Michael Smith
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | ROKPrinceton Rays | 166 | .285/.380/.340 | 0 | 6 | 49 | — | .212/.283/.245 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+/A2 orgs | 404 | .266/.355/.344 | 2 | 19 | 58 | — | .218/.289/.279 |
| 2021 | 24 | AATB | 75 | .179/.247/.224 | 0 | 1 | 3 | — | .145/.192/.188 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Princeton Rays | — | 166 | 144 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 285 | 380 | 340 | 720 | 56 | 350 | 16 | 10 | 335 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 206 | 179 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 51 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 263 | 340 | 363 | 703 | 101 | 352 | 25 | 7 | 312 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 198 | 167 | 45 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 269 | 371 | 323 | 694 | 54 | 326 | 15 | 12 | 318 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 75 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 247 | 224 | 470 | 45 | 308 | 40 | 7 | 216 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 20 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 166 | 151 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 212 | 283 | 245 | 528 | 33 | 278 | 23 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 206 | 183 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 70 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 213 | 280 | 301 | 581 | 87 | 310 | 34 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 198 | 175 | 39 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 43 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 223 | 299 | 257 | 556 | 34 | 290 | 22 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 75 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 192 | 188 | 380 | 43 | 284 | 51 | 4 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 166 | 151 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 212 | 283 | 245 | 528 | 33 | 283 | 23 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK RAW | Princeton Rays | — | 166 | 144 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 285 | 380 | 340 | 720 | 56 | 350 | 16 | 10 | 335 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 404 | 357 | 79 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 113 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 221 | 294 | 286 | 580 | 64 | 314 | 28 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 404 | 346 | 92 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 81 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 266 | 355 | 344 | 699 | 78 | 338 | 20 | 10 | 315 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 75 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 192 | 188 | 380 | 43 | 303 | 51 | 4 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 75 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 247 | 224 | 470 | 45 | 308 | 40 | 7 | 216 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 166 | 150 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 213 | 283 | 247 | 530 | 33 | 278 | 23 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 404 | 364 | 79 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 113 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 217 | 294 | 280 | 575 | 63 | 300 | 28 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 75 | 71 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 141 | 192 | 183 | 375 | 42 | 284 | 51 | 4 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 645 | 577 | 121 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 189 | 15 | 26 | 12 | 210 | 280 | 263 | 543 | 54 | 304 | 29 | 6 | 241 | 49 | -39 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 122 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 190 | 15 | 26 | 12 | 210 | 279 | 263 | 542 | 53 | 305 | 29 | 6 | 241 | 49 | -39 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 75 PAwOBA .216 → .173 (−43)K% 40.0% → 50.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 50.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 4.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷1.019 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 25.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.046 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 2.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 2.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 90, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .216 → .173; ISO .045 → .037; BABIP .308 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 206 PAwOBA .307 → .253 (−54)K% 24.8% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.76% | ÷1.033 | ×1.420 | — | — | 34.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.28% | ÷1.018 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 5.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.91% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 2.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.56% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 23.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.81% | ÷1.011 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 7.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.939 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.48% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .307 → .253; ISO .101 → .086; BABIP .352 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 198 PAwOBA .312 → .255 (−57)K% 15.2% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.15% | ÷0.944 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.47% | ÷0.960 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 25.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.19% | ÷1.103 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 1.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.19% | ÷1.124 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 1.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.270 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 92, 2B 121, 3B 125, K 89, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .312 → .255; ISO .054 → .040; BABIP .326 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKPrinceton Rays · 166 PAwOBA .325 → .240 (−85)K% 16.3% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 6.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.01% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 2.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.967 | ×0.995 | 24.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.967 | ×0.995 | 2.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.967 | ×0.995 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .325 → .240; ISO .056 → .038; BABIP .350 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).