Nicandro Aybar — OGILVIE

Nicandro Aybar3B Charleston RiverDogs

Age 21 S/R 6'1" / 170 lbs A HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION413 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP297

ISO57

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	192	157	41	6	3	1	33	30	1	9	4	261	393	357	749	96	315	16	17	346	120	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rays	—	222	188	52	5	5	3	29	33	1	11	6	277	374	404	779	128	316	15	13	347	121	+6	-0	—	—	+5	1.0
2024	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	205	177	48	8	3	0	24	28	1	13	5	271	361	350	712	79	322	14	12	322	104	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	20	19	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	105	150	158	308	53	133	20	5	144	-16	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	114	99	32	2	1	0	13	11	1	6	1	323	407	364	771	40	360	10	11	353	125	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	20	INTL	Perth Heat	—	129	120	32	4	0	4	8	16	0	2	0	267	312	400	713	133	277	12	6	316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	192	169	35	5	2	1	21	44	1	9	4	207	298	278	577	71	265	23	11	256	59	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	222	200	41	4	3	2	18	48	1	11	6	205	274	285	559	80	252	22	8	257	60	-11	-0	—	—	+5	-0.6
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	205	187	39	6	2	0	14	41	1	13	5	209	267	262	529	53	260	20	7	235	45	-13	+1	—	—	+4	-0.8
2025	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	20	19	2	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	105	150	158	308	53	127	30	5	115	-36	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	114	104	25	1	1	0	8	16	1	6	1	240	301	269	570	29	277	14	7	257	60	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	192	169	35	5	2	1	21	44	1	9	4	207	298	278	577	71	272	23	11	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	192	157	41	6	3	1	33	30	1	9	4	261	393	357	749	96	315	16	17	346	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	222	200	41	4	3	2	18	48	1	11	6	205	274	285	559	80	255	22	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	222	188	52	5	5	3	29	33	1	11	6	277	374	404	779	128	316	15	13	347	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	205	187	39	6	2	0	14	41	1	13	5	209	267	262	529	53	267	20	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	205	177	48	8	3	0	24	28	1	13	5	271	361	350	712	79	322	14	12	322	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	263	243	52	4	1	0	17	43	1	8	1	214	268	239	507	25	257	16	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	263	238	66	7	1	4	22	31	1	8	1	277	341	366	707	88	302	12	8	319	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	192	168	35	5	2	1	21	44	1	9	4	208	298	280	578	71	265	23	11	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	222	201	41	4	3	2	18	48	1	11	6	204	274	284	558	80	252	22	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	205	188	39	6	2	0	14	41	1	13	5	207	267	261	528	53	260	20	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	263	243	52	4	1	0	17	43	1	8	1	214	268	239	507	25	255	16	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	222	201	41	4	3	2	18	48	1	11	6	204	274	284	558	80	252	22	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	205	188	39	6	2	0	14	41	1	13	5	207	267	261	528	53	260	20	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	263	243	52	4	1	0	17	43	1	8	1	214	268	239	507	25	255	16	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	TB	—	413	380	86	9	3	0	27	87	2	11	5	226	281	266	547	39	290	21	7	246	52	-23	+0	+0	+1	+9	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	TB	—	287	251	58	8	2	0	28	38	2	10	4	231	311	279	590	48	267	13	10	272	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	TB	—	126	111	35	3	1	0	14	25	0	1	1	315	389	360	749	45	407	20	11	344	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	TB	0%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		289	20	10	255	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	TB	—	423	389	88	9	3	0	28	89	2	11	5	226	282	265	546	39	289	21	7	246	52	-24	+0	+0	+2	+9	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TB	34%	368	337	78	10	2	3	26	76	2	7	3	231	290	300	590	68	291	21	7	273	71	-13	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	TB	48%	438	401	96	13	3	6	31	90	3	8	3	239	299	332	631	92	292	21	7	285	79	-11	+0	+0	+2	+9	0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	TB	53%	479	438	107	15	3	8	35	97	3	9	3	244	305	347	652	103	293	20	7	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	TB	55%	496	453	110	15	3	9	37	100	3	9	3	243	304	349	653	106	293	20	7	296	86	-8	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	504	458	111	15	3	9	38	102	3	9	4	242	305	347	652	105	293	20	8	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	503	457	111	15	3	9	38	102	3	9	4	243	305	348	653	105	292	20	8	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	497	453	110	15	3	9	38	101	3	8	3	243	306	349	654	106	292	20	8	296	86	-8	+0	-1	+2	+11	0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	487	443	107	14	3	9	38	100	3	8	3	242	306	348	653	106	291	21	8	294	85	-9	+0	-1	+2	+11	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	TB	53%	476	433	104	14	3	8	37	99	3	7	3	240	304	342	646	102	290	21	8	291	83	-10	+0	-2	+2	+10	0.1
2036	31	MLB MLE	TB	52%	462	420	100	13	3	8	36	98	3	6	2	238	303	340	643	102	288	21	8	287	80	-11	+0	-3	+2	+10	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	TB	34%	126	115	28	4	1	1	9	26	1	2	1	243	304	322	626	78	298	21	7	276	71	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	TB	48%	212	194	49	7	2	3	15	43	1	4	1	253	310	356	665	103	300	20	7	287	79	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	TB	53%	253	230	57	8	2	4	19	51	2	5	2	248	311	352	663	104	301	20	8	294	84	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	TB	55%	271	247	62	9	2	5	20	55	2	5	2	251	312	364	677	113	301	20	7	298	86	-4	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	281	256	64	9	2	5	21	57	2	5	2	250	312	359	671	109	301	20	7	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	277	252	63	9	2	5	21	56	2	5	2	250	313	361	674	111	301	20	8	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	272	247	62	9	2	5	21	56	2	5	2	251	315	364	679	113	300	21	8	298	86	-4	+0	-0	+1	+6	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	260	236	59	8	2	5	20	54	2	4	2	250	314	364	678	114	299	21	8	296	85	-5	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	TB	53%	250	227	56	8	2	4	19	52	2	4	1	247	310	352	663	106	298	21	8	293	83	-5	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	TB	52%	241	219	52	7	1	4	19	51	1	3	1	237	301	333	635	96	296	21	8	289	80	-6	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2443	2223	552	78	18	41	184	501	17	42	16	248	311	355	666	107	302	21	8	294	78	-47	+2	-4	+9	+53	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	147	21	5	11	49	133	5	11	4	249	312	357	669	108	302	20	8	294	78	-13	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5602	5101	1203	158	37	81	425	1143	33	121	47	236	299	329	628	93	287	20	8	284	78	-94	+4	-7	+17	+102	2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	139	18	4	9	49	133	4	14	5	235	298	324	622	90	287	20	8	284	78	-13	+0	-1	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.0	2,657	42	45	241	300	340	+9	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	10	11	+2.4	+0.7	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
/162	664	13	4	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nicandro Aybar (OGILVIE)	21	55→60	28→33	50→55	50	224/280/273	48	289	0	5	21%	7%	59	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alejo Lopez 2017 · A	21	49→59	35→40	49→55	49	226/277/284	58	257	3	11	13%	6%	60	-1.6	234/287/310	76	281	4	9	17%	6%	70	-0.8	266/332/353	87	306	5	12	14%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Everth Cabrera 2008 · A	21	46→56	35→40	52→65	46	208/284/267	59	308	2	15	31%	9%	60	-1.6	239/304/328	89	317	4	32	24%	8%	81	-0.1	263/328/345	82	334	3	54	21%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Jonathan Herrera 2006 · A	21	49→58	36→40	47→55	44	233/279/296	63	287	3	12	20%	5%	63	-1.3	253/300/332	79	300	5	18	16%	6%	80	-0.2	260/308/337	77	304	5	20	15%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Omar Casamayor 2008 · A	21	53	36→40	50→55	48	245/302/315	70	283	2	13	14%	6%	77	-0.3	230/277/291	61	285	2	10	19%	5%	61	-1.5	231/272/275	45	291	1	8	20%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→53	38→45	48→50	43	226/277/308	82	281	5	13	21%	5%	66	-1.1	226/284/349	123	286	11	14	24%	6%	79	-0.2	222/294/342	121	256	12	16	18%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Breyvic Valera 2013 · A	21	49→59	37→45	51→50	46	229/280/310	81	272	3	12	17%	6%	68	-1.0	263/302/318	55	290	1	8	9%	5%	76	-0.4	237/299/346	109	258	10	11	12%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Shawn O'Malley 2009 · A	21	45→55	35→40	50→60	42	208/270/268	60	289	2	19	27%	6%	55	-2.0	225/304/284	59	304	2	26	24%	8%	72	-0.7	260/321/357	97	322	5	23	20%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Steve Lombardozzi Jr. 2010 · A	21	53→58	37→45	50	48	247/304/323	76	309	3	9	20%	7%	79	-0.2	261/308/358	97	310	5	14	16%	6%	88	+0.5	269/314/368	99	313	5	16	15%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Juniel Querecuto 2014 · A	21	46→56	35→45	48→50	43	216/266/278	62	292	2	10	26%	6%	55	-2.0	233/272/299	66	293	3	5	20%	5%	61	-1.5	254/287/353	99	306	8	13	19%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	47	36→40	58→60	48	218/284/296	79	282	1	19	22%	8%	66	-1.1	228/289/317	89	300	4	16	23%	8%	72	-0.7	245/306/339	94	314	6	23	22%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	49→59	38→30	56→70	48	228/294/313	86	300	4	17	24%	8%	74	-0.5	270/314/320	50	311	1	59	13%	6%	82	-0.0	303/337/348	46	336	0	63	10%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Zack Granite 2014 · A	21	49→59	34→40	50→60	49	226/279/281	56	264	1	11	15%	6%	60	-1.6	237/286/298	61	285	2	19	16%	6%	67	-1.1	264/312/336	73	303	3	30	13%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Henry Alejandro Rodriguez 2010 · A	20	50→60	37→45	53→55	46	233/275/308	75	273	3	13	16%	5%	65	-1.2	254/283/361	107	299	10	17	18%	4%	80	-0.2	269/301/365	97	307	10	11	16%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Bengie González 2011 · A	21	45→55	34→40	44→50	43	213/258/257	44	273	2	12	22%	5%	47	-2.6	203/254/257	54	276	2	14	25%	6%	45	-2.7	255/307/351	95	309	4	12	18%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Carlos Mendoza 2021 · A	21	47→55	35→40	51→55	53	218/299/284	66	260	2	16	16%	9%	70	-0.9	240/345/309	69	306	3	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	242/332/330	88	296	7	18	19%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Brent Keys 2011 · A	21	48→58	35→30	49→50	51	224/291/282	57	273	2	12	18%	8%	65	-1.2	256/314/322	66	306	3	13	16%	7%	82	+0.0	282/343/338	56	313	2	12	10%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Gilberto Jimenez 2021 · A	21	48→58	37→40	47→50	42	226/277/302	76	294	3	10	23%	5%	65	-1.2	236/268/320	84	342	5	13	31%	3%	65	-1.2	233/262/318	85	338	6	15	32%	3%	59	-0.9
✕Wilmer Difo 2013 · A	21	45→55	35→45	56→55	50	208/276/272	64	260	1	20	20%	8%	57	-1.8	235/282/338	103	286	8	22	20%	6%	74	-0.5	238/302/342	104	297	8	11	22%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Ramiro Pena 2006 · AA	21	47→57	36→45	51→50	41	224/259/290	67	286	4	8	23%	5%	54	-2.0	229/274/285	56	287	2	10	20%	5%	59	-1.7	265/300/370	105	298	9	5	14%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2016 · A	21	52→56	34→40	47→55	43	243/290/290	47	299	1	10	19%	5%	66	-1.1	248/301/309	61	295	3	10	16%	6%	75	-0.5	262/305/349	88	305	7	19	16%	5%	84	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps