Max Williams — OGILVIE

Max WilliamsOF Beloit Sky Carp

Age 21 L/L 6'2" / 207 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION209 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†101

AVG/OBP/SLG.278 / .316 / .500

PA19

HR0

K%26

BB%5

BABIP282

ISO222

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$6M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	78	67	18	1	0	0	9	11	1	5	1	269	364	284	647	15	316	14	12	304	92	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	78	69	15	1	0	0	7	15	1	5	1	217	299	232	531	14	273	19	9	247	53	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	78	69	15	1	0	0	7	15	1	5	1	217	299	232	531	14	273	19	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	78	67	18	1	0	0	9	11	1	5	1	269	364	284	647	15	316	14	12	304	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	78	70	15	1	0	0	7	15	1	5	1	214	299	229	527	14	273	19	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	78	70	15	1	0	0	7	15	1	5	1	214	299	229	527	14	273	19	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	MIA	—	209	190	52	9	0	12	15	48	2	5	1	274	333	511	844	237	303	23	7	362	131	+8	+1	+0	-1	+5	1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	MIA	—	71	58	20	5	0	2	12	13	1	1	1	345	465	534	999	190	419	18	17	443	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	MIA	—	102	95	29	4	0	7	6	19	1	2	0	305	353	568	921	263	319	19	6	401	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA RAW	MIA	—	36	31	11	1	0	6	3	3	0	2	0	355	412	968	1.380	613	208	8	8	541	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	MIA	0%	19	18	5	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	278	316	500	816	222	291	26	5	318	101	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	MIA	—	228	208	57	10	0	13	16	53	2	5	1	274	332	510	841	236	306	23	7	358	128	+8	+1	+0	-1	+5	1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	25%	319	289	70	12	1	12	24	78	3	6	1	242	307	415	722	173	291	24	8	322	104	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	38%	401	363	89	15	2	15	31	97	4	7	2	245	312	421	733	176	292	24	8	324	106	+3	+1	+0	-2	+9	1.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIA	44%	454	411	102	18	2	17	35	109	5	8	2	248	315	426	741	178	293	24	8	326	107	+4	+1	+0	-3	+10	1.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	47%	478	433	107	19	2	18	37	114	5	9	2	247	314	425	739	178	293	24	8	328	108	+4	+1	+0	-3	+10	1.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIA	49%	492	445	110	19	2	19	39	117	5	9	2	247	315	427	742	180	293	24	8	328	108	+5	+1	+0	-3	+11	1.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIA	49%	494	447	110	19	2	19	39	118	5	9	2	246	314	425	739	179	293	24	8	328	108	+5	+1	+0	-3	+11	1.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIA	49%	491	443	110	19	2	19	40	118	5	8	2	248	318	429	747	181	292	24	8	327	107	+4	+1	-1	-3	+11	1.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	482	435	106	18	2	18	39	117	5	8	2	244	313	418	732	175	291	24	8	325	106	+3	+1	-1	-3	+10	1.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	472	426	103	18	2	17	38	116	5	7	2	242	311	413	724	171	290	25	8	322	104	+2	+1	-2	-3	+10	0.9
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIA	47%	458	413	99	17	1	17	37	114	5	6	1	240	310	409	719	169	288	25	8	318	101	+1	+1	-3	-3	+10	0.6
2037	32	MLB MLE	MIA	47%	440	397	93	16	1	15	36	111	4	5	1	234	304	393	697	159	284	25	8	312	97	-1	+1	-3	-3	+10	0.3
