Engelth UrenaC Tampa Tarpons
Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 196 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION280 act + 186 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .271 / .285
PA186
HR4
K%29
BB%11
BABIP222
ISO118
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -27.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-28BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +8.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+8POSREP: +13.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.10.50.80.91.01.00.90.70.50.3+$47M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.9$2M+$2M
2034Arb-1$1M+0.7$2M+$0.9M
2035Arb-2$2M+0.5$1M+$0.4M
2036Arb-3$1.0M+0.3$0.6M+$0.2M
Totals $7M $16M +$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL NYY Bombers 3733 4101 391 01 121216242459 121130 248 208 17
202217 ROKDSL NYY Bombers 3731 7203 561 01 226351581932 355182 1614 401 165
202419 ROKFCL Yankees 162142 27605 15294 52 190286338624 148202 189 279 72
202419 ROKFCL Yankees 162133 401108 24194 52 301422564986 263299 1215 429 186
202520 A2 teams 490425 6213011 5013310 83 146252254506 108178 2710 233 36
202520 A2 teams 490410 811709 659410 83 198322305627 107231 1913 292 82
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 ANYY 280243 381115 32924 63 156265272537 115224 3311 242 43 -18 +0 +0 +5 +8 -0.5
YTD21 ANYY 280232 461316 43654 63 198333341674 142247 2315 312 97 -1 +0 +0 +5 +8 1.2
ROS21 ANYY 0% 186161 27704 20553 31 167271285555 118219 2911 255 53 -10 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.1
ROS21 MLBNYY 0% 01 0000 000 00 220 246 46 +0 +0
FULL21 ANYY 280244 381115 32924 63 156265270536 115223 3311 242 43 -18 +0 +0 +5 +8 -0.5
TOT21 ANYY 466404 651819 521477 94 161267277544 116223 3211 247 47 -28 +0 +0 +8 +13 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBNYY 34% 520451 7919112 561488 63 175278302579 126226 2811 266 61 -23 +0 +0 +9 +15 0.1
202823 MLBNYY 48% 520451 8219113 561448 63 182283315598 133232 2811 274 68 -19 +0 +0 +9 +15 0.5
202924 MLBNYY 53% 520451 8519114 561418 63 188289328617 140237 2711 280 73 -16 +0 +0 +9 +15 0.8
203025 MLBNYY 55% 520451 8519114 561408 63 188289328617 140238 2711 283 75 -15 +0 +0 +9 +15 0.9
203126 MLBNYY 56% 520451 8519114 561408 63 188289328617 140238 2711 284 76 -14 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.0
203227 MLBNYY 55% 520450 8519114 571408 63 189291329620 140238 2711 284 76 -14 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.0
203328 MLBNYY 55% 520450 8519114 571418 62 189291329620 140237 2711 283 75 -15 +0 -1 +9 +15 0.9
203429 MLBNYY 58% 520450 8519114 571428 52 189291329620 140236 2711 281 74 -16 +0 -1 +9 +15 0.7
203530 MLBNYY 60% 520450 8319113 571438 52 184287318605 133235 2811 279 71 -17 +0 -2 +9 +15 0.5
203631 MLBNYY 62% 504436 8018113 561407 42 183287319605 135232 2811 275 68 -18 +0 -3 +9 +14 0.3
203732 MLBNYY 63% 489425 7617112 541387 31 179282308590 129228 2811 269 64 -20 +0 -4 +9 +14 -0.0
202722 MLBNYY 34% 179155 27704 19513 21 174277297574 123228 2811 257 55 -9 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.1
202823 MLBNYY 48% 252219 41917 27704 31 187288333621 146234 2811 266 62 -11 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.1
202924 MLBNYY 53% 274239 451017 29744 31 188287326613 138238 2711 272 67 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203025 MLBNYY 55% 285248 481118 31774 31 194293343636 149240 2711 275 69 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203126 MLBNYY 56% 289252 491118 31784 31 194293341634 147240 2711 276 70 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203227 MLBNYY 55% 286249 481118 31774 31 193292341634 149239 2711 276 70 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203328 MLBNYY 55% 284247 481118 31774 31 194294344638 150239 2711 275 69 -10 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.3
203429 MLBNYY 58% 301261 491118 33824 31 188289330618 142238 2711 274 68 -11 +0 -1 +5 +9 0.2
203530 MLBNYY 60% 313270 511218 35865 31 189294330623 141236 2711 271 66 -12 +0 -1 +6 +9 0.1
203631 MLBNYY 62% 311270 501118 34864 31 185286322608 137234 2811 267 63 -13 +0 -2 +6 +9 -0.0
