Alberto Mendez — OGILVIE

Alberto MendezSS Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 21 L/R 5'9" / 146 lbs A K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.5 · 2032

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .276 / .311

PA157

HR3

K%29

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

25→25

SPD

45→45

EYE

47↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.5peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$13M	+$12M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$14M	+$13M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$14M	+$13M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$12M	+$10M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$10M	+$7M
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$4M	+$0.3M
Totals		$12M		$67M	+$55M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	167	146	24	3	1	1	19	67	2	5	1	.164	.269	.219	.489	.055	.295	40	11	.231	35	-12	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
2023	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	150	125	17	2	0	2	18	51	4	6	4	.136	.265	.200	.465	.064	.200	34	12	.225	30	-12	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
2024	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	167	151	16	5	0	3	13	69	3	2	1	.106	.192	.199	.390	.093	.165	41	8	.184	-1	-19	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.3
2025	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	167	152	28	4	1	1	12	47	2	3	2	.184	.253	.243	.496	.059	.257	28	7	.225	30	-13	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	CLE	157	142	31	6	1	3	12	45	2	3	1	.218	.288	.338	.626	.120	.284	29	8	.268	64	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	CLE	243	218	47	9	1	5	20	67	3	4	1	.216	.290	.335	.625	.119	.286	28	8	.283	75	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2028	23	MLB 28%	CLE	345	309	69	13	2	8	29	92	4	6	2	.223	.298	.356	.654	.133	.287	27	8	.292	81	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2029	24	MLB 45%	CLE	416	372	84	16	2	10	36	109	5	7	2	.226	.303	.360	.663	.134	.288	26	9	.298	86	-7	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.0
2030	25	MLB 60%	CLE	455	406	91	17	2	11	41	118	5	8	2	.224	.303	.357	.660	.133	.288	26	9	.301	89	-6	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.3
2031	26	MLB 77%	CLE	479	426	97	18	3	12	44	124	6	8	2	.228	.309	.369	.677	.141	.289	26	9	.303	90	-5	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.4
2032	27	MLB	CLE	488	434	98	18	3	12	45	127	6	8	2	.226	.307	.364	.671	.138	.289	26	9	.303	90	-5	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.5
2033	28	MLB	CLE	489	434	98	18	3	12	46	128	6	7	1	.226	.309	.364	.673	.138	.288	26	9	.302	89	-6	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.4
2034	29	MLB	CLE	483	430	96	18	2	12	45	128	5	7	1	.223	.304	.358	.662	.135	.288	27	9	.300	88	-7	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.2
2035	30	MLB	CLE	475	422	92	17	2	11	45	128	5	6	1	.218	.301	.346	.647	.128	.286	27	9	.297	85	-8	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.0
2036	31	MLB	CLE	463	412	90	17	2	11	43	126	5	5	0	.218	.300	.350	.650	.131	.285	27	9	.293	82	-9	+1	-3	+5	+13	0.7
2037	32	MLB	CLE	445	395	85	16	2	10	42	124	5	4	0	.215	.299	.342	.640	.127	.283	28	9	.288	79	-11	+1	-4	+5	+13	0.4
2038	33	MLB	CLE	416	370	78	14	2	9	39	119	4	4	0	.211	.293	.332	.625	.122	.282	29	9	.283	75	-12	+1	-4	+4	+12	0.1
2039	34	MLB	CLE	371	330	68	12	2	7	34	109	4	4	0	.206	.288	.318	.606	.112	.280	29	9	.277	70	-13	+1	-5	+4	+11	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6376	5674	1209	223	31	140	583	1778	76	97	23	.213	.295	.337	.632	.124	.282	28	9	.286	77	-165	+10	-20	+68	+181	7.6
/ 162G	—			650	578	123	23	3	14	59	181	8	10	2	.213	.294	.336	.630	.123	.282	28	9	.286	77	-17	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	167	133	34	4	2	2	32	44	2	5	1	.256	.407	.361	.768	.105	.368	26	19	.358	132	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	150	112	24	2	0	5	31	36	4	6	4	.214	.401	.366	.767	.152	.257	24	21	.353	128	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2024	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	167	143	26	9	0	5	21	47	3	2	1	.182	.299	.350	.649	.168	.231	28	13	.297	86	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2025	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	167	146	36	5	2	1	18	33	2	3	2	.247	.337	.329	.666	.082	.310	20	11	.306	92	-1	-0	—	—	+5	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alberto Mendez (OGILVIE)	21	40	25	45	40	.207/.276/.311	.104	.284	3	3	29%	8%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	.213/.285/.304	.091	.300	6	7	29%	6%	66	-0.6	.223/.305/.293	.070	.278	5	4	20%	9%	71	-0.3	.243/.334/.302	.059	.291	5	1	16%	10%	83	+0.3
✕Bryant Aragon 2019 · A	21	42	40→30	50→40	39	.206/.257/.301	.095	.292	8	6	31%	6%	52	-1.6	.222/.273/.296	.074	.345	5	5	35%	6%	56	-1.3	.228/.275/.284	.056	.356	4	2	35%	5%	51	-0.6
✕Sean McCraw 2007 · A	21	42	41→30	48→30	43	.205/.275/.300	.095	.293	9	5	32%	8%	60	-1.0	.209/.287/.287	.078	.292	6	4	28%	9%	62	-0.9	.197/.281/.258	.062	.273	4	2	27%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	48→55	42	.208/.263/.284	.076	.278	4	12	26%	6%	50	-1.8	.229/.294/.302	.073	.305	3	16	24%	7%	68	-0.5	.262/.328/.337	.075	.341	2	29	22%	6%	87	+0.3
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	39→45	51→50	46	.205/.280/.288	.083	.305	6	13	32%	9%	59	-1.1	.234/.309/.335	.101	.341	7	12	30%	9%	82	+0.5	.246/.314/.364	.118	.341	8	12	28%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	43	37→30	51→60	45	.202/.271/.271	.070	.286	4	11	29%	8%	50	-1.7	.211/.307/.281	.070	.293	4	26	27%	8%	69	-0.4	.229/.340/.278	.049	.305	3	35	22%	10%	80	+0.1
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Cornelius Randolph 2018 · A	21	45→47	41→40	45	43	.213/.281/.315	.102	.301	8	7	30%	8%	66	-0.6	.214/.275/.306	.092	.302	8	7	30%	7%	61	-1.0	.207/.268/.296	.089	.292	9	8	30%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	42	39→40	45→55	37	.199/.254/.291	.092	.307	6	8	35%	6%	48	-1.9	.213/.277/.298	.085	.301	6	15	29%	7%	60	-1.0	.216/.288/.295	.079	.292	7	22	26%	7%	60	-0.3
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→53	40	45→50	43	.222/.277/.317	.095	.275	7	8	22%	5%	65	-0.7	.237/.310/.330	.093	.300	5	9	21%	8%	82	+0.5	.241/.350/.334	.093	.308	6	3	21%	13%	99	+0.8
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	41→50	41→45	47→55	46	.198/.271/.297	.099	.267	8	10	28%	8%	57	-1.2	.198/.270/.283	.085	.271	5	16	27%	8%	53	-1.5	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	40	38→40	47→55	47	.192/.263/.275	.082	.250	5	9	24%	8%	48	-1.9	.212/.292/.300	.088	.255	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	.209/.299/.290	.080	.241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	40	.203/.258/.301	.098	.286	8	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	.200/.266/.289	.089	.294	8	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	.183/.256/.260	.077	.269	7	8	32%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	43	36→30	42→30	47	.202/.277/.264	.062	.278	3	4	27%	8%	51	-1.7	.215/.270/.276	.061	.296	3	5	26%	6%	50	-1.7	.244/.307/.320	.075	.298	8	1	19%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	41→51	40	47→55	43	.200/.262/.286	.086	.275	8	11	29%	7%	50	-1.7	.221/.280/.298	.077	.304	6	16	27%	7%	60	-1.0	.236/.303/.323	.087	.313	6	16	25%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Daury Arias 2023 · A	21	40→38	43→40	46→45	50	.198/.284/.309	.111	.250	11	8	24%	9%	66	-0.6	.184/.265/.269	.085	.268	7	9	31%	9%	49	-1.8	.162/.246/.233	.072	.243	6	9	33%	9%	28	-1.7
✕Noe Becerra 2008 · AAA	21	47	41→30	46→40	48	.228/.290/.329	.101	.275	8	9	20%	7%	73	-0.1	.209/.269/.288	.079	.267	7	8	23%	7%	53	-1.5	.224/.278/.263	.039	.276	2	1	18%	6%	48	-0.5
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	41→50	42→45	48	.206/.286/.310	.104	.297	8	6	31%	10%	67	-0.5	.180/.241/.263	.083	.269	8	5	34%	7%	36	-2.7	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)