Luis Hernandez

P Charleston RiverDogs

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	ROKTB	12	10	45	3.60	3.59	24.5%	11.2%	—	K 16.7% · BB 14.0% · FIP 4.94
2023	22	ROKTB	12	1	28	3.81	2.61	29.8%	13.0%	—	K 20.2% · BB 16.2% · FIP 4.09
2024	23	MIX2 levels	20	0	42	3.43	4.58	28.6%	13.7%	—	K 22.3% · BB 18.2% · FIP 6.85
2027PROJ	26	MLBTB	20	0	21	4.76	4.76	23.2%	12.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBTB	8	0	8	4.74	4.75	23.2%	12.1%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsTaylor Grover (age 26) · Grant Black (age 27) · Daniel Corcino (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%23.2%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%10.8%

Proj IP21

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	12	10	45	196	48	22	4	83%	3.8	16.7%	14.0%	2.6%	2.7%	3.60	4.94	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	12	10	45	196	48	22	4	83%	3.8	24.5%	11.2%	13.3%	2.0%	3.60	3.59	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	12	1	28	131	39	17	1	8%	2.4	20.2%	16.2%	4.0%	1.2%	3.81	4.09	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	12	1	28	131	39	17	1	8%	2.4	29.8%	13.0%	16.8%	0.8%	3.81	2.61	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	42	182	52	25	7	0%	2.1	22.3%	18.2%	4.1%	6.1%	3.43	6.85	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	42	182	52	25	7	0%	2.1	22.3%	18.2%	4.1%	6.1%	3.43	6.85	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	42	182	52	25	7	0%	2.1	28.6%	13.7%	14.8%	3.8%	3.43	4.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TB	20	0	21	89	21	11	3	0%	1.1	23.2%	12.4%	10.8%	3.0%	4.76	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TB	20	0	21	87	20	11	3	0%	1.0	23.2%	12.1%	11.1%	3.1%	4.74	4.75	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	TB	8	0	8	34	8	4	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	12.1%	11.1%	3.1%	4.74	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	7	4	1	0%	1.1	23.2%	12.1%	11.1%	3.1%	4.74	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	106	27	0%	1.1	23.2%	12.1%	11.1%	3.1%	4.74	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		44	11	115	509	100	82	18	25%	2.6	19.6%	16.1%	3.5%	3.5%	3.59	5.40	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	19	200	883	173	142	31	25%	2.6	19.6%	16.1%	3.5%	3.5%	3.59	5.40	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	23.2%	12.4%	3.0%	—	4.75	23.2%	11.1%	21	-0.01	—	—	—
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	77
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	77
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	77
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	76
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	76
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	76
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	75
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	75
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	74
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	74
Orlando Rodriguez R 2022 · 4.40 FIP	26	SW	4.40	23.0%	11.9%	3.1%	.278	4.67	13.7%	3.1%	41	+0.27	4.40	119	74
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	74
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	73
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	73
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	73
John Ely R 2011 · 4.38 FIP	25	SW	4.38	23.2%	10.7%	3.4%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	113	73
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	73
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	73
Spencer Stockton R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	26	SU	4.18	20.2%	10.3%	2.7%	.276	5.45	18.9%	6.4%	63	+1.27	1.93	233	73
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	72