Seth Clausen

P Fresno Grizzlies

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ACOL	5	7	0.00	0.81	42.3%	7.7%	—	K 42.3% · BB 7.7% · FIP 0.50
2026	23	MIX2 levels	41	57	3.16	2.77	36.1%	16.0%	—	K 26.9% · BB 18.7% · FIP 4.06
2027PROJ	24	MLBCOL	38	40	5.09	5.09	25.1%	17.1%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCOL	21	22	4.87	4.78	25.3%	14.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCOL	32	34	4.76	4.72	25.4%	14.3%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsCJ Weins (age 23) · Andrew McInvale (age 24) · Craig Schlitter (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%25.1%

BB%17.1%

K-BB%8.0%

Proj IP40

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	5	0	7	26	11	2	0	0%	1.4	42.3%	7.7%	34.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.50	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	5	0	7	26	11	2	0	0%	1.4	42.3%	7.7%	34.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.50	—
2025	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	5	0	7	26	11	2	0	0%	1.4	42.3%	7.7%	34.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.81	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	57	238	86	38	3	0%	1.4	26.9%	18.7%	8.3%	1.6%	3.16	4.06	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	57	238	86	38	3	0%	1.4	26.9%	18.7%	8.3%	1.6%	3.16	4.06	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	57	238	86	38	3	0%	1.4	36.1%	16.0%	20.2%	1.3%	3.16	2.77	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	COL	38	0	40	169	42	29	5	0%	1.1	25.1%	17.1%	8.0%	2.8%	5.09	5.09	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	49	0	52	219	55	32	6	0%	1.1	25.3%	14.8%	10.6%	2.9%	4.87	4.78	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	49	0	52	219	56	31	6	0%	1.1	25.4%	14.3%	11.1%	2.9%	4.76	4.72	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	21	0	22	93	24	14	3	0%	1.0	25.3%	14.8%	10.6%	2.9%	4.87	4.78	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	32	0	34	144	36	21	4	0%	1.1	25.4%	14.3%	11.1%	2.9%	4.76	4.72	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	239	61	35	7	0%	1.0	25.4%	14.5%	10.9%	2.9%	4.80	4.36	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	216	124	25	0%	1.1	25.4%	14.5%	10.9%	2.9%	4.80	4.36	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		46	0	64	264	75	46	4	0%	1.4	28.4%	17.6%	10.9%	1.4%	2.81	3.71	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		144	0	200	825	235	145	12	0%	1.4	28.4%	17.6%	10.9%	1.4%	2.81	3.71	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Seth Clausen (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	25.1%	17.1%	2.8%	—	4.75	25.4%	10.8%	104	-0.34	—	—	—
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	93
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	92
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	91
Eduardo Herrera R 2024 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	25.5%	15.7%	2.2%	.284	4.44	16.7%	-5.0%	31	+0.31	4.13	127	89
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	89
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	88
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	88
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	88
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	87
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	87
Shane Broyles R 2016 · 4.03 FIP	24	SU	4.03	24.3%	15.3%	1.9%	.328	3.62	26.4%	17.1%	108	-0.41	3.34	218	87
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	86
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	86
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	85
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	24	SU	4.18	24.8%	16.3%	2.0%	.331	6.20	17.4%	-5.5%	26	+2.02	3.81	109	85
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.47	22.1%	12.1%	189	-0.47	3.35	250	85
Isaac Stebens R 2024 · 4.13 FIP	22	SU	4.13	24.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.328	4.14	21.1%	5.6%	50	+0.01	4.13	102	85
Riley Ferrell R 2018 · 4.38 FIP	24	SU	4.38	24.1%	15.6%	2.5%	.333	4.21	23.1%	7.4%	55	-0.17	2.85	175	85
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	85
Tyler Schimpf R 2019 · 4.04 FIP	23	SU	4.04	24.3%	15.9%	1.8%	.300	5.63	24.1%	7.1%	58	+1.59	3.37	126	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	25.3%	15.2%	1.10	4.89
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*