2038	33	MLB MLE	MIA	47%	410	370	85	14	1	14	33	105	4	3	1	230	300	386	686	157	280	26	8	305	93	-4	+0	-4	-2	+9	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIA	25%	80	73	17	3	0	3	6	20	1	1	0	233	300	397	697	164	283	25	8	305	104	+0	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	38%	154	139	35	6	1	6	12	37	2	3	1	252	320	439	759	187	284	24	8	308	106	+1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.4
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIA	44%	200	180	43	7	1	7	16	48	2	4	1	239	308	406	714	167	284	24	8	310	107	+2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	47%	226	204	49	8	1	8	18	54	2	4	1	240	308	407	715	167	284	24	8	311	108	+2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.6
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIA	49%	242	219	53	9	1	9	19	58	2	4	1	242	308	416	724	174	284	24	8	311	108	+2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.7
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIA	49%	243	220	53	9	1	9	19	58	2	4	1	241	307	414	721	173	284	24	8	311	108	+2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.7
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIA	49%	242	218	53	9	1	9	20	58	2	4	1	243	312	417	730	174	284	24	8	310	107	+2	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.6
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	232	209	49	8	1	8	19	56	2	4	1	234	304	397	701	163	283	24	8	308	106	+2	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.5
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	224	202	48	8	1	8	18	55	2	3	1	238	306	406	712	168	282	25	8	306	104	+1	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIA	47%	216	194	45	7	1	7	18	54	2	3	1	232	304	387	690	155	279	25	8	302	101	+0	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.3
2037	32	MLB CTX	MIA	47%	206	185	43	7	1	7	17	52	2	2	0	232	304	395	699	162	276	25	8	296	97	-1	+0	-2	-1	+4	0.1
2038	33	MLB CTX	MIA	47%	191	172	39	6	1	6	15	49	2	2	0	227	296	378	674	151	272	26	8	290	93	-2	+0	-2	-1	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2456	2215	527	87	11	87	197	599	23	38	9	238	307	405	712	167	286	24	8	306	104	+13	+4	-6	-15	+53	5.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	140	23	3	23	52	159	6	10	2	239	307	406	714	167	287	24	8	306	104	+3	+1	-2	-4	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5488	4959	1204	206	20	201	436	1334	56	90	21	243	311	414	725	171	291	24	8	321	104	+28	+9	-13	-32	+117	11.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	142	24	2	24	52	158	7	11	2	242	311	412	723	170	289	24	8	321	104	+3	+1	-2	-4	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#2Cody Rosslast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,733 PA	5.6	3,733	131	33	264	324	449	-13	-12	15.1	15.6
/162	664	23	6	-2.3	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 16
#3Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	5.2	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
/162	664	20	24	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Mitch Hanigerlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,089 PA	4.7	3,089	130	19	250	324	448	-31	-36	7.8	8.4
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-7.8	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.7	2,455	91	38	245	309	419	-15	+0	6.8	6.0
/162	664	25	10	-4.0	+0.0	1.8	pk7: 5
#6Franmil Reyeslast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,078 PA	3.1	2,078	108	6	249	310	464	-22	-18	5.5	5.5
/162	664	35	2	-7.1	-5.7	1.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Max Williams (OGILVIE)	21	45	55	50	54	240/303/410	170	291	5	3	25%	7%	101	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A	21	42→49	47→60	48→50	44	214/273/351	137	280	14	13	28%	7%	75	-0.5	224/270/363	139	299	14	12	28%	6%	76	-0.4	219/286/408	189	272	25	8	29%	8%	91	+0.4
●Eddie Rosario 2013 · A	21	49→56	50→60	48→50	42	249/288/410	161	301	17	12	23%	5%	95	+0.9	242/276/381	139	303	12	10	24%	4%	82	+0.0	280/316/488	208	299	28	7	17%	5%	120	+2.7
✕Nick Weglarz 2009 · A	21	45→47	48→50	45	49	225/304/366	140	296	15	6	28%	9%	91	+0.6	220/309/368	148	276	15	5	24%	10%	93	+0.8	207/308/360	153	254	16	2	24%	11%	90	+0.3
●Ian Stewart 2006 · A	21	45→52	50→60	46→45	43	226/288/390	164	303	17	4	30%	7%	90	+0.6	238/299/394	156	311	14	6	27%	7%	95	+0.9	239/315/432	193	304	23	9	28%	9%	107	+1.6
✕Jaff Decker 2012 · AA	22	41→49	52→55	47→55	48	214/297/379	165	280	19	10	30%	10%	91	+0.7	211/290/341	130	279	13	9	27%	9%	80	-0.2	221/295/327	106	285	9	13	24%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Nicky Delmonico 2013 · A	21	41→47	47→50	50→45	46	212/280/346	134	259	15	8	25%	8%	77	-0.3	208/273/343	135	283	14	7	30%	7%	74	-0.6	230/299/381	151	284	16	4	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Colt Keith 2023 · A	21	48→54	47→55	53→45	45	235/299/375	141	327	14	8	31%	8%	90	+0.6	251/308/406	155	312	17	5	24%	7%	101	+1.4	256/316/410	154	310	18	4	23%	8%	102	+1.3
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2011 · A	20	48→53	49→60	49→45	39	240/279/394	153	303	15	7	26%	4%	87	+0.4	245/293/418	173	329	18	4	30%	6%	98	+1.2	248/309/441	194	320	23	3	29%	7%	107	+1.6
✕Christin Stewart 2016 · A	22	46→49	47→55	49→45	41	228/296/372	144	306	14	8	29%	6%	89	+0.5	210/290/375	165	278	20	3	30%	9%	88	+0.4	222/297/388	165	279	20	1	27%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Noelvi Marte 2023 · A	21	44→53	48→50	49→55	46	223/293/360	136	290	16	16	28%	8%	85	+0.2	236/289/364	128	302	14	19	25%	6%	84	+0.1	242/290/375	133	303	14	21	24%	5%	85	+0.1
✕William Beckwith 2012 · A	21	43→44	49→50	51→50	44	218/293/369	151	274	16	9	26%	7%	88	+0.4	218/279/360	142	299	16	11	31%	6%	80	-0.1	210/271/353	143	288	18	12	32%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Trevor Larnach 2019 · A	22	48→54	45→55	51→45	47	235/297/362	127	294	11	7	24%	8%	86	+0.3	237/302/353	116	343	11	4	32%	8%	86	+0.3	255/334/414	159	301	19	4	21%	10%	110	+1.6
✕Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→52	46→60	48→50	49	230/304/365	135	294	13	13	26%	9%	90	+0.6	213/284/325	112	292	9	13	28%	8%	73	-0.6	243/310/437	193	313	22	11	28%	8%	105	+1.0
●Kyle Blanks 2008 · A	21	46→56	51→55	50→45	42	236/301/399	162	298	19	7	27%	6%	97	+1.1	250/323/412	162	315	19	5	26%	8%	108	+1.9	249/331/412	163	318	19	3	26%	8%	108	+1.3
✕Caleb Gindl 2010 · A	21	49→54	47→50	50	44	238/297/374	135	325	14	11	30%	8%	89	+0.5	240/298/361	121	300	11	8	23%	7%	86	+0.3	237/294/370	133	295	13	4	23%	7%	84	+0.1
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	44→54	52→65	53→50	46	227/294/399	172	274	19	15	25%	8%	95	+0.9	235/303/397	162	282	19	12	23%	8%	97	+1.1	243/311/468	224	317	29	3	32%	8%	115	+1.8
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Lonnie Chisenhall 2010 · AA	21	42→52	51→55	47→45	41	220/266/383	162	264	19	4	25%	5%	80	-0.1	236/285/378	142	278	15	4	21%	5%	86	+0.3	279/336/448	169	324	15	7	18%	7%	116	+1.2
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
●James Outman 2019 · A	22	39→49	47→55	53→50	39	201/258/335	134	281	16	11	34%	6%	66	-1.1	195/264/332	137	278	16	13	34%	7%	68	-1.0	227/320/420	193	316	24	14	33%	10%	108	+1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps