Peniel Otano

P Hillsboro Hops

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 190 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	AARI	23	14	83	5.86	4.23	17.4%	10.8%	—	K 12.9% · BB 12.7% · FIP 5.00
2023	22	A+ARI	39	0	56	6.91	3.58	22.3%	15.0%	—	K 17.2% · BB 17.2% · FIP 4.39
2024	23	MIX2 levels	32	0	37	4.42	3.70	19.1%	16.9%	—	K 14.4% · BB 19.6% · FIP 4.37
2027PROJ	26	MLBARI	21	0	22	4.98	4.98	21.2%	13.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBARI	8	0	8	4.93	4.95	21.4%	12.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsGrant Black (age 27) · Daniel Corcino (age 26) · Logan Taylor (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.98

FIP4.98

K%21.2%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%8.0%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	14	13	56	236	67	14	2	93%	4.0	19.3%	7.4%	11.9%	1.2%	3.05	3.06	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	14	13	56	236	67	14	2	93%	4.0	28.4%	5.9%	22.5%	0.8%	3.05	1.92	—
2022	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	23	14	83	390	68	42	8	61%	3.6	12.9%	12.7%	0.2%	2.5%	5.86	5.00	—
2022	21	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	23	14	83	390	68	42	8	61%	3.6	17.4%	10.8%	6.7%	2.1%	5.86	4.23	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	39	0	56	260	58	39	2	0%	1.4	17.2%	17.2%	-0.1%	1.0%	6.91	4.39	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	39	0	56	260	58	39	2	0%	1.4	22.3%	15.0%	7.3%	0.8%	6.91	3.58	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	37	178	34	30	0	0%	1.1	14.4%	19.6%	-5.2%	0.0%	4.42	4.37	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	37	178	34	30	0	0%	1.1	14.4%	19.6%	-5.2%	0.0%	4.42	4.37	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	37	178	34	30	0	0%	1.1	19.1%	16.9%	2.2%	0.0%	4.42	3.70	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	ARI	21	0	22	93	20	12	3	0%	1.0	21.2%	13.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.98	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	ARI	20	0	22	91	19	12	3	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.9%	8.5%	3.0%	4.93	4.95	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	ARI	8	0	8	34	7	4	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	12.9%	8.5%	3.0%	4.93	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	33	7	4	1	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.9%	8.5%	3.0%	4.93	4.57	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	102	26	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.9%	8.5%	3.0%	4.93	4.57	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		108	27	232	1064	166	147	15	25%	2.1	15.6%	13.8%	1.8%	1.4%	5.21	4.31	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	23	200	919	143	127	13	25%	2.1	15.6%	13.8%	1.8%	1.4%	5.21	4.31	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Peniel Otano (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	21.2%	13.2%	2.9%	—	4.95	21.4%	8.5%	22	-0.03	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	83
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	79
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	78
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	78
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	78
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	78
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	77
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	77
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	77
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	77
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	77
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	76
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	76
Linder Castro R 2017 · 4.63 FIP	26	SW	4.63	18.9%	10.7%	3.2%	.305	5.68	21.1%	6.3%	62	+1.05	4.23	279	75
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	75
Travis Hissong R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	20.3%	13.5%	2.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	122	75
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	75
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	75
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	75
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	74