Maxwel Hernandez

P FCL Phillies

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	ROKDSL Phillies …	10	10	46	2.76	3.36	20.7%	11.4%	—	K 14.1% · BB 14.2% · FIP 4.72
2024	21	ROKPHI	12	8	40	4.95	3.48	16.6%	13.8%	—	K 11.3% · BB 17.3% · FIP 4.34
2025	22	MIX3 levels	17	1	39	5.35	4.37	19.1%	7.3%	—	K 12.1% · BB 9.8% · FIP 5.12
2027PROJ	24	MLBPHI	3	3	20	4.83	4.83	20.1%	11.1%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBPHI	3	3	15	4.71	4.66	20.9%	10.4%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRay Gaither (age 24) · Alfredo Figaro (age 25) · Daniel Corcino (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.83

FIP4.83

K%20.1%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%9.0%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	11	11	50	196	51	16	1	100%	4.5	17.7%	10.2%	7.5%	0.8%	0.72	3.36	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	11	11	50	196	51	16	1	100%	4.5	26.0%	8.2%	17.9%	0.5%	0.72	2.27	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	10	10	46	193	40	22	2	100%	4.6	14.1%	14.2%	-0.2%	1.8%	2.76	4.72	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	10	10	46	193	40	22	2	100%	4.6	20.7%	11.4%	9.3%	1.0%	2.76	3.36	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	8	40	181	30	25	0	67%	3.3	11.3%	17.3%	-6.0%	0.0%	4.95	4.34	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	8	40	181	30	25	0	67%	3.3	11.3%	17.3%	-6.0%	0.0%	4.95	4.34	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	12	8	40	181	30	25	0	67%	3.3	16.6%	13.8%	2.8%	0.0%	4.95	3.48	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	1	39	178	34	13	6	6%	2.3	12.1%	9.8%	2.3%	3.3%	5.35	5.12	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	1	39	178	34	13	6	6%	2.3	12.1%	9.8%	2.3%	3.3%	5.35	5.12	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	1	39	178	34	13	6	6%	2.3	19.1%	7.3%	11.8%	3.4%	5.35	4.37	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	PHI	3	3	20	84	17	9	3	100%	6.7	20.1%	11.1%	9.0%	3.0%	4.83	4.83	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	6	6	35	149	31	15	4	100%	5.9	20.9%	10.4%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.66	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	3	3	15	63	13	7	2	100%	5.0	20.9%	10.4%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.66	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	15	64	13	7	2	100%	5.0	20.9%	10.4%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.28	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	173	93	27	100%	5.9	20.9%	10.4%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.28	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		50	30	174	748	104	96	11	60%	3.5	13.9%	12.9%	1.0%	1.5%	3.26	4.36	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	34	200	860	119	111	13	60%	3.5	13.9%	12.9%	1.0%	1.5%	3.26	4.36	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Maxwel Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.83	20.1%	11.1%	3.0%	—	4.66	20.9%	10.5%	35	-0.17	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	88
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	86
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	84
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	84
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	84
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	83
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	82
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	82
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	82
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2014 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	20.5%	13.3%	2.3%	.208	3.88	19.8%	10.2%	210	-0.44	3.22	242	81
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	81
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	80
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	80
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	78
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	77
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	77
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	76
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	76
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	76
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	20.6%	10.7%	1.15	4.75
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*