Anthony Gutierrez
CF Hub City Spartanburgers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | A/ROK2 orgs | 346 | .265/.331/.351 | 2 | 32 | 64 | — | .232/.288/.292 |
| 2024 | 19 | A+/ROKTEX | 286 | .242/.317/.316 | 1 | 43 | 34 | — | .189/.246/.250 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+TEX | 381 | .258/.335/.320 | 2 | 48 | 47 | — | .214/.269/.260 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBTEX | 1 | .215/.265/.296 | 0 | 0 | 58 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBTEX | 43 | .221/.274/.319 | 1 | 1 | 66 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBTEX | 99 | .226/.280/.335 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 0.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 190 | 172 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 308 | 364 | 477 | 840 | 169 | 358 | 18 | 6 | 366 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 325 | 293 | 76 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 72 | 5 | 30 | 10 | 259 | 328 | 338 | 666 | 78 | 335 | 22 | 8 | 303 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 21 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 350 | 381 | 550 | 931 | 200 | 500 | 29 | 5 | 402 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 271 | 241 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 59 | 7 | 37 | 6 | 241 | 320 | 315 | 635 | 75 | 311 | 22 | 8 | 292 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 15 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 267 | 267 | 333 | 600 | 67 | 364 | 27 | 0 | 267 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 381 | 337 | 87 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 79 | 8 | 48 | 9 | 258 | 335 | 320 | 656 | 62 | 329 | 21 | 8 | 300 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 190 | 176 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 227 | 273 | 341 | 614 | 114 | 283 | 26 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 325 | 299 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 96 | 5 | 30 | 10 | 234 | 291 | 291 | 582 | 57 | 337 | 30 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 21 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 238 | 300 | 538 | 100 | 387 | 43 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 271 | 249 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 78 | 7 | 37 | 6 | 189 | 249 | 249 | 498 | 60 | 264 | 29 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 267 | 467 | 67 | 284 | 40 | 0 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 381 | 350 | 75 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 101 | 8 | 48 | 9 | 214 | 269 | 260 | 529 | 46 | 288 | 27 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 190 | 176 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 227 | 273 | 341 | 614 | 114 | 291 | 26 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | ACL Rangers | — | 190 | 172 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 308 | 364 | 477 | 840 | 169 | 358 | 18 | 6 | 366 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 320 | 75 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 105 | 5 | 32 | 11 | 234 | 288 | 300 | 588 | 66 | 343 | 30 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 346 | 313 | 83 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 78 | 5 | 32 | 11 | 265 | 331 | 351 | 683 | 86 | 345 | 23 | 8 | 309 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 286 | 264 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 84 | 7 | 43 | 6 | 189 | 246 | 250 | 496 | 61 | 271 | 29 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 286 | 256 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 63 | 7 | 43 | 6 | 242 | 317 | 316 | 633 | 74 | 314 | 22 | 7 | 290 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 381 | 350 | 75 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 101 | 8 | 48 | 9 | 214 | 269 | 260 | 529 | 46 | 296 | 27 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ RAW | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 381 | 337 | 87 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 79 | 8 | 48 | 9 | 258 | 335 | 320 | 656 | 62 | 329 | 21 | 8 | 300 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 190 | 177 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 226 | 273 | 339 | 612 | 113 | 283 | 26 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 319 | 75 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 105 | 5 | 32 | 11 | 235 | 288 | 301 | 589 | 66 | 340 | 30 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 286 | 264 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 84 | 7 | 43 | 6 | 189 | 246 | 250 | 496 | 61 | 265 | 29 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 381 | 352 | 75 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 101 | 8 | 48 | 9 | 213 | 269 | 259 | 527 | 45 | 288 | 27 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 286 | 264 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 84 | 7 | 43 | 6 | 189 | 246 | 250 | 496 | 61 | 265 | 29 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 381 | 352 | 75 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 101 | 8 | 48 | 9 | 213 | 269 | 259 | 527 | 45 | 288 | 27 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | TEX | 0% | 491 | 457 | 98 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 114 | 7 | 18 | 4 | 215 | 266 | 296 | 562 | 81 | 274 | 23 | 5 | 254 | 58 | -24 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +11 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | TEX | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 265 | 296 | 562 | 81 | 273 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 58 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | TEX | 35% | 124 | 115 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 221 | 274 | 318 | 591 | 97 | 276 | 23 | 5 | 266 | 66 | -5 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | TEX | 46% | 214 | 197 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 225 | 279 | 333 | 612 | 107 | 278 | 22 | 6 | 275 | 72 | -7 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | TEX | 52% | 302 | 278 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 68 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 228 | 283 | 342 | 625 | 114 | 279 | 23 | 6 | 280 | 76 | -9 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | TEX | 54% | 366 | 336 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 82 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 229 | 285 | 346 | 632 | 117 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 283 | 78 | -10 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | TEX | 54% | 401 | 369 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 90 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 229 | 286 | 347 | 633 | 118 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 284 | 78 | -10 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | TEX | 54% | 417 | 383 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 95 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 227 | 284 | 343 | 627 | 116 | 279 | 23 | 6 | 281 | 77 | -12 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | TEX | 53% | 419 | 386 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 96 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 