Braylin Tavera
OF Frederick Keys| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ABAL | 355 | .173/.297/.213 | 1 | 27 | 19 | — | .143/.241/.175 |
| 2025 | 20 | ABAL | 443 | .226/.342/.336 | 7 | 18 | 48 | — | .175/.267/.265 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+BAL | 417 | .243/.350/.410 | 14 | 35 | 57 | — | .184/.260/.313 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBBAL | 1 | .175/.256/.278 | 0 | 0 | 50 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBBAL | 131 | .182/.263/.294 | 3 | 4 | 56 | -0.5 |
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL BAL Black | — | 185 | 144 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 47 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 243 | 411 | 319 | 730 | 76 | 347 | 25 | 19 | 350 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles | — | 133 | 107 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 262 | 397 | 421 | 818 | 159 | 293 | 17 | 17 | 367 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 355 | 300 | 52 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 49 | 90 | 4 | 27 | 13 | 173 | 297 | 213 | 511 | 40 | 242 | 25 | 14 | 250 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 443 | 372 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 58 | 135 | 8 | 18 | 9 | 226 | 342 | 336 | 678 | 110 | 329 | 30 | 13 | 312 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 417 | 354 | 86 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 53 | 136 | 5 | 35 | 10 | 243 | 350 | 410 | 759 | 167 | 346 | 33 | 13 | 339 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL BAL Black | — | 185 | 155 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 59 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 142 | 281 | 181 | 462 | 39 | 229 | 32 | 14 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 133 | 116 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 190 | 282 | 302 | 584 | 112 | 223 | 26 | 10 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 355 | 314 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 118 | 4 | 27 | 13 | 143 | 241 | 175 | 416 | 32 | 219 | 33 | 10 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 443 | 389 | 68 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 185 | 8 | 18 | 9 | 175 | 267 | 265 | 532 | 90 | 297 | 42 | 9 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 417 | 374 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 178 | 5 | 35 | 10 | 184 | 260 | 313 | 573 | 128 | 295 | 43 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL BAL Black | — | 185 | 155 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 59 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 142 | 281 | 181 | 462 | 39 | 221 | 32 | 14 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL BAL Black | — | 185 | 144 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 47 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 243 | 411 | 319 | 730 | 76 | 347 | 25 | 19 | 350 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 133 | 116 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 190 | 282 | 302 | 584 | 112 | 235 | 26 | 10 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Orioles | — | 133 | 107 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 262 | 397 | 421 | 818 | 159 | 293 | 17 | 17 | 367 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 355 | 313 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 118 | 4 | 27 | 13 | 144 | 241 | 176 | 417 | 32 | 224 | 33 | 10 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 355 | 300 | 52 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 49 | 90 | 4 | 27 | 13 | 173 | 297 | 213 | 511 | 40 | 242 | 25 | 14 | 250 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 443 | 389 | 68 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 185 | 8 | 18 | 9 | 175 | 267 | 265 | 532 | 90 | 307 | 42 | 9 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 443 | 372 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 58 | 135 | 8 | 18 | 9 | 226 | 342 | 336 | 678 | 110 | 329 | 30 | 13 | 312 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 417 | 374 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 178 | 5 | 35 | 10 | 184 | 260 | 313 | 573 | 128 | 303 | 43 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | Frederick Keys | — | 417 | 354 | 86 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 53 | 136 | 5 | 35 | 10 | 243 | 350 | 410 | 759 | 167 | 346 | 33 | 13 | 339 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL BAL Black | — | 185 | 153 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 59 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 144 | 281 | 183 | 464 | 39 | 229 | 32 | 14 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 133 | 117 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 188 | 282 | 299 | 582 | 111 | 223 | 26 | 10 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 355 | 312 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 118 | 4 | 27 | 13 | 144 | 241 | 176 | 417 | 32 | 219 | 33 | 10 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 443 | 391 | 68 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 185 | 8 | 18 | 9 | 174 | 267 | 263 | 531 | 90 | 297 | 42 | 9 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 417 | 376 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 178 | 5 | 35 | 10 | 184 | 260 | 311 | 571 | 128 | 295 | 43 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 355 | 312 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 118 | 4 | 27 | 13 | 144 | 241 | 176 | 417 | 32 | 219 | 33 | 10 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 443 | 391 | 68 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 185 | 8 | 18 | 9 | 174 | 267 | 263 | 531 | 90 | 297 | 42 | 9 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 417 | 376 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 178 | 5 | 35 | 10 | 184 | 260 | 311 | 571 | 128 | 295 | 43 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | BAL | 0% | 527 | 471 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 202 | 6 | 19 | 6 | 172 | 253 | 272 | 525 | 100 | 270 | 38 | 9 | 242 | 50 | -31 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +11 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | BAL | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 256 | 278 | 534 | 103 | 274 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 50 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | BAL | 35% | 380 | 340 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 141 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 179 | 260 | 287 | 547 | 108 | 272 | 37 | 9 | 251 | 56 | -20 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | BAL | 35% | 131 | 118 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 182 | 263 | 294 | 557 | 112 | 276 | 37 | 8 | 255 | 56 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 131 | 118 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 178 | 254 | 288 | 542 | 110 | 269 | 37 | 8 | 255 | 47 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 104 | 20 | 0 | 15 | 55 | 243 | 5 | 20 | 10 | 178 | 254 | 289 | 543 | 111 | 268 | 37 | 8 | 255 | 47 | -34 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2123 | 1875 | 319 | 49 | 7 | 35 | 199 | 795 | 30 | 120 | 48 | 170 | 260 | 260 | 520 | 90 | 268 | 37 | 9 | 237 | 47 | -32 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +13 | -2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 98 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 61 | 243 | 9 | 37 | 15 | 171 | 261 | 261 | 522 | 91 | 268 | 37 | 9 | 237 | 47 | -36 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Frederick Keys · 417 PAwOBA .334 → .252 (−82)K% 32.6% → 42.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.61% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 42.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 7.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.984 | ×1.027 | 22.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.984 | ×1.027 | 6.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.984 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 5.80% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .334 → .252; ISO .167 → .135; BABIP .346 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 443 PAwOBA .307 → .239 (−68)K% 30.5% → 41.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.47% | ÷0.993 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.09% | ÷1.007 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.81% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.32% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 22.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.91% | ÷0.898 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷0.904 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.95% | ÷0.899 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.71% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 80, 3B 81, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .307 → .239; ISO .110 → .090; BABIP .329 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 355 PAwOBA .246 → .196 (−49)K% 25.4% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.35% | ÷1.035 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.80% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 9.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.95% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×1.045 | 19.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.216 | ×0.830 | ×0.957 | ×1.045 | 1.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.943 | ×0.910 | ×0.957 | ×1.045 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.48% | ÷0.952 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 143, 3B 89, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .246 → .196; ISO .040 → .031; BABIP .242 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Orioles · 133 PAwOBA .363 → .260 (−103)K% 17.3% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.29% | ÷0.972 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.54% | ÷1.056 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 9.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.62% | ÷1.025 | ×0.820 | ×0.952 | ×1.022 | 17.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷0.960 | ×0.720 | ×0.952 | ×1.022 | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.720 | ×0.952 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 3.70% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 92, 3B 98, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .363 → .260; ISO .159 → .122; BABIP .293 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL BAL Black · 185 PAwOBA .342 → .231 (−111)K% 25.4% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.41% | ÷0.968 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.46% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 13.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.87% | ÷1.030 | ×0.680 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 19.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.15% | ÷0.867 | ×0.600 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 3.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.966 | ×0.600 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.06% | ÷0.834 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 1.19% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 106, 2B 73, 3B 93, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .342 → .231; ISO .076 → .048; BABIP .347 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).