Alberto Mendez

SS Lynchburg Hillcats
Age 22 L/R 5'9" / 146 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2347ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202318ROKCLE150.214/.401/.3665646—.145/.279/.226
202419ROKCLE167.182/.299/.3505211—.106/.192/.199
202520ALynchburg Hil…167.247/.337/.3291342—.192/.265/.265
2027PROJMLE22MLBCLE277.202/.266/.2903458-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBCLE33.206/.271/.3010163-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBCLE78.210/.276/.3121167-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A
K%70
Speed58
Chase%55
Z-Con%54
wRC+52
Whiff%51
CompsSergio Burruel (age 22) · Kier Meredith (age 22) · Branden Cogswell (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .264 / .288
PA65
HR1
K%28
BB%7
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL CLE Blue — 167133 34422 32442 51 256407361768 105368 2619 358 40 — — — — — —
202318 ROKACL Guardians — 150112 24205 31364 64 214401366767 152257 2421 353 46 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Guardians — 167143 26905 21473 21 182299350649 168231 2813 297 11 — — — — — —
202520 ALynchburg Hillcats — 167146 36521 18332 32 247337329666 82310 2011 306 42 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL CLE Blue — 167143 21211 22552 51 147269196465 49237 3313 227 40 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 150124 18103 19524 64 145279226505 81196 3513 236 46 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 167151 16503 13683 21 106192199390 93166 418 185 11 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 167151 29421 13452 32 192265265530 73258 278 231 42 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL CLE Blue — 167143 21211 22552 51 147269196465 49230 3313 227 40 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL CLE Blue — 167133 34422 32442 51 256407361768 105368 2619 358 40 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 150124 18103 19524 64 145279226505 81208 3513 236 46 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 150112 24205 31364 64 214401366767 152257 2421 353 46 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 167151 16503 13683 21 106192199390 93163 418 185 11 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 167143 26905 21473 21 182299350649 168231 2813 297 11 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 167151 29421 13452 32 192265265530 73264 278 231 42 — — — — — —
202520 A RAWLynchburg Hillcats — 167146 36521 18332 32 247337329666 82310 2011 306 42 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL CLE Blue — 167141 21211 22552 51 149269199468 50237 3313 227 40 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 150126 18103 19524 64 143279222501 79196 3513 236 46 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 167149 16503 13683 21 107192201393 94166 418 185 11 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 167150 29421 13452 32 193265267532 73258 278 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 167149 16503 13683 21 107192201393 94166 418 185 11 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 167150 29421 13452 32 193265267532 73258 278 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLECLE 0% 277252 511023 20773 41 202266290556 88274 287 253 58 -14 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLECLE 34% 9587 18311 7261 10 206271303575 97276 277 261 63 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202924 MLB MLECLE 46% 170154 33613 12462 31 210276313589 104278 277 267 67 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
203025 MLB MLECLE 52% 239217 47924 18642 41 212279321600 109279 278 271 70 -9 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.1
203126 MLB MLECLE 54% 297270 581125 22793 51 214281326607 112279 277 274 72 -10 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.0
203227 MLB MLECLE 54% 329298 641226 25873 52 215282328610 113279 268 275 72 -11 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.0
203328 MLB MLECLE 58% 345313 671326 26923 52 213280323603 110279 278 273 71 -12 +0 -1 +4 +7 -0.1
203429 MLB MLECLE 55% 345313 661226 26933 42 211277317595 107278 278 269 68 -13 +0 -1 +4 +7 -0.3
202823 MLB CTXCLE 34% 3331 5100 290 10 206271301573 95276 276 260 63 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202924 MLB CTXCLE 46% 7871 14301 6211 10 210276312587 102278 278 266 67 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
203025 MLB CTXCLE 52% 123112 24512 9331 21 212279319598 107279 277 270 70 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
203126 MLB CTXCLE 54% 161146 32613 12432 21 214281324605 110279 277 273 72 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
203227 MLB CTXCLE 54% 178161 35713 13472 31 215282326608 112279 267 275 72 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.0
203328 MLB CTXCLE 58% 201182 38713 15542 31 213280322602 109279 277 272 71 -7 +0 -0 +2 +4 -0.1
203429 MLB CTXCLE 55% 191173 36713 14522 21 211277316593 105278 277 269 68 -7 +0 -1 +2 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 965876 18436515 7125910 145 210277314591 104278 277 271 60 -35 +1 -1 +10 +21 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 12324310 481747 93 208276310586 102276 277 271 60 -23 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 25362280 449801540 20872529 4417 197273298570 101268 298 257 60 -69 +2 -2 +20 +41 -0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 11521410 531867 114 197271298569 101269 298 257 60 -24 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ALynchburg Hillcats · 167 PAwOBA .300 → .231 (−69)K% 19.8% → 27.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.76%÷0.989×1.360——27.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.78%÷0.975×0.690—×1.0157.75%
HBP% /PA1.20%—×0.780—×1.0150.95%
Singles /BIP24.78%÷1.071×0.920×0.950×1.01520.52%
Doubles /BIP4.42%÷0.921×0.830×0.950×1.0153.84%
Triples /BIP1.77%÷1.020×0.910×0.950×1.0151.52%
Home runs /BIP0.88%÷1.184×0.800—×1.0150.61%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 114, 2B 84, 3B 104, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .300 → .231; ISO .082 → .064; BABIP .310 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Guardians · 167 PAwOBA .290 → .185 (−105)K% 28.1% → 41.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.14%÷0.988×1.440——41.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.57%÷0.998×0.620—×0.9957.77%
HBP% /PA1.80%—×0.720—×0.9951.29%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷0.982×0.820×0.950×0.9959.86%
Doubles /BIP9.38%÷1.054×0.720×0.950×0.9956.05%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.935×0.720×0.950×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP5.21%÷0.984×0.780—×0.9954.11%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 87, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .290 → .185; ISO .168 → .107; BABIP .231 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Guardians · 150 PAwOBA .352 → .236 (−116)K% 24.0% → 34.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.00%÷1.005×1.440——34.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.67%÷1.030×0.620—×1.00812.53%
HBP% /PA2.67%—×0.720—×1.0081.93%
Singles /BIP22.37%÷1.024×0.820×0.978×1.00817.66%
Doubles /BIP2.63%÷0.967×0.720×0.978×1.0081.93%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.925×0.720×0.978×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP6.58%÷1.349×0.780—×1.0083.83%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 170, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .352 → .236; ISO .152 → .092; BABIP .257 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL CLE Blue · 167 PAwOBA .350 → .227 (−123)K% 26.3% → 33.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.35%÷0.971×1.220——33.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.16%÷1.016×0.700—×1.00813.30%
HBP% /PA1.20%—×0.700—×1.0080.84%
Singles /BIP29.21%÷0.987×0.680×0.954×1.00819.35%
Doubles /BIP4.49%÷0.921×0.600×0.954×1.0082.81%
Triples /BIP2.25%÷0.959×0.600×0.954×1.0081.35%
Home runs /BIP2.25%÷1.128×0.470—×1.0080.94%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 84, 3B 92, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .350 → .227; ISO .105 → .055; BABIP .368 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).