Anthony Flores P Biloxi Shuckers
Age 21 LHP 5'10" / 165 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 56 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120129vR 138
ERA5.30
FIP5.30
K%17.0%
BB%14.2%
K-BB%2.8%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 87 IP
K: -2.9 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -7.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-7BBCONTACT: -4.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +9.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+9STAMTotal WAR: -0.54 (87 IP)-0.5WAR
0.00.10.30.40.40.50.426283032
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL3535
CMD4040
K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202217ROKDSL Brewers 2117351573022064%3.213.0%17.5%-4.5%0.0%5.974.22
202217ROKDSL Brewers 2117351573022064%3.219.1%14.0%5.1%0.0%5.973.27
202318ROKDSL Brewers 111114518057161100%4.121.5%11.1%10.4%0.7%3.223.09
202318ROKDSL Brewers 111114518057161100%4.131.7%8.9%22.8%0.6%3.221.91
202419MIX2 levels197703118527437%3.719.1%10.6%8.5%1.7%5.173.77
202419MIX2 levels197703118527437%3.727.3%8.7%18.6%1.3%5.172.57
202520A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers3211914049248934%2.817.5%13.7%3.9%1.9%3.864.37
202520A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers3211914049248934%2.822.8%11.9%10.9%2.2%3.863.95
▸ 2026 Season
202621AABiloxi Shuckers20131146312555%1.617.2%18.8%-1.6%4.1%7.556.29-0.6
ROS21MLBMIL53056236403460%1.117.0%14.2%2.8%2.7%5.305.30-0.5
ROS21MLBMIL10141100%1.017.0%14.2%2.8%2.7%5.305.30-0.0
2026 TOT21MLBMIL8738271591118.6%15.3%3.3%3.0%6.105.65-0.5
2026 FULL21MLBMIL1511017.0%14.2%2.8%2.7%5.304.92-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722MLBMIL56059248463170%1.118.6%12.6%6.0%2.6%5.054.95-0.3
202823MLBMIL58061258513070%1.119.7%11.6%8.0%2.6%4.844.73-0.1
202722MLBMIL28029122231530%1.018.6%12.6%6.0%2.6%5.054.95-0.1
202823MLBMIL43045190372250%1.019.7%11.6%8.0%2.6%4.844.73-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career72075318613880%1.019.2%12.1%7.1%2.6%4.934.45+0.4
/ 200 IP1900200844162101210%1.119.2%12.1%7.1%2.6%4.934.45+2.2
Career933727111982151632040%2.917.9%13.6%4.3%1.7%4.784.24+3.7
/ 200 IP69272008841581211540%2.917.9%13.6%4.3%1.7%4.784.24+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Anthony Flores (OGILVIE) 5.30 17.0%14.2%2.7% 4.84 19.1%7.0%120 -0.46
Alex Winkelman L 2027 · 4.37 FIP 22 SW 4.37 15.8%14.7%1.4%.344 3.74 18.8%6.5%181 -0.63 3.37 246 86
Luis De Paula L 2028 · 4.44 FIP 23 SW 4.44 14.8%14.2%1.4%.285 5.36 16.4%0.2%47 +0.92 4.44 125 84
Matt Walker L 2028 · 4.27 FIP 23 SU 4.27 16.7%13.3%1.6%.324 4.69 15.5%4.0%94 +0.42 4.27 156 83
Braeden Fausnaught L 2029 · 4.77 FIP 24 SW 4.77 16.9%16.4%1.8%.287 4.67 17.9%9.7%179 -0.10 4.57 242 83
Estevan Gonzalez L 2028 · 4.69 FIP 23 SW 4.69 14.1%10.7%2.6%.322 4.80 14.7%0.1%130 +0.11 4.62 195 82
Connor Oliver L 2028 · 4.29 FIP 23 SW 4.29 17.3%12.1%2.0%.314 5.52 19.2%3.4%121 +1.23 4.29 200 82
Austin Davis L 2027 · 5.07 FIP 22 SW 5.07 14.7%12.4%3.0%.259 2.95 23.3%15.8%151 -2.12 2.22 486 82
Victor Cabreja L 2026 · 4.20 FIP 21 SW 4.20 15.8%14.5%1.1%.213 5.26 11.1%1.6%164 +1.06 3.75 233 81
Scott Squier L 2027 · 4.89 FIP 22 SW 4.89 12.2%11.2%2.5%.362 4.13 13.9%7.9%234 -0.76 3.30 276 80
Ryan Wilson L 2026 · 4.93 FIP 21 SU 4.93 16.2%13.8%2.6%.279 4.41 20.7%10.3%113 -0.52 3.43 222 80
Oscar Armenta L 2026 · 5.37 FIP 21 SW 5.37 11.8%10.8%3.5%.318 4.90 9.8%-5.0%59 -0.47 3.84 118 80
Colby Langford L 2027 · 5.24 FIP 22 SW 5.24 21.6%22.5%2.0%.273 6.09 22.9%-1.5%95 +0.85 4.82 153 80
Riley Cooper L 2027 · 4.27 FIP 22 SW 4.27 16.6%12.0%1.9%.287 4.35 18.6%8.4%44 +0.08 4.27 132 79
Sam Clay L 2027 · 4.13 FIP 22 SW 4.13 15.9%14.1%1.1%.330 3.71 17.9%3.0%232 -0.42 2.50 514 78
Dante Biasi L 2028 · 4.88 FIP 23 SW 4.88 21.5%12.6%3.6%.251 6.01 19.3%2.3%153 +1.13 4.88 224 78
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2029 · 4.64 FIP 24 SW 4.64 22.0%14.9%2.8%.289 2.98 26.6%12.9%99 -1.66 2.15 175 78
Bryce Hubbart L 2027 · 5.82 FIP 22 SW 5.82 17.0%26.0%1.6%.303 5.00 17.4%3.9%136 -0.82 4.73 181 78
Manuel Osorio L 2025 · 5.22 FIP 20 SU 5.22 18.7%15.3%3.2%.316 3.90 153 78
Luis Silva L 2026 · 5.05 FIP 21 SU 5.05 14.1%13.4%2.6%.311 6.59 8.7%-7.4%12 +1.54 4.48 107 78
Cole Reynolds L 2028 · 4.81 FIP 23 SU 4.81 16.4%16.2%1.9%.304 5.26 17.3%0.4%52 +0.45 4.81 108 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35918.5%12.8%1.025.06
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72