Braylin Tavera — OGILVIE

Braylin TaveraOF Frederick Keys

Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION272 act + 181 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .251 / .254

PA181

HR3

SB9

K%44

BB%9

BABIP299

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Black	—	185	159	25	4	0	2	21	72	5	7	4	157	276	220	496	63	271	39	11	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Black	—	185	144	35	5	0	2	36	47	5	7	4	243	411	319	730	76	347	25	19	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	133	117	21	4	0	3	12	35	2	13	5	179	267	291	558	111	222	26	9	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	133	107	28	5	0	4	22	23	2	13	5	262	397	421	818	159	293	17	17	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	318	45	3	2	1	31	119	4	27	13	142	227	173	400	31	220	34	9	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	300	52	5	2	1	49	90	4	27	13	173	297	213	511	40	242	25	14	250	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	394	68	12	2	7	36	194	8	18	9	173	256	266	522	94	310	44	8	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	372	84	14	3	7	58	135	8	18	9	226	342	336	678	110	329	30	13	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	BAL	—	272	241	42	8	0	5	24	133	3	23	6	174	257	270	527	95	349	49	9	239	41	-18	+2	+0	-2	+8	-1.0
YTD	21	A+	BAL	—	272	229	56	12	0	7	36	99	3	23	6	245	354	389	743	144	389	36	13	334	114	+4	+2	+0	-2	+8	1.3
ROS	21	A+	BAL	0%	181	161	27	5	0	3	16	79	2	9	3	167	251	254	505	87	296	44	9	231	35	-13	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
ROS	21	MLB	BAL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						300	0	0	226	31	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	BAL	—	273	242	42	8	0	5	24	133	3	23	6	174	257	269	525	95	346	49	9	239	41	-18	+2	+0	-2	+8	-1.0
TOT	21	A+	BAL	—	453	402	69	13	0	8	40	212	5	32	9	171	255	263	518	92	327	47	9	236	39	-31	+3	+0	-3	+13	-1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	BAL	35%	517	461	83	15	1	10	45	211	6	19	6	180	262	282	544	102	297	41	9	249	49	-30	+1	+0	-3	+15	-1.7
2028	23	MLB	BAL	49%	561	500	94	17	2	12	50	219	6	19	6	188	270	302	572	114	297	39	9	260	57	-27	+1	+0	-3	+16	-1.4
2029	24	MLB	BAL	53%	589	524	101	18	2	14	53	223	7	19	6	193	276	315	591	122	297	38	9	267	63	-25	+1	+0	-4	+17	-1.1
2030	25	MLB	BAL	55%	604	537	105	19	2	15	55	226	7	18	6	196	279	322	601	127	297	37	9	271	65	-24	+1	+0	-4	+17	-0.9
2031	26	MLB	BAL	59%	612	544	106	19	2	15	56	229	7	17	6	195	278	320	598	125	297	37	9	272	66	-23	+1	+0	-4	+17	-0.9
2027	22	MLB	BAL	35%	179	159	29	5	0	4	16	73	2	7	2	182	266	289	555	107	301	41	9	244	45	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2028	23	MLB	BAL	49%	272	243	46	8	1	6	24	106	3	9	3	189	270	305	575	115	302	39	9	256	54	-14	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.8
2029	24	MLB	BAL	53%	311	277	55	10	1	8	28	118	3	10	3	199	279	329	608	130	302	38	9	263	59	-14	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.7
2030	25	MLB	BAL	55%	331	294	58	11	1	8	30	124	4	10	3	197	280	323	604	126	302	37	9	267	62	-14	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
2031	26	MLB	BAL	59%	363	323	64	12	1	9	33	136	4	10	3	198	281	325	606	127	302	37	9	268	63	-15	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1457	1297	252	46	4	35	131	557	16	46	14	194	276	317	593	123	304	38	9	261	58	-69	+4	+0	-9	+41	-3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	114	21	2	16	58	248	7	21	6	197	278	323	601	126	307	38	9	261	58	-31	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	4180	3715	675	116	13	82	375	1607	54	166	64	182	266	286	552	104	289	38	9	252	51	-233	+8	+0	-25	+118	-13.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	105	18	2	13	58	250	8	26	10	182	266	287	553	106	288	38	9	252	51	-36	+1	+0	-4	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Black	—	185	144	35	5	0	2	36	47	5	7	4	243	411	319	730	76	347	25	19	350	126	+5	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	133	107	28	5	0	4	22	23	2	13	5	262	397	421	818	159	293	17	17	367	139	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	300	52	5	2	1	49	90	4	27	13	173	297	213	511	40	242	25	14	250	49	-20	+0	—	—	+10	-1.0
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	372	84	14	3	7	58	135	8	18	9	226	342	336	678	110	329	30	13	312	97	-2	+0	—	—	+13	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,457	34	46	192	271	311	-9	+0	-2.9	-1.4
	/162	664	15	21	192	271	311	-4.0	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braylin Tavera (OGILVIE)	21	30	30	50	50	171/255/263	92	327	8	32	47%	9%	39	-1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Markus Brisker 2012 · A	21	38→35	39→40	52→55	41	178/257/259	81	298	6	17	39%	8%	43	-2.2	186/257/271	85	303	6	19	38%	7%	45	-2.1	130/204/185	56	217	3	32	38%	6%	-1	-1.6
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	21	-3.7	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	46	-2.0	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	41	-0.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1
✕Juan Beltre 2007 · A	21	36	34→30	47→60	34	173/221/220	48	266	2	10	34%	4%	15	-4.1	209/274/272	63	297	3	19	29%	6%	52	-1.6	243/319/291	49	314	2	32	21%	7%	73	-0.0
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Yeison Santana 2022 · A	21	43	37→30	45→55	39	199/261/271	71	320	5	10	37%	7%	46	-2.0	217/285/282	65	313	3	15	29%	8%	59	-1.1	221/302/263	42	308	2	22	26%	9%	57	-0.6
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→24	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	54	-1.4	158/251/236	78	308	5	19	45%	9%	35	-2.8	116/220/180	64	246	5	26	49%	10%	6	-2.4
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Monte Harrison 2017 · A	21	37→44	38→50	52→60	35	176/245/255	79	302	6	14	41%	6%	36	-2.7	208/262/336	128	338	14	19	41%	5%	63	-0.8	206/263/349	143	355	18	31	44%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Carson Tucker 2023 · A	21	39	38→40	52→55	34	164/237/241	78	356	6	11	51%	8%	29	-3.2	184/248/266	82	392	7	9	50%	7%	40	-2.4	198/246/264	66	348	3	22	42%	5%	35	-0.7
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Maikol Escotto 2023 · A	21	39	40	47→50	35	183/244/270	87	313	8	14	42%	6%	39	-2.5	180/225/274	94	278	10	14	37%	5%	31	-3.0	171/213/261	90	250	11	18	35%	4%	20	-1.8
✕Norkis Marcos 2022 · A	21	38	35→30	49→50	39	169/247/223	54	316	2	14	43%	8%	29	-3.2	172/242/248	76	359	6	15	49%	8%	33	-2.9	122/199/201	79	254	9	21	52%	8%	1	-1.6
✕Ruben Martinez 2008 · A	21	40	36→30	57→60	43	181/269/246	65	310	3	22	39%	9%	44	-2.1	178/244/244	66	286	2	13	36%	7%	32	-3.0	141/183/193	52	214	0	10	32%	4%	-12	-1.9
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Carl Thomore 2014 · A	21	37→40	36→30	48→50	40	172/244/234	62	301	3	8	41%	8%	30	-3.1	197/262/269	72	321	5	9	37%	7%	46	-2.0	189/256/254	65	304	6	9	37%	7%	38	-1.9
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6