Elian Garcia — OGILVIE

Elian GarciaOF FCL Braves

Age 21 L/L 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .273 / .283

PA4

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	120	90	10	3	0	0	21	37	8	1	2	111	328	144	472	33	185	31	18	256	59	-6	-1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	92	78	14	3	0	0	13	17	0	1	2	179	297	218	515	38	226	18	14	249	54	-5	-1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	52	37	3	1	0	1	8	12	3	2	0	81	292	189	481	108	80	23	15	232	43	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	120	98	7	2	0	0	13	52	8	1	2	71	235	92	327	20	143	43	11	170	1	-14	-1	—	—	+3	-1.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	92	83	11	2	0	0	8	25	0	1	2	133	209	157	365	24	185	27	9	174	4	-11	-1	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	52	40	3	1	0	1	5	17	3	2	0	75	229	175	404	100	59	33	10	162	-4	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	120	98	7	2	0	0	13	52	8	1	2	71	235	92	327	20	149	43	11	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	120	90	10	3	0	0	21	37	8	1	2	111	328	144	472	33	185	31	18	256	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	92	83	11	2	0	0	8	25	0	1	2	133	209	157	365	24	186	27	9	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	92	78	14	3	0	0	13	17	0	1	2	179	297	218	515	38	226	18	14	249	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	52	40	3	1	0	1	5	17	3	2	0	75	229	175	404	100	87	33	10	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	52	37	3	1	0	1	8	12	3	2	0	81	292	189	481	108	80	23	15	232	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	120	98	7	2	0	0	13	52	8	1	2	71	235	92	327	20	143	43	11	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	92	84	11	2	0	0	8	25	0	1	2	131	209	155	364	24	185	27	9	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	52	44	3	1	0	1	5	17	3	2	0	68	229	159	388	91	59	33	10	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	92	84	11	2	0	0	8	25	0	1	2	131	209	155	364	24	185	27	9	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	52	44	3	1	0	1	5	17	3	2	0	68	229	159	388	91	59	33	10	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		286	25	0	257	60	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	113	102	21	4	1	1	9	32	1	1	0	206	277	294	571	88	288	28	8	268	67	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	167	231	194	425	28	288	28	8	259	67	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	167	231	194	425	28	240	28	8	259	21	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	100	17	0	0	50	183	0	0	0	167	231	195	426	28	240	28	8	259	21	-25	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	381	327	43	9	1	2	35	127	12	5	4	131	241	183	424	52	203	33	9	200	21	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	73	15	2	3	60	217	20	9	7	131	240	181	421	50	203	33	9	200	21	-25	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elian Garcia (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	203/273/283	80	286	0	1	29%	8%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Je'Von Ward 2021 · A	21	42→35	37→45	47→50	42	196/257/268	73	297	4	8	33%	8%	49	-2.4	200/249/293	93	324	8	10	38%	6%	52	-2.2	191/275/315	124	286	14	8	36%	10%	68	-0.5
✕Josh Sale 2012 · A	21	37	40→45	46→40	43	186/236/281	95	239	7	6	25%	6%	45	-2.7	205/273/315	110	299	10	6	32%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/307	116	299	12	4	37%	9%	63	-0.7
✕Henrry Rosario 2014 · A	21	37	38→45	47→45	44	180/249/266	85	257	5	8	30%	8%	47	-2.6	199/253/304	105	256	8	7	24%	6%	56	-1.9	205/253/337	132	255	14	9	25%	5%	63	-0.5
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	40	40	52→40	41	192/259/281	89	288	7	8	34%	7%	54	-2.0	190/255/290	100	295	9	6	36%	7%	55	-2.0	163/231/263	100	247	9	3	36%	7%	38	-1.0
✕Agustin Ruiz 2021 · A	21	40→35	37→50	46→40	39	189/250/267	78	298	4	4	36%	7%	47	-2.5	187/253/321	134	269	17	4	35%	7%	62	-1.4	166/244/295	129	230	15	2	34%	7%	52	-1.3
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→44	41→45	50→55	40	191/251/289	98	279	8	7	33%	6%	53	-2.1	209/274/308	99	298	9	15	31%	8%	65	-1.2	205/273/301	96	300	7	19	32%	8%	60	-1.0
✕Nathan Mikolas 2015 · A	21	40	40	48→45	40	192/263/284	91	288	8	7	34%	7%	57	-1.8	209/269/300	91	305	8	6	32%	6%	62	-1.4	198/259/282	84	287	9	4	32%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Brenden Webb 2011 · A	21	38→39	41→45	53→50	43	184/261/289	104	283	8	7	35%	8%	57	-1.8	183/271/281	98	311	8	10	39%	10%	59	-1.6	169/250/290	121	279	12	10	41%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Rixon Wingrove 2021 · A	21	43→36	42→50	44→40	42	210/265/319	109	287	9	4	29%	7%	64	-1.3	184/249/309	125	299	15	4	41%	6%	57	-1.8	184/257/333	149	277	19	3	39%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→32	43→45	51→50	42	190/258/298	108	281	10	12	34%	8%	57	-1.8	205/269/314	109	303	11	12	34%	7%	65	-1.2	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Rubel Cespedes 2022 · A	21	34→44	39→45	49→40	36	170/224/255	85	264	7	6	37%	6%	34	-3.5	213/264/317	104	303	10	4	31%	6%	64	-1.3	217/269/325	108	297	11	3	29%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Jared Walker 2017 · A	21	37→32	40→55	44→45	37	178/239/268	89	302	8	7	41%	7%	44	-2.8	188/258/344	156	307	19	5	42%	7%	70	-0.9	173/255/337	164	274	21	5	42%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→46	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	94	272	5	6	36%	8%	48	-2.5	200/267/315	115	279	11	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	210/283/339	129	268	13	5	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	200/264/298	98	277	8	12	29%	7%	59	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	197/268/260	62	262	2	10	23%	9%	50	-1.1
✕Francisco Santana 2008 · A	20	37	38→50	52→55	39	182/227/269	87	246	5	7	28%	5%	38	-3.2	202/247/309	107	265	8	12	26%	5%	55	-2.0	191/230/306	114	248	9	14	26%	5%	46	-1.0
✕Ryan Aguilar 2017 · A	22	43→41	38→45	50	47	205/275/287	82	285	5	10	28%	9%	61	-1.5	183/251/260	77	287	6	7	35%	8%	46	-2.6	185/281/292	107	300	12	12	39%	10%	63	-0.9
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Nelson B Alvarez 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	46→40	49	188/272/256	68	260	4	5	27%	9%	53	-2.1	179/261/246	67	253	4	6	28%	9%	47	-2.5	73/187/105	32	93	4	2	26%	12%	-10	-1.2
✕Jacob Pearson 2019 · A	21	38→39	39→40	45→50	40	189/242/274	85	266	7	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	191/246/282	91	262	7	11	28%	7%	49	-2.4	168/237/260	92	235	8	19	30%	7%	39	-1.2