Sammy Diaz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 22 | A+/A2 orgs | 338 | .273/.362/.346 | 3 | 8 | 67 | — | .240/.307/.297 |
| 2014 | 23 | A+/A2 orgs | 324 | .284/.333/.395 | 2 | 5 | 71 | — | .252/.289/.351 |
| 2015 | 24 | A+/ROK/INTL3 orgs | 137 | .285/.328/.398 | 1 | 2 | 63 | — | .306/.333/.466 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | DSL Reds | — | 253 | 220 | 59 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 268 | 343 | 309 | 652 | 41 | 289 | 8 | 9 | 293 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 19 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 211 | 176 | 387 | 59 | 167 | 26 | 5 | 191 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | AZL Reds | — | 275 | 245 | 80 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 327 | 391 | 408 | 799 | 82 | 345 | 7 | 8 | 357 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | — | 138 | 127 | 38 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 299 | 355 | 402 | 757 | 102 | 340 | 14 | 8 | 340 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 110 | 94 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 266 | 355 | 351 | 706 | 85 | 316 | 16 | 12 | 316 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | — | 74 | 64 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 315 | 266 | 581 | 47 | 246 | 9 | 9 | 272 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 304 | 300 | 604 | 100 | 222 | 12 | 12 | 270 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 314 | 269 | 75 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 279 | 366 | 349 | 715 | 71 | 304 | 10 | 10 | 322 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 115 | 107 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 327 | 357 | 449 | 806 | 121 | 358 | 11 | 4 | 349 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 209 | 189 | 49 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 259 | 320 | 365 | 685 | 106 | 279 | 9 | 8 | 305 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | — | 50 | 45 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 311 | 354 | 489 | 843 | 178 | 351 | 16 | 6 | 356 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | ROK | AZL Reds | — | 30 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 448 | 467 | 621 | 1.087 | 172 | 500 | 10 | 3 | 477 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 57 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 226 | 184 | 410 | 20 | 186 | 12 | 7 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 253 | 227 | 43 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 189 | 249 | 216 | 465 | 26 | 202 | 9 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 19 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 211 | 176 | 387 | 59 | 148 | 37 | 5 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 275 | 256 | 70 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 273 | 314 | 340 | 653 | 66 | 293 | 9 | 4 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 138 | 131 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 261 | 275 | 536 | 53 | 275 | 20 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 110 | 98 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 224 | 290 | 296 | 586 | 71 | 277 | 21 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 74 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 247 | 209 | 456 | 30 | 203 | 14 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 24 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 286 | 547 | 95 | 193 | 17 | 8 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 314 | 279 | 68 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 42 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 244 | 310 | 297 | 608 | 54 | 269 | 13 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 115 | 108 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 287 | 312 | 389 | 701 | 102 | 322 | 16 | 3 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 209 | 194 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 232 | 277 | 330 | 607 | 98 | 249 | 11 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 50 | 46 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 283 | 312 | 457 | 769 | 174 | 323 | 24 | 4 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 30 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 345 | 367 | 483 | 849 | 138 | 377 | 13 | 3 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 253 | 227 | 43 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 189 | 249 | 216 | 465 | 26 | 208 | 9 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Reds | — | 253 | 220 | 59 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 268 | 343 | 309 | 652 | 41 | 289 | 8 | 9 | 293 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 294 | 273 | 72 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 264 | 307 | 330 | 637 | 66 | 293 | 11 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 294 | 262 | 82 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 23 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 313 | 379 | 393 | 772 | 80 | 336 | 8 | 8 | 347 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 138 | 131 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 261 | 275 | 536 | 53 | 272 | 20 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK RAW | Billings Mustangs | — | 138 | 127 | 38 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 299 | 355 | 402 | 757 | 102 | 340 | 14 | 8 | 340 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 165 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 212 | 278 | 273 | 551 | 61 | 258 | 18 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 184 | 158 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 247 | 339 | 316 | 655 | 70 | 286 | 14 | 11 | 298 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 338 | 300 | 72 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 47 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 240 | 307 | 297 | 604 | 57 | 275 | 14 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 338 | 289 | 79 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 35 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 273 | 362 | 346 | 708 | 73 | 298 | 10 | 10 | 318 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 303 | 75 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 248 | 283 | 337 | 620 | 89 | 279 | 13 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 324 | 296 | 84 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 31 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 284 | 333 | 395 | 729 | 111 | 307 | 10 | 7 | 320 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 137 | 126 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 294 | 321 | 413 | 733 | 119 | 360 | 20 | 4 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 137 | 123 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 285 | 328 | 398 | 727 | 114 | 321 | 13 | 6 | 310 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 253 | 233 | 43 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 185 | 249 | 210 | 459 | 26 | 202 | 9 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 294 | 275 | 72 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 262 | 307 | 327 | 634 | 65 | 284 | 11 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 138 | 130 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 223 | 261 | 277 | 538 | 54 | 275 | 20 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 167 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 210 | 278 | 269 | 547 | 60 | 247 | 18 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 338 | 306 | 72 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 47 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 235 | 307 | 291 | 598 | 56 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 306 | 75 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 245 | 283 | 333 | 616 | 88 | 275 | 13 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 137 | 131 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 282 | 321 | 397 | 718 | 115 | 343 | 20 | 4 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1668 | 1525 | 363 | 54 | 11 | 8 | 92 | 232 | 14 | 47 | 19 | 238 | 288 | 304 | 591 | 66 | 273 | 14 | 6 | 261 | 63 | -74 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +36 | -3.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 141 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 90 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 237 | 286 | 301 | 588 | 64 | 272 | 14 | 6 | 261 | 63 | -29 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 A+Daytona Tortugas · 50 PAwOBA .353 → .308 (−45)K% 16.0% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.00% | ÷0.986 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷0.969 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 22.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷0.988 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.988 | 7.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.047 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 2.24% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 94, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .353 → .308; ISO .178 → .147; BABIP .351 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKAZL Reds · 30 PAwOBA .464 → .330 (−133)K% 10.0% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 14.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 1.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 27.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 7.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 2.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .464 → .330; ISO .172 → .114; BABIP .500 → .377. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ADayton Dragons · 209 PAwOBA .300 → .260 (−40)K% 8.6% → 10.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.61% | ÷1.082 | ×1.360 | — | — | 10.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.13% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.88% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×0.990 | 17.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.43% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×0.990 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.987 | ×0.990 | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.46% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 116, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .300 → .260; ISO .106 → .096; BABIP .279 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 115 PAwOBA .345 → .299 (−46)K% 11.3% → 15.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.30% | ÷0.961 | ×1.340 | — | — | 15.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷0.944 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 3.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.53% | ÷1.031 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 23.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.64% | ÷1.005 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 9.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.421 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.69% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 184, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 92, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .345 → .299; ISO .121 → .097; BABIP .358 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ADayton Dragons · 314 PAwOBA .317 → .270 (−47)K% 10.2% → 13.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.19% | ÷1.025 | ×1.360 | — | — | 13.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.19% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.58% | ÷1.057 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | — | 23.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.38% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | — | 2.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.026 | — | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.164 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.87% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 111, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .317 → .270; ISO .071 → .058; BABIP .304 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 24 PAwOBA .275 → .225 (−49)K% 12.5% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.977 | ×1.340 | — | — | 17.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.101 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 8.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.991 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 10.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.034 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.012 | 9.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.964 | ×0.760 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.107 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 93, K 95, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .275 → .225; ISO .100 → .085; BABIP .222 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ADayton Dragons · 110 PAwOBA .311 → .260 (−51)K% 16.4% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.36% | ÷1.043 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.82% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×1.015 | 23.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.95% | ÷1.083 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×1.015 | 3.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.003 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×1.015 | 1.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.943 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.13% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 106, 2B 117, 3B 101, K 109, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .311 → .260; ISO .085 → .073; BABIP .316 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKBillings Mustangs · 74 PAwOBA .266 → .205 (−61)K% 9.5% → 13.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.46% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 16.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 3.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .266 → .205; ISO .047 → .036; BABIP .246 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .