Anthony Flores — OGILVIE

Anthony Flores P Biloxi Shuckers

Age 21 LHP 5'10" / 165 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118126vR 135

ERA5.34

FIP5.34

K%17.0%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%2.9%

ROS IP56

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	11	7	35	157	30	22	0	64%	3.2	13.0%	17.5%	-4.5%	0.0%	5.97	4.22	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	11	7	35	157	30	22	0	64%	3.2	19.1%	14.0%	5.1%	0.0%	5.97	3.27	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	11	11	45	180	57	16	1	100%	4.1	21.5%	11.1%	10.4%	0.8%	3.22	3.11	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	11	11	45	180	57	16	1	100%	4.1	21.5%	11.1%	10.4%	0.8%	3.22	3.11	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	11	11	45	180	57	16	1	100%	4.1	31.7%	8.9%	22.8%	0.6%	3.22	1.91	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	7	70	311	85	27	4	37%	3.7	19.1%	10.6%	8.5%	1.7%	5.17	3.77	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	7	70	311	85	27	4	37%	3.7	19.1%	10.6%	8.5%	1.7%	5.17	3.77	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	7	70	311	85	27	4	37%	3.7	27.3%	8.7%	18.6%	1.3%	5.17	2.57	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	32	11	91	404	92	48	9	34%	2.8	17.5%	13.7%	3.9%	2.2%	3.86	4.58	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	32	11	91	404	92	48	9	34%	2.8	17.5%	13.7%	3.9%	2.2%	3.86	4.58	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	32	11	91	404	92	48	9	34%	2.8	22.8%	11.9%	10.9%	2.2%	3.86	3.95	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	30	1	46	234	42	41	7	3%	1.5	14.5%	19.3%	-4.7%	3.6%	8.35	6.28	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	30	1	46	234	42	41	7	3%	1.5	14.5%	19.3%	-4.7%	3.6%	8.35	6.28	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	AA RAW	MIL	30	1	46	234	42	41	7	3%	1.5	17.9%	17.5%	0.4%	3.0%	8.35	5.45	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIL	82	0	86	363	67	45	10	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.4%	6.0%	2.7%	5.09	4.99	-0.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIL	85	0	89	377	73	43	10	0%	1.0	19.5%	11.4%	8.1%	2.7%	4.87	4.76	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIL	87	0	91	386	78	42	10	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.8%	9.4%	2.7%	4.70	4.61	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIL	88	0	92	391	80	41	10	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.4%	10.1%	2.7%	4.60	4.53	+0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIL	88	0	92	391	81	41	10	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.4%	10.4%	2.7%	4.55	4.51	+0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIL	87	0	91	385	80	40	10	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.5%	10.3%	2.7%	4.55	4.55	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIL	84	0	88	373	77	40	11	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.6%	10.0%	2.8%	4.60	4.63	-0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIL	80	0	84	356	73	39	11	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.9%	9.5%	3.0%	4.70	4.76	-0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIL	76	0	79	335	74	35	11	0%	1.0	22.1%	10.4%	11.7%	3.2%	4.68	4.67	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIL	41	0	43	182	34	23	5	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.4%	6.0%	2.7%	5.09	4.99	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIL	62	0	65	274	53	31	7	0%	1.0	19.5%	11.4%	8.1%	2.7%	4.87	4.76	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIL	72	0	76	321	65	35	9	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.8%	9.4%	2.7%	4.70	4.61	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIL	78	0	82	346	71	36	9	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.4%	10.1%	2.7%	4.60	4.53	+0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIL	81	0	85	359	75	37	10	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.4%	10.4%	2.7%	4.55	4.51	+0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIL	81	0	85	359	75	38	10	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.5%	10.3%	2.7%	4.55	4.55	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIL	79	0	83	350	72	37	10	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.6%	10.0%	2.8%	4.60	4.63	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIL	76	0	80	338	69	37	10	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.9%	9.5%	3.0%	4.70	4.76	-0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIL	71	0	75	317	70	33	10	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.4%	11.7%	3.2%	4.68	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		642	0	674	2844	583	306	79	0%	1.0	20.5%	10.8%	9.7%	2.8%	4.68	4.27	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	91	23	0%	1.1	20.5%	10.8%	9.7%	2.8%	4.68	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		103	37	286	1286	224	181	24	36%	2.8	17.4%	14.1%	3.3%	1.9%	5.06	4.44	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	26	200	898	156	126	17	36%	2.8	17.4%	14.1%	3.3%	1.9%	5.06	4.44	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Flores (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.34	17.0%	14.1%	2.8%	—	4.78	19.4%	7.9%	267	-0.56	—	—	—
Alex Winkelman L 2016 · 4.44 FIP	22	SW	4.44	15.8%	14.7%	1.5%	.344	3.77	18.8%	6.5%	181	-0.67	3.40	246	85
Matt Walker L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	16.7%	13.3%	1.5%	.324	4.62	15.5%	4.0%	94	+0.41	4.21	156	84
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	83
Ryan Wilson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	16.2%	13.8%	2.2%	.279	4.35	20.7%	10.3%	113	-0.37	3.43	222	82
Luis De Paula L 2015 · 4.35 FIP	23	SW	4.35	14.8%	14.2%	1.3%	.285	5.37	16.4%	0.2%	47	+1.02	4.35	125	82
Austin Davis L 2015 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	14.7%	12.4%	2.5%	.259	2.97	23.3%	15.8%	151	-1.86	2.19	486	81
Estevan Gonzalez L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	23	SW	4.77	14.1%	10.7%	2.8%	.322	4.86	14.7%	0.1%	130	+0.09	4.58	195	81
Victor Cabreja L 2023 · 4.18 FIP	21	SW	4.18	15.8%	14.5%	1.1%	.213	5.20	11.8%	2.2%	185	+1.02	3.79	254	80
Luis Silva L 2018 · 5.05 FIP	21	SU	5.05	14.1%	13.4%	2.6%	.311	6.59	8.7%	-7.4%	12	+1.54	4.48	107	80
Oscar Armenta L 2015 · 5.35 FIP	21	SW	5.35	11.8%	10.8%	3.4%	.318	4.84	9.8%	-5.0%	59	-0.51	3.84	118	79
Scott Squier L 2015 · 5.28 FIP	22	SW	5.28	12.2%	11.2%	3.3%	.362	4.06	13.9%	7.9%	234	-1.22	3.29	276	79
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	78
Wilfred Salaman L 2019 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	13.1%	12.0%	2.4%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.26	218	78
Felix Polanco L 2021 · 5.49 FIP	21	SU	5.49	16.1%	13.0%	3.8%	.275	4.39	18.8%	6.2%	51	-1.10	3.68	105	78
Luis Ysla L 2015 · 4.88 FIP	23	SW	4.88	19.6%	12.5%	3.4%	.412	4.47	18.3%	4.3%	208	-0.41	3.75	378	77
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	77
Graeme Stinson L 2021 · 5.66 FIP	23	SU	5.66	12.6%	12.6%	3.7%	.266	4.14	21.4%	8.7%	101	-1.52	3.56	146	77
Brayan Perez L 2022 · 4.93 FIP	21	SW	4.93	13.2%	9.3%	3.2%	.316	3.28	16.3%	6.9%	96	-1.65	2.60	318	77
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.40	163	77
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.3	85	20.1%	11.1%	1.08	4.74
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88