Omar Obregon
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | A+Carolina Mudc… | 354 | .247/.299/.311 | 0 | 12 | 47 | — | .236/.272/.295 |
| 2017 | 23 | AA/A+2 orgs | 155 | .268/.331/.348 | 0 | 1 | 52 | — | .223/.265/.279 |
| 2018 | 24 | A+Florida Fire … | 33 | .281/.303/.406 | 1 | 0 | 69 | — | .250/.273/.375 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | DSL Braves | — | 123 | 93 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 269 | 419 | 290 | 709 | 22 | 338 | 15 | 17 | 327 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK | GCL Braves | — | 130 | 110 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 227 | 325 | 245 | 571 | 18 | 258 | 10 | 10 | 266 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 217 | 182 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 297 | 388 | 346 | 734 | 49 | 340 | 12 | 11 | 328 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | — | 502 | 440 | 121 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 38 | 58 | 6 | 31 | 19 | 275 | 340 | 318 | 658 | 43 | 312 | 12 | 8 | 294 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 354 | 312 | 77 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 53 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 247 | 299 | 311 | 610 | 64 | 294 | 15 | 7 | 265 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 28 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 320 | 393 | 400 | 793 | 80 | 471 | 29 | 11 | 360 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 127 | 113 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 257 | 317 | 336 | 653 | 80 | 305 | 15 | 8 | 288 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 33 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 303 | 406 | 709 | 125 | 296 | 12 | 0 | 316 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 123 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 202 | 325 | 212 | 537 | 10 | 241 | 19 | 12 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 130 | 115 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 200 | 270 | 217 | 487 | 17 | 222 | 15 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 217 | 191 | 49 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 36 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 257 | 321 | 298 | 619 | 42 | 294 | 17 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 502 | 455 | 118 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 83 | 6 | 31 | 19 | 259 | 305 | 301 | 606 | 42 | 297 | 17 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 354 | 322 | 76 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 73 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 236 | 272 | 295 | 567 | 59 | 281 | 21 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 28 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 286 | 333 | 619 | 74 | 441 | 36 | 4 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 127 | 116 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 216 | 260 | 267 | 527 | 52 | 271 | 22 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 33 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 273 | 375 | 648 | 125 | 281 | 18 | 0 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 123 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 202 | 325 | 212 | 537 | 10 | 263 | 19 | 12 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Braves | — | 123 | 93 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 269 | 419 | 290 | 709 | 22 | 338 | 15 | 17 | 327 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 130 | 115 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 200 | 270 | 217 | 487 | 17 | 240 | 15 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Braves | — | 130 | 110 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 227 | 325 | 245 | 571 | 18 | 258 | 10 | 10 | 266 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 217 | 191 | 49 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 36 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 257 | 321 | 298 | 619 | 42 | 312 | 17 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 217 | 182 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 297 | 388 | 346 | 734 | 49 | 340 | 12 | 11 | 328 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 502 | 455 | 118 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 83 | 6 | 31 | 19 | 259 | 305 | 301 | 606 | 42 | 312 | 17 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | Rome Braves | — | 502 | 440 | 121 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 38 | 58 | 6 | 31 | 19 | 275 | 340 | 318 | 658 | 43 | 312 | 12 | 8 | 294 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 354 | 322 | 76 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 73 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 236 | 272 | 295 | 567 | 59 | 302 | 21 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 354 | 312 | 77 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 53 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 247 | 299 | 311 | 610 | 64 | 294 | 15 | 7 | 265 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 155 | 143 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 224 | 265 | 280 | 545 | 56 | 302 | 25 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 155 | 138 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 268 | 331 | 348 | 679 | 80 | 330 | 17 | 8 | 301 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 33 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 273 | 375 | 648 | 125 | 280 | 18 | 0 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ RAW | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 33 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 303 | 406 | 709 | 125 | 296 | 12 | 0 | 316 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 123 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 192 | 325 | 202 | 527 | 10 | 241 | 19 | 12 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 130 | 118 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 195 | 270 | 212 | 482 | 17 | 222 | 15 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 217 | 197 | 49 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 36 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 249 | 321 | 289 | 610 | 41 | 294 | 17 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 502 | 467 | 118 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 83 | 6 | 31 | 19 | 253 | 305 | 293 | 599 | 41 | 297 | 17 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 354 | 335 | 76 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 73 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 227 | 272 | 284 | 556 | 57 | 281 | 21 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 155 | 146 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 219 | 265 | 274 | 539 | 55 | 302 | 25 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 33 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 273 | 375 | 648 | 125 | 281 | 18 | 0 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1514 | 1357 | 326 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 86 | 278 | 16 | 61 | 39 | 240 | 293 | 285 | 579 | 45 | 298 | 18 | 6 | 250 | 55 | -81 | -3 | +0 | +5 | +33 | -4.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 140 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 37 | 119 | 7 | 26 | 17 | 240 | 293 | 283 | 576 | 43 | 299 | 18 | 6 | 250 | 55 | -35 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 A+Florida Fire Frogs · 33 PAwOBA .307 → .270 (−37)K% 12.1% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.12% | ÷0.960 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.03% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 2.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 23.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.037 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.988 | 3.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.026 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.974 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.19% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 90, 2B 107, 3B 105, K 92, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .307 → .270; ISO .125 → .105; BABIP .296 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Florida Fire Frogs · 127 PAwOBA .283 → .233 (−50)K% 15.0% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.96% | ÷0.963 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.87% | ÷1.091 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 21.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.32% | ÷1.148 | ×0.960 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 4.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 1.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.929 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 96, 2B 130, 3B 130, K 93, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .283 → .233; ISO .080 → .060; BABIP .305 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAMississippi Braves · 28 PAwOBA .339 → .299 (−39)K% 28.6% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 32.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.027 | 11.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .339 → .299; ISO .080 → .076; BABIP .471 → .441. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Carolina Mudcats · 354 PAwOBA .261 → .238 (−22)K% 15.0% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.97% | ÷1.030 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.78% | ÷0.970 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 4.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.55% | ÷1.018 | ×0.940 | ×1.048 | ×1.012 | 23.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.63% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×1.012 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.987 | ×0.800 | ×1.048 | ×1.012 | 1.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.362 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 97, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .261 → .238; ISO .064 → .057; BABIP .294 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ARome Braves · 502 PAwOBA .290 → .262 (−28)K% 11.6% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.55% | ÷0.932 | ×1.340 | — | — | 16.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.57% | ÷1.077 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 4.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.75% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 26.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.915 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 2.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.097 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 105, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 86, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .290 → .262; ISO .043 → .041; BABIP .312 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKDanville Braves · 217 PAwOBA .323 → .268 (−55)K% 11.5% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.52% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 16.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 7.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 26.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 2.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .323 → .268; ISO .049 → .040; BABIP .340 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGCL Braves · 130 PAwOBA .260 → .211 (−49)K% 10.0% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 14.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.31% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.048 | ×1.008 | 21.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.048 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.048 | ×1.008 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .260 → .211; ISO .018 → .014; BABIP .258 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 DSLDSL Braves · 123 PAwOBA .320 → .242 (−78)K% 15.4% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 12.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 22.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 1.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .320 → .242; ISO .022 → .015; BABIP .338 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).