Johan Ferreira — OGILVIE

Johan Ferreira3B DSL Braves

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .272 / .249

PA3

HR0

K%36

BB%10

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	19	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	95	82	17	6	0	0	11	29	2	10	0	207	316	280	596	73	321	31	12	282	77	-3	+2	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	20	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	64	46	10	2	0	1	14	24	2	7	2	217	419	326	745	109	391	38	22	347	121	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	21	ROK	DSL Braves	—	18	11	1	0	0	0	5	2	1	1	0	91	412	91	503		100	11	28	285	79	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	95	86	10	3	0	0	7	43	2	10	0	116	200	151	351	35	234	45	7	169	1	-11	+2	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	64	51	6	1	0	0	9	35	2	7	2	118	274	137	411	20	311	55	14	228	40	-5	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	18	13	1	0	0	0	3	3	1	1	0	77	294	77	371		84	17	17	212	30	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	95	86	10	3	0	0	7	43	2	10	0	116	200	151	351	35	233	45	7	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	95	82	17	6	0	0	11	29	2	10	0	207	316	280	596	73	321	31	12	282	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	64	51	6	1	0	0	9	35	2	7	2	118	274	137	411	20	333	55	14	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	64	46	10	2	0	1	14	24	2	7	2	217	419	326	745	109	391	38	22	347	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	18	13	1	0	0	0	3	3	1	1	0	77	294	77	371		91	17	17	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	18	11	1	0	0	0	5	2	1	1	0	91	412	91	503		100	11	28	285	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	95	86	10	3	0	0	7	43	2	10	0	116	200	151	351	35	234	45	7	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	64	53	6	1	0	0	9	35	2	7	2	113	274	132	406	19	311	55	14	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	18	14	1	0	0	0	3	3	1	1	0	71	294	71	366		84	17	17	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	64	53	6	1	0	0	9	35	2	7	2	113	274	132	406	19	311	55	14	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	18	14	1	0	0	0	3	3	1	1	0	71	294	71	366		84	17	17	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						290	33	0	247	53	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ATL	30%	103	90	17	3	1	1	10	36	2	3	0	189	284	278	562	89	291	35	10	257	60	-5	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	ATL	30%	31	28	5	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	179	258	214	472	36	291	35	10	246	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	31	28	5	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	179	258	214	472	36	294	35	10	246	34	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	105	21	0	0	63	231	0	21	0	179	258	215	473	36	295	36	10	246	34	-31	+4	+0	+2	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	283	243	34	7	1	1	29	118	7	21	2	140	251	189	440	49	258	42	10	218	34	-5	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	77	16	2	2	67	271	16	48	5	138	250	185	434	47	255	42	10	218	34	-31	+4	+0	+2	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johan Ferreira (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	179/272/249	70	290	0	1	36%	10%	53	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→29	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	58	-1.7	210/268/333	123	318	12	13	36%	6%	69	-0.9	199/258/307	108	299	12	16	35%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	42	183/275/240	57	297	3	13	36%	8%	52	-2.2	223/279/284	61	291	3	17	23%	6%	61	-1.5	242/289/295	53	301	2	23	19%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	182/266/288	106	256	11	5	31%	9%	59	-1.6	164/257/264	101	226	11	3	30%	10%	49	-1.3
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→28	40	54→55	41	172/263/265	93	309	7	18	42%	9%	53	-2.1	179/260/262	83	375	6	20	48%	9%	51	-2.3	94/200/138	45	245	2	38	56%	10%	0	-1.6
✕Curtis Washington Jr. 2023 · A	23	42	37→40	51→60	41	196/255/271	75	298	4	15	34%	7%	50	-2.3	192/258/254	62	301	4	21	35%	7%	47	-2.5	179/239/282	103	263	10	30	34%	6%	44	-1.1
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	49	-2.4	199/265/283	84	347	5	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	146/235/232	85	299	4	14	47%	8%	34	-0.6
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	179/255/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	196/281/311	115	314	12	8	38%	9%	70	-0.8	152/262/269	117	243	16	5	41%	11%	52	-0.7
✕Francisco Hernandez 2023 · A	23	38	38→40	50	38	175/247/252	77	309	5	14	42%	8%	43	-2.8	188/243/273	85	309	6	13	38%	7%	46	-2.6	151/189/225	74	251	5	14	41%	4%	10	-2.0
✕Logan Warmoth 2019 · A	23	45→40	36→40	54→55	42	210/274/279	69	306	3	10	30%	7%	59	-1.7	195/268/273	78	314	4	14	36%	8%	56	-1.9	190/273/288	98	292	9	24	35%	8%	59	-1.1
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Nic Kent 2023 · A	23	36→42	35→40	48→50	35	177/223/235	58	267	3	14	34%	5%	29	-3.8	204/256/285	81	269	7	10	26%	5%	53	-2.1	200/260/285	86	274	8	9	29%	6%	52	-1.3
✕Gilbert Gomez 2015 · A	23	42→37	37→40	42→50	47	192/275/270	79	298	4	8	34%	10%	58	-1.7	183/257/264	81	279	5	9	33%	9%	49	-2.4	111/185/156	45	169	2	5	33%	8%	-3	-1.9
✕Gift Ngoepe 2013 · A	23	42	39→45	47→50	41	198/261/277	79	297	6	14	34%	7%	53	-2.1	200/262/294	94	312	7	14	35%	7%	57	-1.8	163/241/259	96	289	8	5	43%	9%	41	-1.2
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	40→38	38→40	46→45	45	189/272/265	76	270	5	9	30%	8%	56	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	49	-2.4	164/243/223	59	238	4	6	30%	7%	34	-2.4
✕Beau Philip 2022 · A	23	36	40	51→50	33	163/227/248	85	327	7	15	49%	7%	35	-3.4	185/259/279	94	319	10	10	42%	8%	54	-2.0	175/257/264	89	291	11	8	40%	9%	49	-1.4
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	39	36→40	51→50	37	180/249/244	64	298	3	13	38%	6%	42	-2.9	204/267/282	78	290	4	12	29%	7%	57	-1.8	201/266/271	70	279	2	15	26%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Julio Carrion 2022 · A	23	39	38→40	50→45	42	188/269/267	79	279	6	5	33%	7%	55	-1.9	186/259/280	94	342	9	5	45%	7%	55	-2.0	160/236/251	91	316	11	4	49%	7%	37	-1.3
✕Jackson Loftin 2023 · A	23	42→34	42→40	53→65	36	196/266/298	102	320	9	14	39%	6%	61	-1.5	181/256/275	94	265	9	31	33%	7%	53	-2.1	159/240/244	85	229	9	40	33%	7%	37	-1.9