203732 MLBNYY 63% 307266 481108 34874 21 180283312595 132230 2811 262 58 -14 +0 -2 +5 +9 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 30812677 504115982 33584544 3111 188289330619 142239 2711 271 65 -121 +2 -6 +55 +87 1.7
/ 162G 650565 10624217 711789 72 188288327616 140239 2711 271 65 -25 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.4
Career 65485677 103023311168 7061783104 7534 181284315599 134229 2711 274 68 -239 +1 -10 +117 +186 5.5
/ 162G 650564 10223117 7017710 73 181283316598 135227 2711 274 68 -24 +0 -1 +12 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL NYY Bombers 3731 7203 561 01 226351581932 355182 1614 401 165 +3 -0 +1 0.3
202419 ROKFCL Yankees 162133 401108 24194 52 301422564986 263299 1215 429 186 +16 +0 +5 2.1
202520 A+Hudson Valley Renegades 9076 12300 12171 00 158281197478 39200 1913 234 38 -6 +0 +3 -0.4
202520 ATampa Tarpons 400334 691409 53779 83 207331329660 123238 1913 305 91 -4 +0 +11 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,4018736185283320+61+283.83.6
/162664177+11.9+5.50.7pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Engelth Urena (OGILVIE) 21 35 35 45 50 161/267/277 116223 99 32% 11% 47 -0.6
David Narodowski
2010 · A
21 39 42→40 44→45 53 194/287/294 100252 117 26% 11% 65 -0.7 187/255/266 79263 67 29% 8% 43 -2.2 166/230/232662355630%7%20-1.4
Antonio Negron
2007 · A
21 40 41→45 42→50 50 194/285/294 100244 910 23% 9% 63 -0.8 211/289/317 106264 1010 23% 8% 71 -0.3 206/289/314108245121221%9%69-0.2
Franklin Tineo
2016 · A
21 36 38→45 41→50 47 177/258/254 77247 57 29% 9% 41 -2.3 190/264/281 91260 710 28% 8% 50 -1.7 184/261/2809623981325%8%47-0.7
Adrian Abreu
2012 · A
21 39 38→40 47→55 47 190/263/273 82247 59 24% 8% 47 -1.9 212/292/300 88256 817 19% 9% 67 -0.5 209/299/2908024192516%10%66-0.2
Daury Arias
2023 · A
21 39→38 43→40 46→45 50 195/281/303 108247 118 25% 9% 64 -0.8 181/258/263 82272 69 33% 8% 43 -2.2 160/240/230702465934%8%24-1.8
Deivi Mejia
2011 · A
21 40 39→40 43→30 44 193/264/278 85266 75 29% 8% 50 -1.8 212/259/304 92276 74 25% 4% 53 -1.5 224/268/311872676118%3%59-0.4
Abrahan Gutierrez
2021 · A
21 44→45 40 46→40 43 215/264/301 87273 86 24% 6% 54 -1.4 227/296/326 99305 84 26% 8% 75 -0.0 220/294/315952958226%8%68-0.2
Oswaldo Linares
2023 · A
20 42 41→40 48→40 52 203/299/297 93263 96 25% 10% 70 -0.3 188/285/268 80281 74 32% 11% 57 -1.2 161/265/226652476233%11%36-1.0
Fernando Pujadas
2013 · A
21 43 41→40 46→30 48 208/287/304 96264 83 23% 8% 66 -0.6 218/286/306 88287 65 24% 7% 66 -0.6 232/290/310782944021%6%65-0.1
Wynston Sawyer
2014 · A
22 41 43→45 47→45 45 203/262/312 109249 113 23% 6% 57 -1.2 213/278/311 98269 85 23% 7% 63 -0.8 220/307/32710728310224%9%79+0.1
Sherten Apostel
2020 · A
21 37→32 46→45 45→40 44 190/265/313 123268 144 33% 8% 59 -1.1 202/264/327 125311 144 37% 7% 63 -0.9 207/265/34613931516038%6%65-0.3
Alexander Campos
2022 · A
22 43 41→40 46→45 48 206/290/308 102278 86 27% 9% 69 -0.4 221/302/309 88318 76 30% 9% 74 -0.1 242/332/316743358627%10%86+0.3
Jeter Downs
2018 · A
20 42→40 43→50 47→55 47 208/276/316 107257 119 23% 7% 64 -0.8 211/277/355 144271 1517 27% 7% 75 -0.0 175/266/324149236182633%9%63-0.4
Ariel Baez
2012 · A
21 39 41→40 43→45 43 194/265/291 97265 85 29% 7% 53 -1.5 199/257/281 82285 56 30% 6% 46 -2.0 173/227/238652462629%5%20-1.1
Jose Flores
2009 · A
21 40 42→45 44→40 49 198/280/302 104270 104 29% 10% 63 -0.8 192/264/294 102298 95 36% 8% 54 -1.4 163/236/26510226210339%7%33-0.9
Christian Cerda
2023 · A
20 40→37 40 50→40 50 194/278/287 93254 69 25% 9% 58 -1.2 189/282/293 104252 114 27% 11% 62 -0.9 173/268/27510122312227%11%50-1.2
Gilberto Galaviz
2013 · AAA
21 42 42→40 46→30 39 210/245/307 97260 119 24% 4% 48 -1.9 237/271/334 97283 95 19% 4% 66 -0.6 270/302/340703066214%3%77+0.0
Antoni Lugo
2010 · A
22 38 43→45 42→45 44 194/252/299 105229 125 22% 6% 50 -1.8 217/278/338 121266 135 23% 6% 71 -0.3 218/282/34412625516321%6%70-0.1
Imeldo Diaz
2019 · A
21 44 41→40 46→45 41 216/264/307 91269 95 23% 5% 56 -1.3 228/262/305 77301 55 25% 4% 53 -1.5 232/255/291583093225%2%44-0.7
Jose Cordoba
2023 · A
20 37 41→45 44→55 39 187/251/282 95271 109 33% 6% 46 -2.0 202/259/294 92279 611 28% 6% 51 -1.7 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8