Denis Reguillo

P Salem Red Sox

Age 23 RHP 5'11" / 165 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	18	ROKDSL BOS Red	11	11	32	5.57	2.98	17.0%	10.5%	—	K 11.6% · BB 13.1% · FIP 3.78
2023	19	ROKBOS	10	2	25	5.11	3.63	25.9%	9.3%	—	K 17.6% · BB 11.6% · FIP 5.27
2024	20	MIX2 levels	30	0	52	7.44	4.48	15.0%	15.8%	—	K 10.7% · BB 19.0% · FIP 5.19
2027PROJ	23	MLBBOS	34	0	36	5.13	5.13	20.6%	13.9%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBBOS	15	0	16	4.92	4.84	21.5%	12.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsAlec Barger (age 23) · Blake Holub (age 23) · Jhonny Polanco (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%20.6%

BB%13.9%

K-BB%6.7%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	11	11	32	153	26	16	0	100%	2.9	11.6%	13.1%	-1.5%	0.0%	5.57	3.78	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Red	11	11	32	153	26	16	0	100%	2.9	17.0%	10.5%	6.5%	0.0%	5.57	2.98	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	10	2	25	108	28	10	3	20%	2.5	17.6%	11.6%	6.1%	4.0%	5.11	5.27	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	10	2	25	108	28	10	3	20%	2.5	25.9%	9.3%	16.7%	2.8%	5.11	3.63	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	52	266	40	42	2	0%	1.7	10.7%	19.0%	-8.3%	1.1%	7.44	5.19	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	52	266	40	42	2	0%	1.7	10.7%	19.0%	-8.3%	1.1%	7.44	5.19	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	52	266	40	42	2	0%	1.7	15.0%	15.8%	-0.8%	0.8%	7.44	4.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	BOS	34	0	36	152	31	21	5	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.9%	6.7%	3.0%	5.13	5.13	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BOS	36	0	37	157	34	19	5	0%	1.0	21.5%	12.3%	9.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.84	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	BOS	15	0	16	68	15	8	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	12.3%	9.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.84	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	67	14	8	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	12.3%	9.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.46	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	100	25	0%	1.1	21.5%	12.3%	9.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		51	13	109	527	65	83	7	25%	2.1	12.4%	15.7%	-3.4%	1.4%	6.36	4.80	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	24	200	967	119	152	13	25%	2.1	12.4%	15.7%	-3.4%	1.4%	6.36	4.80	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Denis Reguillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	20.6%	13.9%	3.0%	—	4.84	21.5%	9.1%	37	-0.29	—	—	—
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	91
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	87
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	86
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	86
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	85
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	85
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	84
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	84
Corey Black R 2015 · 4.19 FIP	23	SW	4.19	22.1%	13.9%	2.2%	.310	3.56	22.1%	6.0%	53	-0.63	3.56	139	82
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	82
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.17	28.8%	15.2%	112	-0.85	3.14	173	81
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	81
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	81
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	81
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	81
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	81
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	81
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	81
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	80
Joan Gregorio R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	23	SW	4.29	18.0%	10.2%	2.6%	.269	4.18	21.1%	11.1%	208	-0.11	3.69	301	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	21.1%	13.1%	1.14	5.02
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76