225 | 282 | 337 | 619 | 112 | 278 | 23 | 6 | 278 | 74 | -13 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +9 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | TEX | 52% | 416 | 383 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 97 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 222 | 278 | 330 | 608 | 108 | 276 | 23 | 6 | 274 | 71 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | TEX | 35% | 43 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 274 | 319 | 593 | 98 | 275 | 23 | 5 | 267 | 66 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | TEX | 46% | 99 | 93 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 280 | 335 | 615 | 109 | 277 | 22 | 5 | 276 | 72 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | TEX | 52% | 156 | 144 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 228 | 284 | 345 | 629 | 117 | 278 | 22 | 6 | 282 | 76 | -4 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | TEX | 54% | 199 | 182 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 230 | 286 | 350 | 636 | 120 | 278 | 22 | 6 | 285 | 78 | -5 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | TEX | 54% | 218 | 200 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 229 | 287 | 351 | 638 | 121 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 286 | 78 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | TEX | 54% | 226 | 207 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 51 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 228 | 285 | 346 | 631 | 118 | 278 | 23 | 6 | 283 | 77 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | TEX | 53% | 222 | 204 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 226 | 282 | 340 | 623 | 115 | 277 | 23 | 6 | 279 | 74 | -7 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | TEX | 52% | 218 | 200 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 223 | 279 | 333 | 612 | 110 | 275 | 23 | 6 | 275 | 71 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1381 | 1270 | 291 | 55 | 6 | 28 | 81 | 313 | 19 | 34 | 7 | 229 | 285 | 348 | 633 | 119 | 281 | 23 | 6 | 281 | 67 | -41 | +4 | +6 | +5 | +30 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 137 | 26 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 147 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 229 | 285 | 348 | 633 | 119 | 281 | 23 | 6 | 281 | 67 | -19 | +2 | +3 | +2 | +14 | 0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3978 | 3664 | 818 | 154 | 20 | 57 | 219 | 970 | 61 | 202 | 47 | 223 | 278 | 323 | 601 | 100 | 286 | 24 | 6 | 268 | 67 | -85 | +8 | +12 | +10 | +60 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 133 | 25 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 158 | 10 | 33 | 8 | 222 | 278 | 319 | 597 | 97 | 284 | 24 | 6 | 268 | 67 | -20 | +2 | +3 | +2 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 381 PAwOBA .293 → .237 (−56)K% 20.7% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.73% | ÷1.026 | ×1.310 | — | — | 26.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.87% | ÷1.041 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 4.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.10% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.13% | ÷1.020 | ×0.870 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 23.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.215 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.58% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .293 → .237; ISO .062 → .052; BABIP .329 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hickory Crawdads · 271 PAwOBA .287 → .222 (−65)K% 21.8% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.77% | ÷0.988 | ×1.310 | — | — | 28.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.75% | ÷1.019 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.58% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.18% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | ×0.974 | ×1.042 | 20.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷0.994 | ×0.780 | ×0.974 | ×1.042 | 4.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.014 | ×0.850 | ×0.974 | ×1.042 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.014 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 0.50% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 103, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .287 → .222; ISO .075 → .059; BABIP .311 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Rangers · 15 PAwOBA .259 → .168 (−91)K% 26.7% → 38.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.993 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.014 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 21.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.011 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 6.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .259 → .168; ISO .067 → .040; BABIP .364 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADown East Wood Ducks · 325 PAwOBA .297 → .265 (−33)K% 22.2% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.15% | ÷1.022 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.15% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×1.045 | 27.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.98% | ÷0.914 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×1.045 | 4.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.36% | ÷1.124 | ×0.910 | ×1.039 | ×1.045 | 1.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.082 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.70% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 83, 3B 125, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .297 → .265; ISO .078 → .066; BABIP .335 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Rangers · 21 PAwOBA .392 → .236 (−155)K% 28.6% → 43.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.940 | ×1.440 | — | — | 43.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷0.973 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.71% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 29.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.114 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 9.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 123, K 88, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .392 → .236; ISO .200 → .104; BABIP .500 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rangers · 190 PAwOBA .362 → .265 (−98)K% 17.9% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.89% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.79% | ÷0.996 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 3.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.11% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.64% | ÷1.012 | ×0.820 | ×1.005 | ×1.022 | 20.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.42% | ÷1.039 | ×0.720 | ×1.005 | ×1.022 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.045 | ×0.720 | ×1.005 | ×1.022 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.90% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 2.27% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 109, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .362 → .265; ISO .169 → .118; BABIP .358 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).