Chase DeLauter
RF Cleveland Guardians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 214 | .282/.384/.497 | 8 | 3 | 121 | — | .237/.303/.417 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/ROKCLE | 177 | .264/.381/.473 | 7 | 1 | 87 | — | .224/.313/.358 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBCLE | 559 | .287/.365/.457 | 16 | 11 | 132 | 2.9 | |
| 2027PROJ | 25 | MLBCLE | 485 | .281/.358/.458 | 15 | 9 | 130 | 2.5 | |
| 2028PROJ | 26 | MLBCLE | 485 | .281/.358/.458 | 15 | 9 | 130 | 2.4 | |
| 2029PROJ | 27 | MLBCLE | 479 | .279/.357/.455 | 15 | 8 | 129 | 2.4 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 28 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 481 | 409 | 891 | 45 | 400 | 11 | 18 | 397 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 176 | 164 | 60 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 366 | 406 | 549 | 954 | 183 | 403 | 12 | 6 | 418 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 38 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 286 | 459 | 500 | 959 | 214 | 304 | 13 | 21 | 418 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 109 | 87 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 299 | 408 | 529 | 937 | 230 | 273 | 10 | 13 | 390 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 27 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 407 | 739 | 1.147 | 435 | 263 | 7 | 15 | 481 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 128 | 111 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 252 | 336 | 441 | 777 | 189 | 256 | 15 | 11 | 338 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 59 | 47 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 340 | 475 | 511 | 985 | 170 | 375 | 10 | 20 | 439 | 183 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 149 | 126 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 385 | 476 | 861 | 198 | 303 | 15 | 15 | 380 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 28 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 357 | 455 | 812 | 273 | 133 | 18 | 21 | 363 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 559 | 495 | 142 | 30 | 3 | 16 | 60 | 82 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 287 | 365 | 457 | 822 | 170 | 315 | 15 | 11 | 364 | 132 | +21 | +1 | -0 | -6 | +12 | 2.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 559 | 495 | 142 | 30 | 3 | 16 | 60 | 82 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 287 | 365 | 457 | 822 | 170 | 315 | 15 | 11 | 364 | 132 | +22 | +1 | -0 | -6 | +12 | 3.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 28 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 391 | 481 | 435 | 916 | 43 | 405 | 14 | 14 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 176 | 167 | 53 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 317 | 349 | 467 | 816 | 150 | 358 | 15 | 4 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 38 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 194 | 324 | 355 | 679 | 161 | 227 | 18 | 13 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 27 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 542 | 875 | 292 | 231 | 11 | 11 | 379 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 128 | 115 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 296 | 391 | 687 | 157 | 243 | 19 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 149 | 132 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 324 | 379 | 703 | 136 | 281 | 19 | 11 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 28 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 125 | 100 | 25 | 14 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 559 | 496 | 143 | 30 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 82 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 288 | 365 | 462 | 827 | 173 | 315 | 15 | 11 | 363 | 132 | +21 | +1 | -0 | -6 | +12 | 2.9 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 351 | 316 | 98 | 28 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 55 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 310 | 363 | 446 | 809 | 136 | 351 | 16 | 6 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 351 | 301 | 102 | 27 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 41 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 339 | 418 | 528 | 946 | 189 | 355 | 12 | 11 | 408 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 214 | 193 | 46 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 238 | 303 | 430 | 733 | 192 | 250 | 17 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 214 | 181 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 282 | 384 | 497 | 881 | 215 | 289 | 13 | 14 | 384 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 157 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 312 | 382 | 695 | 153 | 265 | 20 | 11 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 177 | 148 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 381 | 473 | 854 | 209 | 281 | 16 | 16 | 377 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 559 | 496 | 143 | 30 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 82 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 288 | 365 | 462 | 827 | 173 | 317 | 15 | 11 | 363 | 132 | +21 | +1 | -0 | -6 | +12 | 2.9 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Guardians | — | 559 | 495 | 142 | 30 | 3 | 16 | 60 | 82 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 287 | 365 | 457 | 822 | 170 | 315 | 15 | 11 | 364 | 132 | +21 | +1 | -0 | -6 | +12 | 2.9 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 351 | 322 | 98 | 28 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 55 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 304 | 363 | 438 | 800 | 134 | 343 | 16 | 6 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 214 | 194 | 46 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 303 | 428 | 731 | 191 | 241 | 17 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 156 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 312 | 385 | 697 | 154 | 252 | 20 | 11 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 559 | 494 | 143 | 30 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 82 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 289 | 365 | 464 | 829 | 174 | 315 | 15 | 11 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 214 | 194 | 46 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 303 | 428 | 731 | 191 | 241 | 17 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 156 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 312 | 385 | 697 | 154 | 252 | 20 | 11 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 559 | 494 | 143 | 30 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 82 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 289 | 365 | 464 | 829 | 174 | 315 | 15 | 11 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 479 | 425 | 119 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 49 | 77 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 281 | 358 | 459 | 817 | 179 | 309 | 16 | 10 | 360 | 130 | +17 | +1 | +1 | -5 | +10 | 2.8 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 485 | 430 | 121 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 78 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 281 | 358 | 458 | 816 | 177 | 310 | 16 | 10 | 360 | 130 | +17 | +1 | +1 | -5 | +11 | 2.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 485 | 430 | 121 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 78 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 280 | 358 | 459 | 817 | 178 | 309 | 16 | 10 | 360 | 130 | +17 | +1 | +1 | -5 | +11 | 2.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 479 | 425 | 118 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 49 | 78 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 279 | 357 | 456 | 812 | 177 | 308 | 16 | 10 | 358 | 129 | +16 | +1 | +1 | -5 | +10 | 2.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 469 | 416 | 114 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 77 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 277 | 354 | 451 | 805 | 174 | 307 | 16 | 10 | 355 | 127 | +15 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 455 | 404 | 110 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 47 | 76 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 351 | 443 | 794 | 169 | 305 | 17 | 10 | 351 | 124 | +13 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 441 | 392 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 75 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 270 | 347 | 434 | 781 | 164 | 303 | 17 | 10 | 346 | 120 | +11 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 423 | 376 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 265 | 341 | 422 | 763 | 157 | 299 | 17 | 10 | 339 | 115 | +8 | -0 | -2 | -5 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 399 | 355 | 92 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 258 | 333 | 407 | 740 | 149 | 293 | 18 | 10 | 329 | 109 | +4 | -0 | -3 | -4 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 363 | 324 | 80 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 324 | 387 | 711 | 139 | 286 | 18 | 10 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB MLE | CLE | 96% | 305 | 273 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 312 | 365 | 677 | 127 | 276 | 19 | 10 | 304 | 92 | -3 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 485 | 430 | 121 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 78 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 281 | 358 | 458 | 816 | 177 | 309 | 16 | 10 | 360 | 130 | +17 | +1 | +1 | -5 | +11 | 2.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 479 | 425 | 119 | 25 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 78 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 279 | 357 | 455 | 811 | 175 | 309 | 16 | 10 | 358 | 129 | +16 | +1 | +1 | -5 | +10 | 2.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 469 | 416 | 115 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 48 | 77 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 277 | 354 | 450 | 804 | 172 | 308 | 16 | 10 | 355 | 127 | +15 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 455 | 404 | 111 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 47 | 76 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 351 | 443 | 794 | 168 | 306 | 17 | 10 | 351 | 124 | +13 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 441 | 392 | 106 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 75 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 270 | 347 | 433 | 781 | 163 | 303 | 17 | 10 | 346 | 120 | +11 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 423 | 376 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 265 | 341 | 422 | 763 | 157 | 299 | 17 | 10 | 339 | 115 | +8 | -0 | -2 | -5 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 399 | 355 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 258 | 334 | 406 | 740 | 148 | 294 | 18 | 10 | 330 | 109 | +4 | -0 | -3 | -4 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 363 | 324 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 324 | 387 | 711 | 138 | 286 | 18 | 10 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB CTX | CLE | 96% | 291 | 261 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 312 | 365 | 677 | 126 | 277 | 19 | 10 | 304 | 92 | -3 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +6 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4364 | 3878 | 1047 | 214 | 19 | 125 | 446 | 734 | 11 | 42 | 14 | 270 | 347 | 432 | 779 | 162 | 303 | 17 | 10 | 345 | 119 | +103 | +3 | -13 | -47 | +95 | 14.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 157 | 32 | 3 | 19 | 66 | 109 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 272 | 348 | 436 | 784 | 164 | 305 | 17 | 10 | 345 | 119 | +15 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +14 | 2.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5605 | 4987 | 1349 | 283 | 27 | 159 | 555 | 942 | 17 | 66 | 22 | 271 | 346 | 434 | 779 | 163 | 303 | 17 | 10 | 344 | 119 | +120 | +3 | -12 | -52 | +105 | 16.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 156 | 33 | 3 | 18 | 64 | 109 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 270 | 344 | 431 | 775 | 161 | 303 | 17 | 10 | 344 | 119 | +16 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +14 | 2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 149 PAwOBA .373 → .311 (−62)K% 15.4% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.44% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.77% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 10.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.39% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×1.009 | ×1.048 | 20.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.77% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×1.048 | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | ×1.009 | ×1.048 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.093 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 108, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .373 → .311; ISO .198 → .150; BABIP .303 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Guardians · 28 PAwOBA .354 → .217 (−137)K% 17.9% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.86% | ÷1.041 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.018 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 12.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.985 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 9.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.075 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.388 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 6.31% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .354 → .217; ISO .273 → .151; BABIP .133 → .100. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAkron RubberDucks · 128 PAwOBA .337 → .299 (−38)K% 14.8% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.84% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.94% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.48% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 18.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.944 | ×0.860 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.43% | ÷0.966 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 105, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .337 → .299; ISO .189 → .165; BABIP .256 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAColumbus Clippers · 27 PAwOBA .468 → .379 (−88)K% 7.4% → 9.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 9.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 4.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 16.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.060 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.60% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .468 → .379; ISO .435 → .345; BABIP .263 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Lake County Captains · 176 PAwOBA .407 → .350 (−57)K% 12.5% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.028 | ×1.270 | — | — | 15.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.11% | ÷0.971 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.76% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 24.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.68% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 11.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.060 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.15% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 102, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .407 → .350; ISO .183 → .153; BABIP .403 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Guardians · 38 PAwOBA .419 → .298 (−121)K% 13.2% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.16% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.05% | ÷1.030 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 12.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.024 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 13.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷0.967 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 9.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.349 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 2.45% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 170, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .419 → .298; ISO .214 → .153; BABIP .304 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAkron RubberDucks · 28 PAwOBA .402 → .393 (−9)K% 10.7% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.71% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.86% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 13.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.84% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.042 | 37.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.933 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.042 | 5.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.053 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 111, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .402 → .393; ISO .045 → .047; BABIP .400 → .405. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .