Tucker Biven

P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	AWSH	4	0	4	2.25	2.35	31.6%	15.8%	—	K 31.6% · BB 15.8% · FIP 2.43
2026	22	MIX3 levels	33	5	43	4.15	2.68	26.6%	9.8%	—	K 19.8% · BB 11.4% · FIP 3.68
2027PROJ	23	MLBWSH	23	0	24	4.63	4.63	21.0%	10.9%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBWSH	16	0	17	4.52	4.46	21.8%	10.2%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsHeath Holder (age 23) · Peyton Williams (age 23) · Ricardo Velez (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.63

FIP4.63

K%21.0%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%10.0%

Proj IP24

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	4	0	4	19	6	3	0	0%	1.0	31.6%	15.8%	15.8%	0.0%	2.25	2.43	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	4	0	4	19	6	3	0	0%	1.0	31.6%	15.8%	15.8%	0.0%	2.25	2.43	—
2025	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	4	0	4	19	6	3	0	0%	1.0	31.6%	15.8%	15.8%	0.0%	2.25	2.35	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	5	43	184	49	18	2	15%	1.3	19.8%	11.4%	8.4%	1.5%	4.15	3.68	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	5	43	184	49	18	2	15%	1.3	19.8%	11.4%	8.4%	1.5%	4.15	3.68	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	5	43	184	49	18	2	15%	1.3	26.6%	9.8%	16.8%	1.1%	4.15	2.68	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	WSH	23	0	24	101	21	11	3	0%	1.0	21.0%	10.9%	10.0%	2.8%	4.63	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	WSH	38	0	40	169	37	17	5	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.2%	11.6%	2.8%	4.52	4.46	+0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	WSH	16	0	17	72	16	7	2	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.2%	11.6%	2.8%	4.52	4.46	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	73	16	7	2	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.2%	11.6%	2.8%	4.52	4.08	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	81	23	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.2%	11.6%	2.8%	4.52	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		37	5	47	203	42	24	3	14%	1.3	20.9%	11.8%	9.1%	1.3%	3.99	3.56	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	21	200	858	179	102	11	14%	1.3	20.9%	11.8%	9.1%	1.3%	3.99	3.56	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tucker Biven (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	21.0%	10.9%	2.8%	—	4.46	21.8%	11.6%	40	-0.17	—	—	—
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	89
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	88
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	87
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	86
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	86
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	86
Luke Bell R 2024 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	20.4%	9.9%	1.8%	.295	5.69	13.1%	1.3%	66	+2.07	3.62	110	86
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	85
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	85
Chris Perez R 2008 · 4.22 FIP	23	SU	4.22	23.7%	12.4%	2.8%	.269	3.71	22.5%	12.6%	180	-0.51	3.18	379	85
Cody Allen R 2012 · 3.67 FIP	23	SU	3.67	21.4%	11.9%	1.6%	.329	2.40	32.1%	24.3%	209	-1.27	1.58	464	85
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	85
Andrew Cashner R 2010 · 4.51 FIP	23	SU	4.51	20.2%	10.1%	3.4%	.285	3.30	19.9%	13.0%	221	-1.21	2.94	1,185	85
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	85
James McDonald R 2009 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.3%	10.4%	2.1%	.283	4.16	20.4%	11.3%	414	+0.20	2.99	506	85
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	85
Shane Broyles R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	21.9%	11.5%	2.2%	.338	3.75	25.7%	14.5%	159	-0.16	3.34	218	85
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	85
Kelvin Ramirez R 2024 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	20.4%	11.5%	3.1%	.307	4.48	22.8%	5.4%	114	-0.08	3.36	244	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	21.5%	10.5%	1.08	4.56
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*