Elian Garcia — OGILVIE

Elian GarciaOF FCL Braves

Age 21 L/L 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .272 / .283

PA45

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	120	98	8	2	0	0	13	51	8	1	2	82	244	102	346	20	167	42	11	173	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	120	90	10	3	0	0	21	37	8	1	2	111	328	144	472	33	185	31	18	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	92	84	12	3	0	0	7	26	0	1	2	143	209	179	387	36	203	28	8	173	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	92	78	14	3	0	0	13	17	0	1	2	179	297	218	515	38	226	18	14	249	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	52	40	3	1	0	1	5	16	3	2	0	75	229	175	404	100	83	31	10	159	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	52	37	3	1	0	1	8	12	3	2	0	81	292	189	481	108	80	23	15	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	ATL	—	45	41	8	2	0	0	3	13	1	1	0	195	267	244	511	49	286	29	7	256	54	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	ATL	34%	113	102	21	4	1	1	9	32	1	1	0	206	277	294	571	88	288	28	8	267	63	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	ATL	48%	248	224	48	9	1	4	19	68	3	3	1	214	285	317	602	103	290	27	8	274	68	-9	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.3
2027	22	MLB	ATL	34%	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	167	231	194	425	28	288	28	8	259	56	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	ATL	48%	120	109	23	4	1	2	9	33	1	1	0	211	277	321	598	110	290	28	8	266	62	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	159	145	29	5	1	2	12	44	1	1	0	200	266	290	555	90	270	28	8	264	60	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	118	20	4	8	49	180	4	4	0	199	265	287	551	88	269	28	8	264	60	-29	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	670	589	100	21	2	6	56	206	16	9	5	170	260	243	503	73	246	31	8	231	35	-49	-0	+0	-4	+19	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	97	20	2	6	54	200	16	9	5	170	261	243	504	74	246	31	8	231	35	-48	-0	+0	-4	+18	-3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	120	90	10	3	0	21	37	8	1	2	111	328	144	472	33	185	31	18	256	54	-6	-1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	92	78	14	3	0	13	17	0	1	2	179	297	218	515	38	226	18	14	249	48	-5	-1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	52	37	3	1	1	8	12	3	2	0	81	292	189	481	108	80	23	15	232	36	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	204	3	2	213	281	310	-1	+0	-0.3	-0.2
	/162	664	9	8	213	281	310	-4.0	+0.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elian Garcia (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	203/272/283	80	286	0	1	29%	8%	54	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→39	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	95	272	5	6	36%	8%	41	-2.3	201/268/322	121	279	12	6	31%	7%	63	-0.9	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Je'Von Ward 2021 · A	21	42→35	36→45	47→50	43	196/259/266	70	298	4	8	34%	8%	43	-2.2	198/247/286	88	325	7	10	39%	6%	43	-2.2	189/272/316	127	289	15	8	37%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Josh Sale 2012 · A	21	37	40→45	46→40	43	186/236/281	95	239	7	6	25%	6%	37	-2.6	204/274/310	106	303	9	6	33%	9%	62	-0.9	192/271/308	116	304	12	4	38%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Agustin Ruiz 2021 · A	21	39→33	37→50	46→40	39	183/245/258	75	293	4	4	37%	7%	36	-2.7	188/254/331	143	272	18	4	37%	7%	59	-1.1	172/243/327	155	240	22	2	37%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Henrry Rosario 2014 · A	21	37	38→45	47→45	44	180/249/266	85	257	5	8	30%	8%	40	-2.4	199/253/304	105	256	8	7	24%	6%	50	-1.7	205/253/337	132	255	14	9	25%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	40	40	52→40	41	192/259/281	89	288	7	8	34%	7%	48	-1.9	189/254/288	99	297	8	6	37%	7%	48	-1.9	161/231/261	100	250	9	3	37%	7%	29	-1.0
✕Rixon Wingrove 2021 · A	21	43→35	42→55	44→40	42	210/265/319	109	287	9	4	29%	7%	59	-1.1	185/250/320	135	298	16	4	41%	6%	55	-1.4	184/257/346	162	273	22	3	39%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Nathan Mikolas 2015 · A	21	40	40	48→45	40	192/263/284	91	288	8	7	34%	7%	51	-1.7	209/269/302	93	304	9	6	32%	6%	58	-1.2	199/260/285	86	285	10	4	32%	6%	46	-0.6
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	44	40→50	49→50	43	210/264/306	96	280	6	8	26%	6%	56	-1.3	212/262/343	131	271	15	10	27%	6%	65	-0.7	227/286/389	162	266	21	9	23%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Rubel Cespedes 2022 · A	21	34→44	39→45	49→40	36	170/224/255	86	263	7	6	37%	6%	26	-3.4	215/264/318	103	309	9	4	32%	6%	59	-1.1	218/267/322	104	302	10	3	30%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→44	41→45	50→55	39	190/249/286	95	278	8	7	33%	6%	45	-2.1	210/274/308	98	300	9	15	31%	8%	61	-1.0	203/269/303	100	297	8	19	32%	8%	54	-0.9
✕Brenden Webb 2011 · A	21	38→42	41→45	53→50	43	184/261/289	104	283	8	7	35%	8%	51	-1.7	187/272/290	103	314	9	10	39%	10%	56	-1.3	173/263/277	104	295	10	10	41%	10%	47	-1.4
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Albert Fabian 2022 · A	20	44→34	38→50	46→40	41	201/267/283	82	319	5	7	36%	8%	52	-1.6	193/251/335	142	275	18	4	35%	6%	59	-1.1	212/269/333	121	257	14	6	23%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Grant Lavigne 2021 · A	21	39→45	38→45	42→45	42	189/257/262	72	278	6	7	32%	7%	42	-2.3	204/279/302	98	315	9	5	35%	8%	63	-0.9	198/279/308	110	297	10	4	34%	9%	61	-0.8
✕Sam McDonnell 2017 · A	21	43	37→40	48→45	48	203/275/287	84	279	3	9	26%	9%	56	-1.3	209/281/292	83	293	5	7	28%	9%	60	-1.0	202/280/277	75	280	5	6	27%	9%	53	-1.0
✕Jacob Pearson 2019 · A	21	38→39	39→40	45→50	40	188/239/268	81	267	6	8	31%	6%	36	-2.7	192/246/285	93	267	8	11	29%	7%	43	-2.2	173/239/278	105	242	10	19	32%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Ryan Aguilar 2017 · A	22	43→40	38→45	50	47	205/275/287	82	285	5	10	28%	9%	56	-1.3	180/247/254	74	285	5	7	36%	8%	36	-2.7	180/274/287	107	300	13	12	40%	10%	54	-0.9