Railin Tejada — OGILVIE

Railin TejadaOF FCL Blue Jays

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .264 / .285

PA57

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	70	61	4	0	0	1	7	41	2	3	3	66	186	115	300	49	158	59	10	153	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	70	55	7	0	0	2	13	29	2	3	3	127	314	236	551	109	208	41	19	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	208	191	37	5	3	1	12	72	3	2	2	194	252	267	519	73	300	35	6	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	208	184	51	8	4	1	19	51	3	2	2	277	354	380	735	103	373	25	9	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	94	79	9	1	1	0	9	38	5	1	0	114	247	152	399	38	214	40	10	171	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	94	73	11	1	1	0	15	27	5	1	0	151	333	192	525	41	234	29	16	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	TOR	—	57	52	12	2	1	1	4	18	1	1	0	231	298	365	664	135	287	32	7	253	52	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	TOR	34%	115	105	22	4	1	2	8	34	1	1	0	210	272	324	596	114	289	30	7	265	61	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	TOR	48%	250	227	48	8	2	4	18	73	3	3	1	211	278	317	595	106	290	29	7	274	68	-9	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
2027	22	MLB	TOR	34%	40	37	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	189	250	297	547	108	290	30	8	257	55	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	TOR	48%	121	110	23	4	1	2	9	35	1	1	0	209	275	318	593	109	292	29	7	266	62	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	161	147	30	5	1	3	12	47	1	1	0	204	269	313	582	109	276	29	7	264	60	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	121	20	4	12	48	190	4	4	0	204	268	312	580	108	276	29	7	264	60	-29	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	794	715	132	20	8	9	58	276	15	11	6	185	260	273	533	88	283	35	7	236	39	-55	-0	+0	-5	+22	-3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	108	16	7	7	47	226	12	9	5	185	259	272	531	87	284	35	7	236	39	-45	-0	+0	-4	+18	-3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	70	55	7	0	0	2	13	29	2	3	3	127	314	236	551	109	208	41	19	275	68	-3	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	208	184	51	8	4	1	19	51	3	2	2	277	354	380	735	103	373	25	9	330	111	+3	-0	—	—	+6	0.8
2024	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	94	73	11	1	1	0	15	27	5	1	0	151	333	192	525	41	234	29	16	268	63	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	218	3	2	210	274	314	-1	+0	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	10	8	210	274	314	-4.0	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Railin Tejada (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	199/264/285	86	287	1	1	31%	7%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	40	38→40	52→55	42	193/255/277	85	272	4	9	29%	7%	45	-2.1	209/265/303	94	303	6	7	31%	6%	56	-1.3	218/266/319	101	307	7	4	30%	6%	58	-0.2
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	46	-2.0	198/248/295	97	289	8	8	32%	6%	46	-2.0	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	23	-1.0
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	40	40→45	47→60	41	196/258/286	91	287	8	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	189/245/281	92	306	8	24	38%	6%	41	-2.3	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Franklin Labour 2019 · A	21	42	39→45	50	43	202/271/295	93	278	6	11	28%	7%	57	-1.2	192/266/288	96	314	7	8	38%	8%	53	-1.5	150/245/272	121	261	13	9	44%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→50	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	40	-2.4	208/276/322	114	297	8	11	31%	7%	66	-0.6	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Franklin Hernandez 2008 · A	21	41→36	37→45	48→40	36	193/242/266	73	297	4	6	35%	5%	36	-2.7	195/235/285	90	292	6	4	34%	4%	38	-2.6	183/219/274	91	269	6	2	33%	4%	25	-1.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→39	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	95	272	5	6	36%	8%	41	-2.3	201/268/322	121	279	12	6	31%	7%	63	-0.9	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	43→23	42→45	51→50	36	201/283/313	112	310	9	12	35%	5%	68	-0.5	166/239/291	125	334	15	12	52%	5%	44	-2.1	124/203/239	115	271	16	13	57%	5%	13	-1.9
✕Enger Jimenez 2015 · A	20	39	40	48→50	38	191/241/288	97	267	7	9	30%	5%	42	-2.3	214/267/304	90	282	5	10	24%	6%	56	-1.3	223/275/315	92	285	5	14	22%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	40→36	42→50	47→55	44	197/267/302	105	280	9	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	191/270/310	119	334	12	13	42%	9%	61	-1.0	169/260/316	147	293	15	18	44%	10%	55	-0.9
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	41→45	47→40	39	168/245/259	91	281	10	3	41%	8%	37	-2.6	203/283/327	124	326	12	6	38%	9%	71	-0.3	196/292/343	147	309	14	3	37%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Elio Prado 2023 · A	21	44→37	36→40	46→50	47	203/290/267	64	289	4	6	28%	8%	59	-1.1	194/265/290	96	265	9	12	29%	7%	53	-1.5	180/250/271	92	246	10	14	30%	7%	39	-1.4
✕Zack Larson 2015 · A	21	45→35	39→45	52→50	40	217/270/299	82	292	6	11	27%	5%	57	-1.2	190/247/252	62	266	2	10	28%	6%	35	-2.8	164/223/206	43	232	0	12	27%	6%	13	-3.3