Carlos Santana1B Gwinnett Stripers
Age 40 S/R 5'10" / 210 lbs AAA Svc 15.669 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION165 act + 228 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 121109vR 79
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .305 / .347
PA228
HR6
K%21
BB%10
BABIP247
ISO136
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -20.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-20BATRUN: -0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +1.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -7.0 runs (Positional adjustment)-7POSREP: +11.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: -1.50-1.5WAR
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 51 / POW 51
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT51
Whiff%
659.4%
xwOBA
520.311
POWER51
Barrel%
346.1
Avg EV
4188.5
Bat Spd
5271.6
EYE58
Chase%
7327.2%
SPEED38
Sprint
1023.7
DEFENSE50
scouting grade only
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1090 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
311
779
wRC+
127
80
◀◀L
wOBA
351
289
◀◀L
ISO
208
121
◀◀L
BABIP
269
240
L
K%
17.4%
18.5%
L
BB%
9.3%
10.9%
R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2010
Service   15.669 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.8M
Totals $0.8M $-0.2M -$1M
Options · projected decision
2027CLUB OPT$2.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2028CLUB OPT$17.5M / $0.5M buyoutDECLINE
2029CLUB OPT$2.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
200519 ROKGCL Dodgers 9785 19311 9121 02 224305318623 94243 129 277 70
200519 ROKGCL Dodgers 9778 23411 1681 02 295421410831 115310 816 372 143
200620 A+2 teams 391348 791328 35882 43 227301345646 118275 239 287 78
200620 A+2 teams 391330 9315310 53622 43 282384436821 155314 1614 364 136
200721 AGreat Lakes Loons 334304 561616 28611 53 184255303558 118211 188 243 44
200721 AGreat Lakes Loons 334292 652017 40451 53 223318370688 147242 1312 311 96
200822 A+Kinston Indians 560490 13933419 541184 104 284359484843 200331 2110 363 136
200822 A+Kinston Indians 560455 15039520 89834 104 3304435691.013 240359 1516 433 190
200923 AAAkron Aeros 535461 11827222 571077 22 256347466813 210281 2011 355 130
200923 AAAkron Aeros 535428 12430223 90837 22 290421530951 241304 1617 411 173
201024 AAA2 teams 438363 9525117 65754 90 262380477856 215282 1715 368 140
201024 AAA2 teams 438346 10127119 82684 90 292433540973 249309 1619 422 181
201125 MLBCleveland Indians 658552 13235227 971332 53 239355457811 217263 2015 346 123 +17 -0 -33 +12 +19 1.5
201125 MLBCleveland Indians 658552 13235227 971332 53 239355457811 217263 2015 357 132 +23 -0 -33 +12 +19 2.1
201226 MLB2 teams 695579 14631221 1041153 55 252369421790 169277 1715 343 121 +16 -1 -19 +12 +20 2.9
201226 MLB2 teams 695578 14231218 1051213 55 246364400764 154277 1715 343 121 +16 -1 -19 +12 +20 2.9
201327 MLB2 teams 678572 15241121 981164 31 266377451828 185298 1714 360 134 +26 +0 -13 +12 +19 4.6
201327 MLB2 teams 678573 15540121 971154 31 271380454834 183304 1714 371 142 +32 +0 -13 +12 +19 5.2
201428 MLBCleveland Indians 660541 12525027 1131243 52 231367427794 196249 1917 347 124 +18 +0 -15 -12 +19 1.0
201428 MLBCleveland Indians 660541 12525027 1131243 52 231367427794 196249 1917 357 131 +23 +0 -15 -12 +19 1.6
201529 MLBCleveland Indians 666550 12729219 1081223 113 231360395755 164261 1816 329 110 +7 +1 -6 -12 +19 1.0
201529 MLBCleveland Indians 666550 12729219 1081223 113 231360395755 164261 1816 341 119 +15 +1 -6 -12 +19 1.7
201630 MLBCleveland Indians 688582 15131334 99992 52 259369498867 239258 1414 375 145 +35 +0 -4 -12 +19 4.0
201630 MLBCleveland Indians 688582 15131334 99992 52 259369498867 239258 1414 379 149 +38 +0 -4 -12 +19 4.2
201731 MLBCleveland Indians 667571 14837323 88946 51 259364455819 196274 1413 354 129 +22 +1 +1 -12 +19 3.1
201731 MLBCleveland Indians 667571 14837323 88946 51 259364455819 196274 1413 364 137 +28 +1 +1 -12 +19 3.7
201832 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 679560 12527223 110931 21 223352402753 179226 1416 329 110 +8 +0 -0 -12 +19 1.5
201832 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 679560 12828224 110931 21 229356414770 186231 1416 344 121 +16 +0 -0 -12 +19 2.4
201933 MLBCleveland Indians 686573 16130134 1081083 40 281398515912 234293 1616 385 153 +41 +1 -5 -12 +19 4.5
201933 MLBCleveland Indians 686573 16130134 1081083 40 281398515912 234293 1616 401 165 +51 +1 -5 -12 +19 5.5
202034 MLBCleveland Indians 255206 41708 47431 00 199350350700 150212 1718 318 101 +0 +0 -1 -5 +7 0.2
202034 MLBCleveland Indians 255206 41708 47431 00 199350350700 150212 1718 324 106 +2 +0 -1 -5 +7 0.3
202135 MLBKansas City Royals 659565 12416020 861023 20 219326354680 135232 1513 304 91 -7 +0 -5 -12 +19 -0.5
202135 MLBKansas City Royals 659565 12115019 861023 20 214321342663 127227 1513 303 90 -7 +0 -5 -12 +19 -0.6
202236 MLBSeattle Mariners 506431 9019020 71882 00 209323392716 183215 1714 315 99 -1 +0 -1 -9 +14 0.4
202236 MLBSeattle Mariners 506431 8718019 71882 00 202317376693 174209 1714 314 99 -1 +0 -1 -9 +14 0.4
202337 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 619550 13534124 651040 60 245325442767 196261 1711 334 114 +10 +1 -3 -11 +18 1.5
202337 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 619550 13233123 651040 60 240320429749 189255 1711 331 112 +8 +1 -3 -11 +18 1.3
202438 MLBMinnesota Twins 594521 12426023 65996 40 238329420750 182252 1711 327 108 +5 +1 +5 -11 +17 1.8
202438 MLBMinnesota Twins 594521 12426023 65996 40 238329420750 182252 1711 335 114 +10 +1 +5 -11 +17 2.2
202539 MLBChicago Cubs 474415 9111011 52913 70 219311325636 106252 1911 284 75 -13 +1 +2 -8 +13 -0.5
202539 MLBChicago Cubs 474415 9111011 52913 70 219311325636 106252 1911 291 81 -10 +1 +2 -8 +13 -0.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD40 AAAATL 165143 16103 14458 00 112230182412 70137 278 193 6 -18 +0 -2 -3 +5 -1.8
YTD40 AAAATL 165138 18104 19378 00 130273225497 94144 2212 246 46 -10 +0 -2 -3 +5 -1.1
ROS40 AAAATL 10% 228199 42906 23484 21 211305347652 136249 2110 303 90 -3 +0 +3 -4 +6 0.3
ROS40 MLBATL 10% 2321 5101 250 00 238304429733 190249 229 289 79 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 0.0
FULL40 AAAATL 188164 21204 16508 00 128239213453 85155 279 204 15 -18 +0 -2 -3 +5 -1.8
TOT40 AAAATL 393342 581009 379312 21 170274278551 108203 249 257 55 -20 +0 +1 -7 +11 -1.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 92777836 188540517336 1332154543 6518 241354425779 185257 1714 348 124 +255 +6 -93 -84 +263 35.4
/ 162G 650549 13228124 931083 51 240353426780 186256 1714 348 124 +18 +1 -7 -6 +18 2.5
Career 1176710018 242052528414 1582204065 9633 242349424772 182262 1713 337 116 +209 +6 -90 -122 +333 34.4
/ 162G 650553 13429223 871134 52 242349427776 184263 1713 337 116 +12 +0 -5 -7 +18 1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
200519 ROKGCL Dodgers 9778 23411 1681 02 295421410831 115310 816 372 143 +5 -1 +3 0.7
200620 A+Vero Beach Dodgers 223198 531023 23431 03 268347384731 116327 1910 330 110 +3 -1 +6 0.8
200620 ROKOgden Raptors 168132 40517 30191 40 303436515951 212297 1118 409 171 +13 +1 +5 1.9
200721 AGreat Lakes Loons 334292 652017 40451 53 223318370688 147242 1312 311 96 -1 -0 +9 0.8
200822 A+Kinston Indians 560455 15039520 89834 104 3304435691.013 240359 1516 433 190 +57 +0 +16 7.5
200923 AAAkron Aeros 535428 12430223 90837 22 290421530951 241304 1617 411 173 +44 -0 +15 6.0
201024 MLBCleveland Indians 192150 391306 37291 30 260410467876 207277 1519 385 152 +11 +1 +3 +8 +5 2.8
201024 AAAColumbus Clippers 246196 6214113 45393 60 3164515971.048 281336 1618 451 203 +29 +1 +7 3.8
201125 MLBCleveland Indians 658552 13235227 971332 53 239355457811 217263 2015 357 132 +23 -0 -33 +12 +19 2.1
201226 MLBCleveland Indians 609507 12827218 911013 35 252369420790 168278 1715 352 128 +19 -1 -19 +12 +17 2.9
201226 INTLLeones del Escogido 8671 14400 14200 20 197329254583 56269 2316 279 71 -3 +0 +2 0.0
201327 MLBCleveland Indians 642541 14539120 931104 31 268379455834 187301 1714 371 142 +30 +0 -13 +12 +18 4.9
201327 INTLLeones del Escogido 3632 10101 450 00 312389438826 125346 1411 372 143 +2 +0 +1 0.3
201428 MLBCleveland Indians 660541 12525027 1131243 52 231367427794 196249 1917 357 131 +23 +0 -15 -12 +19 1.6
201529 MLBCleveland Indians 666550 12729219 1081223 113 231360395755 164261 1816 341 119 +15 +1 -6 -12 +19 1.7
201630 MLBCleveland Indians 688582 15131334 99992 52 259369498867 239258 1414 379 149 +38 +0 -4 -12 +19 4.2
201731 MLBCleveland Indians 667571 14837323 88946 51 259364455819 196274 1413 364 137 +28 +1 +1 -12 +19 3.7
201832 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 679560 12828224 110931 21 229356414770 186231 1416 344 121 +16 +0 -0 -12 +19 2.4
201933 MLBCleveland Indians 686573 16130134 1081083 40 281398515912 234293 1616 401 165 +51 +1 -5 -12 +19 5.5
202034 MLBCleveland Indians 255206 41708 47431 00 199350350700 150212 1718 324 106 +2 +0 -1 -5 +7 0.3
202135 MLBKansas City Royals 659565 12115019 861023 20 214321342663 127227 1513 303 90 -7 +0 -5 -12 +19 -0.6
202236 MLBSeattle Mariners 506431 8718019 71882 00 202317376693 174209 1714 314 99 -1 +0 -1 -9 +14 0.4
202337 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 619550 13233123 651040 60 240320429749 189255 1711 331 112 +8 +1 -3 -11 +18 1.3
202438 MLBMinnesota Twins 594521 12426023 65996 40 238329420750 182252 1711 335 114 +10 +1 +5 -11 +17 2.2
202539 MLBChicago Cubs 474415 9111011 52913 70 219311325636 106252 1911 291 81 -10 +1 +2 -8 +13 -0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 92547815 188040417335 1330154043 6518 241354425779 185257 1714 348 124 +256 +6 -93 -84 +262 35.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Paul Konerkolast yr '14
career totals — 15 seasons, 8,694 PA
158,6944088280356490-133-12536.732.4
/162664311-10.2-9.52.8pk7: 28
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons
169,29333665242351427-166-11932.528.2
/162664245-11.9-8.52.3pk7: 24
#2Anthony Rizzolast yr '24
career totals — 14 seasons, 7,336 PA
147,33630372261361467-131-7928.627.3
/162664277-11.9-7.12.6pk7: 26
#3Nick Swisherlast yr '15
career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA
126,30824513249351447-62-5624.524.4
/162664261-6.5-5.92.6pk7: 24
#4Brandon Beltlast yr '23
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,483 PA
135,48319447261357460-96-6219.318.2
/162664236-11.7-7.52.3pk7: 17
#5Carlos Penalast yr '14
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,856 PA
135,85628529231346462-98-11014.215.3
/162664323-11.2-12.51.6pk7: 16
#6Adam LaRochelast yr '15
career totals — 12 seasons, 6,329 PA
126,32925513260336462-113-12510.712.1
/162664271-11.9-13.11.1pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Santana (OGILVIE) 40 51 51 38 58 170/274/278 108203 92 24% 9% 55 -1.5
Guillermo Velasquez
2007 · AAA
39 46 48→45 38→30 49 236/297/372 137276 174 21% 8% 88 +0.9 215/264/321 106265 116 22% 6% 60 -1.0 201/245/279782497222%6%41-1.2
Ray Martinez
2009 · AAA
40 51→56 46→50 44→45 48 256/308/382 127289 157 17% 6% 95 +1.4 273/319/400 127325 138 19% 6% 104 +2.0 325/368/44311839311619%6%134+1.9
Carlos Sievers
2014 · AAA
39 45→55 47→50 42→45 49 230/293/353 123262 168 19% 7% 81 +0.4 237/295/353 116276 138 19% 7% 82 +0.5 259/321/3337429410015%7%87+0.2
Christian Quintero
2015 · AAA
39 47→57 45→50 40→55 48 231/278/351 120252 127 15% 6% 74 -0.1 238/285/330 92271 86 15% 6% 71 -0.3 247/294/311642854314%6%66-0.3
Hernando Arredondo
2016 · AAA
39 48→56 47→50 42→50 42 241/281/375 133280 165 21% 4% 82 +0.5 234/274/343 109298 119 24% 5% 69 -0.4 231/253/272413030523%3%36-0.5
Raul Sanchez
2013 · AAA
40 53→55 44→45 44→50 44 257/302/373 116302 116 19% 5% 89 +1.0 240/302/346 106294 97 20% 6% 83 +0.6 255/333/329743135318%8%89+0.3
Robert Perez
2009 · AAA
40 52→56 52→55 47→50 46 267/305/425 158277 2110 13% 5% 105 +2.1 259/294/398 139287 1612 16% 4% 93 +1.3 275/302/405130307141215%3%95+1.0
Ruben Sierra
2005 · MLB
39 49→54 54→60 48→40 51 256/311/432 177269 235 16% 8% 109 +2.4 237/293/393 156274 185 20% 7% 92 +1.2 227/265/36614027613023%5%68-0.1
Raul Ibanez
2012 · MLB
40 50→60 53→60 47→45 51 255/316/437 183282 214 18% 8% 112 +2.6 238/303/436 198264 254 20% 8% 108 +2.3 226/299/43220624627321%9%100+1.2
Leobardo Arauz
2015 · AAA
38 44→54 42→50 39→45 55 215/297/315 100249 104 18% 10% 73 -0.1 227/297/319 92264 96 17% 8% 74 -0.1 242/316/307652737014%9%79+0.1
Roberto Mendez
2013 · AAA
40 50→59 48→50 45 52 248/319/390 142300 164 22% 9% 102 +1.8 243/313/352 109301 97 21% 9% 89 +0.9 250/324/334843095519%10%87+0.3
Brian Jordan
2005 · MLB
38 52→57 49→55 42→45 52 258/320/408 150281 165 15% 8% 106 +2.2 246/302/377 131289 147 20% 7% 91 +1.1 250/301/36311330013421%6%87+0.3
José Hernández
2008 · MLB
39 44→54 47→55 42→45 43 226/279/359 133280 164 25% 6% 77 +0.1 240/300/351 111312 109 25% 7% 82 +0.5 262/321/36910634471124%7%95+1.0
Jayson Werth
2018 · MLB
39 46→56 52→60 44→55 55 237/326/405 169280 206 23% 11% 108 +2.3 228/303/393 165283 188 25% 9% 96 +1.5 181/243/34916822716028%6%57-0.3
Wally Joyner
2001 · MLB
39 54 46→45 47→40 60 265/348/397 132287 134 13% 11% 115 +2.8 250/320/383 133273 147 14% 9% 100 +1.7 243/304/35110826011411%8%83+0.2
Endy Chavez
2017 · MLB
39 50→60 41→45 46→55 49 243/294/346 102276 910 15% 6% 79 +0.3 271/312/374 103297 105 12% 5% 93 +1.3 299/335/382833267110%5%102+1.3
Mario Valenzuela
2017 · AAA
40 46→56 44→60 38→40 41 229/272/340 111291 135 26% 5% 68 -0.5 230/281/346 116296 126 26% 6% 74 -0.1 224/282/32510029011125%7%66-0.4
Juan Canizales
2010 · AAA
39 56→62 40 40→45 46 270/304/357 87300 84 13% 5% 85 +0.7 242/284/354 112271 117 15% 5% 77 +0.1 247/292/36712026712712%5%80+0.2
Rafael Castaneda
2008 · AAA
40 54→64 44→50 41→40 50 264/310/384 120278 124 10% 6% 95 +1.4 243/304/367 124268 129 14% 7% 89 +0.9 251/334/3561052737710%10%95+0.3
Abel Martinez
2017 · AAA
40 54→63 42→45 46→50 48 260/307/361 101281 109 12% 5% 89 +0.9 253/298/357 104295 118 18% 5% 84 +0.6 281/323/353723387018%5%89+0.3