Nicandro Aybar — OGILVIE

Nicandro Aybar3B Charleston RiverDogs

Age 21 S/R 6'1" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.3 · 2032

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .304 / .357

PA129

HR3

K%22

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

58↗63

PWR

28↗33

SPD

53↗58

EYE

46↗51

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.3peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.2	$20M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.3	$22M	+$21M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.2	$22M	+$21M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.0	$20M	+$16M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.8	$19M	+$13M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.5	$16M	+$9M
Totals		$20M		$119M	+$99M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	192	169	36	5	3	1	21	45	1	9	4	.213	.304	.296	.600	.083	.282	23	11	.259	56	-9	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rays	222	199	42	4	3	3	19	49	1	11	6	.211	.283	.307	.590	.095	.260	22	9	.257	55	-11	-0	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
2024	19	ROK	FCL Rays	205	187	39	7	2	0	14	42	1	13	5	.209	.267	.267	.535	.059	.269	20	7	.230	34	-15	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.8
2025	20	INTL	3 teams	263	243	51	4	1	0	17	43	1	8	1	.210	.264	.235	.499	.025	.252	16	6	.231	35	-19	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	20	20	8	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	1	.400	.400	.500	.900	.100	.471	15	0	.375	145	+1	-0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
ROS	21	MLB	TB	109	98	23	4	1	2	9	24	1	2	1	.235	.306	.357	.663	.122	.289	22	8	.299	87	-2	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.2
TOT	21	MLB	TB	129	118	31	4	2	2	9	27	1	2	2	.263	.320	.381	.702	.119	.322	21	7	.311	96	-1	-0	+0	+0	+4	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	TB	222	199	48	9	1	5	19	47	2	5	1	.241	.314	.372	.685	.131	.291	21	9	.312	97	-1	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.7
2028	23	MLB 28%	TB	330	294	72	13	2	8	30	68	3	8	2	.245	.321	.384	.705	.139	.293	21	9	.320	103	+1	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.3
2029	24	MLB 45%	TB	404	359	90	17	2	11	38	82	4	9	2	.251	.329	.401	.730	.150	.294	20	9	.324	106	+3	+1	+0	+1	+11	1.7
2030	25	MLB 60%	TB	447	397	100	18	3	12	43	91	4	11	3	.252	.331	.403	.734	.151	.294	20	10	.328	109	+5	+1	+0	+2	+13	2.0
2031	26	MLB 77%	TB	472	418	105	19	3	13	46	96	5	11	3	.251	.333	.404	.737	.153	.295	20	10	.330	110	+6	+1	+0	+2	+13	2.2
2032	27	MLB 92%	TB	482	427	108	20	3	13	47	98	5	11	3	.253	.334	.405	.739	.152	.295	20	10	.330	111	+6	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.3
2033	28	MLB	TB	484	428	108	20	3	13	48	99	5	11	2	.252	.335	.404	.739	.152	.295	20	10	.329	110	+5	+1	-1	+2	+14	2.2
2034	29	MLB	TB	479	424	106	19	3	13	48	100	4	10	2	.250	.332	.401	.733	.151	.295	21	10	.327	108	+5	+1	-1	+2	+14	2.0
2035	30	MLB	TB	471	417	103	19	2	13	47	100	4	10	2	.247	.329	.396	.725	.149	.294	21	10	.324	106	+3	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.8
2036	31	MLB	TB	458	405	99	18	2	12	46	99	4	8	1	.244	.327	.388	.715	.143	.293	22	10	.321	104	+2	+1	-3	+2	+13	1.5
2037	32	MLB	TB	441	390	94	17	2	11	44	97	4	7	0	.241	.324	.379	.704	.138	.292	22	10	.316	100	+0	+1	-4	+2	+12	1.2
2038	33	MLB	TB	412	364	87	15	2	10	41	94	4	7	0	.239	.323	.374	.696	.135	.292	23	10	.311	96	-2	+1	-4	+1	+12	0.9
2039	34	MLB	TB	368	326	76	13	2	8	36	87	3	6	0	.233	.315	.359	.674	.126	.291	24	10	.305	92	-3	+1	-5	+1	+10	0.5
2040	35	MLB	TB	314	278	64	11	1	7	30	77	3	5	0	.230	.312	.353	.664	.122	.290	25	10	.298	86	-5	+1	-6	+1	+9	0.1
2041	36	MLB	TB	257	228	51	9	1	5	25	66	2	5	0	.224	.306	.338	.644	.114	.288	26	10	.290	80	-6	+1	-6	+1	+7	-0.3
2042	37	MLB	TB	194	173	37	6	1	3	18	52	1	4	0	.214	.292	.312	.604	.098	.286	27	9	.281	73	-6	+1	-7	+1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7226	6423	1539	267	43	163	686	1556	62	171	38	.240	.319	.371	.690	.131	.290	22	9	.309	95	-44	+19	-38	+26	+205	17.0
/ 162G	—			650	578	139	24	4	15	62	140	6	15	3	.240	.321	.374	.695	.133	.291	22	10	.309	95	-4	+2	-3	+2	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	192	157	41	6	3	1	33	30	1	9	4	.261	.393	.357	.749	.096	.315	16	17	.346	123	+5	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rays	222	188	52	5	5	3	29	33	1	11	6	.277	.374	.404	.779	.128	.316	15	13	.347	124	+6	-0	—	—	+6	1.2
2024	19	ROK	FCL Rays	205	177	48	8	3	0	24	28	1	13	5	.271	.361	.350	.712	.079	.322	14	12	.322	105	+1	+1	—	—	+6	0.8
2025	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	20	19	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	.105	.150	.158	.308	.053	.133	20	5	.144	-31	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	20	ROK	FCL Rays	114	99	32	2	1	0	13	11	1	6	1	.323	.407	.364	.771	.040	.360	10	11	.353	128	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2025	20	INTL	Perth Heat	129	120	32	4	0	4	8	16	0	2	0	.267	.312	.400	.713	.133	.277	12	6	.316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nicandro Aybar (OGILVIE)	21	58→63	28→33	53→58	51	.234/.304/.357	.123	.289	3	3	22%	8%	87	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	49→56	38→45	51→55	52	.228/.309/.308	.080	.281	4	17	19%	9%	76	+0.1	.205/.295/.293	.088	.269	6	12	24%	10%	67	-0.5	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	52→62	42→50	53→55	48	.250/.318/.360	.110	.306	9	11	21%	7%	93	+1.3	.269/.332/.397	.128	.319	12	17	19%	7%	108	+2.3	.268/.333/.391	.123	.317	12	18	19%	7%	103	+1.6
●Xavier Edwards 2021 · A	21	54→64	35→40	55→60	48	.250/.294/.314	.064	.290	2	19	14%	6%	69	-0.4	.248/.300/.321	.073	.299	4	19	17%	7%	74	-0.1	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
●Jemile Weeks 2009 · A	22	50→60	41→45	51→55	50	.239/.314/.343	.104	.296	8	14	21%	8%	87	+0.8	.245/.304/.358	.113	.294	9	15	19%	7%	86	+0.8	.261/.317/.372	.111	.309	7	21	17%	7%	91	+0.8
●Justin Yurchak 2018 · A	21	51→61	44→40	49→40	52	.249/.317/.367	.118	.295	12	4	20%	9%	94	+1.3	.228/.288/.319	.091	.284	7	2	21%	8%	69	-0.4	.273/.337/.381	.107	.337	11	2	21%	8%	103	+1.1
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA	21	52→58	41→45	48→50	53	.248/.314/.348	.100	.291	8	13	17%	8%	88	+0.9	.222/.296/.324	.102	.270	9	9	20%	9%	75	-0.0	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
●Jon Jay 2007 · A	22	56→65	40→45	50	49	.267/.320/.367	.100	.306	7	11	15%	7%	95	+1.4	.256/.306/.365	.109	.302	10	12	18%	6%	89	+0.9	.287/.347/.405	.118	.332	9	15	15%	6%	111	+2.1
✕Vidal Bruján 2019 · A	21	54→59	42→45	56→65	50	.258/.317/.367	.109	.297	8	25	16%	7%	94	+1.3	.239/.296/.347	.108	.287	8	36	19%	7%	80	+0.4	.220/.290/.331	.110	.269	10	28	21%	7%	69	-0.3
●Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	45→53	41→45	52→50	52	.215/.295/.312	.097	.270	8	10	22%	9%	72	-0.2	.225/.300/.348	.123	.272	11	8	20%	9%	82	+0.5	.212/.320/.332	.121	.306	11	7	31%	13%	85	+0.5
●Henry Alejandro Rodriguez 2011 · A	21	51→61	42→45	51→55	41	.249/.276/.353	.104	.285	9	17	16%	3%	72	-0.2	.255/.285/.356	.101	.301	9	15	18%	4%	77	+0.1	.271/.303/.378	.106	.308	12	11	16%	4%	90	+0.7
●Luis Rengifo 2018 · A	21	45→55	41→50	53→55	43	.219/.269/.323	.104	.273	8	21	23%	6%	62	-0.9	.234/.301/.352	.118	.290	9	19	21%	8%	84	+0.6	.267/.318/.414	.147	.301	17	16	17%	6%	105	+1.6
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	56→55	51	.229/.303/.336	.107	.265	9	17	17%	8%	81	+0.4	.248/.301/.331	.083	.281	5	14	13%	6%	77	+0.1	.256/.317/.334	.078	.294	4	14	13%	8%	82	+0.4
●Leo Rivas 2019 · A	21	44→54	37→40	52→65	51	.204/.293/.279	.075	.289	4	14	28%	10%	62	-0.9	.196/.276/.281	.085	.293	6	9	32%	9%	56	-1.3	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
✕Harold Garcia 2009 · A	22	47→57	42→45	54→55	44	.225/.299/.336	.110	.281	8	13	22%	6%	80	+0.4	.244/.294/.348	.104	.324	8	22	26%	4%	79	+0.3	.255/.303/.356	.102	.345	8	27	27%	4%	83	+0.5
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	52→60	41→45	55	48	.247/.306/.350	.103	.310	7	16	22%	8%	85	+0.7	.264/.324/.374	.110	.307	8	18	16%	7%	98	+1.6	.265/.329/.365	.100	.306	7	20	15%	8%	94	+1.1
✕Thairo Estrada 2017 · A	21	51→61	41→50	47→55	44	.246/.290/.344	.098	.294	9	12	20%	6%	76	+0.1	.254/.295/.350	.096	.300	8	9	18%	5%	80	+0.4	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	51→61	38→45	55→50	44	.241/.283/.325	.084	.294	5	14	20%	5%	68	-0.5	.258/.302/.361	.103	.312	5	15	18%	5%	85	+0.7	.259/.304/.363	.104	.312	6	15	18%	5%	84	+0.5
●Michael Harris II 2022 · A	21	49→57	42→55	56→55	41	.237/.286/.348	.111	.312	9	19	26%	6%	76	+0.1	.271/.315/.439	.168	.332	18	21	23%	5%	112	+2.6	.278/.321/.456	.177	.328	21	21	21%	5%	116	+2.7
●Kolten Wong 2012 · A	21	51→60	45→50	48→55	48	.248/.300/.374	.126	.278	11	12	16%	6%	89	+0.9	.251/.296/.362	.111	.291	9	18	17%	5%	84	+0.6	.270/.354/.410	.140	.305	12	16	15%	9%	112	+2.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→56	41→45	50	49	.234/.299/.341	.107	.285	6	12	20%	7%	80	+0.4	.247/.308/.361	.114	.302	10	14	20%	7%	89	+0.9	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)