T.J. Czyz

P Stockton Ports

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	MIX2 levels	6	0	8	2.35	2.32	34.3%	17.1%	—	K 34.3% · BB 17.1% · FIP 2.38
2023	22	MIX2 levels	36	2	44	5.98	4.89	20.6%	13.7%	—	K 14.8% · BB 16.5% · FIP 6.18
2024	23	AOAK	33	0	41	5.44	6.34	17.7%	21.2%	—	K 13.1% · BB 25.0% · FIP 7.02
2027PROJ	26	MLBOAK	24	0	25	5.32	5.32	21.2%	15.7%	-0.2
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBOAK	9	0	9	5.25	5.26	21.4%	15.1%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsHaden Erbe (age 25) · Zane Russell (age 24) · Esmerling Vasquez (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%21.2%

BB%15.7%

K-BB%5.6%

Proj IP25

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	8	35	12	6	0	0%	1.3	34.3%	17.1%	17.1%	0.0%	2.35	2.38	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	8	35	12	6	0	0%	1.3	34.3%	17.1%	17.1%	0.0%	2.35	2.32	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	44	204	42	28	6	6%	1.2	14.8%	16.5%	-1.8%	4.1%	5.98	6.18	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	2	44	204	42	28	6	6%	1.2	20.6%	13.7%	6.9%	2.9%	5.98	4.89	—
2024	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	33	0	41	198	35	42	6	0%	1.3	13.1%	25.0%	-11.9%	3.4%	5.44	7.02	—
2024	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	33	0	41	198	35	42	6	0%	1.3	13.1%	25.0%	-11.9%	3.4%	5.44	7.02	—
2024	23	A RAW	Stockton Ports	33	0	41	198	35	42	6	0%	1.3	17.7%	21.2%	-3.5%	3.0%	5.44	6.34	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	OAK	24	0	25	106	22	17	3	0%	1.0	21.2%	15.7%	5.6%	3.0%	5.32	5.32	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	OAK	23	0	24	102	22	15	3	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.25	5.26	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	OAK	9	0	9	38	8	6	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	15.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.25	5.26	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	37	8	6	1	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.25	4.88	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	136	23	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.25	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		75	2	93	437	68	89	15	3%	1.2	15.6%	20.4%	-4.9%	3.4%	5.44	6.26	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		162	4	200	943	147	193	32	3%	1.2	15.6%	20.4%	-4.9%	3.4%	5.44	6.26	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
T.J. Czyz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	21.2%	15.7%	3.0%	—	5.26	21.4%	6.3%	24	-0.06	—	—	—
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	85
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	85
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	85
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	85
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	85
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	84
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	84
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	84
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	83
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	83
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	82
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	82
Jackson Goddard R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	26	SU	4.53	21.1%	14.3%	2.5%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	149	82
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	82
Zac Leigh R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	21.8%	15.4%	1.8%	.367	4.74	19.4%	2.7%	87	+0.53	3.70	201	82
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	82
Manny Barreda R 2015 · 5.04 FIP	26	SU	5.04	21.2%	14.7%	3.4%	.286	3.69	19.6%	9.5%	186	-1.35	3.30	376	81
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	81
Dusty Isaacs R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	26	SU	5.26	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.10	3.16	253	81