Anthony GutierrezCF Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA
wRC+†41
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .256 / .263
PA320
HR1
SB19
K%25
BB%5
ISO59
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -21.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-21BATRUN: +2.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
0.00.51.00.10.50.70.7+$12M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 44
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT42
scouting grade only
POWER44
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED56
scouting grade only
DEFENSE58
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.5$2M+$1.0M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2031Arb-1$2M+0.7$2M+$0.9M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $4M $6M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKACL Rangers 190176 38813 7504 116 216262324586 108278 264 254 53
202217 ROKACL Rangers 190172 531324 11344 116 308364477840 169358 186 366 139
202318 A2 teams 346322 751131 171085 3211 233282295577 62344 315 257 55
202318 A2 teams 346313 831152 26785 3211 265331351683 86345 238 309 95
202419 A+2 teams 286264 49921 13877 436 186243246489 61270 305 215 23
202419 A+2 teams 286256 621221 21637 436 242317316633 74314 227 290 80
202520 A+Hub City Spartanburgers 381350 771501 181018 489 220274271545 51304 275 243 44
202520 A+Hub City Spartanburgers 381337 871502 31798 489 258335320656 62329 218 300 88
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBTEX 320297 611211 15815 194 205256263518 57276 255 239 41 -21 +2 +1 +1 +9 -0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBTEX 35% 434401 861615 231067 224 214269297566 82279 245 260 57 -21 +3 +1 +2 +12 -0.4
202823 MLBTEX 49% 493453 1021928 291178 224 225284329613 104281 246 273 67 -18 +3 +1 +2 +14 0.1
202924 MLBTEX 53% 531486 11020210 321248 224 226285337623 111282 236 281 74 -16 +3 +1 +2 +15 0.5
203025 MLBTEX 55% 552505 11521211 341288 214 228287343630 115283 236 286 77 -14 +3 +1 +2 +16 0.7
203126 MLBTEX 56% 563514 11922212 351309 194 232292352644 121283 236 287 78 -14 +2 +1 +2 +16 0.7
202722 MLBTEX 35% 150139 31612 8372 82 223275324599 101281 255 250 50 -9 +1 +0 +1 +4 -0.3
202823 MLBTEX 49% 239219 49914 14574 112 224283329611 105283 246 263 60 -11 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
202924 MLBTEX 53% 280257 591115 17654 112 230288339626 109284 236 272 66 -11 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.0
203025 MLBTEX 55% 302275 641216 19705 112 233294349643 116284 236 276 70 -10 +1 +1 +1 +9 0.1
203126 MLBTEX 56% 313285 661217 20725 112 232294354648 123284 236 278 71 -10 +1 +1 +1 +9 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 12841175 26950524 7830120 5210 229288341630 112286 236 270 65 -51 +6 +2 +5 +36 -0.1
/ 162G 650595 13625312 3915210 265 229287341628 113285 236 270 65 -26 +3 +1 +2 +18 -0.1
Career 40963768 8321531653 223103269 25956 221277312589 91288 255 265 61 -181 +29 +5 +15 +116 -1.7
/ 162G 650598 1322438 3516411 419 221276311587 90288 255 265 61 -29 +5 +1 +2 +18 -0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKACL Rangers 190172 531324 11344 116 308364477840 169358 186 366 139 +8 -0 +5 1.4
202318 ADown East Wood Ducks 325293 761132 25725 3010 259328338666 78335 228 303 90 -4 +2 +9 0.8
202318 ROKACL Rangers 2120 7020 160 21 350381550931 200500 295 402 166 +2 +0 +1 0.2
202419 A+Hickory Crawdads 271241 581121 21597 376 241320315635 75311 228 292 81 -6 +5 +8 0.7
202419 ROKACL Rangers 1515 4100 040 60 267267333600 67364 270 267 62 -1 +1 +0 0.1
202520 A+Hub City Spartanburgers 381337 871502 31798 489 258335320656 62329 218 300 88 -5 +6 +11 1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA
83,14392161244314394+3+1612.212.3
/1626641934+0.6+3.32.6pk7: 12
#2Leonys Martinlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA
82,78458126243301366+10+5310.710.8
/1626641430+2.4+12.62.6pk7: 11
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA
62,05912136247316328+22-15.15.1
/162664444+7.1-0.51.6pk7: 5
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA
51,539386251310309+5+122.72.7
/162664137+2.4+5.11.2pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
21,2872452228283338+5+60.70.8
/1626641227+2.4+3.30.4pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Anthony Gutierrez (OGILVIE) 21 30→42 35→44 50→56 35 205/256/263 58276 119 25% 5% 41 -1.2
Tito Polo
2016 · A
21 43→50 38→45 56→60 40 207/261/291 84276 526 26% 5% 51 -1.7 223/277/331 108297 1027 27% 5% 68 -0.5 225/280/337113299113228%5%68-0.3
Kenny Wilson
2011 · A
21 36→46 35→40 56→60 40 170/243/223 53273 226 36% 7% 27 -3.3 191/262/262 71286 428 32% 7% 45 -2.1 195/262/2899430282235%6%49-0.7
Abiatal Avelino
2016 · A
21 46→54 38→45 54→55 43 222/264/301 79275 528 21% 5% 54 -1.4 236/276/335 99292 819 21% 5% 68 -0.5 246/285/354108302101921%5%73-0.1
Victor Soto
2010 · A
21 39 37→45 56→60 40 188/240/265 77263 322 29% 5% 35 -2.8 199/243/272 73293 314 31% 5% 37 -2.6 187/218/2375027901832%3%15-0.8
Derek Hill
2017 · A
21 43→51 36→50 59→60 37 203/247/272 70301 325 32% 5% 39 -2.5 194/246/270 76309 527 36% 6% 39 -2.5 248/301/422175338222932%6%100+0.7
Johneshwy Fargas
2017 · A
22 46→52 36→45 56→65 41 215/266/282 67281 430 24% 5% 50 -1.7 211/263/305 94276 834 26% 5% 55 -1.4 217/271/322104284115026%5%59-0.6
Daniel Carroll
2010 · A
21 43→44 35→45 55→60 35 195/257/257 62314 326 36% 5% 41 -2.3 210/279/320 110322 1228 36% 7% 67 -0.5 211/283/332120323143336%7%68-0.3
Luke Williams
2018 · A
21 39→46 35→45 55→60 41 188/231/243 55251 318 26% 5% 25 -3.5 199/255/286 87268 718 27% 6% 47 -1.9 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
Jorge Mateo
2017 · A
22 43→46 41→50 61→65 38 207/250/308 100288 734 30% 5% 50 -1.8 196/238/316 120289 928 34% 5% 47 -1.9 222/263/355133288134927%5%66-0.2
Tyler James
2018 · A
21 44 36→30 64→65 42 204/266/281 77293 227 29% 7% 50 -1.7 220/283/294 74332 427 32% 7% 61 -1.0 230/297/2896035244533%8%61-0.4
Yhoswar Garcia
2023 · A
21 41 38→30 62→70 39 194/261/276 82302 538 35% 7% 47 -1.9 201/252/267 66276 338 27% 5% 40 -2.4 195/242/2475225915124%5%28-1.5
Cameron Cauley
2023 · A
20 39→42 37→50 60 37 183/239/254 71300 428 38% 6% 31 -3.0 192/245/311 119312 1226 40% 6% 50 -1.8 199/253/334135284133034%7%56-0.9
Jeffrey Baez
2014 · A
20 44→43 38→50 58→60 40 209/260/290 82288 527 28% 5% 50 -1.7 202/244/300 98284 822 31% 5% 46 -2.0 196/251/342146261191532%6%58-0.6
Derrick Robinson
2009 · A
21 45→50 35→40 59→65 41 210/255/269 59292 132 28% 6% 41 -2.3 218/257/280 62286 339 23% 5% 45 -2.1 237/289/2774030512221%7%56-0.8
Johan Rojas
2023 · AA
22 43→53 42→45 63→65 42 210/257/316 106264 935 24% 5% 56 -1.3 242/284/347 105305 837 22% 5% 74 -0.1 253/294/35310031874122%5%77+0.1
Óscar Mercado
2016 · A
21 43→53 37→55 54→60 41 203/242/274 71244 526 19% 4% 37 -2.6 212/263/288 76271 427 22% 5% 50 -1.7 240/303/397157276162219%7%94+1.0
Josh Prince
2011 · A
23 43→49 35→40 56→60 45 205/256/261 56268 232 24% 6% 40 -2.4 212/270/296 84280 629 25% 7% 56 -1.3 220/298/3038329782826%10%67-0.3
Ciro Rosero
2007 · A
21 46 38→30 53→60 43 221/279/298 77284 625 24% 6% 60 -1.0 215/273/303 88291 816 27% 6% 59 -1.1 193/247/28188236131924%5%39-0.6
Adenson Chourio
2007 · A
21 47 33→30 54→60 45 219/279/265 46288 128 23% 7% 51 -1.7 239/308/284 45306 129 20% 8% 69 -0.4 243/313/2733131613421%7%64-0.4
Sergio Garcia
2011 · AAA
20 36 39→45 55→60 38 182/232/262 80261 725 32% 6% 30 -3.1 207/253/321 114286 1325 31% 5% 56 -1.3 231/255/354123300131728%2%62-0.4