Estuar Suero

OF Bradenton Marauders
Age 21 S/R 6'6" / 180 lbs A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKPIT88.213/.322/.3070215—.139/.218/.203
202519A/ROKPIT188.203/.344/.34631118—.115/.215/.188
202620APIT49.234/.265/.36210-1—.146/.163/.250
2027PROJMLE21MLBPIT159.181/.251/.2833351-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBPIT37.188/.258/.3011159-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Max EV92
Z-Con%27
Speed23
Chase%21
BB%10
Whiff%5
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsNomar Fana (age 21) · Alex Abbott (age 21) · Jorge Martinez (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj PA
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .249 / .280
PA43
HR1
K%34
BB%8
ISO102
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +0.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202216 ROKDSL Padres — 176152 38733 21522 144 250349395743 145357 3012 334 28 — — — — — —
202317 ROKFCL Pirates — 218185 40425 28613 95 216329341669 124289 2813 306 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Pirates — 8875 16510 11311 22 213322307629 93356 3512 290 15 — — — — — —
202519 ABradenton Marauders — 3728 5200 9110 31 179378250628 71294 3024 312 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Pirates — 151125 26723 24570 82 208336368704 160343 3816 317 12 — — — — — —
202620 ABradenton Marauders — 4947 11301 2230 01 234265362627 128435 474 279 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202216 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 176158 24421 15642 144 152234222456 70237 369 210 28 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 218195 28214 18933 95 144227226452 82235 438 206 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 8879 11310 7431 22 139218203421 63286 498 191 15 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 3731 4100 6150 31 129270161432 32261 4116 227 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 151134 15312 15820 82 112201194395 82242 5410 186 12 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 4948 7201 1310 01 146163250413 104391 632 166 -1 — — — — — —
202216 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 176158 24421 15642 144 152234222456 70245 369 210 28 — — — — — —
202216 ROK RAWDSL Padres — 176152 38733 21522 144 250349395743 145357 3012 334 28 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 218195 28214 18933 95 144227226452 82240 438 206 26 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWFCL Pirates — 218185 40425 28613 95 216329341669 124289 2813 306 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 8879 11310 7431 22 139218203421 63297 498 191 15 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWFCL Pirates — 8875 16510 11311 22 213322307629 93356 3512 290 15 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 188165 19512 21960 113 115215194409 79246 5111 194 18 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 188153 31923 33680 113 203344346690 144333 3618 316 18 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 4948 7201 1310 01 146163250413 104375 632 166 -1 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWBradenton Marauders — 4947 11301 2230 01 234265362627 128435 474 279 -1 — — — — — —
202216 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 176157 24421 15642 144 153234223457 70237 369 210 28 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 218195 28214 18933 95 144227226452 82235 438 206 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 8880 11310 7431 22 138218200418 62286 498 191 15 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 188165 19512 21960 113 115215194409 79246 5111 194 18 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 4948 7201 1310 01 146163250413 104391 632 166 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 8880 11310 7431 22 138218200418 62286 498 191 15 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 188165 19512 21960 113 115215194409 79246 5111 194 18 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 4948 7201 1310 01 146163250413 104391 632 166 -1 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEPIT 0% 159145 27513 12551 31 181251283533 102267 358 243 51 -9 +0 -1 -1 +3 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEPIT 34% 10998 18312 9371 21 189259305564 117269 348 255 59 -5 +0 -0 -1 +2 -0.4
202822 MLB CTXPIT 34% 3734 6101 3120 10 188258301559 113270 328 253 59 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3734 6101 3120 10 176243294537 118238 328 253 27 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650597 10618018 532110 180 178245298543 121239 328 253 27 -32 +4 -1 -4 +14 -2.0
Career— MLE — 871783 11420611 743797 3916 146226229454 83258 448 208 27 -8 +0 -0 -1 +3 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 841548 552835 2912 144223224448 80255 448 208 27 -34 +1 -2 -4 +14 -2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ABradenton Marauders · 49 PAwOBA .271 → .166 (−105)K% 46.9% → 63.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA46.94%÷1.000×1.360——63.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.08%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0152.86%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP29.17%÷1.000×0.920—×1.01527.24%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.830—×1.01510.53%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP4.17%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0153.38%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .271 → .166; ISO .128 → .072; BABIP .435 → .391. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Pirates · 151 PAwOBA .314 → .186 (−128)K% 37.7% → 54.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.75%÷1.006×1.440——54.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.89%÷0.998×0.620—×0.9959.82%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP20.59%÷1.022×0.820×0.960×0.99515.79%
Doubles /BIP10.29%÷1.119×0.720×0.960×0.9956.33%
Triples /BIP2.94%÷0.950×0.720×0.960×0.9952.13%
Home runs /BIP4.41%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9953.42%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 124, 3B 90, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .314 → .186; ISO .160 → .091; BABIP .343 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ABradenton Marauders · 37 PAwOBA .306 → .227 (−79)K% 29.7% → 40.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.73%÷1.000×1.360——40.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA24.32%÷1.052×0.690—×1.03016.44%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷0.993×0.920—×1.03016.83%
Doubles /BIP11.76%÷1.084×0.830—×1.0309.28%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.952×0.910—×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.932×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .306 → .227; ISO .071 → .053; BABIP .294 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Pirates · 88 PAwOBA .286 → .191 (−95)K% 35.2% → 49.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.23%÷1.032×1.440——49.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷0.964×0.620—×1.0088.10%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.720—×1.0080.82%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷1.003×0.820—×1.00818.72%
Doubles /BIP11.36%÷0.917×0.720—×1.0088.99%
Triples /BIP2.27%÷0.978×0.720—×1.0081.69%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.921×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 96, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .286 → .191; ISO .093 → .061; BABIP .356 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Pirates · 218 PAwOBA .302 → .206 (−96)K% 28.0% → 42.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.98%÷0.949×1.440——42.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.84%÷1.002×0.620—×1.0228.13%
HBP% /PA1.38%—×0.720—×1.0221.01%
Singles /BIP23.39%÷0.984×0.820×0.985×1.02219.62%
Doubles /BIP3.23%÷1.026×0.720×0.985×1.0222.28%
Triples /BIP1.61%÷0.966×0.720×0.985×1.0221.21%
Home runs /BIP4.03%÷0.925×0.780—×1.0223.48%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .302 → .206; ISO .124 → .086; BABIP .289 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Padres · 176 PAwOBA .328 → .210 (−118)K% 29.5% → 36.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.55%÷0.984×1.220——36.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.93%÷0.992×0.700—×1.0228.61%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.700—×1.0220.81%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.994×0.680×1.001×1.02217.50%
Doubles /BIP7.00%÷0.947×0.600×1.001×1.0224.54%
Triples /BIP3.00%÷1.150×0.600×1.001×1.0221.60%
Home runs /BIP3.00%÷0.975×0.470—×1.0221.48%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .328 → .210; ISO .145 → .076; BABIP .357 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).