Braylin TaveraOF
Frederick Keys
Age 21
R/R
6'3" / 175 lbs
A+
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.1 · 2031
wRC+†42
AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .254 / .257
PA320
HR5
SB14
K%38
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
30→30
SPD
50→50
EYE
50→50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $3M | $-4M | -$7M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL BAL Black | 185 | 159 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 72 | 5 | 7 | 4 | .157 | .276 | .220 | .496 | .063 | .271 | 39 | 11 | .236 | 39 | -13 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 133 | 117 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 2 | 13 | 5 | .179 | .267 | .291 | .558 | .111 | .222 | 26 | 9 | .247 | 47 | -8 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 355 | 318 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 120 | 4 | 27 | 13 | .142 | .227 | .173 | .400 | .031 | .221 | 34 | 9 | .186 | 1 | -40 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -3.2 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 443 | 394 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 193 | 8 | 18 | 9 | .168 | .251 | .251 | .502 | .084 | .302 | 44 | 8 | .229 | 33 | -33 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +13 | -2.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 54 | 49 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 1 | .224 | .283 | .306 | .589 | .082 | .526 | 54 | 6 | .232 | 36 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | BAL | 266 | 238 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 106 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .181 | .261 | .265 | .526 | .084 | .299 | 40 | 8 | .242 | 44 | -17 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.1 |
| TOT | 21 | MLB | BAL | 320 | 287 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 135 | 5 | 14 | 4 | .188 | .265 | .272 | .537 | .084 | .331 | 42 | 8 | .241 | 42 | -21 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | BAL | 513 | 456 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 162 | 7 | 17 | 6 | .200 | .281 | .303 | .584 | .103 | .280 | 32 | 9 | .267 | 63 | -22 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | BAL | 558 | 494 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 170 | 8 | 17 | 6 | .204 | .289 | .316 | .605 | .111 | .281 | 30 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -19 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +16 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | BAL | 587 | 519 | 108 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 55 | 174 | 8 | 17 | 6 | .208 | .294 | .328 | .621 | .119 | .283 | 30 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -17 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +17 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | BAL | 603 | 532 | 112 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 177 | 8 | 16 | 5 | .211 | .298 | .333 | .630 | .122 | .284 | 29 | 10 | .288 | 78 | -15 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +17 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 78% | BAL | 611 | 538 | 114 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 60 | 179 | 8 | 15 | 5 | .212 | .300 | .338 | .639 | .126 | .284 | 29 | 10 | .289 | 80 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 611 | 538 | 114 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 60 | 180 | 8 | 14 | 5 | .212 | .300 | .338 | .639 | .126 | .284 | 29 | 10 | .289 | 80 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 606 | 533 | 112 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 60 | 180 | 8 | 13 | 4 | .210 | .300 | .334 | .633 | .124 | .284 | 30 | 10 | .288 | 79 | -15 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +17 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 596 | 523 | 108 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 178 | 8 | 11 | 3 | .207 | .298 | .325 | .623 | .119 | .283 | 30 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -15 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +17 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 586 | 514 | 105 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 177 | 8 | 10 | 3 | .204 | .296 | .319 | .615 | .115 | .281 | 30 | 10 | .283 | 75 | -17 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +17 | -0.5 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 571 | 502 | 102 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 57 | 175 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .203 | .293 | .319 | .612 | .116 | .279 | 31 | 10 | .279 | 72 | -18 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +16 | -0.8 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 553 | 486 | 97 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 55 | 172 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .200 | .290 | .311 | .601 | .111 | .278 | 31 | 10 | .275 | 68 | -20 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +16 | -1.1 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 523 | 459 | 90 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 167 | 7 | 5 | 1 | .196 | .288 | .298 | .586 | .102 | .276 | 32 | 10 | .269 | 64 | -21 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +15 | -1.3 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 476 | 420 | 80 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 156 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .190 | .281 | .290 | .572 | .100 | .274 | 33 | 10 | .263 | 60 | -22 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +13 | -1.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8776 | 7740 | 1534 | 225 | 34 | 182 | 841 | 2773 | 121 | 228 | 82 | .198 | .287 | .307 | .593 | .108 | .280 | 32 | 10 | .271 | 66 | -338 | +13 | -20 | -53 | +249 | -15.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 114 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 62 | 205 | 9 | 17 | 6 | .199 | .287 | .307 | .594 | .108 | .282 | 32 | 10 | .271 | 66 | -25 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +18 | -1.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL BAL Black | 185 | 144 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 47 | 5 | 7 | 4 | .243 | .411 | .319 | .730 | .076 | .347 | 25 | 19 | .350 | 126 | +5 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 133 | 107 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 5 | .262 | .397 | .421 | .818 | .159 | .293 | 17 | 17 | .367 | 139 | +6 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 355 | 300 | 52 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 49 | 90 | 4 | 27 | 13 | .173 | .297 | .213 | .511 | .040 | .242 | 25 | 14 | .250 | 49 | -20 | +0 | — | — | +10 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 443 | 372 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 58 | 135 | 8 | 18 | 9 | .226 | .342 | .336 | .678 | .110 | .329 | 30 | 13 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +13 | 1.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Braylin Tavera (OGILVIE) | 21 | 30 | 30 | 50 | 50 | .173/.254/.257 | .084 | .278 | 5 | 9 | 38% | 9% | 41 | -1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A |
21 | 33 | 41→45 | 41→50 | 41 | .168/.252/.259 | .091 | .262 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.275/.307 | .110 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.303/.338 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Juan Beltre 2007 · A |
21 | 37 | 34→30 | 47→60 | 35 | .176/.225/.227 | .051 | .271 | 2 | 9 | 34% | 4% | 18 | -3.9 | .208/.272/.268 | .060 | .294 | 3 | 19 | 28% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .243/.319/.291 | .049 | .314 | 2 | 32 | 21% | 7% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Markus Brisker 2012 · A |
21 | 39→38 | 38→40 | 51→55 | 43 | .185/.263/.265 | .081 | .290 | 6 | 18 | 36% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .191/.266/.277 | .086 | .292 | 6 | 19 | 34% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .147/.226/.206 | .060 | .225 | 3 | 32 | 33% | 7% | 13 | -1.3 |
|
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A |
20 | 42 | 38→40 | 49→55 | 44 | .200/.281/.272 | .073 | .296 | 6 | 16 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .200/.259/.281 | .081 | .332 | 7 | 9 | 39% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .171/.216/.243 | .071 | .295 | 8 | 2 | 43% | 4% | 17 | -1.1 |
|
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A |
20 | 37 | 38→40 | 54→60 | 42 | .177/.252/.256 | .078 | .282 | 5 | 19 | 36% | 8% | 39 | -2.5 | .189/.255/.265 | .076 | .277 | 5 | 11 | 31% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .172/.238/.215 | .043 | .239 | 3 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 20 | -1.1 |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A |
21 | 39 | 39→45 | 53→50 | 46 | .186/.268/.273 | .087 | .271 | 6 | 14 | 31% | 9% | 50 | -1.7 | .188/.261/.284 | .096 | .328 | 7 | 13 | 41% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .138/.200/.215 | .077 | .281 | 6 | 16 | 50% | 7% | 4 | -1.7 |
|
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A |
21 | 39→47 | 40 | 52→60 | 45 | .186/.279/.272 | .086 | .285 | 7 | 15 | 34% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .195/.294/.278 | .083 | .290 | 6 | 17 | 31% | 11% | 63 | -0.8 | .215/.301/.289 | .073 | .310 | 4 | 35 | 29% | 9% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A |
20 | 39→30 | 38→45 | 51→50 | 41 | .188/.258/.268 | .080 | .284 | 5 | 13 | 34% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .208/.274/.312 | .104 | .324 | 8 | 15 | 36% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .195/.257/.318 | .122 | .287 | 13 | 16 | 35% | 6% | 53 | -0.7 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A |
21 | 40→31 | 41→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .191/.255/.294 | .102 | .304 | 8 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .187/.253/.289 | .102 | .316 | 10 | 2 | 41% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A |
21 | 37→40 | 42→45 | 53→55 | 35 | .184/.244/.282 | .097 | .281 | 10 | 12 | 37% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .196/.251/.317 | .121 | .287 | 14 | 16 | 35% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .198/.249/.325 | .127 | .276 | 15 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A |
21 | 43 | 41→45 | 50 | 43 | .204/.273/.304 | .100 | .299 | 8 | 11 | 32% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.262/.285 | .094 | .292 | 6 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .147/.226/.244 | .097 | .221 | 6 | 25 | 34% | 8% | 24 | -0.9 |
|
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A |
20 | 36 | 37→30 | 49→60 | 37 | .177/.233/.245 | .068 | .270 | 5 | 16 | 35% | 5% | 27 | -3.3 | .192/.240/.296 | .104 | .291 | 8 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .181/.230/.321 | .140 | .251 | 11 | 3 | 32% | 5% | 41 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A |
21 | 35 | 39→45 | 48→50 | 39 | .170/.238/.257 | .086 | .268 | 6 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 33 | -2.9 | .171/.234/.292 | .121 | .284 | 14 | 4 | 42% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .138/.187/.269 | .132 | .201 | 17 | 0 | 41% | 5% | 11 | -1.1 |
|
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A |
21 | 37 | 36→40 | 45→40 | 46 | .174/.265/.241 | .067 | .259 | 4 | 5 | 32% | 9% | 42 | -2.3 | .187/.265/.267 | .080 | .304 | 5 | 4 | 37% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .184/.258/.270 | .086 | .308 | 5 | 2 | 39% | 8% | 42 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A |
20 | 40 | 39→40 | 50 | 47 | .189/.277/.272 | .083 | .292 | 6 | 12 | 34% | 10% | 54 | -1.4 | .193/.265/.266 | .073 | .318 | 4 | 10 | 37% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .140/.204/.175 | .034 | .267 | 0 | 8 | 44% | 7% | -3 | -1.2 |
|
✕Alexander Campos 2021 · A |
21 | 44 | 37→40 | 50→45 | 38 | .194/.259/.269 | .076 | .338 | 4 | 9 | 41% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .214/.298/.303 | .089 | .299 | 7 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .211/.309/.291 | .080 | .290 | 8 | 4 | 27% | 11% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A |
21 | 38→30 | 41→45 | 49→50 | 45 | .187/.256/.291 | .104 | .256 | 8 | 12 | 29% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .177/.255/.265 | .088 | .259 | 6 | 9 | 31% | 9% | 43 | -2.2 | .164/.251/.245 | .081 | .237 | 5 | 8 | 30% | 9% | 33 | -1.7 |
|
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A |
21 | 38 | 40→50 | 49→55 | 41 | .186/.244/.281 | .095 | .265 | 7 | 11 | 31% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.248/.296 | .099 | .285 | 8 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .179/.215/.276 | .097 | .256 | 10 | 2 | 33% | 3% | 23 | -1.0 |