Esteban Mejia

3B Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #717MiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	A+TEX	68	.105/.239/.123	0	2	-22	—	.082/.164/.098
2025	20	ATEX	254	.268/.364/.373	4	11	65	—	.222/.292/.300
2026	21	A+TEX	157	.262/.333/.348	2	7	55	—	.228/.282/.303
2026	21	ATEX	86	.246/.395/.391	3	2	68	—	.189/.302/.284
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBTEX	1	.206/.275/.288	0	0	60	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBTEX	99	.211/.282/.307	2	2	67	-0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBTEX	171	.216/.286/.320	3	4	71	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$0.4M2033Arb-2$5M2034Arb-3$0.6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Z-Con%81

K%69

Whiff%58

Speed56

wRC+31

wOBA29

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsNick Sinay (age 22) · Blake Rambusch (age 23) · Tyreace House (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .275 / .288

PA1

HR0

K%28

BB%7

BABIP276

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Red	—	145	131	35	8	3	0	10	16	3	15	1	267	333	374	707	107	302	11	7	317	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	137	121	29	5	2	1	14	34	0	7	2	240	316	339	655	99	322	25	10	296	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	186	166	36	8	1	2	16	52	4	7	1	217	301	313	614	96	304	28	9	284	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	137	118	39	12	1	3	16	35	2	11	2	331	419	525	945	195	444	26	12	414	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	68	57	6	1	0	0	9	22	1	2	0	105	239	123	362	18	167	32	13	189	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	254	220	59	7	2	4	31	43	2	11	7	268	364	373	736	105	316	17	12	336	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	157	141	37	6	0	2	11	32	4	7	1	262	333	348	681	85	324	20	7	310	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	86	69	17	1	0	3	16	25	1	2	1	246	395	391	787	145	341	29	19	363	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Red	—	145	134	23	5	2	0	7	20	3	15	1	172	229	239	468	67	196	14	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	137	127	21	3	1	1	9	52	0	7	2	165	221	228	449	63	265	38	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	186	170	30	6	1	1	12	69	4	7	1	176	247	241	488	65	284	37	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	137	124	27	8	1	2	10	51	2	11	2	218	287	347	634	129	333	37	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	68	61	5	1	0	0	5	28	1	2	0	82	164	98	263	16	148	41	7	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	254	230	51	5	2	3	21	60	2	11	7	222	292	300	592	78	284	24	8	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	157	145	33	5	0	2	7	42	4	7	1	228	282	303	585	76	292	27	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	86	74	14	1	0	2	11	34	1	2	1	189	302	284	586	95	307	40	13	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Red	—	145	134	23	5	2	0	7	20	3	15	1	172	229	239	468	67	200	14	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Red	—	145	131	35	8	3	0	10	16	3	15	1	267	333	374	707	107	302	11	7	317	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	137	127	21	3	1	1	9	52	0	7	2	165	221	228	449	63	267	38	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	137	121	29	5	2	1	14	34	0	7	2	240	316	339	655	99	322	25	10	296	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	323	294	56	14	1	3	22	120	6	18	3	190	261	276	536	85	308	37	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	323	284	75	20	2	5	32	87	6	18	3	264	351	401	752	137	363	27	10	339	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	322	291	57	6	2	3	26	88	3	13	7	196	269	261	530	65	267	27	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	322	277	65	8	2	4	40	65	3	13	7	235	338	321	659	87	290	20	12	305	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	243	219	47	6	0	4	18	76	5	9	2	215	289	297	586	82	307	31	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	243	210	54	7	0	5	27	57	5	9	2	257	355	362	717	105	329	23	11	329	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Red	—	145	134	23	5	2	0	7	20	3	15	1	172	229	239	468	67	196	14	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	137	127	21	3	1	1	9	52	0	7	2	165	221	228	449	63	265	38	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	323	292	56	14	1	3	22	120	6	18	3	192	261	277	538	86	305	37	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	322	290	57	6	2	3	26	88	3	13	7	197	269	262	531	66	255	27	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	243	218	47	6	0	4	18	76	5	9	2	216	289	298	587	83	297	31	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	323	292	56	14	1	3	22	120	6	18	3	192	261	277	538	86	305	37	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	322	290	57	6	2	3	26	88	3	13	7	197	269	262	531	66	255	27	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	243	218	47	6	0	4	18	76	5	9	2	216	289	298	587	83	297	31	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	353	320	65	10	1	4	26	97	4	8	2	205	275	286	560	81	277	27	7	257	60	-17	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	206	275	288	563	82	276	0	0	258	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TEX	35%	285	258	54	8	1	5	22	77	3	6	2	211	281	304	584	93	278	27	8	267	67	-11	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	TEX	46%	370	334	72	11	1	7	29	98	4	8	2	215	285	316	601	101	280	26	8	273	71	-13	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	418	377	82	13	2	8	33	110	5	8	3	217	288	323	612	107	281	26	8	278	74	-13	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	448	405	88	14	2	9	35	117	5	9	3	218	290	327	617	109	281	26	8	280	75	-13	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	460	415	91	15	2	9	37	119	5	9	3	218	290	329	619	110	281	26	8	280	76	-13	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	463	418	90	14	2	9	37	121	5	7	3	216	288	324	612	107	280	26	8	278	74	-14	+0	-1	+2	+10	-0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	459	415	88	14	1	9	36	122	5	6	3	214	285	317	602	103	278	27	8	274	71	-16	+0	-1	+2	+10	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	TEX	35%	99	90	19	3	0	2	8	27	1	2	1	211	282	307	589	96	278	27	8	268	67	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	TEX	46%	171	154	33	5	1	3	13	45	2	4	1	216	286	320	607	105	280	26	8	275	71	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	216	194	42	6	1	4	17	57	3	4	1	218	289	328	617	110	280	26	8	280	74	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	243	219	48	7	1	5	19	63	3	5	2	219	291	332	623	113	281	26	8	282	75	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	250	225	50	8	1	5	20	65	3	5	2	219	291	333	625	114	281	26	8	283	76	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	251	226	50	8	1	5	20	66	3	4	1	217	289	328	617	111	279	26	8	280	74	-8	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	244	220	47	7	1	5	19	65	3	3	1	215	286	321	608	107	278	27	8	276	71	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1474	1328	289	44	6	29	116	388	18	27	9	218	289	325	615	108	284	26	8	279	65	-47	+2	-1	+5	+32	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	128	19	3	13	51	171	8	12	4	218	290	328	618	109	284	26	8	279	65	-21	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4302	3894	812	130	18	70	328	1183	52	120	36	209	279	305	584	97	279	27	8	264	65	-104	+3	-2	+11	+68	-2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	124	20	3	11	50	179	8	18	5	211	282	311	593	100	282	28	8	264	65	-22	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#2Ray Mack'38-'47 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,016 PA	4.5	3,016	34	35	223*	288*	357*	+11	-7	1.7	2.7
/162	664	7	8	+2.4	-1.5	0.4	pk7: 4
#3Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#4Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.2	1,474	28	27	217	285	323	+5	+2	0.1	0.2
/162	664	13	12	+2.4	+0.7	0.0	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esteban Mejia (OGILVIE)	22	45	30	50	50	203/272/283	80	277	3	5	28%	7%	60	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Sinay 2016 · A	22	44	38→30	47→60	44	205/291/283	78	296	5	10	30%	8%	68	-1.0	200/316/255	55	279	3	22	27%	8%	73	-0.6	184/317/219	35	263	2	30	26%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	52→65	42	219/286/293	74	316	4	14	30%	7%	67	-1.1	231/319/297	66	315	3	29	25%	9%	80	-0.1	237/325/293	56	311	2	37	22%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Tyreace House 2010 · A	22	46	36→30	53→55	46	214/282/275	61	301	3	14	28%	8%	61	-1.5	199/286/241	42	276	1	19	25%	10%	55	-1.9	188/280/217	29	261	1	22	25%	10%	46	-2.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	40→49	39→40	53→60	50	187/295/270	83	292	6	16	34%	11%	67	-1.1	210/302/291	81	303	5	23	29%	10%	73	-0.6	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Walter Rasquin 2018 · A	22	47	37→30	49→50	43	225/273/297	73	290	5	9	24%	6%	61	-1.5	198/247/285	87	272	7	12	28%	5%	50	-2.3	125/168/187	62	169	6	10	30%	3%	-5	-2.8
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/266/263	67	278	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	208/305/278	70	291	4	26	27%	9%	72	-0.7	223/339/272	49	296	2	35	22%	11%	80	-0.0
✕Connor Kokx 2022 · A	22	46	39→40	52→60	42	213/304/302	89	309	6	12	30%	7%	77	-0.3	208/294/292	84	286	6	20	27%	9%	71	-0.8	201/292/275	74	278	6	26	27%	9%	63	-0.6
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→44	38→45	50→65	42	199/251/269	70	259	6	15	25%	5%	47	-2.5	210/270/306	96	280	7	19	26%	7%	63	-1.3	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Jeremy Arocho 2021 · A	22	48→44	36→30	48→60	47	224/284/295	71	288	3	10	22%	7%	65	-1.2	228/321/282	54	318	2	26	25%	12%	78	-0.3	221/328/267	46	302	1	34	24%	13%	75	-0.3
✕Jose Cordova 2022 · A	22	48	37→40	52→50	41	224/281/299	74	304	3	14	26%	5%	65	-1.2	209/261/278	69	306	3	8	31%	5%	53	-2.1	237/299/326	89	314	5	11	24%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Jose Bernardo Lopez 2012 · AAA	22	49	37→30	45→50	42	235/273/304	68	293	5	15	21%	5%	63	-1.4	260/294/317	57	315	3	10	17%	4%	73	-0.6	280/319/333	53	338	1	12	17%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40	50	39	212/268/307	95	312	8	8	33%	6%	63	-1.4	203/292/311	108	294	11	12	32%	9%	74	-0.5	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Tanner Schobel 2023 · A	22	45→44	38→45	52→50	47	212/285/292	80	289	6	13	27%	8%	66	-1.1	206/276/316	110	270	11	10	26%	8%	68	-1.0	198/271/309	111	256	12	10	26%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Anyesber Sivira 2022 · A	22	43	38→30	49→55	41	207/277/287	80	281	6	9	27%	6%	62	-1.4	225/287/337	112	326	11	7	32%	6%	78	-0.3	224/291/332	108	326	13	3	33%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Charcer Burks 2017 · A	22	41→48	40	52→50	44	200/267/293	93	278	6	17	29%	7%	59	-1.6	209/281/303	94	291	7	14	28%	8%	68	-1.0	205/279/290	85	284	6	14	28%	8%	62	-1.2
✕Trendon Craig 2022 · A	22	47	39→40	49→60	41	218/278/307	88	318	6	13	31%	6%	67	-1.1	219/288/293	74	347	4	17	35%	8%	68	-1.0	218/291/284	67	347	4	22	35%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	56→60	41	213/265/295	82	297	4	14	29%	6%	59	-1.7	241/298/346	105	336	10	30	29%	7%	83	+0.1	250/304/340	90	346	8	39	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Ryan Vega 2019 · A	22	47	40	47→45	44	225/281/316	92	289	7	7	24%	6%	70	-0.9	192/259/278	86	294	7	7	34%	7%	53	-2.1	158/232/234	76	244	8	6	36%	7%	32	-2.1
✕Nick Allen 2021 · A	22	46→56	38→40	52→50	44	219/270/303	84	277	4	14	22%	6%	62	-1.4	232/283/326	94	288	8	14	21%	6%	72	-0.7	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1

Esteban Mejia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps