Wilfredo Lara

3B Beloit Sky Carp

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+MIA	268	.182/.281/.307	3	15	30	—	.146/.224/.238
2025	21	AMIA	19	.200/.333/.267	0	2	55	—	.188/.278/.250
2026	22	A+MIA	285	.238/.370/.379	6	14	66	—	.194/.296/.302
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBMIA	1	.182/.268/.274	0	0	61	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBMIA	95	.187/.273/.289	1	3	66	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBMIA	167	.191/.277/.298	3	5	70	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%84

Chase%78

Speed69

wRC+57

wOBA54

Whiff%47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%

CompsDylan Neuse (age 24) · Grae Kessinger (age 23) · Max George (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .268 / .274

PA1

HR0

K%29

BB%9

BABIP251

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 2	—	110	96	20	6	1	2	10	26	4	3	2	208	309	354	663	146	265	24	9	303	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	157	136	32	7	3	1	17	34	4	8	3	235	338	353	691	118	307	22	11	317	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	409	352	93	18	3	14	50	89	5	17	6	264	364	452	815	188	315	22	12	362	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	427	373	94	13	5	7	44	94	7	15	4	252	342	370	712	118	316	22	10	322	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	268	231	42	10	5	3	30	60	2	15	7	182	281	307	589	126	227	22	11	266	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	19	15	3	1	0	0	2	2	1	2	1	200	333	267	600	67	214	11	11	275	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	285	235	56	13	1	6	46	72	3	14	2	238	370	379	748	140	316	25	16	343	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	—	110	100	12	3	1	1	6	32	4	3	2	120	200	200	400	80	164	29	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	157	142	22	4	2	1	11	51	4	8	3	155	236	232	468	77	227	32	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	409	365	70	14	2	8	37	128	5	17	6	192	275	307	582	115	264	31	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	427	385	82	11	4	6	32	118	7	15	4	213	285	309	594	96	281	28	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	268	239	35	8	4	2	22	78	2	15	7	146	224	238	463	92	198	29	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	19	16	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	2	1	188	278	250	528	62	196	16	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	285	248	48	10	1	5	33	91	3	14	2	194	296	302	598	109	276	32	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	—	110	100	12	3	1	1	6	32	4	3	2	120	200	200	400	80	164	29	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	—	110	96	20	6	1	2	10	26	4	3	2	208	309	354	663	146	265	24	9	303	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	157	142	22	4	2	1	11	51	4	8	3	155	236	232	468	77	233	32	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	157	136	32	7	3	1	17	34	4	8	3	235	338	353	691	118	307	22	11	317	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	409	365	70	14	2	8	37	128	5	17	6	192	275	307	582	115	268	31	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	409	352	93	18	3	14	50	89	5	17	6	264	364	452	815	188	315	22	12	362	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	427	385	82	11	4	6	32	118	7	15	4	213	285	309	594	96	288	28	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	427	373	94	13	5	7	44	94	7	15	4	252	342	370	712	118	316	22	10	322	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	287	254	38	9	4	2	24	81	3	17	8	150	231	240	471	91	205	28	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	287	246	45	11	5	3	32	62	3	17	8	183	285	305	590	122	226	22	11	267	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	285	248	48	10	1	5	33	91	3	14	2	194	296	302	598	109	281	32	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	285	235	56	13	1	6	46	72	3	14	2	238	370	379	748	140	316	25	16	343	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	—	110	99	12	3	1	1	6	32	4	3	2	121	200	202	402	81	164	29	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	157	141	22	4	2	1	11	51	4	8	3	156	236	234	470	78	227	32	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	409	364	70	14	2	8	37	128	5	17	6	192	275	308	583	115	264	31	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	427	385	82	11	4	6	32	118	7	15	4	213	285	309	594	96	281	28	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	287	258	38	9	4	2	24	81	3	17	8	147	231	236	468	89	198	28	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	285	247	48	10	1	5	33	91	3	14	2	194	296	304	599	109	276	32	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	427	385	82	11	4	6	32	118	7	15	4	213	285	309	594	96	281	28	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	287	258	38	9	4	2	24	81	3	17	8	147	231	236	468	89	198	28	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	285	247	48	10	1	5	33	91	3	14	2	194	296	304	599	109	276	32	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	395	350	66	13	3	5	38	115	4	11	3	188	274	287	560	99	259	29	10	258	61	-19	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	182	268	274	542	92	251	0	0	250	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	30%	315	279	54	11	2	5	30	90	3	9	3	194	279	302	582	109	262	29	10	266	66	-13	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIA	44%	377	334	66	13	2	7	36	106	4	11	3	198	283	312	595	115	264	28	10	271	70	-14	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIA	51%	417	370	75	15	3	8	40	116	4	12	3	200	285	318	603	118	265	28	10	274	72	-14	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	435	387	77	15	3	8	41	120	4	12	3	201	285	320	605	119	266	28	9	275	72	-14	+1	+0	+2	+9	-0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	443	394	80	16	3	8	42	122	4	10	3	201	285	319	604	118	266	28	9	275	72	-15	+1	-1	+2	+10	-0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	440	392	78	15	3	8	41	123	4	8	3	199	282	313	595	114	264	28	9	271	70	-16	+0	-1	+2	+10	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	30%	95	85	16	3	1	1	9	27	1	3	1	187	273	289	562	102	253	28	9	258	66	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIA	44%	167	147	28	5	1	3	16	47	2	5	1	191	277	298	575	107	255	28	10	263	70	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIA	51%	212	188	36	7	1	4	20	59	2	6	2	193	279	303	582	110	256	28	9	266	72	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	228	202	38	7	1	4	22	63	2	6	2	194	279	305	585	111	257	28	10	267	72	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	236	210	41	8	1	4	22	65	2	6	2	195	279	305	584	110	257	28	9	267	72	-8	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	231	205	39	7	1	4	22	64	2	4	1	192	276	299	575	107	255	28	10	263	70	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1169	1037	198	37	6	20	111	325	11	30	9	191	276	296	572	105	255	28	9	265	63	-41	+2	-1	+4	+25	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	110	21	3	11	62	181	6	17	5	191	276	295	571	104	255	28	10	265	63	-23	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4377	3894	748	145	32	71	399	1258	52	144	45	192	276	300	576	108	261	29	9	261	63	-98	+6	-2	+10	+59	-2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	112	22	5	11	59	187	8	21	7	194	278	306	584	112	263	29	9	261	63	-24	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.8	1,171	22	30	200	281	317	+4	+2	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	12	17	+2.4	+0.9	-0.1	pk7: 0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Wilfredo Lara (OGILVIE)	23	30	35	55	45	186/271/284	98	259	4	8	29%	10%	61	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	36→39	44→45	53→55	44	182/265/298	116	243	11	20	29%	7%	62	-1.4	190/276/301	111	283	11	20	34%	8%	66	-1.1	149/258/287	138	249	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	41→40	54→60	55	164/295/261	97	258	8	24	35%	14%	66	-1.1	191/307/295	104	295	8	20	33%	12%	77	-0.3	192/310/298	105	297	8	21	33%	12%	77	-0.2
✕Connor Kokx 2023 · A	23	43	41→40	48→60	49	207/295/306	98	272	9	14	26%	9%	74	-0.6	211/296/289	78	296	5	24	28%	8%	70	-0.8	203/295/264	61	294	3	34	29%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	300	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	208/308/324	116	294	11	13	30%	10%	84	+0.1	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Michael Suiter 2015 · A	23	43→38	41→40	52→50	43	208/276/305	97	263	9	15	24%	6%	66	-1.1	201/253/279	78	272	6	10	27%	5%	51	-2.3	193/243/263	70	263	6	10	28%	4%	40	-1.8
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	180/213/275	96	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/263/300	84	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Tony Bullard 2024 · A	24	40	44→40	52→50	43	202/263/315	113	267	12	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/271/319	105	285	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	210/267/311	102	278	9	13	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	41→36	42→40	49→50	39	203/253/300	97	265	10	15	27%	5%	56	-1.9	210/256/331	121	304	12	11	34%	5%	64	-1.3	185/218/329	144	263	16	11	36%	3%	49	-0.6
✕Fabian Pertuz 2024 · AA	23	35→36	40	51→55	36	179/227/266	87	258	7	13	33%	5%	38	-3.2	186/239/281	95	297	9	11	38%	6%	46	-2.6	156/208/244	89	265	10	7	43%	5%	24	-2.2
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	40	194/269/303	109	291	11	13	35%	7%	63	-1.3	205/275/304	99	311	8	12	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/264/251	75	285	3	11	36%	10%	48	-0.5
✕Evan Chambers 2012 · A	23	38	43→40	47→50	48	188/281/296	107	273	10	17	32%	10%	67	-1.1	185/271/266	81	302	6	13	37%	10%	56	-1.9	147/244/190	43	263	2	14	40%	11%	29	-2.2
✕Bryce Arnold 2024 · AA	23	42	40→45	53→50	49	201/284/296	95	272	7	11	27%	9%	68	-1.0	186/276/289	103	283	10	10	35%	9%	64	-1.3	162/262/261	99	250	11	9	36%	9%	52	-1.2
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	38→32	43→40	54→55	50	183/286/289	106	286	11	20	36%	12%	68	-1.0	187/262/275	88	306	8	18	38%	9%	54	-2.0	160/223/221	61	269	5	22	40%	7%	25	-2.3
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	44	195/276/310	114	290	11	16	34%	9%	68	-1.0	200/282/313	113	289	12	26	32%	9%	71	-0.8	182/274/287	105	255	13	39	32%	9%	61	-0.5
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	212/283/319	108	277	9	10	26%	8%	72	-0.7	203/287/319	116	263	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.6	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Larry Cobb 2008 · A	23	40→42	39→45	47→50	49	193/267/275	82	244	7	10	23%	8%	56	-1.9	209/271/322	113	267	12	11	25%	6%	68	-1.0	205/267/322	117	257	13	11	25%	6%	67	-0.5
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4

Wilfredo Lara

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps