Max Williams

OF Beloit Sky Carp
Age 22 L/L 6'2" / 207 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#431ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202520AMIA78.269/.364/.2840553—.229/.299/.243
202621AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs254.290/.367/.536156108—.279/.337/.508
2027PROJMLE22MLBMIA1.237/.300/.420001080.0
2028PROJ31% MLB23MLBMIA68.239/.303/.422311100.2
2029PROJ45% MLB24MLBMIA135.240/.305/.423631110.4
Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$2M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
wOBA99
wRC+99
ISO99
K%99
Whiff%64
Z-Con%60
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 15, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 75%
CompsNolan Gorman (age 23) · Spencer Torkelson (age 22) · Kyle Manzardo (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†108
AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .300 / .420
PA1
HR0
K%24
BB%7
BABIP274
ISO204
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +1.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.40.60.70.70.60.40.20.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$23M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2034Arb-1$2M+0.4$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-2$2M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-3$1M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $3M $7M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202520 AJupiter Hammerheads — 7867 18100 9111 51 269364284647 15316 1412 304 53 — — — — — —
202621 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 4034 12106 430 20 3534219121.333 559222 810 527 218 — — — — — —
202621 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 10295 29407 6191 20 305353568921 263319 196 401 105 — — — — — —
202621 AJupiter Hammerheads — 7158 20502 12131 11 345465534999 190419 1817 443 123 — — — — — —
202621 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 4137 4000 3150 10 108175108283 174 377 139 -20 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202520 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 7870 16100 6151 51 229299243542 14275 198 247 53 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 4035 11105 340 20 3143687711.140 457206 108 490 218 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 10297 25305 4241 20 258294443737 186294 244 324 105 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 7162 18402 8181 11 290380452832 161371 2511 350 123 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 7870 16100 6151 51 229299243542 14286 198 247 53 — — — — — —
202520 A RAWJupiter Hammerheads — 7867 18100 9111 51 269364284647 15316 1412 304 53 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE4 teams — 254231 6510015 18542 61 281339519858 238303 217 364 132 — — — — — —
202621 A+ RAW4 teams — 254224 6510015 25502 61 290367536902 246309 2010 390 132 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 7871 16100 6151 51 225299239538 14275 198 247 53 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE4 teams — 254232 6510015 18542 61 280339517856 237303 217 364 132 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202520 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 7871 16100 6151 51 225299239538 14275 198 247 53 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE4 teams — 254232 6510015 18542 61 280339517856 237303 217 364 132 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEMIA 0% 323293 7312214 24773 61 246308440748 194284 247 328 108 +3 +1 +0 -2 +7 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXMIA 0% 11 0000 000 00 237300420720 183274 00 317 108 +0 +0 +0 -0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEMIA 31% 217197 48819 16512 41 247310442753 195285 247 330 110 +3 +0 +0 -1 +5 0.7
202924 MLB MLEMIA 45% 297270 6811213 22703 61 248312443756 195286 247 332 111 +4 +1 +0 -2 +6 1.0
203025 MLB MLEMIA 54% 345313 7813215 26813 61 249313443756 194286 238 332 111 +4 +1 +0 -2 +7 1.1
203126 MLB MLEMIA 58% 371337 8414216 28873 72 248313441754 192286 238 331 110 +5 +1 +0 -2 +8 1.1
203227 MLB MLEMIA 59% 377342 8514216 29883 62 247313436749 189286 238 329 109 +4 +0 +0 -2 +8 1.1
203328 MLB MLEMIA 60% 379344 8414215 29903 51 245311432742 186285 248 327 107 +3 +1 -1 -2 +8 0.9
203429 MLB MLEMIA 59% 369335 8214215 28883 41 243308425733 182284 248 323 105 +2 +0 -1 -2 +8 0.7
203530 MLB MLEMIA 59% 358325 7813114 27873 21 240304417721 178282 248 318 102 +1 +0 -2 -2 +8 0.4
203631 MLB MLEMIA 58% 342310 7312113 26843 01 235299407706 172278 258 312 97 -1 -0 -3 -2 +7 0.1
203732 MLB MLEMIA 58% 319290 6711112 24802 00 230293394687 164274 258 304 92 -3 +0 -3 -2 +7 -0.1
202823 MLB CTXMIA 31% 6862 14203 5161 10 239303422725 183275 247 319 110 +1 +0 +0 -0 +1 0.2
202924 MLB CTXMIA 45% 135123 31516 10321 31 240305423728 183276 247 321 111 +2 +0 +0 -1 +3 0.4
203025 MLB CTXMIA 54% 185167 41618 14432 31 240305423728 183277 238 321 111 +2 +0 +0 -1 +4 0.6
203126 MLB CTXMIA 58% 216195 47719 17502 41 240306421726 181277 238 320 110 +3 +0 +0 -1 +5 0.7
203227 MLB CTXMIA 59% 224203 49819 17532 41 239305417722 178276 248 319 109 +2 +0 +0 -1 +5 0.7
203328 MLB CTXMIA 60% 228206 49819 18542 31 237303412715 175275 248 316 107 +2 +0 -0 -1 +5 0.6
203429 MLB CTXMIA 59% 218197 46718 17522 21 234300406706 172274 248 312 105 +1 +0 -1 -1 +5 0.4
203530 MLB CTXMIA 59% 210190 45718 16512 11 231297399695 167272 248 308 102 +0 -0 -1 -1 +5 0.2
203631 MLB CTXMIA 58% 199180 41617 15492 00 227292389681 162269 258 302 97 -1 +0 -2 -1 +4 0.1
203732 MLB CTXMIA 58% 185168 38616 14471 00 222286377663 155265 258 295 92 -2 +0 -2 -1 +4 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 18681691 40162973 14344717 217 237303414717 177278 248 313 106 +11 +1 -5 -11 +40 3.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 13922325 501566 72 236303412714 175278 248 313 106 +4 +0 -2 -4 +14 1.3
Career— MLE — 38613506 86414117160 29091232 5414 246310433743 187287 248 325 106 +23 +4 -9 -21 +76 7.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 14624327 491545 92 247311436746 188288 248 325 106 +4 +1 -2 -4 +14 1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 102 PAwOBA .389 → .324 (−66)K% 18.6% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.63%÷1.000×1.270——23.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.88%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0124.23%
HBP% /PA0.98%—×0.790—×1.0120.78%
Singles /BIP23.68%÷1.000×0.920×1.031×1.01222.74%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷1.000×0.810×1.031×1.0124.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×1.031×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP9.21%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0127.46%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .389 → .324; ISO .263 → .205; BABIP .319 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 71 PAwOBA .432 → .350 (−82)K% 18.3% → 24.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.31%÷1.000×1.360——24.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.90%÷1.000×0.690——11.66%
HBP% /PA1.41%—×0.780——1.10%
Singles /BIP28.89%÷1.000×0.920——26.58%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷1.000×0.830——9.22%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP4.44%÷1.000×0.800——3.56%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .432 → .350; ISO .190 → .152; BABIP .419 → .371. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 40 PAwOBA .538 → .490 (−48)K% 7.5% → 9.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA7.50%÷1.000×1.220——9.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0427.09%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP16.13%÷1.000×0.920—×1.04215.46%
Doubles /BIP3.23%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0423.06%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP19.35%÷1.000×0.800—×1.04216.13%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .538 → .490; ISO .559 → .507; BABIP .222 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 78 PAwOBA .300 → .247 (−54)K% 14.1% → 18.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.10%÷1.014×1.360——18.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.54%÷1.018×0.690—×1.0157.94%
HBP% /PA1.28%—×0.780—×1.0151.01%
Singles /BIP30.36%÷1.019×0.920×0.950×1.01526.43%
Doubles /BIP1.79%÷0.947×0.830×0.950×1.0151.51%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910×0.950×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.035×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .300 → .247; ISO .015 → .013; BABIP .316 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .