Roynier Hernandez

SS Spokane Indians

Age 22 L/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #833MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2029FG ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ACOL	323	.293/.362/.366	0	7	74	—	.262/.308/.326
2025	20	ROKCOL	22	.368/.429/.474	0	0	84	—	.300/.333/.400
2026	21	AACOL	56	.300/.340/.340	0	0	85	—	.314/.340/.353
2026	21	A+COL	404	.282/.392/.391	6	4	91	—	.254/.334/.344
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBCOL	2	.246/.320/.337	0	0	80	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	23	MLBCOL	167	.251/.325/.359	3	2	86	0.3
2029PROJ45% MLB	24	MLBCOL	261	.255/.329/.373	5	3	91	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$7M2033Arb-3$9M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%99

Whiff%93

K%84

wOBA28

wRC+28

Chase%10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 14, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 80%

CompsNoah Mendlinger (age 22) · Tucker Barnhart (age 22) · Justin Yurchak (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .320 / .337

PA2

HR0

K%20

BB%9

BABIP300

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$7M	+1.0	$5M	+$2M
2033	Arb-3	$9M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$9M		$16M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	242	201	50	9	0	0	38	35	0	8	4	249	368	294	662	45	298	14	16	311	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	218	180	61	8	2	0	33	23	3	6	3	339	449	406	855	67	384	11	15	389	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	243	200	61	9	1	0	39	36	1	11	2	305	421	360	781	55	367	15	16	359	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	323	287	84	11	5	0	29	50	2	7	5	293	362	366	727	73	350	15	9	326	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	22	19	7	0	1	0	2	3	0	0	0	368	429	474	902	105	412	14	9	384	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	56	50	15	2	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	300	340	340	680	40	357	18	5	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	404	340	96	17	1	6	60	62	1	4	2	282	392	391	783	109	327	15	15	356	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	32	22	8	2	0	1	9	5	0	0	1	364	548	591	1.139	227	412	16	28	483	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	22	15	5	0	0	0	4	2	1	0	0	333	500	333	833		357	9	18	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	242	211	36	6	0	0	28	40	0	8	4	171	268	199	467	28	203	17	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	218	190	42	5	1	0	23	27	3	6	3	221	315	258	573	37	259	12	11	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	243	216	52	7	1	0	23	52	1	11	2	241	317	282	599	42	306	21	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	323	298	78	9	5	0	18	71	2	7	5	262	308	326	634	64	330	22	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	22	20	6	0	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	300	333	400	733	100	316	18	5	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	56	51	16	2	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	314	340	353	693	39	356	21	4	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	404	358	91	15	1	5	42	84	1	4	2	254	334	344	678	89	310	21	10	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	32	25	8	2	0	1	6	7	0	0	1	320	452	520	972	200	366	22	19	416	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	242	211	36	6	0	0	28	40	0	8	4	171	268	199	467	28	208	17	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	242	201	50	9	0	0	38	35	0	8	4	249	368	294	662	45	298	14	16	311	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	218	190	42	5	1	0	23	27	3	6	3	221	315	258	573	37	255	12	11	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	218	180	61	8	2	0	33	23	3	6	3	339	449	406	855	67	384	11	15	389	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	243	216	52	7	1	0	23	52	1	11	2	241	317	282	599	42	313	21	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	243	200	61	9	1	0	39	36	1	11	2	305	421	360	781	55	367	15	16	359	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	345	317	83	9	5	0	20	76	2	7	5	262	310	322	632	60	339	22	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	345	306	91	11	6	0	31	53	2	7	5	297	366	373	738	75	354	15	9	330	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	514	451	119	20	1	6	52	107	2	4	3	264	343	353	695	89	328	21	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	514	427	124	21	1	7	76	79	2	4	3	290	400	393	793	103	336	15	15	357	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	242	212	36	6	0	0	28	40	0	8	4	170	268	198	466	28	203	17	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	218	190	42	5	1	0	23	27	3	6	3	221	315	258	573	37	259	12	11	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	243	217	52	7	1	0	23	52	1	11	2	240	317	281	598	41	306	21	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	345	320	83	9	5	0	20	76	2	7	5	259	310	319	628	59	329	22	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	514	455	119	20	1	6	52	107	2	4	3	262	343	349	692	88	319	21	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	243	217	52	7	1	0	23	52	1	11	2	240	317	281	598	41	306	21	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	345	320	83	9	5	0	20	76	2	7	5	259	310	319	628	59	329	22	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	514	455	119	20	1	6	52	107	2	4	3	262	343	349	692	88	319	21	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	COL	0%	593	530	125	21	2	6	56	117	2	6	3	235	310	317	627	82	288	20	9	286	80	-14	+0	-1	+6	+13	0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	COL	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	246	320	337	657	91	300	0	0	298	80	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	COL	31%	531	474	114	19	2	8	50	103	2	6	3	240	315	336	652	96	289	19	9	296	86	-9	+0	-0	+6	+12	0.9
2029	24	MLB MLE	COL	45%	574	512	125	21	2	10	55	111	2	7	3	243	319	349	668	106	290	19	10	302	91	-6	+0	+1	+6	+12	1.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	COL	54%	598	534	130	22	2	11	57	116	2	7	4	244	320	356	677	112	290	19	10	305	93	-5	-0	+1	+6	+13	1.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	COL	58%	609	543	133	22	3	12	58	119	3	8	4	245	321	360	680	115	290	20	10	307	94	-5	+0	+1	+7	+13	1.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	COL	59%	612	546	133	23	2	12	58	121	3	7	4	244	320	360	679	116	290	20	9	306	93	-5	-0	+1	+7	+13	1.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	COL	60%	608	542	130	22	2	11	58	122	3	6	4	242	318	355	673	113	289	20	10	304	92	-6	-0	+0	+7	+13	1.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	COL	59%	600	536	129	22	2	11	57	122	2	5	4	240	315	349	664	109	288	20	10	300	89	-8	-1	-1	+6	+13	1.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	COL	59%	590	528	125	21	2	10	55	122	2	4	4	237	312	342	653	105	287	21	9	296	86	-10	-1	-1	+6	+13	0.7
2036	31	MLB MLE	COL	58%	576	516	120	20	2	9	53	121	2	4	4	233	307	332	639	99	284	21	9	290	82	-12	-1	-2	+6	+12	0.4
2037	32	MLB MLE	COL	58%	558	501	115	19	2	8	51	120	1	1	8	228	301	320	621	92	281	22	9	283	77	-15	-3	-3	+6	+12	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	COL	31%	167	148	38	6	1	3	16	32	1	2	1	251	325	359	684	108	302	19	10	309	86	-3	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	COL	45%	261	233	60	10	2	5	25	50	1	3	1	255	329	373	703	119	303	19	10	316	91	-3	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2030	25	MLB CTX	COL	54%	320	285	74	12	2	7	31	62	1	4	2	256	331	382	713	125	303	19	10	320	93	-3	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2031	26	MLB CTX	COL	58%	354	315	81	13	2	8	34	69	2	4	2	257	331	385	717	129	303	19	10	321	94	-3	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2032	27	MLB CTX	COL	59%	364	324	83	14	2	8	35	72	2	4	2	256	330	385	716	130	303	20	10	321	93	-3	+0	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	COL	60%	366	326	83	14	2	8	35	73	2	4	2	254	328	380	708	126	302	20	10	318	92	-4	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2034	29	MLB CTX	COL	59%	355	317	79	13	2	7	34	72	1	3	2	251	325	373	699	122	301	20	10	314	89	-5	-0	-0	+4	+8	0.7
2035	30	MLB CTX	COL	59%	346	310	78	13	2	7	32	71	1	2	3	248	322	365	687	117	299	21	9	309	86	-6	-1	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	COL	58%	335	300	74	12	2	6	31	70	1	2	3	244	317	354	671	111	297	21	9	303	82	-7	-1	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2037	32	MLB CTX	COL	58%	323	289	68	11	1	5	30	69	1	1	4	238	311	341	652	103	293	21	9	295	77	-9	-1	-2	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3191	2847	718	118	18	64	303	640	13	29	22	252	327	374	701	122	303	20	9	313	85	-43	-3	-2	+34	+69	5.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	147	24	4	13	62	130	3	6	4	253	329	376	705	122	304	20	10	313	85	-9	-1	-0	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7738	6903	1653	269	30	111	728	1542	31	94	61	239	315	335	650	96	291	20	9	294	85	-87	-6	-4	+66	+134	10.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	139	23	3	9	61	130	3	8	5	240	315	336	651	97	292	20	9	294	85	-9	-1	-0	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.8	3,192	56	30	241	312	348	+34	+6	7.4	7.0
/162	664	12	6	+7.1	+1.2	1.5	pk7: 7
#6Heinie Sand'23-'28 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,529 PA	5.3	3,529	18	21	229*	321*	354*	+36	-15	3.9	3.9
/162	664	3	4	+6.7	-2.8	0.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roynier Hernandez (OGILVIE)	22	40→52	25→32	45→47	60	233/308/314	81	288	3	3	20%	9%	80	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Noah Mendlinger 2023 · A	22	49→59	37→30	47→45	55	228/324/304	75	281	4	9	19%	10%	84	+0.1	257/342/331	74	304	3	8	15%	8%	97	+1.1	269/354/337	68	315	2	8	14%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Tucker Barnhart 2013 · AA	22	48→53	39→45	42→40	47	228/287/316	89	292	5	4	23%	8%	72	-0.7	230/288/308	78	280	5	3	18%	7%	70	-0.8	241/315/366	125	285	12	2	19%	9%	93	+0.6
●Justin Yurchak 2019 · A	22	49→59	39→40	41→40	51	234/299/318	84	286	6	2	20%	9%	77	-0.3	247/306/351	104	315	8	3	23%	8%	87	+0.4	272/336/375	103	335	10	2	20%	8%	101	+0.8
✕Marcus Lemon 2010 · AA	22	53→55	38→40	45	47	248/302/336	88	302	4	8	19%	6%	82	-0.0	245/287/324	79	301	3	8	19%	5%	73	-0.6	252/292/329	78	309	3	9	19%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Greg Garcia 2012 · A	22	49→55	39→40	45→50	47	232/301/322	90	293	5	8	21%	7%	79	-0.2	245/322/341	96	314	6	10	22%	8%	91	+0.7	240/347/331	91	307	6	3	21%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Luke Shliger 2024 · A	22	48	39→40	47→50	46	228/295/315	87	300	6	9	25%	7%	75	-0.5	216/309/312	96	303	8	12	28%	10%	80	-0.1	213/312/314	101	295	10	14	28%	11%	82	-0.0
✕Noe Becerra 2008 · AAA	21	49	40→30	46→40	50	234/302/332	98	282	7	8	19%	8%	81	-0.1	215/279/296	81	275	7	8	23%	8%	64	-1.3	235/291/274	39	289	1	1	18%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Anthony Dimino 2017 · A	23	50	36→40	48→50	50	233/300/299	66	295	3	9	21%	8%	73	-0.6	240/299/308	68	305	3	13	21%	7%	74	-0.5	249/306/310	61	313	3	17	20%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Scott Campbell 2008 · A	23	50→59	41→40	43→40	54	237/313/336	98	278	8	5	17%	9%	86	+0.3	256/323/350	94	299	8	5	16%	9%	93	+0.8	268/336/357	88	309	7	3	15%	9%	97	+0.8
✕Luis Santana 2021 · AA	22	50	39→45	48→50	48	238/309/327	89	284	6	8	18%	7%	83	+0.1	215/273/337	122	282	13	9	28%	6%	72	-0.7	214/269/345	131	274	15	8	27%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Matt Cerda 2012 · A	22	53→56	37→40	41→40	54	247/322/326	79	307	3	4	19%	10%	87	+0.4	230/316/308	78	297	4	7	22%	11%	81	-0.1	220/319/282	63	283	4	7	21%	13%	74	-0.4
✕Rossmel Perez 2012 · A	22	53→56	37→30	43→45	52	250/306/313	63	282	5	5	13%	7%	78	-0.3	251/307/313	62	276	4	6	10%	7%	78	-0.3	266/319/325	59	287	3	5	8%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Rio Ruiz 2016 · AA	22	50→54	42→50	42→40	51	238/307/347	109	301	8	4	23%	9%	86	+0.3	235/295/353	118	305	11	3	25%	8%	83	+0.1	220/284/360	140	261	16	3	22%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Richi Sanchez 2015 · A	21	46	36→40	48→50	56	213/303/284	71	267	3	8	20%	11%	72	-0.7	201/263/273	72	258	3	7	22%	7%	53	-2.1	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Casey Turgeon 2015 · A	22	48	40	47→45	53	228/307/326	97	275	7	7	19%	9%	82	+0.0	206/292/290	84	261	5	7	21%	10%	69	-0.9	191/283/271	80	243	6	7	22%	10%	60	-0.8
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2019 · AA	23	49→57	36→45	45→60	50	230/297/297	67	299	3	11	23%	9%	71	-0.8	246/302/327	81	327	5	12	24%	8%	79	-0.2	253/317/360	108	325	8	21	23%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Cam Maron 2014 · A	23	50→58	37→40	47→40	50	235/306/312	77	303	4	3	22%	9%	78	-0.3	236/304/309	73	307	4	3	22%	9%	76	-0.4	247/317/312	65	316	4	2	21%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Reese McGuire 2018 · AA	23	52→54	39→45	44→45	50	248/301/338	90	281	6	9	14%	7%	82	-0.0	231/287/349	118	281	12	7	22%	7%	80	-0.2	245/296/356	111	296	9	3	20%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Jacob Gonzalez 2024 · A	22	44→45	38→45	46→50	51	208/290/285	76	270	6	6	24%	9%	67	-1.1	218/275/329	111	256	11	12	19%	6%	71	-0.8	220/279/347	127	253	14	13	19%	6%	75	-0.4
●J.P. Crawford 2017 · AAA	22	51→57	40→45	47→50	54	244/313/337	93	285	7	11	17%	9%	86	+0.3	221/303/342	121	277	10	8	22%	10%	84	+0.2	261/352/384	123	304	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.4

Roynier Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps