Angel Rivera — OGILVIE

Angel RiveraC ACL Athletics

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .290 / .279

PA36

HR0

K%27

BB%10

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	125	104	28	6	1	3	12	27	7	2	0	269	382	433	815	163	329	22	10	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	125	95	33	7	1	3	21	17	7	2	0	347	496	537	1.033	189	390	14	17	452	204	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	69	59	10	1	0	0	8	15	0	0	0	169	269	186	455	17	222	22	12	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	69	53	11	2	0	0	14	11	0	0	0	208	373	245	618	38	256	16	20	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	19	15	4	1	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	267	421	333	754	67	333	16	21	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	19	12	5	2	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	417	632	583	1.215	167	500	11	37	535	268	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	OAK	—	36	33	6	1	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	182	250	212	462	30	289	28	8	265	61	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	OAK	30%	103	91	21	4	1	1	10	27	1	1	0	231	314	330	643	99	291	26	10	273	67	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	25	MLB	OAK	44%	220	196	43	8	1	3	21	57	1	2	1	219	298	316	614	97	291	26	10	279	71	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2029	26	MLB	OAK	51%	303	269	60	11	2	4	29	78	2	3	1	223	303	323	627	100	291	26	10	282	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2030	27	MLB	OAK	52%	351	311	69	12	2	5	34	90	3	3	1	222	305	322	626	100	291	26	10	283	75	-10	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.7
2031	28	MLB	OAK	53%	379	336	73	13	2	5	37	98	3	3	1	217	301	312	613	95	290	26	10	282	74	-11	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.6
2032	29	MLB	OAK	53%	390	346	76	14	2	5	38	102	3	3	1	220	302	315	617	95	290	26	10	280	72	-12	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.5
2033	30	MLB	OAK	52%	395	350	76	14	2	5	39	104	3	3	1	217	301	311	612	94	288	26	10	277	70	-13	+0	-2	+7	+11	0.3
2034	31	MLB	OAK	52%	377	334	71	13	2	4	37	101	3	2	1	213	297	299	596	87	286	27	10	273	67	-14	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.1
2027	24	MLB	OAK	30%	31	28	5	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	179	258	214	472	36	288	26	10	267	62	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	25	MLB	OAK	44%	97	87	18	3	0	1	9	25	1	1	0	207	289	276	565	69	289	26	9	272	66	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	26	MLB	OAK	51%	154	137	30	5	1	2	15	40	1	1	0	219	301	314	615	95	289	26	10	275	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	27	MLB	OAK	52%	184	163	36	6	1	3	18	47	1	2	1	221	302	325	627	104	289	26	10	276	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	28	MLB	OAK	53%	202	179	39	7	1	3	20	52	1	2	1	218	300	318	618	101	288	26	10	275	68	-7	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.2
2032	29	MLB	OAK	53%	205	182	40	7	1	3	20	54	1	2	1	220	300	319	619	99	287	26	10	273	67	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2033	30	MLB	OAK	52%	206	183	40	7	1	3	20	54	1	1	1	219	299	317	616	98	286	26	10	270	65	-8	-0	-1	+4	+6	0.0
2034	31	MLB	OAK	52%	195	173	36	6	1	2	19	52	1	1	0	208	290	289	579	81	284	27	10	266	62	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1274	1132	244	42	6	17	124	332	7	10	4	216	297	308	605	93	288	26	10	272	66	-48	+0	-4	+23	+36	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	124	21	3	9	63	169	4	5	2	215	297	308	605	93	285	26	10	272	66	-25	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	2767	2444	537	98	15	35	272	712	26	22	7	220	305	315	620	95	293	26	10	281	73	-83	+2	-7	+49	+78	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	126	23	4	8	64	167	6	5	2	220	304	315	620	96	293	26	10	281	73	-20	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	125	95	33	7	1	3	21	17	7	2	347	496	537	1.033	189	390	14	17	452	204	+15	+0	—	—	+4	1.9
2023	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	69	53	11	2	0	0	14	11	0	0	208	373	245	618	38	256	16	20	297	85	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	19	12	5	2	0	0	7	2	0	0	417	632	583	1.215	167	500	11	37	535	268	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,310	17	10	218	297	312	+23	+20	1.6	1.6
	/162	664	8	5	218	297	312	+11.9	+10.1	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Rivera (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	208/290/279	71	289	0	0	27%	10%	61	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	42	40→55	50→40	43	203/279/294	91	279	7	6	28%	7%	60	-1.0	209/281/354	145	278	18	4	31%	7%	78	+0.2	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Sam Praytor 2022 · A	23	45	39→50	49→55	45	208/292/298	90	319	6	7	34%	9%	67	-0.5	204/279/314	110	289	10	5	31%	8%	66	-0.6	177/251/295	118	237	13	7	30%	8%	46	-0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2023 · A	23	45	41→40	45→40	44	215/291/309	94	292	8	4	28%	7%	69	-0.4	213/291/294	81	270	8	4	23%	7%	66	-0.6	205/291/269	63	262	7	0	23%	8%	57	-0.3
✕Chris Denove 2006 · A	23	44	40	46→40	46	211/286/303	92	280	7	5	26%	8%	66	-0.6	199/259/270	71	270	4	4	26%	6%	44	-2.1	244/302/337	93	298	7	3	19%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Riley Adams 2019 · A	23	44→42	38→50	49→40	44	203/281/292	90	310	4	5	33%	8%	61	-1.0	211/300/353	142	324	15	5	37%	9%	85	+0.7	211/299/379	167	302	17	0	33%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/291/303	81	299	5	8	26%	8%	66	-0.6	220/287/340	120	289	12	13	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Stephen McGee 2014 · A	23	45	39→40	46→30	51	215/302/299	83	279	6	7	24%	9%	72	-0.2	196/276/266	70	278	4	3	28%	9%	52	-1.6	196/283/297	101	281	10	1	31%	10%	60	-0.4
✕Marco Hernandez 2021 · A	23	46	39→40	49→45	47	220/285/308	87	282	6	8	23%	7%	66	-0.6	203/292/299	96	283	8	4	29%	9%	68	-0.5	162/268/244	82	214	10	0	27%	10%	41	-0.6
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	48→40	51	205/292/282	77	270	6	7	25%	10%	63	-0.8	226/312/290	64	313	3	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	233/324/284	51	328	2	2	26%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Michael Papierski 2019 · A	23	38→44	39→45	47→40	54	184/290/266	83	249	7	6	27%	12%	59	-1.1	192/281/280	88	271	9	4	30%	10%	59	-1.1	204/292/309	105	261	11	0	25%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Gunnar Troutwine 2019 · A	23	48	39→45	48→30	48	230/291/315	84	294	6	4	23%	8%	69	-0.4	204/270/293	89	337	7	4	38%	8%	56	-1.3	187/259/279	92	318	9	1	41%	8%	44	-0.8
✕Roberto Pérez 2012 · A	23	43→42	38→55	45→30	49	202/284/285	84	290	4	3	30%	10%	59	-1.1	204/287/293	89	289	5	3	28%	10%	63	-0.8	224/314/364	140	294	15	1	27%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→50	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	66	-0.6	193/280/309	116	304	13	5	37%	10%	66	-0.6	212/294/349	136	285	16	6	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2023 · A	23	48→45	41→40	45→40	44	227/295/326	99	320	8	4	30%	8%	75	-0.0	213/270/297	84	281	7	5	25%	6%	56	-1.3	202/254/268	66	254	5	3	22%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Aaron Reza 2008 · A	23	46→47	39→45	47→40	50	219/295/307	87	269	6	9	20%	8%	70	-0.3	219/282/318	99	285	9	5	25%	6%	67	-0.5	213/277/308	95	277	9	2	25%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Jason Delay 2018 · A	23	45	37→45	48→40	48	214/291/290	76	257	5	4	18%	7%	65	-0.7	207/266/312	105	285	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	225/284/302	76	298	3	2	23%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→45	41→50	48→50	51	208/295/315	107	257	6	8	21%	9%	72	-0.2	200/283/336	136	266	14	9	29%	8%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Dustin Garneau 2010 · A	22	44→37	39→50	51→45	47	210/289/298	89	279	6	6	25%	8%	66	-0.6	198/266/315	117	251	10	5	24%	7%	59	-1.1	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Jeff Dragicevich 2006 · A	23	48→49	39→45	44→40	44	226/287/320	94	307	5	6	27%	7%	69	-0.4	228/300/337	109	317	10	5	29%	8%	79	+0.3	228/307/342	114	316	12	3	29%	9%	81	+0.2