Brayan Perez
P
Modesto Nuts
Age 25
LHP
6'0" / 170 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98107vR 116
ERA4.27
FIP4.27
K%22.3%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 15 | 10 | 53 | 219 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 67% | 3.5 | 18.0% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 0.6% | 3.57 | 2.73 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 15 | 10 | 53 | 219 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 67% | 3.5 | 26.5% | 5.0% | 21.5% | 0.5% | 3.57 | 1.78 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 8 | 3 | 37 | 146 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 38% | 4.6 | 15.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 3.44 | 3.72 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 8 | 3 | 37 | 146 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 38% | 4.6 | 22.6% | 5.5% | 17.1% | 1.4% | 3.44 | 2.66 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Modesto Nuts | 31 | 6 | 67 | 300 | 81 | 18 | 2 | 19% | 2.2 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 1.2% | 3.34 | 2.97 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Modesto Nuts | 31 | 6 | 67 | 300 | 81 | 18 | 2 | 19% | 2.2 | 27.0% | 6.0% | 21.0% | 0.7% | 3.34 | 1.88 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 6 | 67 | 307 | 55 | 25 | 7 | 24% | 2.7 | 13.2% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.88 | 5.15 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 6 | 67 | 307 | 55 | 25 | 7 | 24% | 2.7 | 17.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 3.88 | 3.93 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 25 | 1 | 34 | 153 | 27 | 15 | 2 | 4% | 1.4 | 13.1% | 11.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.24 | 4.68 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 25 | 1 | 34 | 153 | 27 | 15 | 2 | 4% | 1.4 | 17.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 4.24 | 3.60 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 39 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 64 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 3.19 | 2.60 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 39 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 64 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.3% | 6.8% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 3.19 | 1.91 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 37 | 0 | 38 | 163 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 37 | 0 | 38 | 163 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 16 | 0 | 16 | 69 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 3.88 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 73 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 3.88 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 143 | 26 | 320 | 1388 | 230 | 113 | 22 | 18% | 2.2 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 3.57 | 3.61 | +6.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 16 | 200 | 867 | 143 | 70 | 14 | 18% | 2.2 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 3.57 | 3.61 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brayan Perez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.27 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.26 | 22.6% | 13.6% | 38 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Sean Mellen L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 84 |
| Greg Nappo L 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .267 | 5.45 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +2.05 | 3.40 | 144 | 80 |
| Will Gilbert L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 79 |
| Jake Kalish L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.96 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .231 | 3.85 | 17.0% | 11.9% | 352 | -0.11 | 2.68 | 740 | 79 |
| Brian Flynn L 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 78 |
| Colton Johnson L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 78 |
| Paul Fry L 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 4.0% | .338 | 3.46 | 24.6% | 14.6% | 159 | -1.54 | 1.78 | 560 | 78 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 78 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.38 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .304 | 4.49 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 276 | +1.11 | 3.38 | 353 | 78 |
| Michael Theofanopoulos L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 201 | 78 |
| Braulio Lara L 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 78 |
| Logan Darnell L 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.18 | 17.8% | 7.7% | 1.1% | .316 | 4.67 | 12.2% | 5.5% | 305 | +1.49 | 3.18 | 430 | 77 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 77 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 77 |
| Carson Skipper L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.65 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 2.0% | .301 | 7.84 | 8.3% | -4.8% | 10 | +4.19 | 2.87 | 186 | 77 |
| Brian Clark L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.85 | 19.6% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 248 | 77 |
| Williams Jerez L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.98 | 17.8% | 8.7% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.84 | 24.0% | 15.1% | 127 | -0.14 | 3.54 | 364 | 77 |
| Kit Scheetz L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.45 | 22.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | .340 | 5.20 | 16.2% | 2.6% | 55 | +0.75 | 2.34 | 195 | 77 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.16 | 21.7% | 9.4% | 1.3% | .331 | 3.75 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 167 | +0.59 | 3.08 | 310 | 77 |
| Darien Núñez L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 26.4% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .377 | 2.59 | 34.2% | 23.5% | 78 | -0.59 | 2.50 | 122 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 22.5% | 9.1% | 1.08 | 4.27 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |