Braylin Tavera — OGILVIE

Braylin TaveraOF Frederick Keys

Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION417 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP290

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Black	—	185	144	35	5	0	2	36	47	5	7	4	243	411	319	730	76	347	25	19	350	123	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	133	107	28	5	0	4	22	23	2	13	5	262	397	421	818	159	293	17	17	367	134	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	300	52	5	2	1	49	90	4	27	13	173	297	213	511	40	242	25	14	250	55	-19	+0	—	—	+8	-1.1
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	372	84	14	3	7	58	135	8	18	9	226	342	336	678	110	329	30	13	312	97	-2	+0	—	—	+10	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	185	158	26	4	0	2	22	70	5	7	4	165	286	228	514	63	271	38	12	235	45	-12	-0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	133	116	22	4	0	3	13	34	2	13	5	190	282	302	584	112	218	26	10	255	59	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	318	44	3	2	1	31	124	4	27	13	138	224	170	394	31	213	35	9	184	11	-38	+0	—	—	+8	-3.0
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	394	66	11	2	6	36	193	8	18	9	168	251	251	502	84	292	44	8	228	40	-31	+0	—	—	+10	-2.2
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	185	158	26	4	0	2	22	70	5	7	4	165	286	228	514	63	279	38	12	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BAL Black	—	185	144	35	5	0	2	36	47	5	7	4	243	411	319	730	76	347	25	19	350	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	133	116	22	4	0	3	13	34	2	13	5	190	282	302	584	112	235	26	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	133	107	28	5	0	4	22	23	2	13	5	262	397	421	818	159	293	17	17	367	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	318	44	3	2	1	31	124	4	27	13	138	224	170	394	31	221	35	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	300	52	5	2	1	49	90	4	27	13	173	297	213	511	40	242	25	14	250	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	394	66	11	2	6	36	193	8	18	9	168	251	251	502	84	302	44	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	372	84	14	3	7	58	135	8	18	9	226	342	336	678	110	329	30	13	312	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	185	156	26	4	0	2	22	70	5	7	4	167	286	231	517	64	271	38	12	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	133	117	22	4	0	3	13	34	2	13	5	188	282	299	582	111	218	26	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	317	44	3	2	1	31	124	4	27	13	139	224	170	394	32	213	35	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	396	66	11	2	6	36	193	8	18	9	167	251	250	501	83	292	44	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	133	117	22	4	0	3	13	34	2	13	5	188	282	299	582	111	218	26	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	317	44	3	2	1	31	124	4	27	13	139	224	170	394	32	213	35	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	396	66	11	2	6	36	193	8	18	9	167	251	250	501	83	292	44	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	BAL	—	417	372	67	12	0	10	35	182	5	35	10	180	260	293	553	113	310	44	8	248	54	-23	+3	+0	-3	+9	-1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	BAL	—	417	354	86	17	0	14	53	136	5	35	10	243	350	410	759	167	346	33	13	339	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	BAL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		286	44	11	241	49	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	BAL	—	426	380	68	12	0	10	36	186	5	36	10	179	259	289	548	111	309	44	8	248	54	-23	+3	+0	-3	+9	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	35%	478	429	79	14	1	11	41	184	5	20	6	184	263	298	562	114	287	38	9	256	60	-23	+2	+0	-3	+10	-1.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	517	461	89	16	1	13	45	190	6	20	6	193	273	317	590	124	288	37	9	267	67	-21	+2	+0	-3	+11	-1.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	558	498	98	17	1	15	49	200	6	20	7	197	277	325	602	129	289	36	9	273	71	-19	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	603	537	108	19	2	17	54	213	7	21	7	201	283	339	622	138	289	35	9	277	74	-19	+1	+0	-4	+13	-0.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	612	545	109	19	2	17	55	216	7	20	6	200	282	336	617	136	289	35	9	278	74	-19	+2	+0	-4	+13	-0.8
2027	22	MLB CTX	BAL	35%	165	148	28	5	0	4	14	64	2	7	2	189	268	304	572	115	291	39	8	252	60	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	251	224	45	8	1	7	22	92	3	10	3	201	281	339	620	138	292	37	9	263	67	-10	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	294	263	52	9	1	8	26	105	3	11	3	198	277	331	608	133	293	36	9	270	71	-10	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	330	293	60	11	1	9	30	116	4	11	4	205	287	341	629	137	294	35	9	274	74	-10	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	341	303	62	11	1	10	31	120	4	11	4	205	287	347	634	142	294	35	9	275	74	-10	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1381	1231	247	44	4	38	123	497	16	50	16	201	282	335	617	135	297	36	9	269	59	-49	+4	+0	-8	+30	-2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	117	21	2	18	58	234	8	24	8	202	284	339	622	136	300	36	9	269	59	-23	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3893	3464	642	107	11	85	347	1428	50	167	63	185	269	296	565	111	282	37	9	256	59	-101	+8	+0	-17	+60	-5.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	107	18	2	14	58	238	8	28	11	185	269	296	564	111	282	37	9	256	59	-24	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2.1	1,383	36	49	196	274	325	-8	+0	-1.5	-0.7
/162	664	18	24	-4.0	+0.0	-0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braylin Tavera (OGILVIE)	21	30	30	50	50	171/251/267	96	286	6	19	41%	8%	49	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Markus Brisker 2012 · A	21	39→36	39→40	52→55	42	182/262/265	82	299	6	17	38%	8%	52	-2.2	190/262/277	87	301	6	19	36%	7%	55	-2.0	139/216/198	59	225	3	32	36%	7%	17	-1.4
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	40→46	40	53→60	46	188/283/278	90	291	7	16	35%	10%	63	-1.3	193/292/274	81	290	6	18	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Juan Beltre 2007 · A	21	36	34→30	47→60	34	173/221/220	48	266	2	10	34%	4%	25	-4.1	209/274/272	63	297	3	19	29%	6%	57	-1.8	243/319/291	49	314	2	32	21%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	30	-3.8	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	52	-2.2	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	48	-0.7
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	44→55	39	190/253/289	99	277	10	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	206/263/300	94	283	6	11	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	52	-2.2	198/248/295	97	288	8	8	32%	6%	53	-2.1	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	32	-1.0
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→28	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	59	-1.6	164/256/247	83	313	6	19	45%	9%	47	-2.6	125/229/196	72	258	5	26	48%	10%	23	-2.1
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	39	-3.1	171/234/292	121	290	14	4	43%	7%	48	-2.5	135/184/266	131	201	17	0	42%	5%	19	-1.1
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	48→50	44	187/255/292	104	257	8	12	29%	8%	55	-1.9	174/252/260	86	262	6	9	33%	9%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→37	40	52→50	40	195/254/288	93	274	7	14	31%	6%	53	-2.1	201/272/277	76	304	4	8	32%	8%	58	-1.7	190/273/260	70	294	3	7	33%	10%	51	-1.4
✕Yeison Santana 2022 · A	21	43	37→30	45→55	39	200/262/271	71	317	5	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/282	64	313	3	15	29%	8%	63	-1.3	222/302/263	41	308	2	22	26%	9%	62	-0.8
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Ruben Martinez 2008 · A	21	40	36→30	57→60	43	181/269/246	65	310	3	22	39%	9%	51	-2.3	178/244/244	66	286	2	13	36%	7%	40	-3.1	141/183/193	52	214	0	10	32%	4%	1	-1.8
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps