Erick Arosemena — OGILVIE

Erick ArosemenaCF DSL Giants Orange

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .277 / .284

PA50

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	123	111	10	1	0	2	7	61	4	4	1	90	172	153	325	63	163	50	6	164	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	123	107	19	3	1	3	11	43	4	4	1	178	279	308	587	131	258	35	9	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	147	127	26	5	0	0	9	49	8	1	2	205	299	244	543	39	321	33	6	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	147	121	32	7	0	0	15	34	8	1	2	264	382	322	704	58	356	23	10	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	70	53	11	2	2	1	9	22	6	2	0	208	382	377	760	170	312	31	13	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	70	48	11	2	2	1	14	15	6	2	0	229	456	417	873	188	294	21	20	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	SF	—	50	45	9	2	0	0	4	15	1	1	0	200	280	244	524	44	288	30	8	260	57	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	SF	34%	114	102	22	4	1	2	9	33	2	1	0	216	292	333	625	118	289	29	8	271	66	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	SF	48%	248	222	48	8	2	4	19	70	5	3	1	216	293	324	617	108	291	28	8	279	72	-8	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.0
2029	24	MLB	SF	53%	347	310	68	12	3	6	27	96	7	4	1	219	297	335	632	116	292	28	8	284	76	-9	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.2
2030	25	MLB	SF	55%	408	365	80	14	3	8	32	112	8	5	1	219	296	340	636	121	292	27	8	288	78	-10	+1	+0	+1	+12	0.4
2031	26	MLB	SF	56%	445	398	87	15	3	9	35	122	9	5	2	219	296	339	636	121	292	27	8	289	79	-10	+0	+0	+2	+13	0.4
2032	27	MLB	SF	55%	464	415	91	16	3	9	37	128	9	5	2	219	297	337	635	118	292	28	8	289	80	-11	+0	+0	+2	+13	0.4
2027	22	MLB	SF	34%	39	35	6	1	0	0	3	11	1	0	0	171	256	200	456	29	285	28	8	252	51	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	SF	48%	120	108	23	4	1	2	9	34	2	1	0	213	286	324	610	111	286	28	8	260	57	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	SF	53%	183	163	35	6	1	3	14	51	4	2	1	215	293	319	612	104	287	28	8	266	62	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2030	25	MLB	SF	55%	223	200	43	7	2	4	17	61	4	3	1	215	290	330	620	115	287	27	8	269	64	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2031	26	MLB	SF	56%	248	222	48	8	2	5	19	68	5	3	1	216	293	338	631	122	287	27	8	270	65	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2032	27	MLB	SF	55%	255	228	50	9	2	5	20	70	5	3	1	219	296	342	639	123	287	27	8	270	65	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1068	956	205	35	8	19	82	295	21	12	4	214	291	327	618	113	287	28	8	268	63	-45	+1	+0	+4	+30	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	125	21	5	12	50	180	13	7	2	215	291	330	621	115	288	28	8	268	63	-27	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	2416	2148	452	79	17	41	188	708	59	31	10	210	292	320	612	110	290	29	8	277	70	-82	+2	+0	+9	+68	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	122	21	5	11	51	190	16	8	3	211	293	322	615	111	291	29	8	277	70	-22	+0	+0	+2	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	123	107	19	3	1	3	11	43	4	4	1	178	279	308	587	131	258	35	9	270	65	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	147	121	32	7	0	0	15	34	8	1	2	264	382	322	704	58	356	23	10	326	108	+1	-1	—	—	+4	0.5
2024	19	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	70	48	11	2	2	1	14	15	6	2	0	229	456	417	873	188	294	21	20	393	159	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,118	21	13	219	293	336	+4	+10	0.6	0.7
	/162	664	12	8	219	293	336	+2.4	+5.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Erick Arosemena (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	201/277/284	83	288	0	1	30%	7%	57	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Jesus Ugueto 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	47→50	45	207/264/289	81	274	5	6	25%	7%	51	-1.7	234/283/350	116	301	10	11	24%	6%	75	-0.0	248/294/383	135	310	12	14	23%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	178/245/248	70	273	3	6	34%	5%	34	-2.8	215/257/310	95	317	7	4	33%	4%	54	-1.4	252/282/371	119	340	11	3	28%	2%	76	+0.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→50	37→45	48→45	45	189/266/266	77	278	4	7	31%	8%	47	-1.9	210/282/308	98	299	8	5	30%	8%	65	-0.7	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2021 · A	21	44	37→55	45→40	42	208/272/281	73	279	3	5	26%	6%	53	-1.5	212/289/325	113	282	11	5	27%	7%	73	-0.1	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2021 · A	21	44→50	37→45	49→50	42	208/267/284	76	290	4	7	28%	6%	52	-1.6	194/271/281	87	277	5	10	30%	7%	54	-1.4	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Kenny Hart 2011 · A	21	45	39→45	47→50	42	211/286/293	83	298	6	9	29%	7%	63	-0.8	212/300/319	107	275	8	11	24%	8%	76	+0.1	187/295/308	121	227	11	15	21%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕David Bote 2014 · A	21	39→48	39→55	47→45	47	187/265/275	88	257	6	7	28%	9%	50	-1.8	201/266/290	89	276	5	6	28%	6%	53	-1.5	236/310/400	165	301	20	6	27%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→46	40→50	43→40	38	183/235/269	86	268	8	6	34%	6%	34	-2.8	200/265/307	107	312	12	4	37%	7%	57	-1.2	212/288/371	159	311	18	3	35%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	217/280/375	158	316	19	7	36%	7%	82	+0.5	220/290/392	172	269	20	6	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	38→44	42→50	45	39	189/240/301	111	260	9	5	30%	5%	45	-2.1	211/260/341	130	280	14	6	29%	6%	64	-0.8	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3