Brayan Perez — OGILVIE

Brayan Perez P Modesto Nuts

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 117

ERA4.43

FIP4.43

K%20.0%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%11.2%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	15	10	53	219	58	11	1	67%	3.5	18.0%	6.3%	11.7%	0.6%	3.57	2.73	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	15	10	53	219	58	11	1	67%	3.5	26.5%	5.0%	21.5%	0.5%	3.57	1.78	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	8	3	37	146	33	8	2	38%	4.6	15.4%	6.8%	8.5%	1.9%	3.44	3.72	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Mariners	8	3	37	146	33	8	2	38%	4.6	22.6%	5.5%	17.1%	1.4%	3.44	2.66	—
2021	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	31	6	67	300	81	18	2	19%	2.2	20.0%	7.1%	12.9%	1.0%	3.34	2.86	—
2021	20	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	31	6	67	300	81	18	2	19%	2.2	27.0%	6.0%	21.0%	0.7%	3.34	1.88	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	6	67	307	55	25	7	24%	2.7	13.2%	9.3%	3.9%	3.2%	3.88	4.93	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	6	67	307	55	25	7	24%	2.7	17.9%	8.1%	9.8%	2.3%	3.88	3.93	—
2023	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	25	1	34	153	27	15	2	4%	1.4	13.1%	11.6%	1.5%	1.9%	4.24	4.52	—
2023	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	25	1	34	153	27	15	2	4%	1.4	13.1%	11.6%	1.5%	1.9%	4.24	4.52	—
2023	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	25	1	34	153	27	15	2	4%	1.4	17.6%	9.8%	7.8%	1.3%	4.24	3.60	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	39	0	62	263	64	18	0	0%	1.6	18.0%	8.1%	9.9%	0.0%	3.19	2.60	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	39	0	62	263	64	18	0	0%	1.6	18.0%	8.1%	9.9%	0.0%	3.19	2.60	—
2024	23	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	39	0	62	263	64	18	0	0%	1.6	24.3%	6.8%	17.5%	0.0%	3.19	1.91	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	SEA	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	8.8%	11.2%	2.8%	4.43	4.43	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SEA	53	0	56	236	49	21	7	0%	1.1	20.6%	8.8%	11.8%	2.8%	4.40	4.39	+0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	52	0	55	232	48	21	7	0%	1.1	20.8%	8.9%	11.9%	2.9%	4.41	4.42	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	SEA	23	0	24	101	21	9	3	0%	1.0	20.6%	8.8%	11.8%	2.8%	4.40	4.39	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	33	0	35	148	31	13	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	8.9%	11.9%	2.9%	4.41	4.42	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	58	246	51	22	7	0%	1.0	20.7%	8.8%	11.9%	2.8%	4.41	4.03	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	75	24	0%	1.1	20.7%	8.8%	11.9%	2.8%	4.41	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		143	26	320	1388	230	113	20	18%	2.2	16.6%	8.1%	8.4%	1.4%	3.57	3.52	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	16	200	867	143	70	13	18%	2.2	16.6%	8.1%	8.4%	1.4%	3.57	3.52	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brayan Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.43	20.0%	8.8%	2.8%	—	4.40	20.7%	11.9%	111	-0.03	—	—	—
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	84
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	82
Jake Kalish L 2016 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	17.8%	6.9%	2.6%	.231	3.90	17.0%	11.9%	352	+0.01	2.68	740	82
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	81
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	80
Matt Whitehouse L 2016 · 3.37 FIP	25	SU	3.37	19.0%	9.9%	1.1%	.304	4.46	16.9%	7.4%	276	+1.09	3.37	353	80
Williams Jerez L 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	17.8%	8.7%	2.5%	.294	3.81	24.0%	15.1%	127	-0.24	3.58	364	80
Hayden Howard L 2019 · 3.76 FIP	25	SU	3.76	17.5%	8.4%	1.9%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	200	79
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	79
Mac Lardner L 2023 · 3.66 FIP	25	SU	3.66	17.5%	9.4%	1.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	186	79
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	79
Brian Clark L 2018 · 3.78 FIP	25	SU	3.78	19.6%	8.2%	2.4%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	248	78
Greg Nappo L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	26	SU	3.37	22.7%	7.5%	2.2%	.267	5.25	16.5%	5.9%	79	+1.88	3.37	144	78
Michael Theofanopoulos L 2017 · 3.60 FIP	24	SU	3.60	21.0%	9.8%	1.9%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	201	78
Brad Kuntz L 2017 · 4.27 FIP	25	SU	4.27	17.4%	7.6%	3.0%	.280	4.10	20.9%	9.2%	54	-0.17	2.35	197	77
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	77
Adam Laskey L 2023 · 3.27 FIP	25	SU	3.27	21.7%	9.4%	1.5%	.331	3.67	18.0%	10.3%	167	+0.40	3.12	310	77
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	77
Ryan Sherriff L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	25	SU	4.27	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.317	3.28	18.8%	11.9%	135	-0.99	2.96	245	76
Robby Scott L 2015 · 4.06 FIP	25	SU	4.06	17.3%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	3.64	23.3%	15.8%	162	-0.42	2.39	285	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	50	20.5%	8.8%	1.09	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19