Angel Rivera — OGILVIE

Angel RiveraC ACL Athletics

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .290 / .280

PA3

HR0

K%27

BB%10

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	125	95	33	7	1	3	21	17	7	2	0	347	496	537	1.033	189	390	14	17	452	192	+14	+0	—	—	+3	1.7
2023	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	69	53	11	2	0	0	14	11	0	0	0	208	373	245	618	38	256	16	20	297	87	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	19	12	5	2	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	417	632	583	1.215	167	500	11	37	535	248	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	125	103	27	5	1	3	13	26	7	2	0	262	382	417	800	155	303	21	10	341	117	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	69	59	9	1	0	0	8	16	0	0	0	153	254	169	423	17	210	23	12	219	34	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	19	15	5	2	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	333	474	467	940	133	368	16	21	388	149	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	125	103	27	5	1	3	13	26	7	2	0	262	382	417	800	155	316	21	10	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	125	95	33	7	1	3	21	17	7	2	0	347	496	537	1.033	189	390	14	17	452	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	69	59	9	1	0	0	8	16	0	0	0	153	254	169	423	17	205	23	12	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	69	53	11	2	0	0	14	11	0	0	0	208	373	245	618	38	256	16	20	297	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	19	15	5	2	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	333	474	467	940	133	417	16	21	388	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	19	12	5	2	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	417	632	583	1.215	167	500	11	37	535	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	125	104	27	5	1	3	13	26	7	2	0	260	382	413	796	154	303	21	10	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	69	61	9	1	0	0	8	16	0	0	0	148	254	164	418	16	210	23	12	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	19	15	5	2	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	333	474	467	940	133	368	16	21	388	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	69	61	9	1	0	0	8	16	0	0	0	148	254	164	418	16	210	23	12	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	19	15	5	2	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	333	474	467	940	133	368	16	21	388	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						289	33	0	265	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	OAK	30%	103	91	20	4	1	1	10	27	1	1	0	220	304	319	623	99	291	26	10	274	71	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	OAK	44%	220	196	43	8	1	3	21	57	1	2	1	219	298	316	614	97	291	26	10	279	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	OAK	51%	303	269	60	11	2	4	29	78	2	3	1	223	303	323	627	100	291	26	10	282	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	351	311	69	13	2	5	34	90	3	3	1	222	305	325	629	103	291	26	10	283	78	-9	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	379	336	74	14	2	5	37	98	3	3	1	220	303	318	622	98	290	26	10	282	77	-10	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	390	346	75	14	2	5	38	102	3	3	1	217	300	312	612	95	289	26	10	280	76	-11	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	395	350	76	14	2	5	39	104	3	3	1	217	301	311	612	94	288	26	10	278	74	-12	+0	-2	+7	+9	0.2
2034	31	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	377	334	71	13	2	4	37	101	3	2	1	213	297	299	596	87	285	27	10	273	71	-13	+0	-3	+7	+8	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	OAK	30%	31	28	5	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	179	258	214	472	36	296	26	10	273	71	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	OAK	44%	97	87	20	4	1	1	9	25	1	1	0	230	309	333	643	103	296	26	9	277	75	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	OAK	51%	154	137	31	6	1	2	15	40	1	1	0	226	307	328	636	102	296	26	10	280	77	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	184	163	37	7	1	3	18	47	1	2	1	227	308	337	645	110	296	26	10	281	78	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	202	179	41	8	1	3	20	52	1	2	1	229	310	335	645	106	296	26	10	280	77	-5	+0	-0	+4	+4	0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	205	182	41	8	1	3	20	54	1	2	1	225	305	330	635	104	295	26	10	279	76	-6	+0	-1	+4	+4	0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	206	183	41	8	1	3	20	54	1	1	1	224	304	328	632	104	293	26	10	276	74	-6	-0	-1	+4	+4	0.0
2034	31	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	195	173	37	7	1	2	19	52	1	1	0	214	295	301	596	87	291	27	10	272	71	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1274	1132	253	49	7	17	124	332	7	10	4	223	304	324	628	101	299	26	10	278	77	-37	+0	-4	+23	+28	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	130	25	4	9	63	169	4	5	2	225	306	329	635	104	300	26	10	278	77	-19	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2734	2413	529	99	15	35	270	703	26	22	7	219	305	316	621	97	292	26	10	281	77	-74	+1	-7	+45	+55	2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	126	24	4	8	64	167	6	5	2	220	304	317	621	98	293	26	10	281	77	-19	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	2.8	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
/162	664	10	2	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.0	1,310	17	10	218	297	312	+23	+20	2.0	2.0
/162	664	8	5	+11.9	+10.1	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Rivera (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	208/290/280	72	289	0	0	27%	10%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	192/261/260	67	258	2	6	25%	8%	50	-2.3	227/277/301	74	309	3	7	26%	6%	64	-1.3	246/290/315	69	329	2	7	24%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Kyle Overstreet 2017 · A	23	42→46	37→40	44→30	46	200/265/272	72	272	4	5	27%	8%	54	-2.0	233/281/332	99	285	9	3	21%	6%	74	-0.6	229/273/318	89	279	9	1	21%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Andrew Navigato 2021 · A	23	43→40	37→55	46→50	41	200/271/278	77	298	4	6	32%	7%	58	-1.7	211/275/343	132	274	14	12	27%	6%	74	-0.5	214/273/383	169	262	19	17	26%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	206/268/286	80	275	6	9	26%	7%	58	-1.7	216/267/308	92	323	7	4	33%	6%	62	-1.4	212/260/299	87	317	7	0	34%	5%	55	-0.8
✕J.C. Escarra 2018 · A	23	39→46	38→45	43→45	50	186/276/271	85	246	4	3	25%	9%	59	-1.6	197/262/290	93	247	9	4	23%	7%	57	-1.8	224/295/345	121	259	11	3	17%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Stephen McGee 2015 · A	24	41	36→40	44→30	48	195/279/260	65	269	4	4	27%	9%	57	-1.8	202/281/288	86	287	7	4	29%	9%	64	-1.3	198/284/292	94	281	8	1	30%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	186/248/255	69	274	5	6	32%	8%	43	-2.8	230/279/295	65	301	4	7	23%	6%	63	-1.3	246/291/294	49	312	2	7	21%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Craig Tatum 2006 · A	23	41→47	39→45	43→30	47	197/272/288	90	271	6	5	28%	9%	61	-1.5	223/269/333	110	292	11	3	26%	5%	69	-0.9	224/264/335	111	288	11	1	26%	5%	66	-0.7
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	42→41	36→45	47→50	41	197/257/265	68	280	4	7	30%	6%	49	-2.4	211/269/323	112	288	12	13	30%	6%	68	-1.0	212/261/335	123	271	15	11	27%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Nick Fortes 2021 · A	24	40→44	39→45	46→45	46	196/260/283	87	248	6	5	23%	7%	55	-2.0	222/288/345	123	257	14	8	19%	6%	80	-0.2	219/286/341	122	248	15	8	18%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Riley Adams 2019 · A	23	44→42	39→50	49→40	44	205/284/297	92	310	5	5	33%	8%	68	-1.0	211/300/341	130	322	13	5	35%	8%	84	+0.2	209/297/371	162	301	16	0	33%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Jose Cordova 2023 · A	23	43	36→40	49→50	38	203/256/271	67	296	3	8	31%	5%	50	-2.3	213/270/290	77	305	4	9	29%	6%	59	-1.6	229/290/316	87	306	5	11	25%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Bobby Wernes 2017 · A	23	40	35→45	46→40	45	191/247/249	59	252	2	6	24%	7%	41	-3.0	213/270/306	93	274	6	6	23%	6%	63	-1.4	218/284/324	106	265	7	3	19%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Deibinson Romero 2010 · A	23	41→45	40→50	46→40	43	200/264/290	90	277	7	5	29%	7%	58	-1.7	209/275/318	109	276	11	3	27%	7%	69	-0.9	223/296/348	126	274	12	2	22%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Jose Sibrian 2022 · A	23	41	36→50	48→30	37	195/240/258	63	274	3	5	29%	4%	41	-3.0	209/269/304	95	272	8	3	25%	5%	63	-1.4	211/275/320	108	261	11	0	23%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Javier Valdes 2021 · A	22	40	37→50	50→30	45	190/266/263	73	266	4	7	28%	8%	53	-2.1	211/295/322	111	281	11	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	208/306/343	135	260	16	3	25%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	43	40→50	50→40	42	206/280/300	94	283	7	6	28%	6%	67	-1.1	205/276/339	134	277	16	4	31%	6%	74	-0.5	180/260/332	152	234	22	0	33%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Addison Maruszak 2010 · A	23	44→47	36→45	46→45	47	207/274/264	57	267	4	9	23%	7%	55	-1.9	225/277/321	96	282	8	6	22%	6%	70	-0.9	231/281/346	116	281	11	4	21%	6%	75	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps