40	51→50	42	207/260/321	114	253	11	12	23%	5%	63	-1.3	235/273/320	85	293	5	9	21%	4%	67	-1.1	246/276/325	79	308	4	9	21%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Luis Perez 2013 · A	22	45	42→30	53→50	45	219/272/330	111	261	8	10	19%	6%	70	-0.9	217/256/329	112	298	10	7	29%	4%	63	-1.3	212/238/338	126	299	11	2	32%	3%	55	-0.6
✕Max George 2018 · A	22	39	42→45	50→55	45	195/270/303	109	255	9	15	27%	7%	64	-1.3	188/271/296	108	261	10	20	30%	7%	63	-1.4	145/250/272	127	214	15	25	38%	9%	49	-1.2
✕Jose Cordova 2022 · A	22	48	37→40	52→50	41	224/281/299	74	304	3	14	26%	5%	65	-1.2	209/261/278	69	306	3	8	31%	5%	53	-2.1	237/299/326	89	314	5	11	24%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→40	52→45	43	203/263/284	81	270	6	9	26%	6%	55	-1.9	233/294/296	63	311	4	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	228/290/283	56	297	4	5	23%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Lolo Sanchez 2021 · A	22	45	39→45	54→55	45	215/279/308	93	262	6	21	20%	6%	68	-1.0	214/290/322	108	258	12	18	21%	8%	76	-0.4	204/284/298	95	242	11	17	20%	9%	66	-0.7
✕Luis De La Cruz 2011 · A	22	40	40→30	47→30	38	195/231/295	100	253	6	6	26%	4%	45	-2.7	235/266/315	80	286	4	6	19%	4%	63	-1.4	266/288/334	68	312	3	4	16%	3%	71	-0.3
✕Glenn Santiago 2022 · A	21	42	39→40	51→45	49	202/274/291	88	241	7	11	19%	7%	62	-1.4	201/261/287	86	290	7	8	31%	7%	56	-1.9	185/249/263	77	271	7	8	32%	7%	44	-1.1
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	43	38→40	52→55	50	203/279/280	77	258	5	18	22%	8%	61	-1.5	191/249/259	68	294	4	11	34%	5%	45	-2.7	132/178/179	47	218	4	5	40%	2%	-1	-1.1
✕Jack Payton 2024 · A	22	45	40→45	51→45	38	216/272/307	91	306	8	9	31%	5%	65	-1.2	213/291/319	106	300	9	6	30%	8%	75	-0.5	211/289/318	107	294	9	6	29%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Tanner Schobel 2023 · A	22	45→44	38→45	52→50	47	212/285/292	80	289	6	13	27%	8%	66	-1.1	206/276/316	110	270	11	10	26%	8%	68	-1.0	198/271/309	111	256	12	10	26%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕John Rhodes 2023 · AA	22	43→37	41→45	58→50	47	208/286/313	105	274	8	16	26%	8%	72	-0.7	190/258/293	103	266	10	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	173/241/264	91	242	10	7	31%	7%	41	-2.2

Andrés Nolaya

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps