Lisnerkin Lantigua

P Daytona Tortugas

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 181 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	20	ROKCIN	13	0	28	4.13	3.03	25.2%	8.7%	—	K 17.1% · BB 10.9% · FIP 4.10
2026	21	ACIN	24	1	67	6.82	4.66	19.2%	17.0%	—	K 14.2% · BB 20.1% · FIP 5.57
2027PROJ	22	MLBCIN	36	0	38	5.85	5.85	16.9%	17.6%	-0.5
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBCIN	30	0	31	5.47	5.33	18.9%	15.0%	-0.3
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBCIN	43	0	45	5.15	5.00	20.1%	13.2%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsYunior Montero (age 22) · Garrett Apker (age 23) · Hansel Rosario (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.85

FIP5.85

K%16.9%

BB%17.6%

K-BB%-0.8%

Proj IP38

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	11	6	32	144	30	16	0	55%	2.9	14.2%	13.9%	0.3%	0.0%	3.90	3.66	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	11	6	32	144	30	16	0	55%	2.9	20.8%	11.1%	9.7%	0.0%	3.90	2.73	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	12	7	33	159	30	19	0	58%	2.8	12.8%	14.9%	-2.1%	0.0%	4.36	3.91	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	12	7	33	159	30	19	0	58%	2.8	18.9%	11.9%	6.9%	0.0%	4.36	3.01	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	9	0	9	39	11	9	1	0%	1.0	28.2%	23.1%	5.1%	2.6%	3.00	5.05	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	9	0	9	39	11	9	1	0%	1.0	28.2%	23.1%	5.1%	2.6%	3.00	5.05	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	9	0	9	39	11	9	1	0%	1.0	28.2%	23.1%	5.1%	2.6%	3.00	5.10	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	13	0	28	115	29	10	2	0%	2.2	17.1%	10.9%	6.3%	1.9%	4.13	4.10	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	13	0	28	115	29	10	2	0%	2.2	17.1%	10.9%	6.3%	1.9%	4.13	4.10	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	13	0	28	115	29	10	2	0%	2.2	25.2%	8.7%	16.5%	1.7%	4.13	3.03	—
2026	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	24	1	67	317	61	54	5	4%	2.8	14.2%	20.1%	-5.9%	2.1%	6.82	5.57	—
2026	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	24	1	67	317	61	54	5	4%	2.8	14.2%	20.1%	-5.9%	2.1%	6.82	5.57	—
2026	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	24	1	67	317	61	54	5	4%	2.8	19.2%	17.0%	2.2%	1.6%	6.82	4.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	CIN	36	0	38	160	27	28	5	0%	1.1	16.9%	17.6%	-0.8%	2.8%	5.85	5.85	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	60	0	63	266	50	40	7	0%	1.0	18.9%	15.0%	3.9%	2.8%	5.47	5.33	-0.5
2029	24	MLB MLE	CIN	61	0	64	272	55	36	8	0%	1.1	20.1%	13.2%	6.8%	2.8%	5.15	5.00	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	62	0	65	276	57	33	8	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.1%	8.7%	2.8%	4.92	4.79	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	CIN	62	0	65	276	58	33	8	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.0%	9.1%	2.8%	4.82	4.75	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	30	0	31	131	25	20	4	0%	1.0	18.9%	15.0%	3.9%	2.8%	5.47	5.33	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	CIN	43	0	45	190	38	25	5	0%	1.0	20.1%	13.2%	6.8%	2.8%	5.15	5.00	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	50	0	53	224	46	27	6	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.1%	8.7%	2.8%	4.92	4.79	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	CIN	54	0	57	241	51	29	7	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.0%	9.1%	2.8%	4.82	4.75	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		177	0	186	785	160	101	22	0%	1.1	20.4%	12.8%	7.6%	2.8%	5.04	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	109	24	0%	1.1	20.4%	12.8%	7.6%	2.8%	5.04	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		69	14	170	774	117	129	10	20%	2.5	15.1%	16.7%	-1.6%	1.3%	5.14	4.63	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	16	200	911	137	152	11	20%	2.5	15.1%	16.7%	-1.6%	1.3%	5.14	4.63	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Lisnerkin Lantigua (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.85	16.9%	17.6%	2.8%	—	5.04	19.9%	6.5%	193	-0.81	—	—	—
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	86
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	85
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	84
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	84
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	83
Cole Percival R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	22	SU	4.99	16.5%	14.9%	2.5%	.243	4.70	16.6%	3.7%	218	-0.29	3.58	327	82
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	82
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	82
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	81
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	81
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	81
Frank Martinez R 2024 · 5.90 FIP	22	SU	5.90	20.0%	21.5%	3.2%	.268	5.08	16.8%	3.7%	77	-0.82	3.30	135	81
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	80
Audry Lugo R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	22	SU	4.82	17.6%	15.8%	2.2%	.333	5.76	13.7%	-2.6%	39	+0.94	4.05	113	80
Kelvin Vasquez R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	14.8%	13.8%	2.6%	.248	5.38	15.0%	-3.0%	103	+0.35	5.01	180	80
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	80
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	80
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	80
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	80
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	59	19.8%	13.6%	1.09	5.18
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*